Improbable Provides Baffert With Back-to-Back Whitneys

‘TDN Rising Star’ Improbable (City Zip) scored back-to-back Grade I victories and provided his conditioner Bob Baffert with his second straight renewal of Saratoga’s prestigious GI Whitney S. Saturday with a dominant score in this ‘Win and You’re In’ event for the GI Breeders’ Cup Classic. Heavily Favored Tom’s d’Etat (Smart Strike) missed the break and was relegated to last early as native New Yorker Mr Buff (Friend or Foe) took command, loping through early splits of :25.12 and :49.74 with 3-1 shot Improbable keeping close tabs from second. Improbable seized command from Mr Buff as three-quarters went in 1:13.36 with MGSW By My Standards (Goldencents) charging up behind him. Improbable charged clear at the top of the lane and it was all over from there as the flashy chestnut rolled home to a two-length victory. By My Standards held on for second over Tom’s d’Etat. Last term’s GI Travers S. hero Code of Honor (Noble Mission {GB}) could only manage fourth over a tiring Mr Buff.

“He got up really quick and he put me in the race,” said winning pilot Irad Ortiz. “I just took a little hold because Mr Buff looked like the speed of the race. I put him in second in the clear, like we wanted and went from there. He was comfortable. By the backside, we felt pressure but by his own he started picking it up. I let him do his thing because they were going really slow so I let him go early. When I asked him turning for home, he responded really well.

“Big race. Big race,” said co-owner WinStar Farm’s Elliott Walden. “Obviously, we had to get over the gate [issues] a little bit and Irad and the gate crew did a wonderful job. He broke great, Irad had him in a super position and felt great all the way around there. Bob [Baffert] had him ready to go, as usual, when he comes east. When he got in the position that we had hoped for, which was kind of tracking Mr. Buff, we felt really good. Then they throw up kind of easy fractions. But, he’s just a different horse this year. That’s his second Grade I in a row. He got beat by Tom’s d’Etat in his first start at Oaklawn, but he’s set up for a big year and we’re just excited to continue that.”

As for the beaten favorite, Tom d’Etat, jockey Joel Rosario said, “He stumbled coming out. There was a lot going on. He was standing fine, he just missed the break. It changed my plan because I had to really get riding from there. I couldn’t take my time. I thought the pace was fine. Even after that, I was not too far from the lead. It looked like I was in a good spot. But stumbling coming out of the gate, I lost ground right away.”

A perfect three-for-three as a juvenile, including his first top level success in the GI Los Alamitos Futurity, Improbable faced his first defeat when second in last term’s GII Rebel S. and filled the same spot behind Omaha Beach (War Front) in the GI Arkansas Derby last term. Fifth, but promoted to fourth in the GI Kentucky Derby, the $200,000 KEESEP buy finished sixth in last year’s GI Preakness S., after which he was given a brief freshening. Making a successful comeback in the Shared Belief S. at Del Mar, he was fourth in the GI Pennsylvania Derby in September and could only manage fifth in the GI Breeders’ Cup Dirt Mile Nov. 2. Coming up just 3/4 of a length short of Tom’s d’Etat in the Oaklawn Mile Apr. 11, Improbable flashed signs of his impressive juvenile form when running off to a 3 1/4-length success in the GI Hollywood Gold Cup S. going 10 panels in Arcadia June 6.

Pedigree Notes:

Improbable is one of 10 Grade I winners, 30 graded winners and 87 stakes winners for his late sire City Zip. He is also one of 26 top-level scorers, 103 graded victors and 221 stakes winners produced by a daughter of A.P. Indy. Improbable is the first foal to race out of Rare Event, whose -year-old filly Redemption Day (Quality Road), a $180,000 KEESEP purchase by WinStar, broke her maiden July 9 and finished second last time July 30. The 11-year-old mare is also the dam of juvenile colt Snake Doctor

Saturday, Saratoga Racecourse
WHITNEY S.-GI, $695,000, Saratoga, 8-1, 4yo/up, 1 1/8m, 1:48.65, ft.
1–IMPROBABLE, 124, c, 4, by City Zip
                1st Dam: Rare Event, by A.P. Indy
                2nd Dam: Our Rite of Spring, by Stravinsky
                3rd Dam: Turkish Tryst, by Turkoman
‘TDN Rising Star’ ($110,000 Wlg ’16 KEENOV; $200,000 Ylg ’17
KEESEP). O-WinStar Farm LLC, CHC Inc. and SF Racing LLC; B-St.
George Farm LLC & G. Watts Humphrey Jr. (KY); T-Bob Baffert;
J-Irad Ortiz, Jr. $400,000. Lifetime Record: 13-6-3-0,
$1,529,520. Click for eNicks report & 5-cross pedigree. Werk
   Nick Rating: A.
2–By My Standards, 122, c, 4, Goldencents–A Jealous Woman,
by Muqtarib. ($150,000 2yo ’18 OBSAPR). O-Allied Racing
Stable, LLC; B-Don Ladd (KY); T-W. Bret Calhoun. $140,000.
3–Tom’s d’Etat, 124, h, 7, Smart Strike–Julia Tuttle, by Giant’s
Causeway. ($330,000 Ylg ’14 KEESEP). O-G M B Racing; B-SF
Bloodstock LLC (KY); T-Albert M. Stall, Jr. $75,000.
Margins: 2, HF, 2HF. Odds: 3.25, 5.60, 1.00.
Also Ran: Code of Honor, Mr. Buff. Click for the Equibase.com chart, the TJCIS.com PPs or the free Equineline.com catalogue-style pedigree. VIDEO, sponsored by Fasig-Tipton.

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Cauthen Brings Consistent Blend to Volatile World

Really, nobody can demand respect. It has to be commanded. This business has plenty of people who shout their achievements from the rooftops of social media. They have done their own reckoning, and that doesn’t necessarily incline the rest of us to reinforce their self-esteem. How much more impressive, surely, is the understated, week-by-week accretion of laurels by a man like Doug Cauthen.

He is always reluctant to “claim” credit for a particular horse, knowing that the fulfilment of its potential is always divided between so many different hands. Even so, during the past 12 days alone, Cauthen’s counsel has at least contributed to a second consecutive winner of the GIII Schuylerville S., on opening day at Saratoga; to an outsized afternoon for the boutique program of Peter Blum, who was denied a 30-minute Grade I double by a head when Crystal Ball (Malibu Moon) just failed to add the Coaching Club American Oaks to the TVG.com Haskell success of Authentic (Into Mischief); and then, on Saturday, to a Grade I breakthrough by the explosive Volatile (Violence) in the Alfred G. Vanderbilt H.

“It was very exciting,” Cauthen says. “When Whitmore (Pleasantly Perfect) broke out of the gate, that was a bit of a heart attack–you’re never sure who it is, in the instant that happens, and then you’re anxious that everyone is okay before reloading. But Volatile was amazing, and kept his cool. Yes, it was a pretty manageable first quarter, but for any horse to finish off a Grade I in under :23 is pretty rare. Not many horses can do that, especially on the dirt.”

Characteristically, Cauthen plays down his role in the purchase of the new sprinting sensation. He’s an advisory board member at Three Chimneys, who co-purchased Volatile at the Keeneland September Sale of 2017, along with Phoenix Thoroughbreds. As always, Cauthen had diligently worked the catalog: he has different clients, operating at different levels and with different agendas. If asked about one at the 11th hour, he wants to be prepared. And here was one that came into play a little later that that, even.

“Goncalo [Borges Torrealba, the farm chairman] asked me what I thought about the horse shortly before he was going through,” Cauthen recalls. “Kerri Radcliffe had reached out to him, saying she was keen to get him for Phoenix. I endorsed him pretty strongly to Goncalo. He’s so good-looking, I’d think almost anybody would like him a lot. He was by a hot first-year sire out of a nice mare, and physically he was a wonderful blend of precocity, but with scope: he has length, and leverage and he’s good-sized. And those horses–the great-looking ones, with great pedigree, that move with a purpose–are always going to be expensive.

“I’d hoped he might cost around $600,000-$650,000, but he ended up at $850,000. Actually, getting him bought was mostly about Goncalo being brave and decisive at the sales. He can make a quick decision and go with it and has always seen the sense in partnering with others when you have to go ‘all-in’ to get one. Goncalo believes in quality and backs up his belief with actions. Phoenix was pretty brave too.”

Cauthen says wryly that they had a couple of years to worry about the price, but even the most-expensive son of his sire now turns out to have been well bought.

“Steve Asmussen and his team have shown tremendous patience and confidence,” he says. “As a 2-year-old, the horse had a soft tissue strain, so they never got him until he was three. When he debuted, he was impressive; and he looked special when he won at Churchill in the fall, only to have a minor setback. But through it all, Steve believed; and has handled him like the Hall of Famer that he is.”

The Cauthen Way…

Dealing with trainers, dealing with partners: this horse is typical of the way Cauthen likes to work. For the whole ethos is collaborative. Very often he’ll work in conjunction with managers or other advisers already integral to a program.

And while his surname is itself a virtual guarantee of horsemanship–his brothers Steve and Kerry having likewise carved out reputations in the industry that honor their grounding by parents Tex and Myra–it’s worth remembering that Cauthen trained as a lawyer, and indeed practiced for a while before returning to the world into which he was born. For his various patrons surely see him in a similar mold: as the diligent expert who briefs them on the strategy most likely, come judgment day, to gain a favorable verdict.

Because of the diversity of his client list, and the corresponding spectrum of roles they ask him to perform, Cauthen has a dynamic sense of the way different plates of the industry lock together; and the efficiencies available between them. So where most of us would simply admire a beautiful house, he will see through the stonework to the beams holding it all together.

He operates his consultancy as the equivalent of an asset management company.

“The difference being just that the asset is not a stock, but a horse,” he explains. “My legal background likely helps, as it introduced another layer of analytical thinking to a business that’s sometimes so rich in tradition that we never look for change. Obviously, the primary focus for anyone will be to breed and/or buy top-level horses. But how we get there is individualized, based on the client’s mares, budget and their target goals.”

Ultimately, he can boil it all down to two simple words: “added value”. It’s simply a question of applying business sense, and breadth of experience, to an ever-changing environment.

“We don’t try to reinvent the wheel, or turn operations upside down,” Cauthen says. “We just evaluate current protocols and procedures and, if and when appropriate, make suggestions or tweaks: whether to matings, or horse preparation, or sales placement, or race management, or the purchasing of mares, yearlings and 2-year-olds. But what really helps is that we don’t operate in a silo. Knowing multiple programs allows us to see what works best, and either to borrow ideas or see how different elements might work together in a fresh way.”

A Man Who Wears Many Hats..

Three Chimneys, admittedly, is a client with many different dimensions. And the action, as a result, is across the board: from Volatile to another stellar talent in ‘TDN Rising Star’ Guarana (Ghostzapper), who recently won her third Grade I in the Madison S.; from the breeding of GI Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Turf winner Structor, by farm stallion Palace Malice out of a mare Cauthen recommended as a 2-year-old, to Gun Runner (Candy Ride {Arg}) himself.

“Being part of recommending, negotiating, and helping the Torrealba family secure the Besilu package has proven to be exactly the kind of foundational move we all hoped,” Cauthen says of the transfusion that produced a Horse of the Year. “I’ve really enjoyed helping to build their broodmare band, and the collaboration among the program owner and other advisors–in this case, with Goncalo, with Dr. Steve Jackson, Chris Baker and Case Clay.”

The farm’s willingness to engage with others is not just confined to back-ring deals of the type that landed Volatile. Partnerships also oiled the wheels of stallion recruitment with Will Take Charge (Unbridled’s Song) and Palace Malice (Curlin)–the former with Willis Horton, the latter with Dogwood–and indeed the co-breeding of Skitter Scatter (Scat Daddy) or the co-owned Restless Rider (Distorted Humor). Gun Runner, of course, was raced in partnership with Ron Winchell.

But if his association with a top-class stallion farm calls on the same kind of affinity he demonstrated in helping WinStar become an industry leader, during a decade as farm president (2001-2010), Cauthen relishes working with programs at every level; and operating from every perspective.

Peter Blum’s remarkable success the previous Saturday was a perfect example: here’s a program where Cauthen has never viewed himself as more than a helpful extra cog in what was already an intelligently assembled machine. Though Blum himself has publicly thanked Cauthen for recommending the matings that produced both Authentic and Crystal Ball, that esteem is warmly reciprocated. Both men, moreover, emphasize that the backbone remains Bridie Harrison, who has long been involved with raising and selling all Blum’s stock.

“Peter has an abundance of knowledge and a proven feel for the game,” Cauthen says. “And I’ve learned a lot from him. His historical perspective of racing and breeding is so insightful, and I really appreciate and enjoy the opportunity to work with him. Peter has an innate sense of when to ‘go strong’ on a stallion, and breed as many mares as we can get to him. Several times we’ve been fortunate to ride the wave, as up-and-coming sires hit their stride: Candy Ride, Into Mischief, Quality Road, Uncle Mo. We just add eyes and ears, research, and collaboration to the process. Bridie does such a great job. It has become known as an operation that buyers trust to produce runners, because they know they are bred and raised right.”

In the same way, albeit in different directions, Cauthen feels that he has learned much from Anthony Manganaro and his Siena Farm team. Modesty aside, however, it is Cauthen who must accept credit for recommending a $50,000 claim for a 4-year-old filly named Gottahaveadream (Indian Charlie). It was the one and only time she ran for a tag, after failing to break her maiden in nine attempts. She put that straight a couple of starts later, and it was her Into Mischief filly–Dayoutoftheoffice, co-owned by trainer Tim Hamm and Siena–who followed up a debut success at Gulfstream in the Schuylerville.

“Anthony has such a zest for doing things better,” Cauthen says. “When you look at Siena’s success, you can see how he has been rewarded for consistently creating incremental improvements to the program. Again, for a smaller, boutique operation, their results are outstanding. Their motto is ‘where tradition embraces innovation’ and that couldn’t be more true. They are open to ideas, they embrace technology, and I’ve certainly learned as much as I’ve shared there.”

Point Of Honor (Curlin) and Wicked Whisper (Liam’s Map) are just the latest Grade I graduates of a program that has produced far too many stakes winners to list here )though Tesora {Scat Daddy} merits a mention, out of a mare recommended by Cauthen as an $8,000 claim at Golden Gate Fields). Again, Cauthen finds the teamwork especially fulfilling, relishing the breadth and analysis brought to the equation by farm manager Nacho Patino and president David Pope.

“It’s amazing to see the growth and development in their yearling crop from April to September each year,” he marvels. “That shows great horsemanship, great land, and a great blend of tradition and technology. Their results speak for them loud and clear.”

Maintaining and Building Relationships…

Cauthen found the Schuylerville equally enjoyable last year, when Comical (Into Mischief) enriched a long association with her breeder Bill Casner (and his wife Susan). Both men have moved on since their days at WinStar, but Casner still has a dozen mares on a farm he developed in a partnership–dissolved in 2010–with Kenny Troutt; and Cauthen assists with the matings and management of the Casner herd.

“Bill still keeps a couple of homebreds each year to race, but has become more of a commercial breeder recently,” he explains. “He’s another one who is always trying to improve every year. Collaborating with him has been a life lesson of always searching for better ways to do things. For instance, in using new medical knowledge to help horses: Bill helped pioneer the use of progressive therapies like the hyperbaric chamber, stem cells, and vibration plates, now standard across the country.”

Comical was subsequently placed twice at Grade I level, while the same crop yielded a useful colt in Texas Swing (Curlin), last seen placing in the GII Tampa Bay Derby. He was actually also purchased at auction by Cauthen for Harrell Ventures as a yearling, one of several free-lance sale orders that have resulted in graded stakes success.

Another client who goes all the way back to Cauthen’s departure from WinStar is Marie Jones, keeping up the legacy of her late husband, Aaron. Once again, Cauthen dovetails his contribution with her existing stalwarts at Taylor Made Farm, where all the mares and their progeny are boarded and raised. The program routinely produces Book I yearlings such as the Medaglia d’Oro filly out of Gloryzapper (Ghostzapper) who made $1.1 million last September; and graded stakes horses in corresponding volume. Cauthen works closely with Jones and Frank Taylor, on mare selection, matings, evaluations and even sales reserves.

“Mrs. Jones was the first outside person to call me, once Katie and I started our consulting business, and I will be forever grateful for her support over the years,” Cauthen says.

One important dividend came in the very first year of his involvement, when Speightstown’s precious dam Silken Cat (Storm Cat) was in the wars.

“She had not carried a foal the prior year, and was having chronic trouble with her feet due to a prior bout of laminitis,” Cauthen recalls. “I suggested stem cell therapy for her feet, thanks to my Bill Casner connection; Frank concurred, and it was fairly miraculous for the mare. Not only did it help thicken her hoof sole, and give her renewed mobility and great comfort, she also got in foal and produced an exceptional Tiznow filly, who sold for $1.75 million.”

Three years later, moreover, she produced a brother to that filly who became Irap, winner of nearly $1.7 million.

Familiarity with the perspectives of farms like WinStar and Three Chimneys has also helped Cauthen in yet another string to his bow: stallion placement. He worked for the Whitham family, for instance, in securing a home for McCraken (Ghostzapper) and Fort Larned (E Dubai); supervised the purchase, placement and syndication of Dialed In (Mineshaft) at Darby Dan, working with his friend (and one-time WinStar colleague) Robert Hammond; and is currently engaged in seeking a platform for Sadler’s Joy (Kitten’s Joy), once the Grade I winner of over $2.5 million retires from racing. (Cauthen also does matings work for owners Rene and Lauren Woolcott of Woodslane Farm.)

There are times, in underpinning parallel operations, when Cauthen finds they can engage quite seamlessly. Dual Grade II winner Rainha Da Bateria (Broken Vow), for instance, was a yearling purchase recommended to Three Chimneys; became a graded stakes winner/Grade I-placed; and was then sold privately, as the farm program prioritized dirt, to another cherished client, the Lael Stable of Roy and Gretchen Jackson. A “win-win”, as such, for both entities: she went on to win two more Grade IIs for Lael.

With Lael, as ever, the approach is holistic: mating advice; evaluation of young stock; a close relationship with trainer Arnaud Delacour; and, likewise, with the team at Denali (where the mares board), including another trusted old WinStar colleague in Gary Bush.

“The focus is on developing homebreds, but they do buy a few yearlings annually,” Cauthen says. “The first horse I ever bought with them was Exaggerated, a very fast Blame filly who won multiple stakes with Arnaud. In her first year as a mare, she went to Divining Rod (Tapit) in Maryland, who the Jacksons bred and raced, and now support at stud. The Pons brothers at Country Life Farm got over 100 mares to him his first year, and I’m looking forward to seeing the resulting yearlings at the sales this year.

“Chalon (Dialed In) has also been a fun one for Lael. She’s such a tenacious mare, always tries, and had the [GI] Breeders’ Cup Filly & Mare Sprint won just that one jump from the wire. But until they get a few more Grade I winners to their credit, I won’t be satisfied with our efforts for the Jacksons: they are the kind of people you admire, and you only want success after success for them.”

Always A Student of the Business…

And that is Cauthen to the marrow. Fulfilment, satisfaction: these are not filtered through his own ego, but vicariously through his clients. As such, in this game of ups and downs, he remains an even, temperate presence. But that, in itself, does shed some light on what makes this discreet, understated gentleman tick. Just listen to the way Cauthen talks about working so closely with his clients’ various trainers.

“I’ve learned different things from all of them,” he says. “It doesn’t matter whether you’re talking about the many skilled horsemen who break and do early training, or those who do lay-ups and therapy work, or all the Hall of Famers and other great trainers I’ve been fortunate to work with–you can’t help but learn something. Just by watching, and occasionally interjecting an idea or, more importantly, asking a question. You gain so much insight about how different horsemen attack different situations, different problems, in unique ways. There’s so much you can learn by observing, listening, asking relevant questions-rather than doing all the talking.”

And that, in a business where many are inclined to function in quite the reverse fashion, is surely the key to Cauthen’s success. Because from his own upbringing, at home, to his first racetrack experiences, rubbing horses for Laz Barrera and P.G. Johnson, it’s all old-school stuff. Putting the horse first; and working together; and working, period. Similarly, when brother Steve was gaining all those headlines, as the teenage rider of a Triple Crown winner and then taking Europe by storm, he was always able to keep his bearings.

“For sure,” Cauthen says. “Our parents really focused on family, and a strong work ethic. And, always, listen to the horse. What are they trying to tell us? I tend to think a lot about things; some would say, too much. But it’s part of my process. While I always want to improve, I doubt I can or should change that process; maybe I can just speed it up! The rest, I think, is just putting in the work; and taking care of the horse, which often requires patience.

“I think Bill Casner said it best. Once you’ve worked on the racetrack, everything else is easy. That’s really true. Working with horses, you understand how much work goes into every single one of them, and how many different hands touch them, for success to occur; and how lucky we are to be working with these animals we love. So it’s a win-win.”

The industry’s sense of kinship with the whole clan now extends to a day-to-day involvement, in the consultancy, of Cauthen’s wife Katie.

“She has a keen eye for horseflesh, and helps tremendously when we’re trying to look at a lot of horses at the bigger sales,” Cauthen says. “She does a small pinhooking program each year, under the DCTM banner, and picked out King Guillermo (Uncle Mo) at the September Sale last year. She also advised on the private purchase of an interest in Bowies Hero (Artie Schiller) before his first of two Grade I wins, and buys maiden mares for a client with an eye to breeding and reselling them.

“We don’t buy a high volume of horses at auction, but enough to give us reason to look at as many as humanly possible. That works out well, as we’ve said, in a case like Volatile. But it also helps us get better, every year, at identifying runners. We always look back and see what we thought of the graded runners and learn from that. It also particularly helps in doing matings, because we’ve seen so many by each stallion: we understand their strengths and weaknesses, the tendencies they throw towards.”

Just one example, this, of what Cauthen means by “added value”–the nuances and angles gleaned from charting different folds of the overall landscape.

“The cross-pollination of ideas I get and give has its genesis from all the various experiences we get to see,” Cauthen concludes. “And we keep trying to get better. I may learn or see a therapy or technology or a training technique at one operation that can, if approved, be shared with and help another. Working with a cross-section of people, in diverse settings, has sometimes opened our eyes to better ways to do things.

“So hopefully we are viewed as traditional horsemen who seek and embrace new ideas, and better ways to accomplish the ultimate goal of producing and identifying superior athletes. I’ve really enjoyed helping to develop and/or refine different programs, big or small. That’s equally true, whether we’re making every decision or just helping to tweak things with others. When it works, it’s great to celebrate with all the folks involved.”

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This Side Up: Whitmore Seeks Fresh Honors For Class of 2013

The seven-year itch, in the current racing herd, represents the best kind of mid-life crisis: reinventing yourself as a champion.

An Eclipse Award would certainly be a credible aspiration for Whitmore (Pleasantly Perfect) should he derail the Volatile (Violence) express in the GI Alfred G. Vanderbilt H. at Saratoga Saturday. Next weekend, another flourishing 7-year-old, Tom’s d’Etat (Smart Strike), will seek to consolidate his ascent to the top of his own division in the GI Whitney S. Over the past two weeks, meanwhile, their contemporaries Zulu Alpha (Street Cry {Ire}) and Aquaphobia (Giant’s Causeway) have won the GII Elkhorn S. and the GI United Nations S., respectively.

All four, remember, belong to the same 2013 crop as Gun Runner (Candy Ride {Arg}) and the lamented Arrogate (Unbridled’s Song). Whitmore, with his feasible pedigree, actually rolled the dice in the GI Kentucky Derby won by Nyquist (Uncle Mo). All praise, then, to the patient horsemanship of their connections, in coaxing off a chrysalis that many others might long ago have mistaken as confining, not the wings of a butterfly, but simply a limited talent.

Mike Maker, Ron Moquett and Al Stall Jr. would have the breed’s lasting gratitude if their endeavors help us think afresh about the proper span of a Thoroughbred’s development. A decade ago, researchers analysed 274 American racehorses and concluded that the typical age for peak performance was 4.45 years. Moreover they found that the rate of improvement to that point exceeded the rate of decline thereafter.

The fact is that even the Classic racehorse remains an adolescent. And we have ample evidence, whenever we are prepared to seek it, of the continued progress available through maturity. Without the same commercial prospects at stud, turf horses are often permitted to keep strengthening for years after their dirt cousins. The ultimate evergreen was John Henry, as a 9-year-old Horse of the Year; and, since the turn of the century, the only division to award championships to horses as old as seven is the one that features Miesque’s Approval (With Approval), Big Blue Kitten (Kitten’s Joy) and Flintshire (GB) (Dansili {GB}).

A healthy breeding industry should surely prefer the foundations laid after the manner of Whitmore–a gelding, unfortunately, but averaging $92,540 for the 34 occasions he has left the gate–instead of pretending that every colt that can add a narrow success in one of the Derby trials to a juvenile Grade III is going to end up like Tapit.

Albeit Tom’s d’Etat was held up by one or two issues earlier in his career, as a rule perseverance is about proving soundness as well as class. Some farms, no doubt, would worry about starting a stallion at eight. Well, they might have a point if only they didn’t banish so many horses of that kind of age to Oklahoma or Turkey. If they’re only going to get a narrow window to establish themselves, then what’s the rush? Why not let them build up a resume that genuinely substantiates the kind of genetic assets a breeder should be looking to replicate?

Hats off to WinStar, then, for landing Tom’s d’Etat for their roster. As Elliott Walden remarked, they welcomed Speightstown at seven and Distorted Humor at six. And there won’t be many sires starting out next spring who can match his pedigree: his graded stakes-placed dam is by Giant’s Causeway out of a full-sister to none other than Candy Ride (Arg). And the way he is thriving promises that he can contribute to the legacy of their sire in much the same way as Curlin, Lookin At Lucky and English Channel, all notable for stock that progresses with maturity.

As for Whitmore, his ineligibility for a stud career at least means that fans can continue to enjoy his terrific speed and character. In the process, his trainer is maximizing what remains too rare an opportunity for those barns, across the nation, where skill, industry and honesty are somehow inadequate to tempt enough patrons from either the super-trainers or the pharmacists.

Never mind the small field, this is a wonderfully poised showdown with a much less seasoned but terribly charismatic rival in Volatile. Not that Firenze Fire (Poseidon’s Warrior) can be taken lightly. The way he bounced back for his new barn last time, incidentally, is an encouraging template for the most celebrated refugee from the care of their former trainer. But it’s hard to know where to start with Maximum Security (New Year’s Day), the day he makes his debut for Bob Baffert at Del Mar. So we won’t.

Returning to Whitmore, at least we know he’s at home on the track. Though last seen sealing his status as an Oaklawn legend, his only previous start at Saratoga brought his only Grade I success to date–at the expense of the wonderful City Of Light (Quality Road)–in the Forego two years ago. Forego! At seven, he won the GI Woodward for a fourth year running; and, though finally surrendering his Horse of the Year trophy to Seattle Slew, was named champion older male for the fourth time running. He was another gelding, of course, but the fact is that his sheer bulk warranted plenty of time.

“Prematurity” means exactly what it says. Among our brethren in the steeplechasing world, the foals of 2013 are still viewed as relative youngsters. Yet in Europe a number of precocious juveniles have in recent years been retired, completely sound, to cut to the chase at stud. What is flattered, over there, as “commercial speed and precocity” is storing up a terrible harvest for that particular gene pool. In contrast, as I’m always trying to tell them, North American breeders generally want a chance of carrying speed through a second turn.

One of the things that should aid that process is maturity, both physical and mental. So, however Whitmore fares against the prodigy in this one-turn spectacular, let’s celebrate the whole class of 2013. Let’s remind ourselves that there is no inherent virtue in always trying to get ahead of time.

Remember the psychiatrist in The Seven-Year Itch? “My three o’clock patient jumped out of the window in the middle of his session,” he said. “I have been running 15 minutes ahead of schedule ever since.”

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Rice Celebrates ‘Life-Changing’ Upgrade for $7,500 Mare

For Gail Rice, the way luck and judgement play out with Thoroughbreds is sooner a matter of faith than mere fate. “God tries to make you make the right decisions,” she declares. But then she gives a delighted, self-deprecating laugh and adds: “Apparently for once I listened properly!”

Yes she did. Because you would have had to strain your ears pretty hard to catch the hint, the time Rice saw a young New York-bred mare by Freud in the back ring at the 2015 Fasig-Tipton February Sale. Scribbling Sarah had won a Saratoga maiden as a 3-year-old, but that was her only success in 11 starts and she had last been sighted, under a $5,000 tag, down the field at Finger Lakes. But while Rice was not born into the game, and has only ever dabbled with breeding on a very small scale, over the years she had gleaned plenty of insight from her in-laws–a respected clan of horsemen and women, now extended by two sons and a daughter raised with ex-husband Wayne: Adam and Kevin, both talented trainers; and Taylor, a prolific jockey before her marriage to Jose Ortiz. And Scribbling Sarah somehow struck a chord.

“She had the walk,” Rice remembers. “She had that big Quarter Horse hip that the Rices have taught me to like. And the deep girth. Nice angles. All the things I had learned to look for, with Mr. Gladwell as well. I worked for him for a bunch of years, too.”

She sent in her son Adam to check over the mare. There was a bit of an issue in her hindquarters, which transpired to be a muscle tear.

“I found that out later, but I could see there was something going on,” Rice says. “But I’m like, ‘Well, that’s nothing. That’s not a problem.’ She was a sister to two graded stakes-placed horses and I thought, ‘This is a good enough page for me to sell babies for $50,000, maybe $100,000, if I get the right hot, new stallion. Let’s buy her.'”

She promptly did so, the docket in the name of second husband Bobby Jones, for $7,500. That same summer, Scribbling Sarah’s page gained a first new ornament when her full-sister was placed in black-type company at Saratoga. But her big break traces to the following spring, after the mare had delivered her first foal by Adios Charlie.

At the time she bought her, Rice had no idea that Scribbling Sarah had for a time been trained by Wayne’s sister Linda. In choosing the mare’s next covering, however, she did get an inside track.

“I had a budget and didn’t want to go over $10,000,” she explains. “So I put them all in the pot and did my research. I looked at all those matching programs, and Pulpit over Storm Cat is a really good cross. And my son-in-law Jose had ridden Mr Speaker in a race or two, so I called him and asked what he thought of the horse.”

Ortiz gave her plenty of encouragement, and the horse’s pedigree sealed the deal. Though his best form came on turf, notably a success in the GI Belmont Derby Invitational S., the Phipps homebred is kin to a number of dirt champions: he is out of a daughter of champion Personal Ensign named Salute (Unbridled), runner-up in the GII Demoiselle S. and half-sister to three Grade I winners (plus one Grade I runner-up) on dirt. These include My Flag (Easy Goer), whose multiple elite wins included the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies–a race also won by her daughter Storm Flag Flying (Storm Cat).

Since Scribbling Sarah was herself a turf sprinter, however, Rice was prepared for the probability that the filly she delivered by Mr Speaker the following February would end up on the grass too.

“So here’s my thinking,” she says. “Every year I can sell the babies or, if I end up keeping them, my kids are training at Presque Isle Downs, with its synthetic track. So they can race this horse for me, if needed. Because you know, you’ve got to have plans B, C and D!”

That shows the domestic scale of Rice’s breeding program, which until this week comprised a grand total of two mares. The other is a daughter of Grand Slam claimed at Presque Isle by Kevin for $5,000. Now, however, Scribbling Sarah has suddenly become simply too valuable to retain.

Rice sold her Mr Speaker filly as a short yearling, through Summerfield at the OBS Winter Sale, for $65,000 to First Finds. Wisely retained as a $95,000 RNA at the Fasig-Tipton July Sale, she then realized $190,000 from Eclipse Thoroughbred Partners when consigned to OBS March last year by SBM Training & Sales.

Rice was delighted when Scribbling Sarah’s daughter, meanwhile named Speech, won a maiden at Los Alamitos in December; and still more so, when she got herself black type as runner-up in the GIII Santa Ysabel S. Then she consecutively took on the two leading fillies of the crop: running Gamine (Into Mischief) to a neck in an Oaklawn allowance (subsequently awarded the prize on the winner’s contentious lidocaine positive); and then getting a Grade II podium behind Swiss Skydiver (Daredevil) in the Santa Anita Oaks. All very welcome accomplishments in a second foal. But then, at Keeneland 10 days ago, Speech sent her dam’s value through the roof: she not only won the GI Central Bank Ashland S., but broke the track record.

Speech, then, is one of those rare Thoroughbreds for whom everyone has been a winner, offering productive value for her purchasers at every stage. (These, meanwhile, include Madaket Stables, who made a private deal to enter partnership with Eclipse.) But the ultimate dividend, for her breeder, is now the chance to cash in a dam who is still only 10 years old. A contract with WinStar Farm was signed a couple of days ago, through the agency of BSW Bloodstock.

“I mean, this is a life changer for me,” Rice says candidly. “I can’t turn down good money. But I’m like, ‘Okay, if I sell her, I’ll just do it again.’ When I started with my first mare, maybe 15 years ago now, my goal was to do what I could within my budget and just keep upgrading, upgrading, upgrading. Well, this was like the flash in the pan, the ultimate upgrading, all in one minute and 41 seconds.

“For a small breeder like me, this is really fantastic. I am just ecstatic, and so grateful to everyone involved in raising, breaking and training Speech: from the wonderful people who bought her from me, to SBM who sold her to Eclipse, and of course the trainer who has her now [Michael McCarthy]. What a great job everyone has done with this filly, every step of the way.”

But it was Rice herself who set Speech on the right path. At the time, she was still married to Jones and–with his mares and boarders also on site–could measure her progress against a bunch of other foals.

“She was always so pretty, and showed us her class even when she was just tiny,” Rice says. “Her mother, out in the field, was kind of leader of the whole group of mares. And then when we weaned the filly, she took on the same attitude. She was always number one in the feeder pen. But the funny part is that when the babies would start to run, she would just pick up her head and kind of lope along at the back of the pack, nice and easy. If she needed to, she’d sprint to the front, but she really never showed that she wanted to be out there. She was beautiful and all, but the way she acted in the field, she didn’t really have that ‘go, go, go’ like a lot of them do. Yet here she is, three years later, and beats them all up.”

She gives much credit to Kathie Maybee in Kentucky, who takes her mares to be bred back and sends the babies home with immaculate manners. But Rice must have quite a knack of her own, judging from her record with only three other mares up to this point. One was a $2,000 mare who produced a graded stakes-placed earner of $350,000; another, a gift from a client of Linda Rice, came up with two black-type performers who earned $450,000 between them.

Scribbling Sarah herself is now back with Maybee, having last week tested in foal to West Coast, but her yearling colt by Unified is with Rice on an 18-acre farm north of Ocala acquired by Taylor and Jose. Rice laughs that she is there “to mow their grass” but you can hear in her voice how much she loves the environment, and raising a colt that is now a half-brother to a Grade I winner.

“He’s a cute little thing,” she says. “Not huge, just average size, but he’s beautiful. The mare throws pretty foals every time. But he’s an April foal and just wasn’t big enough to be put in the November Sale [last year]. And now I know why! God’s looking out for me again: ‘You need to wait to sell this foal.’ Maybe now he’ll get big and tall. But if not, I’ll put him in a 2-year-olds in training sale next spring.”

Sadly, Scribbling Sarah lost a Midnight Lute foal this year; while her 2-year-old Upstart colt was sold relatively cheaply. He was entered at OBS just three days after the Ashland but was scratched. “Niall Brennan said he really liked the colt,” reports Rice. “And he said that before the filly won the Grade I.”

But such are the habitual, uneven fortunes of this business–more than redressed, clearly, by this sudden home run. It’s a story that gives renewed hope to anyone who can stretch to 75 banknotes for a mare.

Certainly Rice, a schoolteacher’s daughter, could never have imagined any such denouement when bumping into Wayne, a few years after he had quit her high school to become a jockey.

“He took me to the barns at Penn National in my platform shoes and dress pants,” Rice recalls. “And I was like, ‘You want me to walk in there?! That’s mud.’ But then he taught me how to clean a stall. And when I touched the horses, and experienced those babies learning to run, that was so exciting for me. To see a 2-year-old after the first breeze of their life, coming back to the barn with their eyes big, just all lit up. That took my heart, and it’s been my passion ever since.”

Needless to say, Rice’s principal pride as a “breeder” on the Turf will always remain her children. Taylor was runner-up for an Eclipse Award, as an apprentice jockey, and “pretty much self-taught, just a natural” according to her mother. With Ortiz as “sire”, moreover, Taylor’s two children have certainly been bred to keep the dynasty going.

“And Kevin has two children as well, carrying on the family name,” Rice says. “Those kids have horses, dogs, cats, chickens, ducks, pot-bellied pigs and a goose! And Adam has done very well for himself, by winning races and selling 2-year-olds; and older horses, too, like Shekky Shebaz (Cape Blanco {Ire}), who was placed at the Breeders’ Cup last year. [Third in the GI Turf Sprint.] Both my boys are blessed to be making a fine living buying, breaking, training and selling.”

But Rice has now secured a professional legacy in the business, too. If Scribbling Sarah now warrants the kind of covering fees that can only be sustained by a bigger program, an umbilical connection of pride will endure.

“She’ll still be mine,” Rice says. “And I’ll call her ‘my mare’ the way I call Speech ‘my filly’. People can say: ‘She’s not yours, you sold her as a yearling.’ But I pulled her out of her mother.

“I wish WinStar the very best with Scribbling Sarah and her future foals. There were so many people calling to buy her, and I sincerely thank God, the buyers, the underbidders and my advisors for looking out for my best interest. This has been a true blessing, an exciting and life-changing experience.”

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