Cheltenham Festival Stats Albert Bartlett Friday 15th March
The Albert Bartlett Novices’ Hurdle, a Grade 1 race at the Cheltenham Festival, is a true test of stamina and grit for novice hurdlers. Over the years, certain trends have emerged that can help identify potential winners. Here’s a summary of the most influential trends:
Age and Maturity:
- The majority of winners are aged 6 or 7, indicating that horses in this age range have the optimal combination of youth and experience.
Betting Odds:
- While only 1 of the last 12 winners was a favourite, 3 out of 12 winners were in the top 3 in the betting, suggesting that while favourites have a chance, value often lies further down the betting.
Recent Form:
- A win in their last run is a strong indicator, with 6 out of 12 winners having won their previous run before the Albert Bartlett Novices’ Hurdle. Additionally, 9 out of 12 winners had their last run within 54 days of the race.
Course Experience:
- Previous runs at Cheltenham are beneficial, with 3 out of 12 winners having at least one previous run at the course, and the same number having a previous win at Cheltenham.
Distance Form:
- Proven stamina over similar distances is important, with 11 out of 12 winners having at least one run over 23-25 furlongs, and the same number having at least one win over this distance.
Hurdle Form:
- A strong track record over hurdles is key, with 9 out of 12 winners having at least 3 runs over hurdles, and 11 out of 12 winners having at least one previous win over hurdles.
Rating:
- A high rating is indicative of a horse’s potential, with 10 out of 12 winners being rated 136 or higher.
Graded Wins:
- Success in graded races is common among winners, with 6 out of 12 winners having at least one win in a grade 1-3 race.
Season Form:
- Consistent performance throughout the season is important, with 10 out of 12 winners having at least 3 runs that season, and 11 out of 12 winners having at least one win that season.
Future Form:
- The race often serves as a stepping stone to further success, with 5 out of 12 winners winning on their next run after Cheltenham, and 2 placing on their next run.
