Honor A.P. | Horse Racing Free Tips

The Derby 20 Presented by NYRA Bets: Several Disappointing Performances Lead To Changes

Following the weekend's Travers and Ellis Park Derby, the top four remain unchanged on this week's The Derby 20. Tiz the Law was beyond impressive and easily maintains the top spot, while Art Collector did just enough to keep his position in third.

However, several 3-year-olds previously tagged as major contenders were disappointing on Saturday and Sunday and have since dropped out of Kentucky Derby contention. Uncle Chuck and Country Grammer will both seek other spots, as will Shivaree.

At Ellis Park, a trio of potential candidates finished poorly, including Indiana Derby winner Shared Sense (5th), Ohio Derby winner Dean Martini (6th), and Breeders' Cup Juvenile runner-up Anneau d'Or (8th). Dean Martini and Anneau d'Or will go elsewhere, but Shared Sense remains in contention for now.

Caracaro made the biggest jump up this week with his second-place finish in the Travers, and he seems to have a lot of potential upside moving forward into the Kentucky Derby.

There are several contenders remaining on this list who will require defections from the top 20 point-earners to make the main body of the Derby field. Those are expected to occur, including, at the very least, the filly Swiss Skydiver, who is expected to run in the Kentucky Oaks. The full points leaderboard is available here: Kentucky Derby Oaks Leaderboard

Where did your favorite Derby horse end up? Be sure to click on the expandable boxes for each Derby candidate to get all the latest information in the first edition of The Derby 20!

Tiz the Law

Connections

Pedigree

372

Derby Points

Race record: 6-0-1 from seven starts, $2,015,300

Major races: G1 Travers (1st), G1 Belmont (1st), G1 Florida Derby (1st), G3 Holy Bull (1st), G2 Kentucky Jockey Club (3rd), G1 Champagne (1st)

Next Expected Start

1st

Paulick Report Ranking

Honor A. P.

Connections

Pedigree

140

Derby Points

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2nd

Paulick Report Ranking

Art Collector

Connections

Pedigree

150

Derby Points

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3rd

Paulick Report Ranking

King Guillermo

Connections

Pedigree

Derby Points

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4th

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Caracaro

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Pedigree

Derby Points

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5th

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Ny Traffic

Connections

Pedigree

110

Derby Points

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6th

Paulick Report Ranking

Thousand Words

Connections

Pedigree

Derby Points

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7th

Paulick Report Ranking

Authentic

Connections

Pedigree

200

Derby Points

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8th

Paulick Report Ranking

Sole Volante

Connections

Pedigree

Derby Points

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9th

Paulick Report Ranking

Max Player

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Pedigree

Derby Points

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10th

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Dr Post

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Pedigree

Derby Points

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11th

Paulick Report Ranking

Enforceable

Connections

Pedigree

Derby Points

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12th

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Major Fed

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Pedigree

Derby Points

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13th

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Attachment Rate

Connections

Pedigree

Derby Points

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14th

Paulick Report Ranking

Shared Sense

Connections

Pedigree

Derby Points

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15th

Paulick Report Ranking

Pneumatic

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Pedigree

Derby Points

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16th

Paulick Report Ranking

Necker Island

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Pedigree

Derby Points

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17th

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Rushie

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Pedigree

Derby Points

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18th

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Finnick the Fierce

Connections

Pedigree

Derby Points

Next Expected Start

19th

Paulick Report Ranking

Storm the Court

Connections

Pedigree

Derby Points

Next Expected Start

20th

Paulick Report Ranking

The post The Derby 20 Presented by NYRA Bets: Several Disappointing Performances Lead To Changes appeared first on Horse Racing News | Paulick Report.

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Tiz The Law Continues To Reign On NTRA Top 3-Year-Old Poll

Having added a dominant victory in the Grade 1 Travers Stakes to his already accomplished resume, Tiz the Law's status as the top sophomore runner in the country was further reinforced Monday when the son of Constitution earned 39 first-place votes and 390 total points to remain the clear leader on the National Thoroughbred Racing Association (NTRA) Top Three-Year-Old Poll. Beginning with his seasonal debut victory in the Grade 3 Holy Bull Stakes, Tiz the Law has won his four starts in 2020 by a combined 16 ½ lengths. After becoming the first New York-bred in 138 years to win the Belmont Stakes, Tiz the Law became just the third New York-bred Travers winner and first since Thunder Rumble in 1992 when he annexed the Mid-Summer Derby by 5 ½ lengths on August 8. Trained by Barclay Tagg for owner Sackatoga Stable, Tiz the Law will now point to the Kentucky Derby on September 5 at Churchill Downs and currently sits atop the Kentucky Derby leaderboard with 372 qualifying points.

“He'll gallop every day,” Tagg told the NYRA publicity team. “He'll have about 10 days before we breeze him again. We'll probably only be able to get two breezes in him before we go out there. We'll go out there a week ahead of time.” Joining Tiz the Law in uncorking a statement-making performance this past weekend was Bruce Lunsford's Art Collector, who captured the Ellis Park Derby on August 9. That effort, combined with his win in the Grade 2 Blue Grass Stakes on July 11, earned Art Collector 296 points to move him up to second in the poll. “Everything that we've wanted him to do, he's done,” trainer Tommy Drury said of Art Collector following his Ellis Park victory. “We're going into the race exactly the way we want to go into it.” Honor A. P., who finished second in the Shared Belief Stakes on August 1, drops one spot to third with 277 points with Grade 1 Haskell Stakes victor Authentic (264 points) in fourth. Top filly Gamine (204 points) moves up five spots to fifth in the wake of her handy victory in the Grade 1 Test Stakes on August 8 and she is followed in the rankings by her stablemate Thousand Words (162), who won the Shared Belief Stakes on August 1. Graded stakes-winner King Guillermo (103 points) is seventh while Haskell runner-up Ny Traffic (99) and Swiss Skydiver (78) rank eighth and ninth, respectively. Caracaro, second behind Tiz the Law in the Travers, joins the top 10 for the first time with 71 points. There was relatively little movement in the NTRA Top Thoroughbred Poll as multiple Grade 1-winner Vekoma earned 13 first-place votes and 312 points to maintain the lead position for a second week. Fellow top-level winner Tom's d'Etat (3 first-place votes, 271 points) holds in second followed by Grade 1 Whitney Stakes-winner Improbable (5 first-place votes, 268 points) in third. Champion Maximum Security (5 first-place votes, 239 points) maintains the fourth spot with fellow Eclipse Award-winner Midnight Bisou (228 points) in fifth. Tiz the Law (12 first-place votes, 215 points) moved up two spots to sixth followed by champion Monomoy Girl with 1 first-place vote and 115 points. Zulu Alpha (113 points) ranks eighth while By My Standards (96) and Gamine (42) round out the top 10. The NTRA Top Thoroughbred polls are the sport's most comprehensive surveys of experts. Every week eligible journalists and broadcasters cast votes for their top 10 horses, with points awarded on a 10-9-8-7-6-5-4-3-2-1 basis. All horses that have raced in the U.S., are in training in the U.S., or are known to be pointing to a major event in the U.S. are eligible for the NTRA Top Thoroughbred Poll. Voting in both the Top Three-Year-Old Poll and the Top Thoroughbred Poll is scheduled to be conducted through the conclusion of the Breeders' Cup in November.

The post Tiz The Law Continues To Reign On NTRA Top 3-Year-Old Poll appeared first on Horse Racing News | Paulick Report.

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Tiz The Law Even-Money Favorite In Final Kentucky Derby Future Wager

Four weeks in advance of the rescheduled $3-million Kentucky Derby Presented by Woodford Reserve (Grade I), Belmont Stakes (Grade I) and Travers Stakes (GI) winner Tiz the Law is the clear-cut horse to beat in the eyes of bettors as he closed as the even-money favorite Sunday in Pool 7 of the Kentucky Derby Future Wager.

If the future wager is any indication, Tiz the Law, a winner in six of his seven starts and an earner of $2,015,300, could be the shortest-priced Kentucky Derby favorite since Arazi finished eighth at odds of 4-5 in 1992. The only other horse to start at less than 2-1 odds during that span was Point Given, who finished fifth as the 9-5 choice in 2001.

Sackatoga Stables' Tiz the Law, trained by Barclay Tagg and ridden by Manny Franco, has been either the first or second individual favorite in every Future Wager pool since last November: Pool 1 (11-1); Pool 2 (8-1); Pool 3 (7-1); Pool 4 (5-1); Pool 5 (2-1); Pool 6 (5-2); and Pool 7 (1-1).

Santa Anita Derby (GI) winner and Shared Belief runner-up Honor A. P. and Blue Grass (GII) and Ellis Park Derby winner Art Collector both closed at odds of 8-1. Haskell winner Authentic was the 11-1 fourth betting choice.

Horses in order of favoritism in the three-day Aug. 7-9 KDFW Pool 7 (Final Odds and $2 Win Will Pays): #22 Tiz the Law (1-1, $4.20); #10 Honor A.P. (8-1, $18.20); #2 Art Collector (8-1, $19.60); #3 Authentic (11-1, $25.80); #23 Uncle Chuck (15-1, $33.20); #11 King Guillermo (19-1, $41); #24 “All Other 3-Year-Olds” (24-1, $51.60); #21 Thousand Words (25-1, $53.60); #4 Caracaro (29-1, $60.80); #19 Sole Volante (29-1, $60.80); #14 Ny Traffic (30-1, $63.40); #8 Enforceable (36-1, $74.60); #13 Max Player (38-1, $78.20); #7Dr Post (40-1, $82); #5 Country Grammer (55-1, $112.20); #17 Shared Sense (65-1, $132.20); #6 Dean Martini (66-1, $135.40); #1Anneau d'Or (70-1, $142.40); #12 Major Fed (79-1, $160.80); #20 South Bend (127-1, $256.80); #15 Pneumatic (140-1, $283); #9 Finnick the Fierce (164-1, $330.80); #16 Rushie (188-1, $379.80); and #18 Shivaree (285-1, $572.40).

The Kentucky Derby Future Wager, offered for a 22nd consecutive year, enables bettors to wager on possible Kentucky Derby contenders in advance of America's greatest race at odds that could be more attractive than those available on the day of the race.

On March 17, Churchill Downs Incorporated announced the 146th running of the Kentucky Derby (GI), the 1 1/4-mile classic for 3-year-old Thoroughbreds, would be rescheduled from May 2 to Saturday, Sept. 5 amid public health concerns in relation to the COVID-19 pandemic.

Total handle for Pool 7 of the KDFW was $194,215 ($122,573 in the Win pool and $71,642 in Exactas). Visit www.KentuckyDerby.com/FutureWager for more information.

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Tiz The Law 9-5 Morning Line Favorite In Final Kentucky Derby Future Wager

Sackatoga Stable's $1 million Belmont Stakes (Grade I) winner Tiz the Law continues to be top of mind with many horseplayers and was made the 9-5 morning line favorite for the final pool of the Kentucky Derby Future Wager (“KDFW”), which spans Friday to Sunday.

This weekend's Pool 7 is the final opportunity to wager on the 146th running of the Kentucky Derby prior to the event.

Tiz the Law, a multiple Grade I-winning son of Constitution, stamped himself as the early Kentucky Derby favorite with his victory in 1 1/8-mile Belmont Stakes – the kickoff leg to this year's Triple Crown series. Trained by Barclay Tagg, Tiz the Law is the even-money morning line favorite for Saturday's $1 million Travers (GI) at Saratoga.

The co-headliner of the Travers is Mike Pegram, Karl Watson and Paul Weitman's undefeated colt Uncle Chuck (6-1), who will enter Saturday's 1 ¼-mile event following a four-length score in last month's Los Alamitos Derby (GIII). Trained by Hall of Famer Bob Baffert, Uncle Chuck is one of three entrants in Pool 7 of the KDFW for the five-time Derby-winning conditioner. Other entrants are Spendthrift Farm, MyRaceHorse Stable, Madaket Stables and Starlight Racing's $1 million Haskell winner Authentic (8-1) and Albaugh Family Stable and Spendthrift Farm's multiple Grade II winner Thousand Words (20-1).

Also likely to take interest is C R K Stable's $400,000 Santa Anita Derby (GI) winner Honor A.P. (6-1) and Bruce Lunsford's $600,000 Blue Grass (GII) hero and likely headliner in Sunday's $200,000 Ellis Park Derby Art Collector (6-1).

Here's the complete field for Pool 7 of the KDFW: #1 Anneau d'Or (50-1); #2 Art Collector (6-1); #3 Authentic (8-1); #4 Caracaro (50-1); #5 Country Grammer (20-1); #6 Dean Martini (50-1); #7 Dr Post (20-1): #8 Enforceable (30-1); #9 Finnick the Fierce (50-1); #10 Honor A.P. (6-1); #11 King Guillermo (30-1); #12 Major Fed (50-1); #13 Max Player (20-1); #14 Ny Traffic (20-1); #15 Pneumatic (50-1); #16 Rushie (50-1); #17 Shared Sense (50-1); #18 Shivaree (50-1); #19 Sole Volante (50-1); #20 South Bend (50-1); #21 Thousand Words (20-1); #22 Tiz the Law (9-5); #23 Uncle Chuck (6-1); and #24 “All Other 3-Year-Olds” (30-1).

There are 12 entrants in Pool 7 of the KDFW who are expected to run in Saturday's Travers or Sunday's Ellis Park Derby: Anneau d'Or (Ellis Park Derby); Art Collector (Ellis Park Derby); Caracaro (Travers); Country Grammer (Travers): Dean Martini (Ellis Park Derby); Finnick the Fierce (Ellis Park Derby); Max Player (Travers); Shared Sense (Ellis Park Derby); Shivaree (Travers); South Bend (Travers); Tiz the Law (Travers); and Uncle Chuck (Travers).

On March 17, Churchill Downs Incorporated announced the 146th running of the Kentucky Derby Presented by Woodford Reserve (GI) would be rescheduled from May 2 to Sept. 5 amid public health concerns in relation to the COVID-19 pandemic.

The Kentucky Derby Future Wager features $2 Win and Exacta wagering, and provides fans of Thoroughbred racing with opportunities to place bets on possible entrants in the Kentucky Derby at odds that could be far greater than those available on the day of the race.

Bets for the KDFW can be placed on TwinSpires.com and other online wagering outlets across North America. There are no refunds in the Kentucky Derby Future Wager. Should Churchill Downs officials determine during the duration of the three-day pool that one of the wagering interests has experienced an injury, illness or other circumstance that would prevent the horse from participating in the Kentucky Derby, betting on the individual horse will be suspended immediately.

The post Tiz The Law 9-5 Morning Line Favorite In Final Kentucky Derby Future Wager appeared first on Horse Racing News | Paulick Report.

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