Tranche | Horse Racing Free Tips

Path Through Best Pal Runs Through Baffert’s Barn

It should be no shock that the path to glory in the GIII Best Pal S. will pass through the barn of Bob Baffert at Del Mar Sunday afternoon. He'll bring back a pair of 'TDN Rising Stars' in $2m OBS March sales topper Muth (Good Magic) and $950,000 Fasig-Tipton New York Saratoga Select Sale grad Prince of Monaco (Speightstown). Both colts impressed in their lone prior starts–Muth earned a 90 Beyer Speed Figure in his gate-to-wire 8 3/4-length blowout at Santa Anita June 18 while Prince of Monaco rolled home by eight in almost an identical time for five furlongs at Los Alamitos July 9.

The only other entry in this five-horse field given any sort of respect on the morning line is Tranche (Collected) for trainer Luis Mendez. While it took him three tries to break his maiden, he graduated in stakes company when taking the Fasig-Tipton Futurity S. by 7 1/4 lengths in gate-to-wire fashion at Santa Anita June 17.

Doug O'Neill's Raging Torrent (Maximus Mischief) is the only runner in the bunch to have a win over the Del Mar surface. He took his maiden race by 2 1/4 lengths on debut July 23 for owners Great Friends Stables and Mark Davis.

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Longshot Tranche Upsets Fasig-Tipton Futurity

Chilly on the board at 20-1, Tranche missed the memo, and never looked back from the lead to upset the Fasig-Tipton Futurity in his third start.

Seventh on debut in April at Keeneland and then third beneath the Twin Spires May 4, he broke like a shot and quickly cleared his competition to claim his spot on the inside. Showing the way as :22.15 and :45.36 splits sailed by, he cut the corner coming into the homeward trail and continued to extend his lead under right-hand urging. It would be 7 1/4 lengths back to Mirahmadi who got up in time to grab second from Refocus.

“To be honest, I wasn't really (confident going into this race), in this business when you think you're going to win, it can sometimes go the other way,” said Luis Mendez, who won the 2021 Fasig Tipton Futurity with Big City Lights…”[Owner] Bill Peeples, I mean everybody on the team loved him, but I was not convinced. That beautiful field of horses was against him, so I was a little worried.”

The second of Theory of Change's offspring to get his picture taken, Tranche is her first black-type winner. He has a yearling half-brother by Street Sense and the mare came up barren from her 2023 cover to Maxfield. This is the female family of GSP America America (Mister Baileys {GB}), who is responsible for MGSP Bluegrass Princess (Dynaformer) and MSW Partisan Politics (More Than Ready) through her branch of the family. GISP My Gal Betty (Point of Entry) also makes an appearance as well as GSW So Long George (Arch). Click for the Equibase.com chart or VIDEO, sponsored by TVG.

FASIG-TIPTON FUTURITY, $100,000, Santa Anita, 6-17, 2yo, 5f, :57.68, ft.
1–TRANCHE, 119, c, 2, by Collected
1st Dam: Theory of Change, by Archarcharch
2nd Dam: Gal of Mine, by Mining
3rd Dam: Dansait Dame, by Dance Bid
($210,000 Ylg '22 KEESEP). 1ST BLACK TYPE WIN. O-William R. Peeples; B-Hidden Brook Farm (KY); T-Luis Mendez; J-Edwin A. Maldonado. $60,000. Lifetime Record: 3-1-0-1, $81,000.
2–Mirahmadi, 119, c, 2, Into Mischief–More Chocolate, by Malibu Moon. ($1,050,000 Ylg '22 KEESEP). 1ST BLACK TYPE. O-SF Racing LLC, Starlight Racing, Madaket Stables LLC, Dianne Bashor, Robert E. Masterson, Waves Edge Capital LLC, Catherine Donovan, and Tom Ryan; B-Gainesway Thoroughbreds Ltd. (KY); T-Bob Baffert. $20,000.
3–Refocus, 123, c, 2, Pavel–Redo It, by Square Eddie. 1ST BLACK TYPE. O/B-Reddam Racing, LLC (CA); T-Doug F. O'Neill. $12,000.
Margins: 7 1/4, 1 1/4, 1HF. Odds: 20.00, 0.60, 1.80.
Also Ran: Going Mobile, Next Level. Scratched: Harry Houdini.

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Youalmosthadme Beats The Boys To Stay Perfect In Kentucky Juvenile

Privately purchased after an impressive 8 1/2-length win when unveiled at Keeneland April 19, Youalmosthadme made it two-for-two with a win as the heavy 1-5 favorite in the Kentucky Juvenile S. at Churchill Downs Thursday. The only filly facing a field of maiden colts, the bay was sent right to the front to set a sharp opening quarter in :22.52. Only briefly challenged into the far turn by Tranche, she easily turned back that rival with a surge past the quarter pole and came home on cruise control, hitting the wire 8 3/4 lengths ahead of Lou's Legacy who got up in second. Good Gator has a yearling filly by Get Stormy and was bred back to Midshipman for 2023. Click for the Equibase.com chart or VIDEO, sponsored by TVG.

KENTUCKY JUVENILE S., $197,500, Churchill Downs, 5-4, 2yo, 5f, :57.49, ft.
1–YOUALMOSTHADME, 117, f, 2, by Oxbow
                1st Dam: Good Gator (SP), by Good and Tough
                2nd Dam: May Gator, by Green Alligator
                3rd Dam: Thesixthofmay, by Classic Account
($12,000 Ylg '22 KEESEP). 1ST BLACK TYPE WIN. O-Qatar
Racing, Swinbank Stables, Steve Adkisson and Black Type
Thoroughbreds; B-Pope McLean, Marc McLean & Pope
McLean Jr. (KY); T-Brad H. Cox; J-Tyler Gaffalione. $123,500.
Lifetime Record: 2-2-0-0, $170,000.
2–Lou's Legacy, 118, c, 2, Tapiture–Biogio's Gift, by Any Given
Saturday. 1ST BLACK TYPE. O-Hugo Andrade; B-Lou Dunn
Diekemper Trust (KY); T-Hugo Andrade. $40,000.
3–Tranche, 118, c, 2, Collected–Theory of Change, by
Archarcharch. ($210,000 Ylg '22 KEESEP). 1ST BLACK TYPE.
O-William Peoples; B-Hidden Brook Farm (KY); T-Luis Mendez.
$20,000.
Margins: 8 3/4, 1, 24. Odds: 0.27, 9.91, 9.17.
Also Ran: Lil Anthony, Who's Snow Trouble. Scratched: Hibernacle.

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