Economic Indicators: Average Wagering Per Race Day Increased In 2020 Despite Pandemic Challenges

Equibase, LLC released its year-end report on Economic Indicators in Thoroughbred Racing on Tuesday, Jan. 5. Due to the COVID-19 outbreak, Equibase has been providing monthly economic indicators advisories, but this one is for the entire year.

Equibase has provided comparisons between 2019 and 2020 as a whole as well as comparisons between certain portions of 2019 and 2020. The average wagering per race day went up by 32.69% in 2020, which could be linked to more people participating in online wagering. As expected, there was on overall decline in U.S. races, race days, and starts due to a number of tracks having to shut down throughout the year due to COVID-19 safety measures.

Alex Waldrop, President and CEO, National Thoroughbred Racing Association released the following statement:

“The horse racing community is extremely resilient as borne out by the fact that despite the widespread and negative impacts of the coronavirus pandemic, pari-mutuel wagering on U.S. races held steady in 2020 at nearly $11 billion. We thank both our customers and all of our essential participants on the backside and beyond for keeping the sport going and supporting the industry during what continues to be an unprecedented and challenging period, not only in the United States but around the world.”

YTD 2020 vs. YTD 2019
Indicator YTD 2020 YTD 2019 % Change
Wagering on U.S. Races* $10,925,226,444 $11,033,824,363 -0.98%
U.S. Purses $869,774,080 $1,167,920,667 -25.53%
U.S. Race Days 3,302 4,425 -25.38%
U.S. Races 27,700 36,207 -23.50%
U.S. Starts 220,006 272,553 -19.28%
Average Field Size 7.94 7.53 +5.51%
Average Wagering Per Race Day $3,308,669 $2,493,520 +32.69%
Average Purses Per Race Day $263,408 $263,937 -0.20%

 

 

1st Half 2020 vs. 1st Half 2019
Indicator 1st Half 2020 1st Half 2019 % Change
Wagering on U.S. Races* $5,055,522,519 $5,672,774,271 -10.88%
U.S. Purses $324,168,648 $544,002,132 -40.41%
U.S. Race Days 1,301 2,104 -38.17%
U.S. Races 10,906 17,457 -37.53%
U.S. Starts 88,074 130,239 -32.38%
Average Field Size 8.08 7.46 +8.25%
Average Wagering Per Race Day $3,885,874 $2,696,185 +44.12%
Average Purses Per Race Day $249,169 $258,556 -3.63%

 

 

2nd Half 2020 vs. 2nd Half 2019
Indicator 2nd Half 2020 2nd Half 2019 % Change
Wagering on U.S. Races* $5,869,703,925 $5,361,050,092 +9.49%
U.S. Purses $545,605,432 $623,918,535 -12.55%
U.S. Race Days 2,001 2,321 -13.79%
U.S. Races 16,794 18,750 -10.43%
U.S. Starts 131,932 142,314 -7.30%
Average Field Size 7.86 7.59 +3.50%
Average Wagering Per Race Day $2,933,385 $2,309,802 +27.00%
Average Purses Per Race Day $272,666 $268,815 +1.43%

 

 

4th QTR 2020 vs. 4th QTR 2019
Indicator 4th QTR 2020 4th QTR 2019 % Change
Wagering on U.S. Races* $2,576,411,336 $2,439,642,344 +5.61%
U.S. Purses $240,537,331 $274,053,649 -12.23%
U.S. Race Days 793 910 -12.86%
U.S. Races 6,805 7,653 -11.08%
U.S. Starts 55,530 61,576 -9.82%
Average Field Size 8.16 8.05 +1.42%
Average Wagering Per Race Day $3,248,942 $2,680,926 +21.19%
Average Purses Per Race Day $303,326 $301,158 +0.72%

 

December 2020 vs. December 2019
Indicator December 2020 December 2019 % Change
Wagering on U.S. Races* $751,865,995 $707,728,171 +6.24%
U.S. Purses $57,535,084 $66,315,581 -13.24%
U.S. Race Days 229 252 -9.13%
U.S. Races 2,008 2,169 -7.42%
U.S. Starts 16,884 17,561 -3.86%
Average Field Size 8.41 8.10 +3.85%
Average Wagering Per Race Day $3,283,258 $2,808,445 +16.91%
Average Purses Per Race Day $251,245 $263,157 -4.53%

 

* Includes worldwide commingled wagering on U.S. races.

Charts Courtesy Equibase

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Handle on U.S. Racing Off Less Than One Percent in 2020

Despite a racing calendar ravaged by the coronavirus, all-sources handle on U.S. racing in 2020 declined by just .98%. According to Equibase, total handle on the year was $10,925,226,444 or $108,597,919 less than what it was in 2019.

Had the Triple Crown races not been rescheduled, it’s possible that handle might have risen on the year. The total handle for the three race days combined dropped by $208 million, or more than what handle was off for the entire year.

“The horse racing community is extremely resilient as borne out by the fact that despite the widespread and negative impacts of the coronavirus pandemic, pari-mutuel wagering on U.S. races held steady in 2020 at nearly $11 billion,” NTRA President and CEO Alex Waldrop said in a statement. “We thank both our customers and all of our essential participants on the backside and beyond for keeping the sport going and supporting the industry during what continues to be an unprecedented and challenging period, not only in the United States but around the world.”

The 2020 numbers were largely in line with the amount bet every year since 2011, when $10.77 billion was wagered. Since they have been relatively stagnant. However, the handle figure for 2020 represents a sharp decline from racing’s peak year in 2003 when a record $15.18 billion was bet.

The numbers were achieved during a year in which there was a 23.5% decline in the number of races that were run and a 25.38% drop in the number of racing programs that were offered. That was offset by a significant increase in the average amount wagered per race, which was $394,412, for a 29.4% increase over 2019. That could mean that there was little to no growth in the industry went it comes to wagering and that players simply bet the same amount of money that they did in 2019, but spread it around among fewer races.

When the major sports all shut down due to the coronavirus, horse racing had a window where it was the only legal form of sports wagering available and, thanks to its television presence, one of the few sporting events available for viewing. Whether or not racing picked up new customers during that period is open for debate.

“It will remain to be seen what the 2020 numbers mean,” said Marshall Gramm, an economics professor who is also an owner and horseplayer. “I don’t know if it’s reason to be positive or negative. I’m somewhat disappointed to see that we weren’t up on the year. But it’s hard to come out definitively to say this was a bad year or this was great year because there were so many factors involved. In many ways, there is some optimism to take  away from this because handle wasn’t down as much as you might have thought with the lost days and lost events.”

Ironically, handle surged in the second half of the year, a time in which the major sports opened back up for business. After handle fell by 10.88% in the first half of the year, it increased by 9.49% in the second half. December proved to be a particularly good month, with $751.7 million wagered, an increase of 6.24%

Perhaps the most alarming number to come out Tuesday when Equibase released the year-end figures was the amount paid out in purses. Purses in 2020 totaled $869.7 million, a 25.53% drop from 2019 and the lowest amount paid out since 1997. The average purse for a race in 2020 was $31,399, a 2.7% decrease from the previous year.

The average field size for the year was 7.94, a 5.51% increase from 2019.

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Thoroughbred Idea Foundation: ‘Racing’s Wagering Business Needs To Evolve’ To Afford HISA

The creation of the Horseracing Integrity and Safety Authority (HISA) is the most significant development in American racing at the federal level since the passage of the Interstate Horseracing Act in 1978.

Questions now being rightly considered include how much HISA will cost and from where will its funding originate. Below, the Thoroughbred Idea Foundation offers some perspective on the costs. But as the greater industry determines from where the funding will come over time, racing should proactively adopt policies which seek to grow the wagering business.

The industry already has a plethora of obligations – aftercare, backstretch programs, integrity matters, jockey health and equine research, not to mention purses, the main driver for investment from owners. HISA adds to these. The best way for horse racing to afford all of its obligations is to grow the business.

Racing's wagering business needs to evolve – appropriate pricing of bets, improving access and reducing costs to accurate data, complementing pari-mutuel betting with fixed odds options, modernizing existing bet processing and infrastructure, all while increasing transparency to the public in many areas. Increasing costs to our already fragile wagering markets, or to a declining base of horse owners, without these needed improvements is a recipe for disaster.

Any step where costs to betting are increased to help pay for HISA programs will hurt the greater racing business.

PROJECTING COSTS

There is every reason to expect that a new level of federal bureaucracy functioning on top of individual state commissions will be expensive.

As it relates to testing, these expenses are fairly clear. For example, if the per-race spending on testing alone from the more than 5,000 races across all breeds overseen by the California Horse Racing Board were extrapolated across the entirety of U.S. Thoroughbred racing, nationwide testing alone would run approximately $20 million annually at current standards.

This is a cost already borne by individual commissions.

Factoring improvements and upgraded requirements it should be understood that the $20 million – just for testing – merely represents a starting point.

Administratively, what it will cost to start a federal authority from scratch is more challenging to envision. The HISA creates a layer of federal bureaucracy where one never previously existed. This isn't necessarily good or bad, it is a reality in development with little insight on costs to this point.

HISA requires the registration of all “covered persons” – an umbrella term which, according to the language of the bill, includes “all trainers, owners, breeders, jockeys, racetracks, veterinarians, persons (legal and natural) licensed by a State racing commission and the agents, assigns, and employees of such persons and other horse support personnel who are engaged in the care, training, or racing of covered horses [basically, all active Thoroughbreds].”

Most are already licensed by existing commissions, but some are not. Will that information be shared or require completely new registrations? The exact administrative requirements are (understandably) unknown to this point, but all of this will come with costs.

The United States Anti-Doping Agency (USADA), which will assist in the development of HISA, serves as a potential reference point to understand the possible administrative expenses.

According to its annual report, USADA conducted more than 14,000 tests in 2019 across various groups which include America's Olympic and Paralympic athletes, services to the UFC or contracted services for other events, such as the Boston and New York City Marathons. Off a base of just 30,000 Thoroughbred races, down from 36,000 run in 2019, it is reasonable to expect the number of annual tests in U.S. Thoroughbred racing would be no less than five times larger than those conducted by USADA, and very likely more.

USADA's testing costs in 2019 ran more than $13.5 million, but non-testing expenses, which includes results management, science, research and development and drug reference, education and awareness, as well as general and administrative expenses totaled an additional $9.3 million.

It would be reasonable to estimate that HISA's costs would be similar, if not more given a substantially increased number of tests, across a far larger base of competitors and events (races) requiring tests.

Whatever the exact costs, it will be more than pre-HISA times.

GROW THE BUSINESS

The best chance racing has of covering HISA costs is if racing finds a way to actually grow the business, turning around two decades of decline.

Grow the business. Grow the business. Grow the business.

State commissions are, for the most part, funded through fees assessed to, or withheld from, the sport's participants. Receiving a portion of the hold from wagering takeout is one source of funding, licensing fees and starter fees are another. Some receive funding through a share of alternative gaming revenue too.

If wagering on racing continues to decline, recalling that it has dropped roughly 50% adjusted for inflation over nearly the last two decades, the ability to pay for HISA and plenty of other programs required of the industry – aftercare initiatives, jockey health, equine research, among others – would grow increasingly difficult. Takeout hikes would be a completely counterproductive measure to pay for HISA as betting churn would decline.

The path to a brighter future, where the industry's liabilities can be covered, is wagering growth.

More wagering on racing yields a more sustainable business for all stakeholders. But yet, many of the decisions made by racing operators over the last two decades have been in opposition to growing wagering on racing. This has to change.

Whether it is the continuation of churn-killing jackpot bets, high takeout rates, an aversion from many to exploring fixed-odds options, or continuing to operate antiquated pari-mutuel bet-processing systems without modernization – these and other actions have greatly limited racing's growth all as the sport's liabilities increase and its social license to operate becomes tougher to retain.

As racing and humanity emerge from a troubling calendar year, make no mistake that 2020 was a year of tremendous growth in legal sports betting. Those states doing the best with sports betting are those which have embraced online betting and competitive markets. While the overall environment for betting has never been stronger, racing's wagering product remains stagnant.

If racing wants to succeed, and cover its growing liabilities which now includes HISA, it must undertake measures to radically improve – and grow – the wagering business.

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Pick 5 Carryover Spurs Brisk Wagering On Saturday Night Meadowlands Program

Handle reached remarkable heights and Let It Ride N stamped himself as the top harness horse currently in training on an eventful Saturday night at The Meadowlands in East Rutherford, N.J.

Wagering on the 15-race program totaled $4,562,477, which topped the “non-event” 2020 best of $4.1 million on June 20, when there were 18 races on the card. The average per race was $304,165, a number not seen since Hambletonian Day, when an average of $358,163 was put in play.

From the get-go Saturday, the action was fast and furious, as $565,076 was bet in the first race, thanks to $314,217 in “new money” wagered into the 20-cent Pick-5, which saw a total pool of $360,948 after the carryover of $46,731 was added in.

Another $468,040 was wagered on the sixth race, due in large part to an Early 50-cent Pick-4 pool of $120,947. The Late 50-cent Pick-4 was predictably popular as well, with $102,248 in action leading to $351,354 in total play. The single-race $350,000 barrier would be broken four times during the night.

RIDE, RIDE, RIDE: The incredible early success of the Nifty Norman-trained Let It Ride N continued in the featured $28,000 Open/Preferred Handicap for pacers, as the 8-year-old gelded son of Rock N Roll Heaven-Love A Gamble stayed perfect in five North American starts since his arrival from Australia in late November.

Driver Dexter Dunn didn't ask Let It Ride N for big speed at the start, settling in seventh along the rail from post nine in the nine-horse field around the first turn. Searching for a second consecutive score, Harambe Deo set a fast pace, hitting the quarter in :26.1.

Before the half, Dunn had Let It Ride N racing on the rim, following the first-over Rock Diamonds N as Harambe Deo paced the half in :53.2. Nearing the five-eighths, Rock Diamonds N started to back up in the 1-2 favorite's face, so Dunn had to move three-wide likely earlier than he would have liked.

It didn't matter.

“He had no choice [but to move him],” said Norman of Dunn's aggressiveness. “But the horse has a huge kick and seems to be able to carry his speed a long way.”

Let It Ride N gobbled up ground while three-wide around the far turn and collared Harambe Deo shortly after they straightened up in the stretch before blowing his foes away in a thoroughly dominant performance, scoring by 2 lengths over the late-rallying Hesa Kingslayer N after pacing his final quarter in :26.1. Vettel N closed for third. Highalator, the 9-2 second choice, finished seventh, with Harambe Deo (7-1) eighth.

“He really amazed me,” said Norman of his prized pupil. “He doesn't seem to have any bottom in him. I'm in shock again tonight. He's got an amazing brush. What impressed me the most, is once he passed Harambe Deo, he kicked off again like he had another gear.”

Let It Ride N, who won at The Meadowlands on Dec. 12 in 1:48.4 and now has three wins at the mile oval, lowered his lifetime best to 1:48.1. He's now won 23-of-59 lifetime starts and earned $360,958 for owners Enzed Racing Stable Inc.

“He's 8 years old,” said Norman. “You don't expect 8-year-olds to do this. All I've done is put him on Lasix, so he must have been bleeding back home. Next, I'll take him to Yonkers to see if he can get around a half-mile track. We might try the [Borgata] series there. I'm going to have to stake him to some races this year. He looks like he can be a Grand Circuit horse. I have to give him that chance.”

A LITTLE MORE: Dunn and Yannick Gingras picked up right where they left off in 2020, as each won three times on the card. … Norman had a training double, as did Stacy Chiodo. … Racing resumes Friday at 6 p.m. … The Big M will race every Friday and Saturday from now through Hambletonian Day, Aug. 7.

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