The Week In Review: Opposites Attracting Attention

Saturday's two 100-point preps for the GI Kentucky Derby yielded a pair of colts who are polar opposites in many ways. Yet the stock is on the rise for both Two Phil's (Hard Spun) and Kingsbarns (Uncle Mo), as their respective scores in the GIII Jeff Ruby Steaks and GII Louisiana Derby are attracting attention while stamping both as legitimate mid-tier threats on the Triple Crown totem pole.

Two Phil's ($150,000 KEESEP) has appeal as a 4-for-8 blue-collar closer/stalker whose strengths are versatility and adaptability. He's won sprinting and routing over fast dirt, the Churchill Downs slop, and now the Tapeta surface at Turfway, where he uncorked an eye-opening 101 Beyer Speed Figure. His racing resume includes wins well off the traditional Derby path at tracks like Colonial and Canterbury, and he'll train up to the first Saturday in May at Hawthorne for connections (jockey Jareth Loveberry, trainer Larry Rivelli, and co-owners Patricia's Hope LLC and Phillip Sagan) who have no Derby experience among them.

The far pricier Kingsbarns ($250,000 FTSAUG; $800,000 FTFMAR) is evolving into a businesslike front-running force who's never lost in three starts for connections (jockey Flavien Prat, trainer Todd Pletcher and owner Spendthrift Farm) who have ample experience at racing's elite events. To illustrate how deep Pletcher's sophomore stable is this season, the undefeated Kingsbarns isn't even considered the Hall-of-Fame conditioner's top chance at a third Derby win–the colt is currently pegged third-best, behind 'TDN Rising Stars' Forte (Violence) and Tapit Trice (Tapit).

Underdog allure…

If you parse the past-performance block of Two Phil's, he's only run two races that are off-the-board toss outs, and he had credible excuses for both.

He checked out of contention in his June 23 debut at five furlongs. Then, after roughing up the competition in Virginia and Minnesota, he took a 68-1 dive into the deep end of the Grade I pool, finishing seventh in the key-race Breeders' Futurity S. at Keeneland Oct. 8 behind eventual divisional champ Forte. But he got pinballed at the break in that race, then was crowded and bore out on the first turn before settling well and putting together a better-than-it-looks middle move that he sustained into upper stretch.

Disregarding the severity of that troubled trip, bettors let Two Phil's go off at 7-1 in the GIII Street Sense S. at Churchill, and he won going away by 5 1/4 lengths over a sealed track. He initially earned a 75 Beyer for that effort, but that number has subsequently been upgraded to a 79.

After starting his 2023 campaign with a second in the GII Lecomte S. and a third in the GII Risen Star S., Rivelli opted to try Two Phil's over Tapeta, based in part on a dynamite two-minute lick the colt once unleashed when training over a synthetic track. It was an experiment that the trainer said pre-race he would take the blame for if Two Phil's “absolutely hates the surface” under race conditions. But Rivelli also noted the Jeff Ruby seemed like “the easiest spot for the money” (not to mention its coveted qualifying points for the Derby).

Loveberry, who has been aboard Two Phil's for every start except the colt's debut, nearly missed the mount at Turfway because he suffered a hairline fracture to his fibula in a gate accident Mar. 2 at Fair Grounds. Yet he returned to action two weeks later and was able to retain the ride on Saturday.

Hard Spun, the sire of Two Phil's, won the version of Turfway's premier stakes in 2007 when the race was known as the GII Lane's End S. and run over Polytrack. That win propelled him to 2-3-4 finishes in the three Triple Crown races and a second-place try later that season in the GI Breeders' Cup Classic. Through that campaign, which came against a fairly deep crop, Hard Spun-like Two Phil's is aspiring to now-became known as a reliable, determined runner who could handle any type of distance or surface he was tasked with.

Off as the 2.8-1 second choice in the Jeff Ruby, Two Phil's broke alertly and immediately responded to a snug rating hold by Loveberry. The colt cornered three wide into the first bend, was content to be parked outside while sixth down the backstretch, then took the overland route four deep through the far turn, shadowing the move of the 1.7-1 fave Major Dude (Bolt d'Oro), a Pletcher trainee.

The two chalks accosted the pacemaker at the head of the homestretch, then the outermost Two Phil's made short work of wresting command from Major Dude. No one else was firing down the lane, and Two Phil's churned for the wire largely under his own power, stopping the timer at 1:49.03 for the nine furlongs.

Two Phil's | Coady

Meanwhile, In New Orleans…

Some 800 miles south and 25 minutes later, Kingsbarns stepped into the Fair Grounds starting gate for the Louisiana Derby as the 9-2 second choice. Bettors were chipping away at his 6-1 morning-line price because Kingsbarns projected to control the tempo, and after leading at every call through very moderate fractions (:24.71, 49.50, 1:14.69, 1:39.13) and light pressure from the competition, Prat said post-win that he knew dictating the pace would be his best shot.

“We thought there was not a whole lot of speed in the race,” Prat said. “[Pletcher] told me that the horse was pretty straightforward, and if we ended up on the lead he was fine with that. He jumped well, I was able to get myself into a comfortable spot, and from there he did the job.”

Kingsbarns got a 95 Beyer. His final time of 1:57.33 for the 1 3/16 miles, though, rates as the slowest clocking in four years since the Louisiana Derby got elongated from nine furlongs. In fact, the time was nearly a full second off the previous slowest clocking of 1:56.47.

In addition, the Fair Grounds main track was decidedly speed-favoring on Saturday. Of 11 dirt races, four were won in wire-to-wire fashion, six by pressers just off the lead, and just one by a midpack stalker. Deep closers got shut out.

Still, the prospect of an undefeated colt aiming for the first Saturday in May always creates some buzz-even if the historical hurdle is high.

From 1900 to the present, nine horses have attempted the Derby with exactly 3-for-3 records. Justify (2018), Big Brown (2008) and the filly Regret (1915) were the only ones to sail home triumphantly under the twin spires at 4-for-4.

Curlin, third in 2007, was the only other one to hit the board in the Derby. The others who tried but ran out of the money were Helium and Rock Your World (both in 2021), Materiality (2015), Showing Up (2006), and Thunderer–a full brother to Regret–in 1916.

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Horse Sales And HISA, The Overlap

With the Horseracing Integrity and Safety Integrity Act's (HISA) anti-doping and medication control program set for launch Monday–pending approval by the Federal Trade Commission (FTC)–the inevitable focus will be on the spider web of post-race and out-of-competition testing set to blanket most of the nation.

But with it has come this other question: What do buyers now need to be aware of when purchasing a horse at the sales or privately?

The question has gained added currency since a recent the Southern California horsemen by representatives from the Horseracing Integrity & Welfare Unit (HIWU), the arm of HISA charged with rolling-out and managing its anti-doping and medication control (ADMC) program.

At that presentation, Mary Scollay, HIWU's chief of science, explained that under the new medication regime, bisphosophonates–a controversial group of drugs used in older horses to tackle issues like navicular disease but also used in younger horses to treat things like sore shins–will be banned from administration in what HISA terms “covered horses.”

(It should be noted that a Thoroughbred becomes a “covered horse” only when it completes its first officially timed and published workout)

“My last two weeks has pretty much been a deep dive into bisphosphonates and how to navigate this stuff,” said Joe Miller, a racing manager and bloodstock advisor, who leans heavily on Europe when scouting for new talent destined for the U.S.

“I actually skipped going to the OBS March sale because I'm so focused on how we're going to be moving forward in navigating these purchases,” Miller added.

For all sorts of reasons, bisphosphonates pose a slippery set of problems for regulators and horsemen alike. Once administered, they can stay in a horse's system for years. Horses given a bisphosphonate won't necessarily test positive for the drug consistently over time either, with a positive finding more likely during periods of bone remodeling, which would release the drug into the horse's system.

Punitive consequences for a positive bisphosphonate finding can be steep. A trainer faces a possible two-year suspension for a first-time bisphosphonate violation, while the horse could be subject to lifetime ineligibility from competition.

Joe Miller | Tattersalls

HIWU published a notice to the industry on March 10 regarding the use of bisphosphonates under the ADMC program, explaining how only proven administration of a bisphosphonate to a covered horse after the March 27th implementation date would be deemed an actionable violation.      Furthermore, HIWU explained that it would not pursue disciplinary action for a positive bisphosphonate finding against a covered horse and its connections, provided those connections can share with HIWU documentation–such as medical records or a positive test result–proving administration or presence of bisphosphonates prior to the ADMC program implementation date.

“In accordance with HISA's requirements for Covered Horses, all medical records, including any relevant test results, must be uploaded to the HISA portal. Additionally, due to the variability of bisphosphonate detection through laboratory analysis, all bisphosphonate findings detected under the ADMC Program will undergo thorough review regardless of the alleged timing of administration,” the notice added.

This still leaves some worrying holes for trainers and owners to potentially fall through.

A fear among buyers is that because of the longevity with which bisphosphonates can stay in the system, a recently purchased horse administered bisphosphonates prior to the ADMC launch date–and unbeknownst to the new connections–could still land them in regulatory hot water.

Furthermore, buyers like Miller are concerned about purchasing horses from international jurisdictions where bisphosphonates are still permitted.

“Since private sales are subject to individual contracts, it is up to the buyer and seller to formalize provisions for bisphosphonates testing and conditions of sale to protect all parties,” wrote Scollay, in response to a list of questions.

Miller hasn't made any international purchases since last October, he said, but he expects that to change in the next few weeks. When Miller does once again plunder foreign shores, “we can definitely do a blood screen for Osphos and Tildren,” he said, singling out two of the more commonly-used bisphosphonates. “I'm hoping we can do a urine screening as well.”

Indeed, urine samples are deemed more accurate than blood screens at detecting bisphosphonates administered longer in advance due to typically higher concentrations in urine of most substances than in the blood.

Though HIWU has stated it will conduct a thorough review in the event of a bisphosphonate positive, “If you come up with a trace amount of bisphosphonate in a post-race urine sample, how is that going to be dealt with?” asked Miller. “Is a horse going to be able to compete while the review is being conducted?”

According to HIWU spokesperson, Alexa Ravit, “HIWU will not just automatically issue a suspension for a Covered Horse or Covered Person upon receiving a positive finding for bisphosphonates.”

Fasig-Tipton is one of the major U.S. sales companies to have taken steps in recent years to limit drug use in the horses that pass through their rings, including offering bisphosphonate testing as a condition of sale for horses younger than four.

If the sale horse tests positive for bisphosphonates, a buyer has the right, within 24 hours of notification, to rescind the sale. In Fasig-Tipton's case, a bisphosphonates test costs $500.

“As with all these drug tests that have come along, it's usually because there has been a shift in the market,” said Bayne Welker, executive vice president of Fasig-Tipton. “That's usually what drives us to make these offerings.”

And as a result of HISA, “I'll probably take the limitations off of the racing age horses,” explained Welker, pointing to the condition of sale bisphosphonate test.

Indeed, Scollay stressed how “buyers should consult sales companies, as applicable, to verify the bisphosphonates testing available as well as the conditions of sale should a purchased horse test positive for bisphosphonates.”

Which leads to concerns over the use of other potentially problematic drugs, especially in horses-in-training purchases.

Major sales companies have moved in recent years to restrict the use in sales horses of non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs (NSAIDs), corticosteroids and bronchodilators, including Clenbuterol. Welker explained that HISA's new ADMC program won't change what condition of sale tests Fasig-Tipton offers for these particular substances.

Perhaps the biggest concern, explained Scollay, would be if the horse has been administered a banned substance that may linger in the horse for an extended period and show up in testing conducted under HISA, with anabolic steroids singled out for concern alongside bisphosphonates.

Scollay recommends that both buyers and sellers refer to HIWU's “Banned List,” which are the substances not permitted to be in a horse at any time once it falls under HISA's jurisdiction.

According to Miller, none of the drugs listed on HIWU's banned substances list cause him particular concern. “I only buy horses off people that we trust,” he said.

Furthermore, Miller said he will continue his current practice of performing a full blood screening of a horse pre-purchase.

Dr. Mary Scollay | The Jockey Club

“We typically test for steroids, any non-steroidal anti-inflammatories,” said Miller. “We just want to make sure when we do a soundness exam on a horse, we want to make sure they haven't been given anything.”

In regards private testing, however, there is an important distinction for stakeholders moving forward.

HIWU has contracted six labs around the country to conduct its testing program:

The Ohio Department of Agriculture's Analytical Toxicology Laboratory; the Animal Forensic Toxicology Laboratory at the University of Illinois-Chicago; Industrial Laboratories in Denver, Colo.; Kenneth L. Maddy Equine Analytical Chemistry Laboratory at the University of California-Davis; Pennsylvania Department of Agriculture's Pennsylvania Equine Toxicology and Research Laboratory; and University of Kentucky Equine Analytical Chemistry Laboratory.

Trainers and owners can ask HIWU to conduct clearance testing on a horse–for a fee–provided there is a reported administration history of a particular substance. Clearance testing though HIWU will be conducted at these six labs.

But these same HIWU-affiliated labs are prohibited by contract from testing any covered racehorses from private clients, explained Jeff Blea, California Horse Racing Board equine medical director.

And does Blea have any broader advice for industry stakeholders looking to close a sale after Monday?

“Any purchase of a horse as a buyer, you should have a conversation with your veterinarian as to what your concerns are and what your risk tolerance is relative to drug testing as a condition of sale,” Blea replied.

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Sunday Insights: Brown Pair Debut With Candy Ride Connection

Sponsored by Alex Nichols Agency

1st-AQU, $80K, Msw, 3yo/up, 6 1/2f, 1:20 p.m.
Trainer Chad Brown has Aqueduct's first race on closing day bookended with a pair of firsters from his shedrow in OCASEK (Candy Ride {Arg}), who draws the rail with Dylan Davis aboard and to the outside ARMY TIMES (Into Mischief) with Manny Franco in the irons. Both have a Candy Ride connection as the former, who was a $440,000 '21 FTSAUG  purchase by Spendthrift Farm, was sired by him, while the latter's dam, MGSW & MGISP Paid Up Subscriber, claims the stud as her own.

Peter Brant' Army Times was bred by Joseph Allen, who incidently co-owned his dam and was conditioned by Brown and White Birch Farm. Pointing to this spot, Brant's bay colt put forward a bullet four-furlong work Mar. 10 in :47 (1/125). Stablemate Ocasek is not without merits, as his dam Shananies Song (Eltish) has turned out a diverse group of offspring in GSP Bellamentary (Bellamy Road) and a pair full-brothers by Flatter in GSW Favorable Outcome and GSW Mouheeb. TJCIS PPS

11th-FG, $50K, Msw, 3yo/up, 1mT, 4:50 p.m.
Out of Unicorn Girl, champion MGISW Jackie's Warrior (Maclean's Music) was a $95,000 Ylg KEESEP in 2019 and earned almost $3 million on the racetrack. Going for $600,000 at the Mixed KEENOV sale a year later, half-brother OCEAN CITY (American Pharoah) looks to continue that legacy in what will be his second start for Jackie's trainer Steve Asmussen at the Fair Grounds after a fourth place behind a pair of 'TDN Rising Stars' in Bishop's Bay (Uncle Mo) and First Mission (Street Sense) Feb. 18 going six panels. Switching to the grass and ridden by James Graham from the rail, the Westerberg, Mrs. John Magnier, Michael B. Tabor and Derrick Smith-owned bay colt was bred by J&J Stables and Carlo Vaccarezza. TJCIS PPS

12th-TAM, $27K, Msw, 3yo, f, 1/16mT, 6:10 p.m.
From the chute on Sunday, look for FLYLIKEABUTTERFLY (IRE) (Kingman {GB}) to debut for trainer Kent Sweezey from gate one with Angel Rodriguez aboard. She is out of a family that includes a pair of graded-stakes winners in Nayyir (GB) (Indian Ridge {Ire}) and Sky Hunter (GB) (Motivator {GB}). Drawing the eight hole with Javier Castellano in-town to ride is first timer for trainer Christophe Clement, MONEY BEETS (City of Light). She was a $575,000 '21 KEESEP buy and is out of stakes-winning mare Do the Dance (Discreet Cat), who counts Japanese MGSP Randonnee (Blame) as a half. TJCIS PPS

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Saturday Insights: Flame On For Justify Colt Out Of Tiger Moth

Sponsored by Alex Nichols Agency

2nd-FG, $75K, Msw, 3yo, 6f, 1:30 p.m.
Closing weekend at the Fair Grounds includes a pair of important maiden races on Saturday, as Juddmonte homebred CASTLEWARDEN (Into Mischief) heads to post four under Lasix as the morning line 5-2 favorite. Trained by Brad Cox and with the services of Florent Geroux, he is a full-brother to GII Pat O'Brien S. victor Laurel River. Castlewarden's dam Calm Water (Empire Maker) is a full-sister to MGISW Emollient, who herself has produced French GSW Raclette (GB) (Frankel {GB}) and also Irish MGSW Peace Charter (War Front).

Opposing him at 5-1 is a son of Justify, whose first foals are now 3-year-olds. A WinStar and Siena Farm $675,000 '21 KEESEP purchase, HARBOUR BRIDGE has worked sharply for trainer Dallas Stewart (3-12, 5f, 1:00.60, 1/30) and will be ridden by Flavien Prat out of post six. This debut runner is the first to make it to the starting gate for the John D. Gunther bred and raced mare Tiger Moth (Street Sense), who won a pair of Graded stakes. Second dam Saratoga Cat (Sir Cat) also counts MGSW Last Gunfighter (First Samurai) as one of her own. TJCIS PPS

7th-FG, $75K, Msw, 3yof, 1 1/16m, 4:00 p.m.
Unlucky at first-asking sprinting in New Orleans Jan. 21 when she hopped at the start, overcame early contact, but still finished fourth, SUPER LUXE (Candy Ride {Arg}) will look to get back on track for owner Courtlandt Farms as the chestnut filly stretches out to two turns. A $725,000 '21KEESEP grad, the Steve Asmussen trainee switches to Joel Rosario and garnered 8-1 on the morning-line. Out of dam Montera (Easy Goer), her family includes MSW & GSP Easyfromthegitgo (Dehere) and Sue's Good News (Woodman), who is responsible for GI Odgen Phipps H. heroine Tiz Miz Sue (Tiznow) and Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf Sprint winner Bulletin (City Zip). TJCIS PPS

13th-TP, $70K, Msw, 3yof, 1mAWT, 7:05 p.m.
The relationship between Spendthrift Farm and MyRacehorse continues its legacy as rookie BOPPY (Blame) draws post 11 in the Florence nightcap. A $300,000 '21 KEESEP buy, the Brad Cox trainee gets Hall of Fame rider John Velazquez in the irons as the 3-1 second choice. The dark bay filly is out of turf MGSW Daring Dancer (Empire Maker), whose own dam Vienna Affair (GB) (Red Ransom) is a half-sister G1SW Crowded House (GB) (Rainbow Quest). TJCIS PPS

 

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