The Haiku Handicapper Presented By Form2Win: 2020 Breeders’ Cup Juvenile

Time to analyze the 2020 Breeders' Cup Juvenile field, in post position order, in the form of Haiku; a Japanese poem of 17 syllables, in three lines of five, seven, and five.

To read previous editions of The Haiku Handicapper, click here.

#1 – Camp Hope
Impressive debut
Launches him in the deep end
This is a big ask

#2 – King Fury
Matured last time out
He's bred for a day like this
Must keep progressing

#3 – Reinvestment Risk
He's the class leader
If we pretend to ignore
Jackie's Warrior

#4 – Likeable
Late-bloom potential
Given his form, pedigree
Eye him for a price

#5 – Essential Quality
Classy pedigree
Classy Grade 1 progression
All the tools are there

#6 – Keepmeinmind
Shock second last out
And he nabs Jose Ortiz
A “hit the board” threat

#7 – Jackie's Warrior
The mountain to scale
Does he meet the hype head-on
Or begin descent?

#8 – Classier
Others have done more
But you can't ignore his barn
Off a hot debut

#9 – Sittin On Go
His dad loved Keeneland
Short-stretch finish line won't help
His deep-closing ways

#10 – Dreamer's Disease
The lesser entry
Of the Diodoro pair
Put bluntly, he'd shock

#11 – Next
Dual surface winner
Gaudy last-out score misleads
Not sure it's his spot

#12 – Hot Rod Charlie
Found new life on dirt
Great fit for an “other than”
Not the Breeders' Cup

#13 – Rombauer
Switch to dirt paid off
Another that might be felled
By Keeneland's short stretch

#14 – Calibrate
He'll have to run wide
And show something he didn't
In his limp class jump

Prediction
Good day for Darley
“Quality” tops Likeable
Eight, three fill it out

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Breeders’ Cup Presents The News Minute: Sittin On An Upset In The Juvenile

Jackie's Warrior, at 7-5, is the shortest-priced horse on the morning line of the five Future Stars Friday races that kick off the Nov. 6-7 Breeders' Cup world championship races from Keeneland in Lexington, Ky.

But is this unbeaten, Grade 1-winning son of Maclean's Music worth a play in the $2-million Breeders' Cup Juvenile? Paulick Report publisher Ray Paulick offers an alternative selection, the Dale Romans-trained Brody's Cause colt Sittin On Go, coming off a late-running victory in the G3 Iroquois Stakes at Churchill Downs and listed at 12-1 on the morning line.

Watch the Breeders' Cup News Minute to find out why.

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‘Ready To Take Our Shot’: Romans’ Breeders’ Cup Brigade Led By Juveniles Girl Daddy, Sittin On GO

Trainer Dale Romans had a monumental Kentucky Derby week with Albaugh Family Stable's duo of stakes winners Girl Daddy and Sittin On Go. The twosome will join three other Romans trainees in next weekend's Breeders' Cup World Championships at Keeneland.

“It was a really great week to win both the Pocahontas (Grade 3) and Iroquois (G3),” Romans said. “We're coming into the Breeders' Cup with some good chances and ready to take our shot. I think that across the board each of the Breeders' Cup races are shaping up to be competitive. It's fun getting to compete on this stage and seeing who is the best of the best.”

Sittin On Go, a 2-year-old undefeated son of former Romans-trained Brody's Cause, is one of the top contenders for the $2 million Breeders' Cup Juvenile (G1). Also scheduled to join him in the starting gate is Albaugh's maiden winner Smiley Sobotka.

Girl Daddy, who won the $200,000 Pocahontas by two lengths, is likely to face seven rivals in the $2 million Breeders' Cup Juvenile Fillies (G1).

“Obviously, long term, you always have next year's Kentucky Derby and Oaks in the back of your mind,” Romans said. “These horses have shown they have potential to get to that level in the future.”

Romans also pre-entered CJ Thoroughbreds, Left Turn Racing and Casner Racing's $500,000 Derby City Distaff (GI) third-place finisher Sally's Curlin to the $1 million Breeders' Cup Filly & Mare Sprint (GI) and Jim Bakke and Gerald Isbister's $200,000 Fayette (GII) hero Mr Freeze to the $1 million Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile (GI).

All five horses are expected to have their final works prior to the Breeders' Cup Friday or Saturday. They will ship to Keeneland on Monday, according to Romans.

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Busy Friday At Churchill Downs Sees 11 Breeders’ Cup Contenders Log Penultimate Workouts

On a busy Friday morning beneath the Twin Spires at Churchill Downs, several Breeders' Cup contenders logged their penultimate published workouts prior to the season-ending championships on Nov. 6-7 at Keeneland.

Breeders' Cup contenders that worked Friday morning at Churchill Downs included the following horses:

Horse Trainer Distance, Time Breeders' Cup Race
Abarta Brad Cox Four Furlongs, :48.40 Juvenile Turf
Aunt Pearl Brad Cox Five Furlongs, 1:00.80 Juvenile Fillies Turf
Bell's the One Neil Pessin Five Furlongs, 1:00.40 Filly & Mare Sprint
Emro Brad Cox Five Furlongs, 1:00.80 Juvenile Fillies Turf
Essential Quality Brad Cox Six Furlongs, 1:13 Juvenile
Girl Daddy Dale Romans Five Furlongs, 1:00.80 Juvenile Fillies
Got Stormy Mark Casse Four Furlongs, :47.20 Turf Sprint
Mr Money Bret Calhoun Five Furlongs, :58.80 Dirt Mile
Silver Dust Bret Calhoun Five Furlongs, :1:00.20 Dirt Mile
Sittin On Go Dale Romans Five Furlongs, 1:00.40 Juvenile
War of Will Mark Casse Five Furlongs, :59.80 Dirt Mile

The action began early Friday at 5:25 a.m. (all times Eastern) as 2019 Preakness Stakes (GI) winner War of Will worked with jockey Declan Carroll in the saddle. The duo clipped through fractions of :11.60, :23.40, :34.80 and :46.80. They continued galloping out strongly around the clubhouse turn and completed six furlongs in 1:12.20, seven furlongs in 1:24.80 and were up one-mile in 1:38.40, according to Churchill Downs clocker John Nichols.

“I was just the passenger along for the ride,” said Carroll, whose father, David, is Casse's assistant trainer. “I've always loved how this horse trains over the dirt. He's very versatile and can run on dirt or turf but he's always trained great over the dirt.”

War of Will previously finished third in the $1 million Woodbine Mile (GI) over the turf. This will be War of Will's first dirt try since last year's Breeders' Cup Classic (GI) where he finished a disappointing ninth.

In the next set, the Carroll family continued their eventful morning as the matriarch of the family, Kim, worked recent $150,000 Franklin County (GIII) winner Got Stormy through splits of :11.80, :23.20 and :34.80. Got Stormy is possible to take on males in the Breeders' Cup Turf Sprint (GI). She finished second in last year's Breeders' Cup Mile (GI).

It was a typical busy morning for Cox barn as he breezed his first of four Breeders' Cup contenders at 5:30 a.m. – Godolphin's $400,000 Breeders' Futurity (GI) winner Essential Quality. The colt, with Florent Geroux up, started his work one length behind multiple graded stakes winner Mr. Misunderstood through splits of :13.20, :36.80, :48.80 and 1:00.60. Essential Quality finished even with Mr. Misunderstood at the wire and the duo galloped out together in 1:26.40.

“He seems like he's really matured over the summer into where he is now,” Geroux said. “He's one of those horses where he keeps getting better as he gets more experience.”

Geroux had the next couple of sets off from working horses for Cox but returned to the track at 7:30 a.m. to breeze Michael Dubb, Madaket Stables, Peter Deutsch, Michael Kisber and The Elkstone Group's undefeated $150,000 Jessimine (GII) winner Aunt Pearl. The two-time winner worked outside of Kueber Racing's $398,000 Untapable Stakes winner Emro, who had jockey Shaun Bridgmohan in the saddle. The duo worked in tandem and galloped out six furlongs in 1:13.80.

Emro, who is named after owner Rick Kueber's daughter Emerson, broke her maiden in front-running fashion at Ellis Park prior to closing form more than seven lengths off the pace in the 6 ½-furlong Untapable.

“She's pretty versatile she can run out front or can come from off the pace,” Kueber said. “There's a lot of speed in the race. She's certainly has the pedigree to run long.”

Cox will be a special guest Friday on “Inside Churchill Downs” to talk about his nine Breeders' Cup entrants and other stable stars. The one-hour program will air at 6 p.m. on ESPN 680/105.7 in Louisville or online at www.espnlouisville.com.

Also donning the Friday work tab was Calhoun's duo of Allied Racing Stable and Spendthrift Farm's multiple Grade III winner and recent $100,000 Ack Ack (GIII) hero Mr. Money and Tom Durant's gutsy three-time graded stakes champion Silver Dust.

Mr. Money was the first of Calhoun's workers Friday and recorded the fastest five-furlong move of the day out of 44 horses. With Gabriel Saez in the irons, the fleet-footed Mr. Money cruised through early fractions of :11.60, :23.40, :34.80 and :46.80. He continued to gallop out swiftly around the turn through six furlongs in 1:11.60, seven-eighths in 1:25.40 and finished one-mile in 1:40.20.

“It was kind of an almost must-win situation in the Ack Ack to get him back on track,” Calhoun said. “Mentally I think it was good for him and I can tell a difference with his training. He seems happier after the race. He hasn't had a lot go right for him this year in his races so coming into the race off a win is crucial.”

Silver Dust, a six-time winner for Calhoun, breezed with jockey Adam Beschizza in the irons through fractions of :11.60, :23.40,  and :35.60.

“He's sort of been a challenging horse his entire career,” Calhoun said of the 6-year-old son of Tapit. “He's continued to get better mentally and he's been more consistent with age. I know it's in him to come out of his shell.”

Following the 7:30 a.m. track renovation break, recent $500,000 Derby City Distaff (GI) winner Bell's the One continued her march to the Filly & Mare Sprint with jockey Corey Lanerie. Per usual, Bell's the One began her work three lengths behind stablemate Grove Daddy and worked in :25.40 and :37.20. Bell's the One finished two lengths in front of Grove Daddy at the wire and galloped out around the clubhouse turn in 1:13.20.

“She likes to have a target in front of her, so we typically work her this way,” Pessin said. “Her race against Serengeti Empress (in the Derby City Distaff) was so thrilling. She dug in really hard that day to get up just in time.”

The final two Breeders' Cup works of the morning came at 9 a.m. from Albaugh Family Stable's duo of Sittin On Go and Girl Daddy. Sittin On Go, the 24-1 upset winner of the $200,000 Iroquois (GIII), worked with exercise rider Faustino Herrarte aboard through swift early eighth-mile fractions of :11.40, :22.40, :34.80 and :47.

Moments later, $200,000 Pocahontas (GIII) winner Girl Daddy breezed with jockey Joe Talamo up through splits of :11.80, :23.80 and :48.40. She galloped out six furlongs in 1:13.60.

Saturday's work tab at Churchill Downs is expected to include at least 13 Breeders' Cup contenders. Below are the scheduled workers:

Horse Trainer Race
Arklow Brad Cox Turf
Beau Recall Brad Cox Mile
By My Standards Bret Calhoun Classic
Crazy Beautiful Kenny McPeek Juvenile Fillies
Factor This Brad Cox Mile
Global Campaign Stan Hough Classic
Knicks Go Brad Cox Dirt Mile
Monomoy Girl Brad Cox Distaff
Mr Freeze Dale Romans Dirt Mile/Classic
Sally's Curlin Dale Romans Filly & Mare Sprint
Simply Ravishing Kenny McPeek Juvenile Fillies
Swiss Skydiver Kenny McPeek Distaff/Classic
Tom's d'Etat Al Stall Jr. Classic

 

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