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Jack Richards Novices Limited Handicap Chase Grade 2 Stats

Jack Richards Novices’ Limited Handicap Chase (Grade 2) Stats

The going is Good to Soft, which on the New Course usually requires a horse with a blend of high-end cruising speed and proven stamina over the 2 miles and 4 furlongs trip.

The 12-Year Trends: Golden Miller Novices’ Chase

Age: 11 of the last 12 winners were aged 6 or 7.
Grade 1 Form: 10 of the last 12 winners had already run in a Grade 1 or Grade 2 chase.
Rating: 10 of the last 12 winners were rated 146 or higher (Official Rating).
Course Form: 8 of the last 12 winners had previously run at Cheltenham.
Season Form: 9 of the last 12 winners won on their last start before the Festival.
Jumping: Efficiency is key; 11 of the last 12 winners had no more than 4 starts over fences (the “unexposed” factor).

Runner Analysis & Order of Preference

1. Sixmilebridge (NR: 166.7)

The Verdict: He is the “perfect” trend horse for 2026. Aged 7, he sits exactly in the preferred age bracket. His Neural Rating of 166.7 is significantly clear of the field, suggesting he is a Grade 1 horse running in a Limited Handicap. He has the required “unexposed” profile with only 3 chase starts and won emphatically last time out.
Trend Score: 10/10

2. The Bluesman (NR: 111.0)

The Verdict: A classic “Skelton” type improver. While his NR is lower than the top selection, he meets the criteria for having won his last start and possessing a rating that puts him in the high 140s/low 150s bracket. He handles Good to Soft ground and has the high jumping index (7.0) needed for the New Course.
Trend Score: 9/10

3. Stencil (NR: 83.7)

The Verdict: A highly consistent novice who has run in Graded company this season. He fits the trend for having a previous run at Cheltenham (Course Factor: 13). His NR of 83.7 is solid for this grade, though he may find the top two a little too well-handicapped.
Trend Score: 8/10

4. Western Knight (NR: 82.8)

The Verdict: He meets the age trend (7) and the season-form trend. His speed figures suggest he is best suited to 2 miles 4 furlongs on Good to Soft. He is a very efficient jumper (Jump Factor: 9), which is vital for maintaining position during the middle part of this race.
Trend Score: 8/10

5. Gold Dancer (NR: 78.3)

The Verdict: Trained by Willie Mullins, which is always a trend positive. However, his NR of 78.3 suggests he has a bit to find with the likes of Sixmilebridge. He is slightly more exposed than the typical winner of this race but cannot be discounted for a place.
Trend Score: 7/10

6. Jordans Cross (NR: 76.3)

The Verdict: A solid 6-year-old who fits the age profile. He is a strong traveller but the trends suggest that winners of this race usually possess a slightly higher “Class” (CP) factor than he currently shows.
Trend Score: 6/10

7. Slade Steel (NR: 75.0)

The Verdict: Winner of the Supreme in 2024, but his transition to fences has seen his rating stabilize rather than soar. While he has the “Cheltenham Factor,” the last 12 years suggest that horses who have become slightly “exposed” over fences find it harder to win this.
Trend Score: 5/10

8. Regent’s Stroll (NR: 71.8)

The Verdict: A promising type but his NR of 71.8 indicates he may be a year away from his peak for this specific championship race. He lacks the Grade 1/2 experience that 10 of the last 12 winners possessed.
Trend Score: 4/10

Final Selection Summary

1. Sixmilebridge (Clear Class & Trend Standout)
2. The Bluesman (The Improving Danger)
3. Stencil (The Course Specialist)
4. Western Knight (The Jumping Efficiency Play)

Ryanair Mares’ Novices’ Hurdle Stats

Ryanair Mares’ Novices’ Hurdle (Grade 2) at 1:20 pm on Thursday, 12th March 2026

The going is Good to Soft, which is standard for this race and typically allows the cream of the Irish mares to use their superior cruising speeds.

The 12-Year Trends: Ryanair Mares’ Novices’ Hurdle

Irish Dominance: Irish-trained runners have won 9 of the 10 renewals (90%).
The Mullins Factor: Willie Mullins has won 5 of the 10 renewals.
Freshness: 9 of the 10 winners had a break of at least 26 days prior to the festival.
Class: 8 of the last 10 winners had won a race worth at least £5,000 to the winner.
Market Position: 8 of the 10 winners were in the top four of the betting.
Season Form: All winners had won at least once earlier in the season.

Runner Analysis & Order of Preference

1. Oldschool Outlaw (NR: 164.2)

The Verdict: Boasting the highest Neural Rating in the field by a significant margin, she fits the “class” trend perfectly. Her rating of 164.2 suggests she is a Grade 1 mare in a Grade 2 race. Being Irish-trained and arriving here on the back of a dominant season, she ticks every major trend box, particularly the requirement for high-value previous wins.
Trend Score: 10/10

2. Bambino Fever (NR: 140.8)

The Verdict: Another strong Irish contender who meets the age and season-form requirements. Her NR of 140.8 marks her as the primary danger to the favourite. She has shown she handles Good to Soft ground and has the tactical speed required for the “Dawn Run” course.
Trend Score: 9/10

3. Kingston Queen (NR: 87.3)

The Verdict: A solid performer who fits the profile of a typical Mullins/Irish improver. While her NR is lower than the top two, her “Course Factor” and “Timing” stats are high. She arrives fresh, which is a key trend for this race.
Trend Score: 8/10

4. Diamond Du Berlais (NR: 83.7)

The Verdict: Represents a slightly more “exposed” profile but remains a high-class novice. Her speed figures on Good to Soft ground are competitive. She fits the trend of winners having had exactly 2 or 3 runs over hurdles prior to arriving at Cheltenham.
Trend Score: 7/10

5. White Noise (NR: 83.2)

The Verdict: A progressive type who has seen significant market support. Her NR is almost identical to Diamond Du Berlais, but she gains the edge in “Distance” stats. She is a strong stayer at 2 miles, which is vital for the climb to the finish.
Trend Score: 7/10

6. La Conquiere (NR: 78.7)

The Verdict: While she has the “French-bred” profile that often does well in this race, her NR suggests she may lack the raw gear-change of the top three. She is a reliable jumper but likely an each-way prospect at best.
Trend Score: 6/10

7. Place De La Nation (NR: 73.0)

The Verdict: A middle-tier rating. She hasn’t quite reached the Grade 2 level in her previous starts, and trends suggest you need to be a “graded horse in waiting” to win this.
Trend Score: 5/10

8. Blue Velvet (NR: 65.7)

The Verdict: Despite a reasonable rating, she fails the “Top 4 in the betting” trend. Historically, winners of this race are very well-found in the market.
Trend Score: 4/10

Final Selection Summary

1. Oldschool Outlaw (The Statistical Standout)
2. Bambino Fever (The Main Danger)
3. Kingston Queen (The Freshness Play)
4. Diamond Du Berlais (The Consistent Novice)

Cheltenham Top Rated Horses Thursday 12th March

Cheltenham top Rated Horses Thursday 12th March

13:20
OLDSCHOOL OUTLAW 34.49
BAMBINO FEVER 25.35
KINGSTON QUEEN 12.23
WHITE NOISE 9.99
LA CONQUIERE 8.66
DIAMOND DU BERLAIS 7.54
PLACE DE LA NATION 5.84
BLUE VELVET 4.60
FUTURE PROSPECT 3.53
JACKIE HOBBS 3.19
AL FONCE 2.74
MANGANESE 2.61
MILLE ET UNE VIES 2.38
SCAVENGERS REIGN 1.71
CHARME DE FAUST 1.63
CARRIGMOORNASPRUCE 1.06
AMEN KATE 0.88
ECHOING SILENCE 0.86
ST IRENE 0.42
LOUVE D’IRLANDE 0.33
CHOSEN COMRADE 0.32
FULL OF LIFE 0.32

14:00
SIXMILEBRIDGE 40.01
THE BLUESMAN 21.09
STENCIL 11.72
WESTERN KNIGHT 9.11
GOLD DANCER 7.05
SLADE STEEL 6.00
JORDANS CROSS 5.35
MEETMEBYTHESEA 4.34
REGENT’S STROLL 3.59
KDEUX SAINT FRAY 2.79
MOON ROCKET 1.96
INTENSE APPROACH 1.69
WINGMEN 1.13
KING ALEXANDER 1.09
KISS WILL 0.79
DR EGGMAN 0.52
WHERE’S MY JET 0.49
BEN SOLO 0.48
OL MAN DINGLE 0.40

14:40
JADE DE GRUGY 46.65
FEET OF A DANCER 34.85
WODHOOH 22.09
DREAM ON BABY 9.63
JETARA 5.59
TAKE NO CHANCES 2.24
SUNSET MARQUESA 0.61

15:20
MA SHANTOU 30.76
TEAHUPOO 25.24
IMPOSE TOI 18.06
BALLYBURN 12.68
HOME BY THE LEE 7.25
BOB OLINGER 4.95
DODDIETHEGREAT 1.89
KABRAL DU MATHAN 1.27
HEWICK 0.96
HONESTY POLICY 0.53
GWENNIE MAY BOY 0.39

16:00
FACT TO FILE 66.78
JONBON 36.48
IMPAIRE ET PASSE 19.48
MATATA 7.96
BANBRIDGE 4.65
CROKE PARK 1.93
MASTER CHEWY 1.30
JPR ONE 1.20
HEART WOOD 0.56

16:40
STAFFORDSHIRE KNOT 48.64
GOWEL ROAD 27.40
ABSOLUTELY DOYEN 15.57
LAVIDA ADIVA 9.02
ONEWAYWEST 5.26
ACE OF SPADES 3.49
CHAMPAGNE CHIC 2.70
RED DIRT ROAD 1.87
MELBOURNE SHAMROCK 1.85
C’EST DIFFERENT 1.79
BOLD ENDEAVOUR 1.39
IKARAK 1.16
YEAH MAN 1.16
IDY WOOD 0.58
MINELLA EMPEROR 0.57
KIKIJO 0.56
SUPREMELY WEST 0.56
MINELLA SIXO 0.55
ELECTRIC MASON 0.51
CLASSIC KING 0.50
LETOS 0.48
IDEM 0.46
DUKE SILVER 0.44
IKE SPORT 0.44

17:20
PRENDS GARDE A TOI 27.65
HUNG JURY 16.17
THE ENABLER 13.75
JERIKO DU REPONET 9.47
IL RIDOTO 6.68
GERICAULT ROQUE 5.00
KIM ROQUE 3.47
DAILY PRESENT 2.58
MONBEG GENIUS 1.90
GLENGOULY 1.78
ROAD TO HOME 1.23
UNCLE BERT 1.22
HERAKLES WESTWOOD 1.19
KING’S THRESHOLD 0.98
INSURRECTION 0.55
WEVEALLBEENCAUGHT 0.50
EXCELLO 0.50
LORD ACCORD 0.49
SANDOR CLEGANE 0.48
WATERFORD WHISPERS 0.48
CAVE COURT 0.48
NO TIME TO WAIT 0.42
ASK BREWSTER 0.39
OLYMPIC MAN 0.33

Queen Mother Champion Chase Stats

BetMGM Queen Mother Champion Chase (Grade 1) at 4:00 pm on Wednesday, 11th March 2026

The 12-Year Trends: Queen Mother Champion Chase

Age: 11 of the last 12 winners were aged between 7 and 9. (10-year-olds and older have a very poor record).
Grade 1 Success: 11 of the last 12 winners had already won a Grade 1 chase.
Season Form: 10 of the last 12 winners finished in the top two on their previous start.
Cheltenham Factor: 9 of the last 12 winners had previously won at Cheltenham.
Market Position: 9 of the last 12 winners were in the top three of the betting.
Official Rating: Almost every winner in the last decade has been rated 164 or higher.

Runner Analysis & Order of Preference

1. Majborough

The Verdict: By 2026, this horse reaches the “Golden Age” of 7. His massive Neural Rating of 170.8 suggests he has the “engine” required to match the 164+ trend standard. As a former high-class juvenile, he possesses the natural speed for a two-mile chase on Good to Soft ground. If he has translated his hurdles class to fences, he is the clear trend-fit and class standout.
Trend Score: 10/10

2. Il Etait Temps

The Verdict: A Willie Mullins-trained runner who is a proven Grade 1 winner over fences. At 8 years old in 2026, he is in his prime. He handles Good to Soft ground perfectly and is a “Cheltenham regular,” ticking the course-experience box. His high NR marks him as the primary danger to the favorite.
Trend Score: 9/10

3. L’Eau Du Sud

The Verdict: Represents the Dan Skelton stable, which excels in these high-tempo races. While often viewed as a handicap specialist, his NR of 111.7 indicates he has stepped up significantly into the elite bracket. He has the speed for two miles and historically performs best on “Good to Soft.”
Trend Score: 8/10

4. Found A Fifty

The Verdict: A consistent Grade 1 performer for Gordon Elliott. At age 9, he is at the upper limit of the preferred age trend but remains a formidable opponent. He is an exceptionally strong traveller, a trait essential for the Champion Chase, though his NR suggests he may find one or two of the younger “speedsters” too quick at the finish.
Trend Score: 7/10

5. Captain Guinness

The Verdict: The 2024 winner of this race. However, by 2026, he is an 11-year-old. This is a significant trend negative, as older horses rarely win this race (Special Tiara being a rare outlier). While his class is undeniable, trends suggest his peak championship years are behind him.
Trend Score: 5/10

6. Libberty Hunter

The Verdict: A very capable chaser but his rating suggests he sits in the “Grade 2/High-end Handicap” bracket rather than the elite Grade 1 tier required to win a Champion Chase.
Trend Score: 4/10

7. Saint Segal

The Verdict: Similar to Libberty Hunter, he lacks the Grade 1 winning profile that 11 of the last 12 winners possessed. He is a fine jumper but likely lacks the raw speed for this level.
Trend Score: 4/10

8. Quilixios (NR: 54.7) / Brookie (NR: 54.7)

The Verdict: Both fall well below the class threshold. Quilixios is a former Triumph Hurdle winner, but his recent chase form and low NR suggest he is not the force he once was.
Trend Score: 2/10

Final Selection Summary

1. Majborough (The Class Standout)
2. Il Etait Temps (The Mullins/Trend Specialist)
3. L’Eau Du Sud (The Progressive Challenger)
4. Found A Fifty (The Reliable Veteran)