Breeders’ Cup Launches Free Online Kentucky Derby Contest

The Breeders' Cup, one of Thoroughbred racing's most prestigious international events, launched a new fan contest tied to the 147th Kentucky Derby at Churchill Downs on Saturday, May 1. Now live at BreedersCup.com/Derby, the digital campaign grants fans the chance to win $5,000 if they select the Kentucky Derby winning horse.

“The Kentucky Derby is an American tradition and we are excited to provide fans another reason to tune-in to NBC on Saturday,” said Breeders' Cup Senior Vice President of Marketing Justin McDonald. “This year's Run for the Roses will feature the top three finishers from the 2020 TVG Breeders' Cup Juvenile, and this free-to-play contest is the perfect way to further engage with racing fans while also building anticipation for the upcoming Breeders' Cup Challenge Series and ultimately the World Championships later this fall.”

Open until 6:55 PM ET on May 1, the contest invites fans to select the horse they believe will win the Kentucky Derby and don the blanket of roses. To enter the contest, fans must visit BreedersCup.com/Derby, click on their favorite horse and complete the registration process. Out of the pool of fans who correctly choose the winning horse, one lucky winner will be randomly selected to receive a grand prize of $5,000.

To enter the free contest fans must be a resident of the United States or Canada (excluding Quebec) and eighteen years of age or older. The winner of the contest will be announced on or before May 5.

The 2021 Breeders' Cup World Championships, consisting of 14 Championship races, is scheduled to be held on November 5-6 at Del Mar racetrack in Del Mar, Calif.

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Derby Notes: Rock Your World Makes Favorable Impression, Final Contenders Arrive On Backstretch

Godolphin's undefeated Essential Quality was made the 2-1 morning line favorite in a field of 20 horses entered Tuesday morning for Saturday's 147th running of the $3 million Kentucky Derby presented by Woodford Reserve.

Earlier Tuesday morning, the cast for Derby 147 became fully assembled with the 6 o'clock arrival from Parx of Brooklyn Strong, and a later arrival from Keeneland by Hidden Stash and Like the King, both of whom galloped early Tuesday morning at the Lexington, Ky. track.

BOURBONIC, DYNAMIC ONE, KNOWN AGENDA, SAINTHOOD – The Kentucky Derby quartet that calls the barn of trainer Todd Pletcher their headquarters moved another step closer to the 147th edition of America's Greatest Race Tuesday morning with solid gallops around the Churchill Downs oval.

Three of the colts were prominent for the 7:30-7:45 special Derby/Oaks training period that clears the track of all morning horses with the exception of those pointing to the two big races. Dynamic One was partnered by Carlos Perez Quevedo, Known Agenda had Hector Ramos at the controls and Sainthood was handled by Amelia Green.

At approximately 7:50, the last Pletcher horse – Bourbonic with Ramos up – went through his exercises.

The seven-time Eclipse Award winning trainer Pletcher noted their progress.

“They all galloped a mile and one quarter and they all visited the gate,” he said. It was exactly what the doctor – or an ultra-steady conditioner like Pletcher – ordered.

On Saturday, Bourbonic will team up with rider Kendrick Carmouche; Dynamic One will have the saddle services of Jose Ortiz; Known Agenda gets Irad Ortiz, Jr, and Sainthood will be handled by Corey Lanerie.

BROOKLYN STRONG – Trainer Danny Velazquez reported that Mark Schwartz's Brooklyn Strong, who arrived at Churchill Downs at 6 a.m. Tuesday, shipped in well and looks good. The 37-year-old trainer is expected to arrive in Louisville for his first Kentucky Derby starter on Wednesday afternoon.

Brooklyn Strong, a late addition to the filed, drew post 3 and was installed at odds of 50-1 on the morning line.

“It's deep inside, but it's O.K.,” Velazquez said. “(Owner) Mark (Schwartz) says three is his lucky number and he's won from there before. Hopefully, he gets a good break and can settle into third or fourth early.”

ESSENTIAL QUALITY, MANDALOUN – Godolphin's Essential Quality and Juddmonte Farm's Mandaloun were two of the first horses on the track early Tuesday morning for trainer Brad Cox.

Essential Quality, with Edvin Vargas up, galloped 1 ½ miles while stablemate Mandaloun followed with Fernando Espinoza aboard.

Essential Quality drew post 14 in the Derby while Mandaloun will break from post seven.

HELIUM, SOUP AND SANDWICH – D J Stable's Helium and Live Oak Plantation's homebred Soup and Sandwich both galloped 1 ¼ miles Tuesday morning, according to trainer Mark Casse's assistant David Carroll, and schooled in the paddock prior to today's first race. While Helium has been on the muscle every morning, Carroll was particularly impressed with Soup and Sandwich, who has much more of a laid-back demeanor than his stablemate.

“I thought it was his best day of training so far,” Carroll said. “Helium is always wanting to do more but Soup and Sandwich doesn't want to give too much, that's just who is he is. But we're really happy with him and how he's progressing along, especially after this morning.”

HIDDEN STASH – BBN Racing's Hidden Stash galloped at 5:30 over a fast track at Keeneland before vanning to Churchill Downs where he arrived mid-morning for trainer Vicki Oliver.

HIGHLY MOTIVATED – Klaravich Stables' Highly Motivated galloped 1 3/8 miles Tuesday morning during the 7:30-7:45 allotted training time for Derby and Oaks horses. Trainer Chad Brown indicated the son of Into Mischief will likely school during the races on Wednesday.

“I'm going to get with my assistants and watch the weather and figure that out, but I'm leaning towards Wednesday,” Brown said. “I prefer to school during the races, so we'll sign up for some sort of spot where we can take him up during the races and get that done.”

HOT ROD CHARLIE – As he had the day before in his first morning at Churchill Downs, the Oxbow colt Hot Rod Charlie only jogged a mile around the Churchill Downs strip Tuesday morning under exercise rider Jonny Garcia. The well-built sophomore continued to show a sparkle in his coat and a pop in his step even though he wasn't really allowed to show all his stuff on a sunny morning in Louisville.

“We'll go to gallop with him tomorrow,” said trainer Doug O'Neill, the two-time Derby winner who is back with a very live chance to go for the hat trick in Saturday's Kentucky Derby 147.

“Charlie,” a “bargain” $110,000 yearling buy, now has won $1,005,700 by way of two victories, a second and two thirds, notably in the last year's Grade 1 Breeders' Cup Juvenile (second at 94-1) and most recently as the winner of the Grade 2 Louisiana Derby.

He'll be handled for the first time Saturday by California's leading rider, Flavien Prat, who has been aboard the dark youngster in several of his most recent works at his Santa Anita base

KEEPMEINMIND – Trainer Robertino Diodoro is hoping to put a line through Keepmeinmind's first two starts of the year and that his horse makes amends for those poor starts with a strong run in the Kentucky Derby.

Keepmeinmind, who was sixth in the Rebel Stakes and fifth in the Blue Grass Stakes (G2), made the Derby field by virtue of his third in the Breeders' Cup Juvenile (G1) and win in Kentucky Jockey Club Stakes (G2) last year as a 2-year-old.

“I don't like to make excuses for horses, but I think he has some excuses,” Diodoro said. “I think his last race in the Blue Grass was our fault. We took him out of his element, trying to stay closer to the front, and when they started to run, he had nothing left for the finish. We need to get him back to his old way of relaxing early and making one run.

“On paper it may not look like he belongs, but talent wise, he definitely belongs, I think.”

Keepmeinmind drew post position four and was installed at odds of 50-1.

“I'm very happy with it,” said Diodoro, who before the draw said anywhere between post three and 10 would be perfect.

Keepmeinmind will train at 5:30 a.m. Wednesday.

KING FURY – Fern Circle Stables, Three Chimneys Farm and Magdalena Racing's King Fury spent a little time on the track minutes after a brilliant sunrise Tuesday morning. During the period reserved for Kentucky Derby and Oaks horses, the colt put in a maintenance 1 ½-mile gallop with exercise rider Lalo Jose Quiroz aboard. King Fury had his final work for the Kentucky Derby on Saturday.

“No problems,” said Greg Geier, assistant to trainer Kenny McPeek.

LIKE THE KING – M Racing Group's Like the King galloped early Tuesday morning at Keeneland under exercise rider Jose Hernandez for trainer Wesley Ward.

Winner of the Jeff Ruby Steaks (G3) in his most recent start, King Fury arrived at 9:43 a.m. at Churchill Downs.

MEDINA SPIRIT – Zedan Racing Stables' Medina Spirit continued to make a favorable impression as he galloped 1 1/2 miles with exercise rider Humberto Gomez on board during the special 7:30 a.m. training time.

“He looks great,” said Hall of Fame trainer Bob Baffert, who is looking for his record seventh Kentucky Derby victory. “He's happy. A lot of our horses come off the deep surface at Santa Anita and do really well here. He's doing really well, but to me it's Essential Quality's race.”

MIDNIGHT BOURBON, SUPER STOCK –. Winchell Thoroughbreds' Midnight Bourbon walked the shedrow Tuesday morning, a day after he put in his final Derby breeze. The Tiznow colt went five furlongs in 1:02.40 for trainer Steve Asmussen, who indicated he'll school during the Tuesday card.

Erv Woolsey's and Asmussen's father Keith's Super Stock schooled in the gate Tuesday morning and galloped 1 1/8 miles and will school in the paddock during Tuesday's races.

O BESOS – Bernard Racing, Tagg Team Racing, West Point Thoroughbreds and Terry L. Stephens' O Besos jogged one mile and galloped about one mile Tuesday morning around 6 a.m.

ROCK YOUR WORLD – Hronis Racing and David Talla's Rock Your World was one of the stars of the special 7:30-7:45 Derby/Oaks training session Tuesday morning, cutting a dashing figure as he took exercise rider Javier Meza on a nifty spin around the big Churchill Downs oval.

His conditioner, the California veteran John Sadler, looked on approvingly.

“He galloped a mile and a quarter today,” the trainer noted after having his charge merely jog a mile Monday on his first day trackside in Kentucky for his date in Saturday's Kentucky Derby 147. “We'll have a progression with him as the week goes along. A bit farther each day as we go.”

Back at his Barn 43 location, Sadler was asked by a horse admirer how his charge was doing. “He looks pretty good,” was his low-key reply.

In fact, not only does the son of Candy Ride “look pretty good” on the racetrack, he looks darn good just standing. When he held still outside his barn after his exercise and took his bath, there appeared to be about 50 photographers clicking away.

If the Derby was a beauty contest, they might not have to take a vote. The tall, near-black 3-year-old out of the Empire Maker mare Charm the Maker – bred by Hall of Fame trainer Ron McAnally and his wife Debby – fetched $650,000 as a yearling at Keeneland's September Sale in 2019 and has simply grown better and better along the way. He's got an athlete's body and a smooth way of going over the track, as well as a rapid turn of foot that just might see him on the lead early in the $3 million Run for the Roses.

Joel Rosario, currently the second-leading rider in the country and a long-time favorite of Sadler's was a late addition to the Rock Your World team and all involved believe things are better for that.

THE FIELD FOR THE $3 MILLION KENTUCKY DERBY PRESENTED BY WOODFORD RESERVE (G1)

  1. Known Agenda (Irad Ortiz Jr., 6-1),
  2. Like the King (Drayden Van Dyke, 50-1),
  3. Brooklyn Strong (Umberto Rispoli, 50-1),
  4. Keepmeinmind (David Cohen, 50-1),
  5. Sainthood (Corey Lanerie, 50-1),
  6. O Besos (Marcelino Pedroza, 20-1),
  7. Mandaloun (Florent Geroux, 15-1),
  8. Medina Spirit (John Velazquez, 15-1),
  9. Hot Rod Charlie (Flavien Prat, 8-1),
  10. Midnight Bourbon (Mike Smith, 20-1),
  11. Dynamic One (Jose Ortiz, 20-1),
  12. Helium (Julien Leparoux, 50-1),
  13. Hidden Stash (Rafael Bejarano, 50-1),
  14. Essential Quality (Luis Saez, 2-1),
  15. Rock Your World (Joel Rosario, 5-1),
  16. King Fury (Brian Hernandez Jr., 20-1),
  17. Highly Motivated (Javier Castellano, 10-1),
  18. Super Stock (Ricardo Santana Jr., 30-1),
  19. Soup and Sandwich (Tyler Gaffalione, 30-1),
  20. Bourbonic (Kendrick Carmouche, 30-1).

All starters will carry 126 pounds

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Essential Quality Draws Post 14, Installed As 2-1 Favorite In 147th Kentucky Derby

Morning line favorite Essential Quality (2-1) has drawn post position 14 for the 147th edition of the Kentucky Derby. The undefeated juvenile Champion has won all five of his starts, including gutting out a win after stretch-long battle in his final prep over Highly Motivated in the G2 Blue Grass Stakes. A homebred son of Tapit for Godolphin, Essential Quality will be ridden by Luis Saez and is the first Derby starter for reigning champion trainer Brad Cox.

The Kentucky Derby will go as the day's 12th race with a 6:57 p.m. post time. NBC will provide live coverage from 2:30-7:30 p.m.

In addition to Essential Quality, Cox will have one other runner in the starting gate: Juddmonte's Mandaloun (15-1). Winner of the Risen Star (G2), Mandaloun will be ridden by regular pilot Florent Geroux and break from post seven.

The odds were 7-1 that trainer Todd Pletcher, with four Kentucky Derby contenders, would draw both the rail and the outside post in the 20-horse field. As it happens, his G1 Florida Derby winner Known Agenda (6-1, third choice) drew the inside under Irad Ortiz, Jr. while longshot G2 Wood winner Bourbonic (30-1) is on the outside under Kendrick Carmouche.

“It certainly wasn't the one we were hoping for,” Pletcher said of Known Agenda's inside post.

Pletcher will have two other runners in the gate: Repole Stable, Phipps Stable and St. Elias Stable's Dynamic One (20-1), and WinStar Farm and CHC Inc.'s Sainthood (50-1). Jose Ortiz will be aboard Dynamic One and break from post 11 and Corey Lanerie has the mount on Sainthood and exit post five.

Second choice on linemaker Mike Battaglia's morning line at 5-1 is Hronis Racing and David Talla's undefeated Santa Anita Derby (G1) winner Rock Your World.

Trained by John Sadler, Rock Your World has won all three of his starts with the first two coming on grass. Joel Rosario, who won the 2013 Kentucky Derby on Orb, has the mount Saturday and will break from post 15.

Roadrunner Racing, Boat Racing and Strauss Bros Racing's Hot Rod Charlie is the fourth choice at 8-1.

Trained by two-time Kentucky Derby winner Doug O'Neill, Hot Rod Charlie captured the Louisiana Derby (G2) in his most recent start and closed 2020 with a runner-up finish to Essential Quality in the Breeders' Cup Juvenile. Flavien Prat, winner of the 2019 Kentucky Derby on Country House, has the mount and will break from post nine.

One other trainer will be seeking to add his Kentucky Derby win total and it could be a record-breaker.

Bob Baffert is tied with Ben Jones for most Kentucky victories with six and he will shoot for No. 7 with Zedan Racing Stables' Medina Spirit (15-1).

Runner-up in the Santa Anita Derby in his most recent start, Medina Spirit will be ridden by three-time Kentucky Derby winner John Velazquez and break from post eight.

Another rider trying to add to his Kentucky Derby victory total is Mike Smith. Smith, a two-time winner including the most recent Triple Crown winner Justify, has the call on Winchell Thoroughbreds' Midnight Bourbon (20-1) for trainer Steve Asmussen.

Runner-up in the Louisiana Derby, Midnight Bourbon will break from post 10.

Asmussen will have one other entrant in the race: Arkansas Derby (G1) winner Super Stock (30-1) who is owned by his father Keith Asmussen and Erv Woolsey. Ricardo Santana Jr. has the mount on Super Stock and will break from post 18.

  1. Known Agenda – Todd Pletcher – Irad Ortiz, Jr. (6-1)
  2. Like The King – Wesley Ward – Drayden Van Dyke (50-1)
  3. Brooklyn Strong – Danny Velazquez – Umberto Rispoli (50-1)
  4. Keepmeinmind – Robertino Diodoro – David Cohen (blinkers off**) (50-1)
  5. Sainthood – Todd Pletcher – Corey Lanerie (50-1)
  6. O Besos – Greg Foley – Marcelino Pedroza (20-1)
  7. Mandaloun – Brad Cox – Florent Geroux (15-1)
  8. Medina Spirit – Bob Baffert – John Velazquez (15-1)
  9. Hot Rod Charlie – Doug O'Neill – Flavien Prat (8-1)
  10. Midnight Bourbon – Steve Asmussen – Mike Smith (20-1)
  11. Dynamic One – Todd Pletcher – Jose Ortiz (20-1)
  12. Helium – Mark Casse – Julien Leparoux (50-1)
  13. Hidden Stash – Vicki Oliver – Rafael Bejarano (50-1)
  14. Essential Quality – Brad Cox – Luis Saez (2-1)
  15. Rock Your World – John Sadler – Joel Rosario (5-1)
  16. King Fury – Ken McPeek – Brian Hernandez, Jr. (20-1)
  17. Highly Motivated – Chad Brown – Javier Castellano (10-1)
  18. Super Stock – Steve Asmussen – Ricardo Santana, Jr. (30-1)
  19. Soup and Sandwich – Mark Casse – Tyler Gaffalione (30-1)
  20. Bourbonic – Todd Pletcher – Kendrick Carmouche (30-1)

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‘Always Bet the Gray:’ The History Behind Derby Favorite Essential Quality’s Silver Coat

A gray Thoroughbred is often a head-turner, not only for its sterling coat but for its relative rarity. Comprising only a small percentage of the breed, they are outnumbered by their bay, brown and chestnut stablemates.

This year, though, you might just see a garland of roses placed around a gray colt's neck.

Kentucky Derby favorite Essential Quality has passed every test given to him so far, from winning the championship race for 2-year-old colts to securing victories in both his prep races for the Derby this spring. He stands above all the rest, and though anything might happen in the Run for the Roses, he looks to have the best chance of anyone to win.

But of 146 victors of the Kentucky Derby, only eight have been gray, and it's been some years since a gray was even favored in the race. Could Essential Quality become winner number nine?

Gray horses are so infrequent in fields that the superstition “Always bet the gray” has been whispered for decades, and those following this wisdom on the first Saturday in May may just reap the rewards.

What's in a gray?

Different breeds of horses have different varieties and proportions of coat colors. There are some breeds, like the famous Lipizzaners of Austria, that are dominated by gray horses.

In order to breed a gray horse, however, you need at least one gray parent. A gray horse won't just pop up seemingly out of nowhere, even if a grandparent or great-grandparent was that color.

There's a lot more science to it — a matter of dominant and recessive genes — but suffice it to say that every gray Thoroughbred has an unbroken gray lineage that can be traced back through their pedigree through one or both parents.

The Thoroughbred was created in England in the late 17th Century as a cross between imported stallions from the Middle East and North Africa and local broodmare stock. The endurance of these desert stallions, combined with the speed of the mares, created a horse that could carry its speed over a distance.

There are three “foundation sires” of the breed often cited – the Darley Arabian, the Godolphin Arabian, and the Byerley Turk. But these are merely the three whose direct male lines still live on. There were other stallions, too, that shaped the breed – and some of them were gray.

The Alcock Arabian is chief among these early silver horses. He got his color from his mother, who in turn received the gray gene from her father, Hautboy, and his father, an imported stallion from Turkey. The famous breeder Federico Tesio called him the “fourth foundation sire” due to his immense influence on the Thoroughbred.

Of course, Tesio also compared the inheritance of the gray coat in Thoroughbreds to a “disease.” And thanks to Alcock's Arabian, that disease keeps on spreading.

His son, Crab, is responsible for much of that success. Crab was a nice racehorse who won a pair of prestigious races and then took his prowess to stud. He went on to sire daughters that produced the gray lines which lead us to the present day.

We're not quite there yet, though. Before Essential Quality, there were other gray superstars, and many of them owe their gray coat to perhaps the greatest of them all – The Tetrarch.

The Tetrarch, King for a Gray 

Bred in Ireland and raced there and in England, The Tetrarch was a phenom on the track, winning all seven of his races and claiming the title of champion 2-year-old colt. His racing career was cut short due to leg problems, but luckily for his legacy, there was the breeding shed.

The colt was nicknamed “The Spotted Wonder,” for the black and white dapples that peppered his silver coat. The black spots were inherited from Bend Or, grandsire of his dam. The emergence of white dapples, though, was somewhat of a surprise. Even today, gray horses exhibiting these white dapples are said to have “Tetrarch spots.”

The Tetrarch was the product of a line of gray stallions from France, son of Roi Herode, who in turn was son of Le Samaritain, son of Le Sancy. They are the preeminent gray Thoroughbreds found in pedigrees at the turn of the century. If a silver horse isn't descended from The Tetrarch, they are, in all likelihood, descended from Roi Herode.

Keeping in mind Thoroughbred coat color dynamics, these horses were always products of at least one gray parent. And if you trace The Tetrarch's pedigree back through the generations, you'll wind up at Crab – and more than once, at that.

So the Tetrarch went to stud, and just as he was brilliant as a racehorse, he was brilliant as a sire, too. His sons and daughters won many stakes races, but the most influential in the long run was the “Flying Filly,” Mumtaz Mahal. Like her father, she, too, was a champion 2-year-old — and she, too, was gray.

She's the tail-female ancestor of several of the breed's most influential horses, including Nasrullah and Mahmoud, and it's because of the latter that we can finally turn our attention to the United States and the Kentucky Derby.

Star-Spangled grays – from revolution to Roses

Thoroughbred horses first came to America in the colonial era, and the breed began to take shape after the American Revolution and throughout the 19th Century. One of the first leading sires in the United States was Medley, a son of silver stallion Gimcrack, with the blood of Crab and Hautboy in his veins.

Medley was a successful racehorse in England, and in 1784, he was sent to Virginia to stand at stud. There, he produced many winners — some gray, some not — and left a considerable mark on early American bloodlines.

But that influence waned in the wake of bay and chestnut stallions to come. Diomed soon became preeminent sire in America, followed by horses like Leviathan, Glencoe, and the dominant Lexington, whose bay portrait still graces the cover of the Blood-Horse's Stallion Register. Medley's blood lived on, but his silver coat did not.

In fact, it wasn't until 1946 that a gray horse was again top sire in the United States. That just happened to be Mahmoud, grandson of Mumtaz Mahal and great-grandson of The Tetrarch. Ten years earlier, he had won the Derby at Epsom Downs, and was purchased to stand at stud in America in 1940.

He went on to sire numerous stakes winners, and his daughter Almahmoud is the direct female ancestor of Derby winners Northern Dancer and Sunday Silence. (They're not gray, but they're still quite important.)

Even considering Mahmoud's success at stud, a gray horse had still never won the Kentucky Derby. That would change soon enough, when Determine won the race in 1954. It nearly came a year sooner, when the legendary Native Dancer went to post.

Native Dancer

Native Dancer had raced eleven times prior to the Derby and had never been defeated. In a sea of bays and chestnuts, he stood mostly alone. He was one of those that didn't get his gray gene from The Tetrarch; his female line consisted of silver mares all the way back to his great-great-grandmother La Grisette, a daughter of Roi Herode.

While Mahmoud was making a name for himself as a sire, Native Dancer was leaving it all on the track. He broke from the gate as the favorite in the Kentucky Derby, and nearing the finish line, he was making up considerable ground on 25-1 shot Dark Star. Surely he'd get up in time?

It was not to be. Native Dancer lost the roses by a head. He went on to add the Preakness and Belmont, among other prestigious races, to his list of victories; the Derby was the only race he ever lost.

The next year, Determine won the Kentucky Derby. This gray colt's mother was a daughter of Mahmoud. In 1962, his son Decidedly became a Derby winner, too, and they remain one of the few father-son pairs to both win the race.

Despite the Derby loss, Native Dancer achieved racing immortality through not only his track record but his sons and daughters as well. You'd be hard-pressed not to find him in a modern racehorse's pedigree — gray or not.

Caro, Tapit, and the gray-volution 

Mahmoud's influence lived on in subsequent gray Kentucky Derby winners Spectacular Bid (1979) and Gato Del Sol (1982). The former even came close to winning the Triple Crown, coming up short in the final race, the Belmont Stakes. Lady's Secret, a daughter of Secretariat, was a gray champion who traced her bloodlines back to Native Dancer.

But Mahmoud and Native Dancer were only two stallions. Even with their great influence, along with other descendants of The Tetrarch and Mumtaz Mahal, gray horses were still vastly outnumbered in the United States.

The color received a boost in the form of Caro, an Irish-bred, French-raced stallion who was sent to stand at stud in America in 1979. The move paid off nearly immediately. His first American crop boasted the gray Cozzene, Breeders' Cup Mile winner and breed-shaper in his own right. Other stakes winners soon followed.

His greatest claim to fame, though, came perhaps in 1988, when Winning Colors won the Kentucky Derby. Winning Colors was not only a gray horse, but a female horse – only the third filly to win the Derby in its storied history. A gray filly winning the Run for the Roses was the statistical equivalent of finding a needle in a haystack, and yet, she beat the odds.

Holy Bull won the FSS In Reality as a 2-year-old, shown here with Mike Smith and his trainer Warren A. Croll, Jr.

From there, more and more grays shone on the national racing stage. Holy Bull, who was descended from Mahmoud not once but twice, didn't win the Derby but won pretty much everything else. Silver Charm, another descendant of Mahmoud, nearly claimed the Triple Crown.

Monarchos, with Caro in his pedigree, took the roses in 2001, and Holy Bull's gray son Giacomo won the race at gargantuan odds of 50-1 in 2005.

That was the last time a gray horse won the Derby, but in the years since, the tide has turned even further in favor of the color. A year before, the silver Tapit finished a distant ninth on the first Saturday in May, but he's been nearly unbeatable as a stallion.

Since Mahmoud in 1946, just a few gray horses have been named leading sires in the United States – the aforementioned Cozzene in 1996, and El Prado in 2002. Tapit, meanwhile, was leading sire in 2014 … and 2015 … and 2016, too. Unbridled's Song, another gray, followed him up in 2017.

Like Native Dancer, Tapit's female line is all gray. In fact, you have to go back nine generations of silver mares before you get to Silver Beauty, a granddaughter of The Tetrarch. Back from The Tetrarch, you get to the French gray stallions. And from them, you get back to Crab, and the Alcock Arabian.

And that's where this story comes full circle, because Tapit is the father of 2021 Kentucky Derby favorite Essential Quality.

The historic odds may be stacked against the silver colt, but the betting odds sure won't be. And it's not as if gray horses have been completely absent from contention in the Run for the Roses in recent years. Since Giacomo, they have finished second, third or fourth on several occasions.

The genetic legacy that Essential Quality brings to his Derby favoritism is beyond compelling. When he enters the starting gate, the blood of Mahmoud and Mumtaz Mahal and Roi Herode will course through his veins, and perhaps the ghosts of Native Dancer and Winning Colors will be at his side, too.

But maybe that's getting too philosophical.

Maybe we should keep it simple, follow track superstition, and just bet the gray.

Emily White is a writer and photographer in the Philadelphia area with racing and breeding interests in the Mid-Atlantic region.

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