Plenty of Contenders in Pat Day Mile

One-turn mile graded races always attract intriguing fields, and Saturday’s GII Pat Day Mile S. for sophomores at Churchill is no exception. Favored on the morning line is the Coolmore contingent’s $3.65-million Fasig-Tipton Gulfstream buy Cezanne (Curlin). A debut winner sprinting at Santa Anita June 6, he added a first-level allowance tally going this distance (but around two turns) at Los Alamitos July 2. The Bob Baffert trainee didn’t necessarily win like his 1-9 odds that day suggested he might, however, and then could only manage fourth–albeit while earning a field’s-best 101 Beyer Speed Figure–behind stablemate Thousand Words (Pioneerof the Nile) and leading GI Kentucky Derby contender Honor A. P. (Honor Code) in the Aug. 1 Shared Belief S. With so much speed signed on to his outside, Cezanne will have to come out running and need some racing luck to work out a winning trip from the one hole.

No Parole (Violence) and Echo Town (Speighstown) have traded decisions in seven-furlong Grade I events this summer. No Parole ran away with the Woody Stephens S. Presented by Claiborne Farm on GI Belmont S. day June 20, besting Echo Town by 3 3/4 lengths. But Echo Town got the better of his foe when uncorking a powerful late rally in Saratoga’s H. Allen Jerkens S. Presented by Runhappy Aug. 1. No Parole faded to ninth that day.

Tap It to Win (Tapit), meanwhile, turned heads with a five-length allowance romp over a one-turn 8 1/2 panels at Belmont June 4. He wheeled back in sixteen days for the Belmont S., but couldn’t only manage fifth after setting the pace. He was second after a stalking trip in the Jerkens, and could find this distance a perfect fit.

Vertical Threat (Tapiture) scratched out of last Saturday’s GII Pat O’Brien S. at Del Mar for this, and gets tested for class after a 5 1/4-length score in the restricted Smiling Tiger S. July 25. Rushie (Liam’s Map) was third in both the GI Runhappy Santa Anita Derby and GII Toyota Blue Grass S. at Keeneland going 1 1/8 miles. He broke his maiden at this distance, and his sire Liam’s Map took the 2015 GI Breeders’ Cup Dirt Mile.

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Vertical Threat Takes on Elders in Pat O’Brien

Lightly raced sophomore Vertical Threat (Tapiture) takes on a hard-knocking group Saturday in Del Mar’s GII Pat O’Brien S., a “Win and You’re In” qualifier for the furlong-longer GI Big Ass Fans Dirt Mile. Sixth in a Santa Anita turf sprint first up May 23, the $100,000 OBS April buy romped by six lengths at Los Alamitos June 27 and doubled up in similarly impressive fashion to add the restricted Smiling Tiger S. here July 25. The 92 Beyer Speed Figure he earned last out looks competitive considering fellow 3-year-old Collusion Illusion (Twirling Candy) annexed the Aug. 1 GI Bing Crosby S. with a 93. Third in that heat was Law Abidin Citizen (Twirling Candy).

Favored at 5-2 on the morning line is Flagstaff (Speightstown) for the powerful John Sadler barn. The 6-year-old’s 2020 campaign has included a victory in the GII San Carlos S. over this trip in March and a narrow second to Whitmore (Pleasantly Perfect) in the GIII Count Fleet Sprint H. in April. He’s been off since finishing fourth in the GII Triple Bend S. in June, but has been working swiftly in preparation for this (See XBTV video of Aug.  22 breeze in which he finished clear of stablemate Shortlist {Congrats}, an optional claiming winner at the beginning of the month).

Seven-year-old Giant Expectations (Giant Surprise) hasn’t won since 2017, but his best effort would make him tough to beat. He took this event in the same year as his last victory, and was second by a head in it last term. He was last seen being eased after a slow start in the Dirt Mile Nov. 2.

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