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Cheltenham Top Rated Horses on Tuesday 10th March 2026

Cheltenham Top Rated Horses on Tuesday, 10th March 2026.

13:20

Talk The Talk 24.89
Old Park Star 22.30
Sober Glory 16.61
Leader D’allier 14.72
Mydaddypaddy 12.96
Mighty Park 12.74
Koktail Brut 11.70
Baron Noir 11.07
Too Bossy For Us 10.08
El Cairos 9.05
Eachtotheirown 7.13
Sageborough 5.75

14:00

Lulamba 42.40
Kopek Des Bordes 38.92
Kargese 25.61
Steel Ally 20.81
Jax Junior 18.22
Mambonumberfive 12.35
Hansard 9.42

14:40

Manlaga 26.04
Ammes 21.74
The Mighty Celt 18.14
Mustang Du Breuil 18.02
Saratoga 14.54
Paddockwood 14.52
Pourquois Pas Papa 13.20
Madness D’elle 12.96
Winston Junior 12.21
Barbizon 9.75
Bibe Mus 8.93
Macktoad 8.58
Glen To Glen 8.51
Harwa 8.12
Bertutea 7.42
Mino Des Mottes 7.24
Dignam 7.14
Klycot 6.89
Quinta Do Lago 6.48
Bandjo 6.47
Hardy Stuff 5.11
Ole Ole 4.34

15:20

Jagwar 41.44
Quebecois 20.14
The Doyen Chief 18.85
Myretown 14.40
Handstands 13.63
Leave Of Absence 12.61
Resplendent Grey 12.46
Hyland 12.20
Iroko 12.01
Stolen Silver 10.32
Blow Your Wad 9.72
Konfusion 9.38
Imperial Saint 9.32
Johnnywho 9.32
Patter Merchant 8.55
Knight Of Allen 8.10
Blaze The Way 7.39
Margaret’s Legacy 7.38
Search For Glory 7.20
Filanderer 6.30
Eyed 6.20
The Short Go 5.06

16:00

Lossiemouth 46.44
Brighterdaysahead 32.04
Golden Ace 22.73
The New Lion 21.93
Tutti Quanti 15.48
Anzadam 11.47
Alexei 11.23
Poniros 9.23
Workahead 8.15

16:40

Guard Your Dreams 34.20
Jipcot 22.17
No Questions Asked 19.62
Western Zephyr 17.03
Madara 15.84
Booster Bob 14.81
Riskintheground 12.75
Theatre Native 12.44
Boombawn 11.59
Down Memory Lane 10.93
Dee Capo 10.88
Mclaurey 10.57
Downmexicoway 10.37
Moon D’orange 10.19
Grandeur D’ame 9.09
Jungle Boogie 8.37
O’moore Park 8.27
Embittered 7.28
Yes Indeed 8.10
Midnight It Is 6.40
Zurich 5.33
Will The Wise 5.25
Peaky Boy 1.17

17:20

Holloway Queen 21.66
Wade Out 20.52
Newton Tornado 17.20
Pic Roc 14.84
One Big Bang 13.74
Grand Geste 13.38
Guard The Moon 13.18
King Of Answers 11.97
First Confession 11.13
Kurasso Blue 10.80
Backmersackme 10.38
Walking On Air 9.30
Silver Thorn 8.37
Will Do 8.25
Holokea 7.02
Iceberg Theory 6.86
Union Station 5.66

The Unibet Champion Hurdle Stats

The Unibet Champion Hurdle (4:00 Cheltenham, Tuesday 10th March 2026) field has been finalized following the 24-hour declarations. With State Man and Constitution Hill both absent due to injury/retirement, the 2026 renewal is an open, high-class affair dominated by three elite mares and the progressive British hope, The New Lion.

The going is currently Good to Soft (Good in places) on the Old Course.

Key Trends (Last 12 Years)

1. The “Mare” Era (4/12): 33% of recent winners have been mares receiving the 7lb allowance. In this specific field, the top three in the betting are all mares.
2. Age (12/12): Every winner since 2013 was aged 6, 7, or 8. (The New Lion is 7; Lossiemouth is 7; Brighterdaysahead is 7).
3. Cheltenham Festival Form (10/12): Winners almost always have a previous win or top-three finish at a previous Cheltenham Festival.
4. Last Time Out (11/12): 11 of the last 12 winners finished in the top two on their final start before Cheltenham.
5. Grade 1 Success (12/12): A previous Grade 1 win is a non-negotiable statistical requirement.

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Runner Analysis & Order of Preference

1. LOSSIEMOUTH (W.P. Mullins)

Trend Fit: Perfect. A 7-year-old mare (ideal age) with three previous Festival wins (Triumph and 2x Mares’). She receives the 7lb allowance and is unbeaten at Cheltenham.
Verdict: She is the “statistical lock.” Although beaten by Brighterdaysahead on heavy ground at Leopardstown, the return to Good to Soft and her flawless course record make her the primary trend pick. The application of first-time cheekpieces is a classic Mullins “sharpening” move.

2. THE NEW LION (Dan Skelton)

Trend Fit: Strong. A 7-year-old who won the Turners at this meeting last year. He is 5-for-5 in completed hurdle starts and won the Unibet Hurdle (Trials Day) on this course in January.
Verdict: He is the best of the “boys” and fits the “improving Grade 1 winner” trend perfectly. He is the main threat to the mares, especially with the Skelton yard’s exceptional strike rate this season.

3. BRIGHTERDAYSAHEAD (Gordon Elliott)

Trend Fit: High Class. A 7-year-old mare who beat Lossiemouth in the Irish Champion Hurdle last time out.
Verdict: While she is technically the “form” horse after her Leopardstown win, she has been beaten at the last two Cheltenham Festivals when sent off as favorite. Trends favor those with proven winning course form, which gives Lossiemouth the edge.

4. GOLDEN ACE (Jeremy Scott)

Trend Fit: Solid. The “defending champion” (won the 2025 renewal). She also won the Mares’ Novice at the 2024 Festival.
Verdict: She is a course specialist. While she capitalized on falls from leaders last year, her recent Grade 1 win in the Fighting Fifth proves she belongs at this level. She fits the “previous winner” trend perfectly but may find the top two slightly speedier on this ground.

5. TUTTI QUANTI (Paul Nicholls)

Trend Fit: The “Improver.” A 6-year-old (ideal age) supplemented for this race after a dominant win in the William Hill Hurdle.
Verdict: He is following the “Espoir d’Allen” trend—a young, rapidly improving horse supplemented late. However, he lacks the Grade 1 experience that all 12 of the last winners possessed.

6. ALEXEI (Joe Tizzard)

Trend Fit: 6-year-old, won the Greatwood Hurdle on this course earlier this season.
Verdict: A smart handicapper making the leap to Grade 1. Statistically, horses stepping up from handicaps struggle to beat established Grade 1 mares.

7. PONIROS / ANZADAM (W.P. Mullins)

Verdict: Both are 5/6-year-olds from the Mullins yard but were soundly beaten by the principals at Leopardstown. They fit the trainer trend but fall short on the “Last Time Out” and “Class” metrics.

8. WORKAHEAD (Henry de Bromhead)

Verdict: An 8-year-old outsider. While the trainer is a Champion Hurdle specialist (Honeysuckle), this horse’s recent form (50/1) is well below the required trend rating of 150+.

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Final Trend-Based Ranking

1. Lossiemouth (Course form, 7lb allowance, and perfect age)
2. The New Lion (Best male prospect, unbeaten when completing, course winner)
3. Brighterdaysahead (Elite form, but lacks a Cheltenham win)
4. Golden Ace (Defending champ, but faces a tougher task this year)
5. Tutti Quanti (The interesting improver for place purposes)
6. Alexei (Best of the longshots due to course form)

Singer Arkle Challenge Trophy Novices Chase Stats

Singer Arkle Challenge Trophy Novices’ Chase (Grade 1) Trend Analysis: Final Order of Preference

With Romeo Coolio now confirmed for the Brown Advisory on Wednesday, here is the updated ranking for the 2:00 Arkle based on the latest 24-hour declarations and the drying ground conditions.

1. KOPEK DES BORDES (W.P. Mullins)

Ground Impact: Neutral/Positive. While he has form on soft, his high-cruising speed is ideally suited to Good to Soft.
Trend Match: The 6-year-old fits the “Supreme winner to Arkle” trend perfectly. With the extended run-in, his proven stamina from his hurdle days gives him the edge.
Verdict: He is the most complete trend pick for a race of this stature.

2. LULAMBA (Nicky Henderson)

Ground Impact: Very Positive. Henderson’s stars almost always prefer “Good” in the description. This ground allows him to use his slick, flat-racing-style jumping.
Trend Match: Still faces the “5-year-old” statistic (0 wins in 15 years), but his OR 163 is 5lbs clear of the field.
Verdict: The ground has moved in his favor. If he handles the hill after the long run-in, he could easily break the age trend.

3. KARGESE (W.P. Mullins)

Ground Impact: Positive. She thrived on Good to Soft when winning here last year.
Trend Match: A 6-year-old mare receiving a 7lb allowance. Her close second in the Irish Arkle is now the strongest piece of “trial” form left in the race.
Verdict: The most reliable each-way bet in the race. She is statistically “due” a win given the strength of the Irish Arkle form line.

4. STEEL ALLY (Sam Thomas)

Ground Impact: Negative. His best performances have come on deeper ground (Soft/Heavy). The drying surface might make this too much of a speed test for him.
Trend Match: An 8-year-old, which is slightly older than the ideal 6-7 bracket.
Verdict: A progressive jumper, but the ground and age trends suggest he may struggle to match the gears of the top three.

5. JAX JUNIOR (Lucy Wadham)

Ground Impact: Neutral.
Trend Match: 7-year-old, won a Grade 2 last time.
Verdict: His rating (146) is simply too low. Trends show winners are almost always rated 150+.

6. IRISH PANTHER (W.P. Mullins)

Ground Impact: Unknown.
Trend Match: Late addition to the primary contenders. While he represents Mullins, he lacks the Graded chase win that 11 of the last 12 winners possessed.
Verdict: Likely a pace-setter for his stablemates.

7. HANSARD / MAMBONUMBERFIVE

Verdict: Both are massive trend outsiders. Hansard is poorly handicapped on chase ratings, and Mambonumberfive is a 5-year-old with jumping concerns that the long run-in will likely exploit.

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Final Ranking Summary

1. Kopek Des Bordes (Perfect age/trainer/stamina profile)
2. Lulamba (Class standout; ground suits, but age trend is the worry)
3. Kargese (Strongest form line + weight allowance)
4. Steel Ally (Sturdy but potentially outpaced)

The weather and ground report for tomorrow, Tuesday, March 10, 2026, have significantly clarified the picture for the Arkle. After a dry period and selective watering by Clerk of the Course Jon Pullin, the official going is now Good to Soft (Good in places).

The forecast for Tuesday is mainly dry with sunny intervals and highs of 14°C, though some light drizzle remains a possibility. Crucially, the final flight on the Old Course has been moved closer to the home bend due to wet patches earlier in the winter, creating a longer run-in that will test stamina and jumping fluency under pressure.

Sky Bet Supreme Novices Hurdle Stats

Analysing the Sky Bet Supreme Novices’ Hurdle (1:20 Cheltenham, Tuesday 10th March 2026) using the 12-year statistical trends identifies a very specific profile.

Historically, the winner is a 5 or 6-year-old who won last time out, is Irish-trained (specifically by Willie Mullins), and possesses an official rating (OR) near or above 150. .

The 2026 field features a standout trend-match in Old Park Star, but several Irish raiders fit the “Mullins/Elliott improver” mould that often strikes in this race.

Key Trends (Last 12 Years)

* Age (11/12): 5 and 6-year-olds dominate. (Only Appreciate It won as a 7yo).
* Trainer (9/12): Either Willie Mullins (6 wins) or Nicky Henderson (3 wins).
* Last Run (10/12): Finished 1st or 2nd on their previous start.
* Class (11/12): Had won a Graded race or a highly competitive maiden/novice.
* Rating (9/12): Typically requires a performance rated 148-153+ .

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Runner Analysis & Order of Preference

1. OLD PARK STAR (Nicky Henderson)

* Trend Fit: Strongest profile. A 6-year-old coming off a dominant 18-length win in the Grade 2 Rossington Main. His OR of 151 puts him exactly in the “150+ winner” bracket.
* Verdict: He has “Constitution Hill” vibes—unbeaten since joining Henderson and values-wise the best British hope in years. He hits almost every trend, including the Henderson-specific “top-class novice” metric.

2. MIGHTY PARK (W. P. Mullins)

* Trend Fit: 5-year-old, Irish-trained by the race’s most successful trainer. Won his last race (maiden) by 38 lengths.
* Verdict: While he lacks Graded experience, Mullins often brings a “hidden” superstar here (like Vautour or Douvan). His pedigree (related to Might Bite) and the style of his Fairyhouse win suggest he is the primary Irish trend-pick.

3. EL CAIROS (Gordon Elliott)

* Trend Fit: 6-year-old, won last time out at Thurles. Importantly, he was traveling like the winner in a Leopardstown Grade 1 before falling.
* Verdict: Elliott’s runners often thrive on the “redemption” trend. He has the high-cruising speed required for a Supreme and fits the age and trainer profile perfectly.

4. TALK THE TALK (Joseph O’Brien)

* Trend Fit: Proven Grade 1 winner at Leopardstown. Rated 153 , which is the highest-rated trend-match in the field.
* Verdict: Historically, the Leopardstown winner has the best conversion rate in the Supreme. He is the most seasoned of the Irish runners and fits the “class” trend better than any other.

5. LEADER D’ALLIER (W. P. Mullins)

* Trend Fit: 5-year-old French recruit. Won his last start at Punchestown.
* Verdict: He follows the “French-bred Mullins improver” trend (Klassic Dream style). He might be second-string in the betting but is a massive statistical threat.

6. SOBER GLORY (P. Hobbs & J. White)

* Trend Fit: 6-year-old, prolific winner (6 of 7 starts). Rated 148 .
* Verdict: A rare high-class British front-runner. While the yard doesn’t have the same Supreme strike rate as Mullins, he fits the rating and “won last time out” trends perfectly.

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Final Trend-Based Ranking

1. Old Park Star (Maximum trend match: Top rating, Henderson-trained, 6yo)
2. Mighty Park (Trainer trend plus high potential/Mullins factor)
3. Talk The Talk (Class trend: Proven Grade 1 Irish winner)
4. El Cairos (Speed and trainer profile match)
5. Leader D’allier (French-bred improver trend)
6. Sober Glory (Best of the rest; fits rating and form metrics)

Statistical “Avoid”: Eachtotheirown (7-year-olds have a poor record) and Sageborough (rated too low at 126 to match the class trend).