Cheltenham Festival Stats Triumph Hurdle Friday 15th March
The Triumph Hurdle at the Cheltenham Festival is a premier race for juvenile hurdlers, showcasing some of the best young talents in the sport. As we look ahead to the next festival, let’s delve into the trends that have historically pointed towards the winners of this prestigious race.
Age and Experience:
- The race is exclusively for 4-year-olds, highlighting the importance of youthful exuberance and agility.
Betting Odds:
- Favourites have fared well, with 5 of the last 12 winners leading the betting market. Additionally, 7 of the last 12 winners were within the top 3 in the betting, indicating that the market is often a good predictor of success.
Recent Form:
- A strong recent performance is key, with 7 of the last 12 winners having won their last run before the Triumph Hurdle. Moreover, all winners had their last run within 48 days of the race, suggesting that a recent outing is beneficial.
Course Form:
- While not all winners had previous runs at Cheltenham, 2 of the last 12 winners had at least one prior run, and both had secured a win at the course.
Distance Form:
- Experience over the race distance is crucial, with 10 of the last 12 winners having at least 2 runs over 15-17 furlongs, and 11 winners having at least 1 win over this distance.
Hurdle Form:
- A proven track record over hurdles is important, with 10 of the last 12 winners having at least 2 previous runs over hurdles, and 11 winners having at least 1 win over hurdles.
Rating:
- A high rating is indicative of a horse’s potential, with 9 of the last 12 winners being rated 140 or higher.
Graded Wins:
- Success in graded races is a good predictor, with 7 of the last 12 winners having at least 1 win in a grade 1-3 race.
Season Form:
- Consistency throughout the season is essential, with 10 of the last 12 winners having at least 2 runs that season, and 11 winners having at least 1 win that season.
Future Form:
- The Triumph Hurdle can be a stepping stone to further success, with 4 of the last 12 winners winning on their next run after Cheltenham, and 2 placing on their next run.
