The Haiku Handicapper Presented By Form2Win: 2021 Belmont Stakes

Time to analyze the 2021 Belmont Stakes field, in post position order, in the form of Haiku; a Japanese poem of 17 syllables, in three lines of five, seven, and five.

To read previous editions of The Haiku Handicapper, click here.

#1 – Bourbonic
Thirteenth in Derby
Accurate barometer
Of his class level

#2 – Essential Quality
Practically ran this
Going wide in the Derby
Still head of his class

#3 – Rombauer
Shocked the Preakness field
Is it a long-term form jump
Or just a bubble?

#4 – Hot Rod Charlie
Belongs in this spot
But “play against” is safe when
O'Neill tries this race

#5 – France Go de Ina
アメリカで
ぶどうを食べた
頑張るよ

Thanks to Japan Triple Crown recruiter Kate Hunter for writing this haiku in Japanese, fitting it within the format's syllable parameters in that language. Here's how it reads in English:

In America
I ate a lot of grapes
I will try my best

#6 – Known Agenda
Substitute rider
Shouldn't harm his otherwise
Sterling credentials

#7 – Rock Your World
Derby woes aside,
Are we sure he has the gas
To last on the lead?

#8 – Overtook
The one thing he has
Over Known Agenda is
A higher sale price

Prediction
“Quality” holds sway
Over game Known Agenda
Three, four fill super

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‘Quality’ Over Quantity in Triple Crown Finale

ELMONT, NY — What a difference a year makes.

Back in its traditional spot on the calendar and 1 1/2-mile distance after the COVID-19 pandemic turned the world-and Triple Crown-completely upside down in 2020, Saturday's GI Belmont S. will feature a showdown between last year's champion 2-year-old colt Essential Quality (Tapit) and GI Preakness S. upsetter Rombauer (Twirling Candy).

The Godolphin homebred was unstoppable in his first five career starts, headed by a win in the 2020 GI Breeders' Cup Juvenile. Sent off as the 5-2 favorite in the GI Kentucky Derby, he covered all the ground that day and reported home a respectable fourth, beaten just a length.

How will he handle the added distance of the Belmont? His leading sire Tapit is shooting for a record fourth success, and if his training is any indication, the longer the better, per trainer Brad Cox.

“I remember the first time we breezed him,” Cox said in a recent feature in TDN. “I looked at my assistant and said, 'Wow, this horse acts like he can win the Belmont.' He just never stopped.”

Cox added of the Belmont 2-1 morning-line favorite, “He ran what I thought was a winning race in the Derby; he didn't have the trip, but he showed up and he's been improving in every start.”

Cox also saddled the Derby second-place finisher Mandaloun (Into Mischief), who could be elevated to first after a split sample confirmed the prohibited corticosteroid betamethasone in the race's winner Medina Spirit (Protonico) earlier this week.

Hot Rod Charlie (Oxbow) sat just behind the leaders in the Derby, and, after making his way through some traffic, outfinished Essential Quality by a head to place third. Hot Rod Charlie's resume also includes a 94-1 second-place finish in the Breeders' Cup Juvenile and a front-running victory in the GII Louisiana Derby Mar. 20.

The half-brother to champion sprinter Mitole (Eskendereya) retains the services of Flavien Prat, who also guided home Rombauer to an 11-1 upset in the second leg of the Triple Crown.

“With the distance, I think it will suit him well,” trainer Doug O'Neill said. “He's won going 1 3/16 in the Louisiana Derby. I think his gate speed and versatility will be an asset as well. I'm super excited having Flavien back on him.”

The versatile Rombauer, also a winner of the El Camino Real Derby over the Golden Gate synthetic Feb. 13, finished behind Essential Quality in each of their two previous meetings, reporting home fifth in the Juvenile and third in the GII Blue Grass S. Excluding recent Triple Crown winners American Pharoah and Justify, Rombauer seeks to become the first sophomore to complete the Preakness/Belmont double since Afleet Alex did so in 2005.

The John and Diane Fradkin homebred will be piloted for the first time by Hall of Famer John Velazquez, his seventh different rider in eight-career starts.

“He's had several different riders and it's not something that's bothered me,” trainer Michael McCarthy said. “It would have been nice to have Flavien back, but I feel we have a wonderful substitute.”

The former assistant to Todd Pletcher added, “I have a lot of good memories here. To win any Triple Crown race is fantastic, the Belmont is really the 'Test of the Champion' and it would certainly be nice to hoist a trophy like that on Saturday.”

Pletcher will have three chances to capture his fourth win in the Belmont, led by GI Curlin Florida Derby winner and Kentucky Derby ninth Known Agenda (Curlin). Irad Ortiz, Jr., booked to ride the St Elias Stable homebred, went down in a spill on Friday's card and will be sidelined for two weeks. A replacement rider for Known Agenda has yet to be named.

Pletcher will also saddle longshots Bourbonic (Bernardini) and Overtook (Curlin). The former followed a narrow upset in the GII Wood Memorial S. with a 13th-place finish in the Derby. Overtook, a $1-million KEESEP yearling, enters off a third-place finish in the local prep GIII Peter Pan S.

Never a factor after getting wiped out at the start in the Derby, GI Runhappy Santa Anita Derby winner Rock Your World (Candy Ride {Arg}) looks to atone for his 17th-place finish as the 9-2 second choice. The Hronis Racing and Michael Talla colorbearer appears to be the controlling speed, with a better break this time, of course.

“We always thought the longer the better for him,” trainer John Sadler said. “He's come back and done real well since the Derby. We think he can run a long way. He's got Candy Ride on top and with him being out of an Empire Maker mare, he's got the stamina to go the distance.”

Japan's France Go de Ina (Will Take Charge), sixth after a slow start in the G2 UAE Derby Mar. 27 and seventh in the Preakness, rounds out the field of eight. A $1-million bonus–offered to the connections of any Japan-based horse who wins the Belmont– will be on the line.

A year after being conducted spectator-free, around one turn at 1 1/8 miles and as the first race of the Triple Crown on the third Saturday in June, sunny skies and temperatures in the mid 80s will greet a capped crowd of approximately 11,000 for Saturday's loaded 13-race program.

The card features eight Grade I contests, including the prestigious GI Hill 'n' Dale Metropolitan H. Post time for the Belmont is 6:49 p.m. ET. NBC will have live coverage beginning at 5 p.m.

The post ‘Quality’ Over Quantity in Triple Crown Finale appeared first on TDN | Thoroughbred Daily News | Horse Racing News, Results and Video | Thoroughbred Breeding and Auctions.

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New, Old School Combine In Ownership Of Hot Rod Charlie

A varied ownership group spanning multiple generations will be on hand at Belmont Park to cheer on Hot Rod Charlie in Saturday's Grade 1, $1.5 million Belmont Stakes presented by NYRA Bets.

Trained by Doug O'Neill, the son of 2013 Preakness winner Oxbow is owned by Bill Strauss, Greg Helm and Roadrunner Racing, as well as Boat Racing, which is headed by the conditioner's nephew, Patrick O'Neill, and made up of five friends who met when playing football for Brown University – Dan Giovacchini, Reiley Higgins, Alex Quoyeser and Eric Armagost.

Strauss and Helm bring years of knowledge and wisdom to the table, while the youngsters from Boat Racing provide youth, energy and charisma. The difference in generation is noticeable, but they all share a passion for horse racing.

Strauss, the founder of ProFlowers.com, enjoyed top-level success as co-owner of graded stakes winners Turbulent Descent, The Pamplemousse and two-time Breeders' Cup-winner Mizdirection.

“Our backgrounds are so diverse and so different. We all come from different life experiences, but when it comes to plotting out how to campaign 'Charlie', we come to an agreement,” said Strauss, 62. “It's been great. These are friends I have for life. It's nice when you hit your 60s and you're still making new friends.”

Helm, a semi-retired ad executive, races under the Roadrunner Racing moniker with friends from San Joaquin Country Club in California. Prior to Roadrunner Racing, Helm and his wife Glenna were a part of racing syndicates on the west coast.

“It feels great. I have terrific respect for the Boat Racing guys. They're terrific people, true gentlemen and great fun to be with,” said Helm. “It's been a joy to be partnered with them and Bill, as well.”

While Strauss and Helm are seasoned veterans, the 28-year-old Patrick O'Neill and his four college friends bring fresh faces to the game.

“It's been a very fun experience. I have to give a lot of credit to Bill and Greg Helm,” O'Neill said. “They're kids at heart and they're bringing that same energy that we're bringing. It's a complementary relationship and it's been such a fun ride.”

Hot Rod Charlie, a $110,000 purchase 2019 Fasig-Tipton Kentucky Fall Yearling Sale, added blinkers when graduating at fourth asking in October traveling one-mile on the main track at Santa Anita. He had previously tried his luck in a pair of turf maiden special weights at Del Mar.

“We had tried different things with him, but things didn't click until his fourth start, where we went two turns on the dirt with blinkers on. That's when he sprang up and ran a different race,” Strauss said. “He was training sensationally coming out of that race. The light bulb went on.”

Hot Rod Charlie arrived at the Breeders' Cup Juvenile as the longest shot in a field of 14, going to post at 94-1 odds.

“He was competitive based on that first race he won. His numbers matched up pretty well with the rest of the field,” Strauss recalled. “He was training well and he fit numbers-wise, so we decided to take a shot. When a horse is two, they change so much from race to race, and he was changing so much in front of us day to day and week to week, but looking at the odds I was thinking 'Gosh, I hope we don't get embarrassed. I don't think I had ever had a horse in a race at 94-1.'”

Strauss and company felt the opposite of embarrassed once the race was over when Hot Rod Charlie ran a strong second to Belmont Stakes-rival Essential Quality in the Juvenile.

Hot Rod Charlie carried his effort into a close third in the Grade 3 Robert B. Lewis in January at Santa Anita ahead of a two-length triumph in the Grade 2 Louisiana Derby in March at Fair Grounds Race Course, where jockey Joel Rosario sent him straight to the front and never looked back.

“After the Breeders' Cup, we gave him some time off. Young horses need time off after the big race he had run that day,” Strauss said. “Doug knows how to get it done. The goal wasn't the Bob Lewis in February, it was the Kentucky Derby in May. When we came to New Orleans, he was fitter and tighter. It was Joel's idea to send him to the front, and as you can see it worked out perfectly.”

Hot Rod Charlie did not disgrace his connections in the “Run for the Roses,” finishing a length shy of victory in third.

“We had some high expectations going into Kentucky. If you asked me six months ago if I would take third in the Kentucky Derby, I'd be thrilled,” Strauss said. “Turning for home it looked like we could win. No disappointment. Everything about the day, week and race itself surpassed my expectations. We had lots of close friends and family with us. We're going to do it all again this week and hopefully get it done on Saturday afternoon.”

Heading into Saturday's engagement, Patrick O'Neill and his college friends are soaking up every minute of action as they dive deeper into their love and appreciation of the sport.

“Patrick was always watching TVG. We'd watch it in the film room sometimes when we were supposed to be watching football stuff,” said Giovacchini. “We slowly started to ask questions and started to want to know more about it. A few years later, we were all at Del Mar and we decided why not take a shot together?”

Higgins said he's enjoying the moment.

“We bring the enthusiasm, they bring the brains. It's been an amazing experience for us all,” Higgins said. “Personally, I've been trying to soak up every second of this as have as much fun as I possibly can. I know these guys have been doing the exact same thing. We realize how lucky and blessed we are to be in this position. That's been my takeaway from this whole thing.”

Quoyeser said the team appreciates each and every part of the race-day experience.

“After spending one day with Team O'Neill at the track and getting in the winner's circle, it's hard not to have a good time,” he said. “A day at the track isn't just about the horses, it's about the people you're spending time with all day. You're just having a good time drinking, eating and gambling.

“We're enjoying every second of it,” Quoyeser added. “We're going to be doing every activity we can all week while we're here in New York. For the Kentucky Derby, we brought 160 of our closest friends and family to the track and this week we'll have dozens. We're very blessed to have the opportunity to be here, but also to share this with people we care about.”

Should Hot Rod Charlie's Belmont Stakes endeavor be successful, it won't just mean more good times for his enthusiastic owners.

“It would validate Charlie as being a great horse,” Strauss said. “He's in the top tier of the 3-year-old division. He's always right there against the best. Winning this race – an American Classic race, will memorialize him and put him on the charts and give him the recognition he deserves. It would solidify everything we think he is. Hopefully it set us up for this year and beyond.”

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Flashback: Brooklyn Native Walter Blum Spoils Canonero II’s Triple Crown Bid

Much has changed in a half century at Belmont Park, from the amount of real-time information available digitally to increased purse money to the way most fans place wagers.

But the draw of a potential Triple Crown holds the same appeal as it did in 1971, when a then-record crowd of 81,036 came out to Elmont to witness Venezuelan champion Canonero II's quest to add the third jewel of the 3-year-old season to his collection in the Belmont Stakes.

But New York City native and jockey Walter Blum thwarted Canonero II's chance at becoming just the ninth Triple Crown winner in history at the time, guiding 34-1 longshot Pass Catcher to a three-quarters of a length win in the Belmont. Reflecting on the 50-year anniversary from his home in Florida, Blum said he is proud for earning his lone victory in an American Classic in a Hall of Fame career. Despite five decades flashing by, Blum said he still remembers feeling better about Pass Catcher's chances than the betting public did leading up to post time.

“When I walked out on the track, I felt confident,” Blum said.

A large portion of the crowd arrived at Belmont to cheer on the Edgar Caibett-owned Canonero II, who was bidding to be the first Triple Crown winner since Citation in 1948.

Canonero II, trained by Juan Arias and ridden by Gustavo Avila, rallied from 18th place to post a 3 3/4-length win over Jim French to win the Kentucky Derby, paying $19.40. In the Preakness, Canonero II was more forwardly placed and won again, defeating Eastern Fleet with Jim French in third to set up a potential history-making moment in the 1 1/2-mile “Test of the Champion.”

Pass Catcher readied for that test by being placed on trainer Eddie Yowell's self-professed “five-day plan,” where he ran second to Bold Reasoning in the Jersey Derby on May 31 at Garden State Park before wheeling right back to the Belmont on June 5. After winning two of his five races to start his 3-year-old campaign entering the Belmont, Blum said the effort in the 1 1/8-mile Jersey Derby gave him plenty of confidence when competing on a bigger stage.

“He ran a week before at Garden State Park and after the race, he came back so strong. I could see at the finish line he was just starting to run; another three jumps he was going to win,” Blum said. “I told everybody I knew that I was riding this horse in the Belmont who is a longshot, but I think he's going to win. I really liked his chances and sure enough, he won at 34-1 and won convincingly. It was a great time in my life.”

The popular Canonero II drew a large crowd from the area, who came out to view a colt who would go on to the Eclipse Award for Outstanding 3-Year-Old Male Horse. Instead, Pass Catcher stalked Canonero II's early speed before overtaking the leader when the field reached the top of the stretch.

Jim French, ridden by Hall of Famer Angel Cordero, Jr., closed late for second but Pass Catcher held on for the win, completing the course in 2:30 2/5 and returning $71. Canonero II finished fourth.

Blum said he was pleased with his effort but took no extra joy in playing spoiler to the heavy favorite.

“I was proud of myself in that I thought he would win and he ran as well as he did, but I wasn't proud of the fact that Canonero got beat for a Triple Crown,” Blum said. “That didn't mean much. I felt good about winning but I felt bad about him losing. They were all there to see Canonero and if I didn't win, I would have liked to have seen him win, too.”

Tackling the two wide turns on Belmont's Big Sandy, along with the marathon distance, are the signatures of the Belmont Stakes, though the race's unique circumstances set up well for Pass Catcher that day.

“It' not like any other race,” Blum said. “In this country, mile-and-a-half races are few and far between. But I was looking forward to a mile and a half with that horse because I knew he would rate easily and when I wanted to pull the trigger, he would fire, and that's exactly what happened.”

Cordero, Jr., who won three editions of the Kentucky Derby, tallied two Preakness wins and won the 1976 Belmont aboard Bold Forbes, said he wasn't confident initially that Pass Catcher would relish the distance.

“I didn't think he (Pass Catcher) wanted to go that far,” Cordero, Jr. said. “On paper, that was a little too fast for him – 2- and 3-year-olds can do things better than when they're older – and sometimes they don't want to go that far but they do. You get horses that outrun their pedigree.”

Cordero, Jr. said Canonero II's training regimen and previous accomplishments garnered the most attention leading into the Belmont, but added that Pass Catcher deserved the victory despite sending a vast majority of the crowd home disappointed.

“Pass Catcher was a real good horse. But that year, Canonero was probably the best horse … he trained at high altitude,” Cordero, Jr. said. “I didn't win it, but I always enjoyed being in those big races and knowing I had a chance. Every time you run in a race like that, and there's a real good horse that beats you, it's not like you're jealous. Every time you run a race like that and actually beat the big horses, it's like beating Muhammad Ali.”

Blum stopped riding in 1975, embarking on a 24-year career as a racing official and steward in New Jersey and Florida. He amassed 4,382 career victories in 28,673 starts, with only Hall of Famers Bill Shoemaker, Johnny Longden, Eddie Arcaro and Steve Brooks ahead of him on the all-time list for jockeys at the time of his retirement.

Blum said he did not view his lack of a victory in an American Classic to that point as a box waiting to be checked off, having established a reputation as one of the best riders in the sport by winning prestigious races such as the Whitney, Santa Anita Derby, Coaching Club American Oaks, and twice capturing the Metropolitan Handicap and the Frizette.

“It certainly didn't hurt getting to the Hall of Fame, but I think my career in general and my comradery with the people involved in the industry helped me get in,” said Blum, who led all North American jockeys in wins in 1963 and 1964 and was inducted in 1987. “Most of my career was behind me, and I had done almost everything I wanted to do, so it didn't do much as far as furthering my career, but I was just glad to win that race at that time.

“Everyone wants to win the Kentucky Derby, but I'll take the Belmont any time,” Blum said with a laugh.

Blum, now 86, grew up in Flatbush, Brooklyn, and attended Samuel J. Tilden High School. On July 29, 1953, at the age of 18, he won his first race at the now defunct Jamaica Race Course just 10 miles away from home, guiding a 36-1 longshot filly named Tusciana to a victory for Hall of Fame trainer Hirsch Jacobs.

Blum, who now lives less than a mile from Gulfstream Park, said he still follows racing and praised the competitive jockey colony in New York, where brothers Jose and Irad Ortiz, Jr. continue to reside at the top of the standings in a circuit that also counts Hall of Famers John Velazquez and Javier Castellano as regulars.

Blum's empathy for jockeys is something not every trainer shared during his career, though his success with Yowell partnered him with a conditioner who started his career as a rider. Yowell had trained a previous Belmont winner prior to Pass Catcher, with Hail To All winning the 1965 edition as well as that year's Jersey Derby and the Travers at Saratoga Race Course.

“Some of the trainers, I don't know if they could picture what a jockey's life was like with dieting all the time, keeping the weight down,” Blum said. “Living this kind of life is very difficult, in addition to the problems that can arise from the challenges of running a race. But when we're in the paddock, we're both thinking about the same thing as far as winning the race.”

While his win aboard Pass Catcher is near the top of his career ledger, Blum raced against some of the most notable names in the sport's history, including beating Hall of Famer Kelso while aboard fellow Hall of Famer Gun Bow in a photo finish victory in the 1964 Woodward. The next year, Blum piloted Priceless Gem to a win over Hall of Famer Buckpasser in the Futurity.

Blum even was part of history-making events that didn't result in winner's circle trips but still factored into the sport's lore. In 1973, he rode Royal and Regal in the Kentucky Derby that spring-boarded Secretariat's famed Triple Crown run.

“I was on a horse who had just won the Florida Derby, so I thought he had a shot,” Blum said. “I wasn't really that much aware of Secretariat at the time until he flew by me at the top of the stretch. He ran by me like a shot and I said, 'who the hell is that?'”

Blum, who twice rode six winners on a single card, stayed in racing upon the end of his riding career, first serving as an association steward at Atlantic City Race Course before becoming a state steward in Florida.

“I loved being a jockey but you can't do that forever,” Blum said. “I enjoyed being an official almost as much as riding. The people riding under me, I knew their problems and I knew them [as people]. They respected me for what I knew and how I acted. That's why I became a steward; I always respected the stewards I rode under and I always knew that it was something I wanted to do when I stopped riding. That helped me retire and it was one of the best things I ever did. I left with a good reputation as a jockey and a steward, and I'm very proud of both.”

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