Penalize Trainers for Equine Fatalities? The Ins and Outs

An indication of just how prickly an upcoming California Horse Racing Board (CHRB) Medication, Safety, and Welfare Committee meeting discussion will likely be–one on potentially penalizing trainers for equine injuries and fatalities–can be evinced through a tweet the agency's spokesperson, Mike Marten, issued on Sept. 26.

The digital missive goes: “Considerable interest in this Oct. 19 CHRB committee agenda item: 'Discussion regarding the advisability of penalizing trainers for injuries and fatalities for horses in their care.' Emphasis on the word 'discussion.' Very early in a complicated process.”

A “complicated process” indeed, for the multifactorial nature of any injury–catastrophic or otherwise–comes with connecting threads entangling more than just the trainer.

So why is the CHRB proposing such an idea–what would constitute the first such rule in the country? And what tangible changes could possibly come from opening what some constitute a pandora's box?

To unpick some of the knots woven into the topic, the TDN spoke last week with CHRB executive director, Scott Chaney, who stressed the infancy of the discussion.

“We've gotten rid of the low hanging fruit from a regulatory standpoint,” said Chaney, pointing to a 50% decline in equine fatalities over the last two fiscal years in California.

Nevertheless, there's still wiggle room for further improvement, he added. “This might not be the answer,” he said, of the idea to penalize trainers in this manner. “But other ancillary things could come of it.”

The CHRB already has on its book rules governing personal behavior and animal welfare. Rule 1902 is a broad one largely covering any conduct “which by its nature is detrimental to the best interests of horse racing.”

Rule 1902.5 more directly targets issues of animal welfare:

No person under the jurisdiction of the Board shall alone, or in concert with another person, permit or cause an animal under his control or care to suffer any form of cruelty, mistreatment, neglect or abuse. Nor shall such person abandon; injure; maim; kill; administer a noxious or harmful substance to; or deprive an animal of necessary care, sustenance, shelter or veterinary care.

According to the CHRB's steward's ruling database, there have been 44 separate violations of rule 1902.5 over the past 15 years. Just this August, the Del Mar board of stewards suspended trainer Dean Greenman for 30 days on animal welfare, neglect charges.

And so, why the need for further regulations?

“I don't think it directly applies to all kinds of situations when we talk of injuries or fatalities,” said Chaney, of rule 1902.5.

“It's well known that large bone injuries, catastrophic injuries, generally occur after layoffs,” he added. “Given that information and knowledge, should a trainer be held to a higher standard when a large bone injury like that occurs in that timeframe? I'm not sure animal welfare would really apply to that.”

In a hypothetical scenario that further reforms do come of these talks, therefore, what are the practical and ethical landmines that would need to be side-stepped? The first belongs to the notion of ultimate responsibility in relation to often subtle, hard to detect, musculoskeletal injuries.

“Nobody knows the horse better than the trainer,” said Chaney, echoing in the process a core argument of the absolute insurer rule.
Given the multifactorial nature of any injury, however, this leads invariably to other industry participants whose roles, like fault lines, intersect the tectonic plates of shared blame.

The technologies surrounding track maintenance, for example, have improved over the years–markedly so. But it's still far from an exact science. And so, if legitimate question marks surround racetrack surface safety and consistency, how liable should the track superintendent be?

The same question extends to attending veterinarians, those with arguably the greatest scientific insight into a horse's physical wellbeing.

More pointedly, given the fleet of safety programs enacted in California the past two years–from increased veterinary examinations to tightened vet's list restrictions–should questions of culpability be extended to the official veterinarians responsible for signing off on a horse's raceday participation?

“I don't think you want to be in the business of saying regulatory vets should be held responsible–I push back pretty hard on that one,” said Chaney.

“This would imply that if there was a morning soundness check and a horse dies in the afternoon, then it's the regulatory vet's responsibility,” he further explained. “A, I don't think it's an intelligent approach. And B, I just don't think you'd find any regulatory vets. There's no way you could entirely warranty a horse like that.”

This line of inquiry sure has a touch of the rabbit hole about it, for some subtle injuries can be as good as imperceptible to the trainer on the sidelines, yet detectable to the rider on the horse's back.

What onus should the rider bear who misses the problem–or more importantly, the one who fails to tell the trainer of an underlying issue?

This is no insignificant obstacle considering the industry faces a shrinking pool of experienced and qualified riding talent.

Here, Chaney emphasized the open-ended nature of these discussions–that, as the CHRB reaches the “end of its regulatory push” to reduce fatalities, a public discussion of this type might serve the singular purpose of putting “licensees on notice.”

“It's not the regulator's sole responsibility to make fatalities disappear in California–it's a shared responsibility,” he said.

From culpability, the path leads to matters of definition. In other words, what should be the set of parameters used to distinguish a guilty trainer from an innocent one? Is there a statistical tipping point that can steer a burden of proof?

This couldn't be a hotter topic right now, given recent instances of track operators unilaterally excluding licensed individuals from their premises on equine welfare grounds.

In banning in 2019 Jerry Hollendorfer from its facilities by claiming he failed to put horse and rider safety above all else, for example, The Stronach Group (TSG) effectively argued that the trainer posed a disproportionate danger to the horses in his care.

In its defense, Hollendorfer's legal team have argued that a broad look at the trainer's career, and given all relevant data points, he poses a statistically lower risk to his horses than many other California trainers.

It's instructive to note how some industry experts have sought a solution to the problem of quantifying trainer risk–like Jennifer Durenberger, with her Regulatory Veterinary Intervention (RVI) rate, a mathematical model that was trialed a few years ago.

But Chaney takes a different tack. He says that California's relatively low fatality rate means that in a hypothetical scenario of trainer penalties, statistical significance might be superfluous when it comes to trainers responsible for multiple fatalities.

“One fatality might happen to a trainer, and it would be unfair to hold hem responsible. But in this day and age, if you're having two or three, regardless of starts or number of horses in your barn, you've taken a wrong turn somewhere,” he said. “California racing will not exist if every trainer has two or three fatalities in their care each year. It's over.”

(As an interesting aside, such an eventuality raises the possibility a numerically powerful trainer deciding the risk to maintain a large stable was too great, and consequently shed a few horses to align it with other stables in the state–a potential salve to the relative dominance of the state's super trainers.)

In some of the feedback thus far to this latest CHRB proposal, there's a tangible fear that broaching issues of culpability could unpick a scab still healing in California, laying bare once again how dangers inherent to horse racing can be unpalatable to the general public.

“Is it a little uncomfortable? Absolutely,” Chaney admitted. “But we're already having those discussions in California, right? I guess it's fair to say the rest of the country isn't as far along the spectrum as we are–we're the point of the spear.”

If we are indeed at the tip of the metaphorical spear, then might this be an opportunity to identify and try to fix some of the other less obvious root causes of equine injury, like the quality of the training facilities? In this regard, few would argue that California couldn't step up considerably.

Dilapidated barns desperately need renovation, and equipment routinely employed elsewhere around the world–like swimming pools and treadmills and hyperbaric chambers–would be a welcome addition for trainers currently starved of options.

If California really sees itself an industry leader, are state of the art training facilities not part of that gold standard?

I've also written recently of the broken trainer business model in the U.S.–one that places the trainer from the very beginning on a financial back foot.

Few things can tempt a struggling trainer into corner-cutting faster than a bank balance in the red, and fast-mounting bills to the feed merchant and farrier and an assortment of other creditors.

If trainers in California are held to a higher standard in terms of horse safety, maybe it's time to properly take to task repeatedly delinquent owners? Given recent high-profile cases involving the Zayats and the Ramseys, this is hardly an isolated problem.

“I agree with that,” said Chaney. “And just to be clear, from a regulatory approach, we're not finished. I think it's fair to say we're over the initial major regulatory push, but there's still more work to be done. I could rattle off five more regulations that could go into effect.”

What are those five?

“I think I'd like to hear from the trainers first,” said Chaney, before adding that the list could include better standardization of racetracks (and making those measurements public), expanded video surveillance on all backstretches, and a look at basic training philosophies–maybe even the idea of opening up training to the opposite direction around the track (clockwise instead of counterclockwise).

The idea behind the committee meeting next week, said Chaney, “is for stakeholders to add to that list as well.”

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Taking Stock: Liam’s Map Flying Unbridled’s Song Flag

We've been waiting a long time for a high-class son of Unbridled's Song to make a statement at stud and stick around to carry his name forward in pedigrees, and that horse appears to be Lane's End's Liam's Map, who got his fourth Grade l winner over the weekend. Unbridled's Song was a terrific stallion and his daughters have made him one of the best broodmare sires around, but he's had difficulties finding sons at stud as good as his daughters. He's had some that showed glimmers of talent, and a few that have been useful, but none that have shown the elite promise that Liam's Map is demonstrating with only three crops racing.

The Brad Cox-trained Juju's Map won the Gl Darley Alcibiades S. at Keeneland on Friday, joining Liam's Map's other top-level winners Basin, Wicked Whisper and Colonel Liam. The 2-year-old filly, who was bred by Fred W. Hertrich lll in Kentucky, is one of 13 black-type winners for her sire. She'd sold for $300,000 at Keeneland September to Albaugh Family Stables, which also bred her sire.

Albaugh Family Stables is the racing operation of Iowans Dennis Albaugh and his son-in-law Jason Loutsch. They've been on quite a run since entering the business in the mid-2000s, mostly with colts, but lately they've been buying yearling fillies, with an eye to eventually breeding them to their stallion Not This Time (Giant's Causeway), who's also making quite a name for himself at Taylor Made with only two crops at the races.

It all started with the purchase of another filly, Miss Macy Sue (Trippi), as a 2-year-old at OBS June in 2005. She's the dam of Liam's Map and Not This Time, but before she became a producer, she was an accomplished runner, winning 11 races from 25 starts, including a Grade lll race, and earning $880,915.

“We started out with a small stable, and Miss Macy Sue was the first mare we owned. Once you get lucky with your first horse, you get the bug,” Loutsch said by phone on Sunday. “Miss Macy Sue took us to the Breeders' Cup and to all these wonderful places. It kind of gets in your blood, and you're just like, we want to do this, you know?”

Loutsch acknowledged, however, that “it's a tough business,” and he and his father-in-law run the operation with the bottom line in mind. That's why they sold Liam's Map for $800,000 at Keeneland September in 2012 to Vinnie and Teresa Viola's St. Elias Stable. Trained by Todd Pletcher–who has trained more top stallions than anyone in recent memory–Liam's Map raced in the name of Teresa Viola Racing Stables (except for his last start, after West Point Thoroughbreds had bought into him), winning six of eight starts, including the Gl Woodward S. at Saratoga and the Gl Las Vegas Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile at Keeneland to close out his career.

“We loved the horse, and we wished nothing but the best for Vinnie,” Loutsch said. “It was purely just a business decision at the time. It was a lot of money, and we figured if we sold him for a good number, we could go out and buy three or four other ones and break even. But it probably made us keep Not This Time. When we go to the sales now, we're still primarily buying colts. Dennis has a great time with them, and we've been to the Derby five times and we've got the dream that someday we're going to [win it].”

Nerud Influence

After Miss Macy Sue retired from racing, Loutsch contacted our firm to do the matings for her. (Albaugh Family Stables is a client of Werk Thoroughbred Consultants.) The mare's pedigree is unique and well constructed, with the strong influence of two heavyweights behind it: Leon Rasmussen, the former Bloodlines columnist for Daily Racing Form; and John Nerud, the master horseman and breeder who ran Tartan Farms in Ocala for William McKnight and family. The outstanding owner/breeder Frances Genter also kept her stock at Tartan.

In the mid-1980s, Nerud had contacted Rasmussen about helping him to reinvigorate the Tartan program. Rasmussen suggested that Nerud use some European-bred or -raced sires, which were plentiful in Kentucky at the time, and, most significantly, he suggested inbreeding some mares to Tartan's iconic females. Rasmussen was an advocate of inbreeding to superior females, and this is now widely referred to as the Rasmussen Factor, or RF. Nerud bought into the idea.

Tartan-bred Grade l winner Quiet American, for example, was a foal of 1986 by Nerud's Fappiano from Demure, by Tartan icon Dr. Fager. Underneath this conventional reading of the pedigree, Quiet American was inbred 4×3 to Tartan's influential mare Cequillo–the third dam of Fappiano and second dam of Demure. This was Rasmussen's favorite type of inbreeding, where the duplicated mare is in the direct female line of both the sire and the dam.

Moreover, Quiet American was also closely inbred 3×2 to Dr. Fager–the sire of the dams of both Fappiano and Demure.

Tartan-bred and Frances Genter-raced Unbridled, a foal of 1987 by Fappiano, was inbred 4×4 to Aspidistra–the dam of Dr. Fager and his outstanding half-sister Ta Wee–and 4×5 to Rough'n Tumble, the sire of Dr. Fager. In this case, Aspidistra was the fourth dam of Unbridled, but the duplication to the mare was through Dr. Fager, Fappiano's broodmare sire.

Unbridled's dam, by the way, was by the imported French Derby winner Le Fabuleux, who stood at Claiborne and was a Rasmussen favorite for the stamina he imparted to his offspring.

How does all of this relate to Miss Macy Sue, who was bred by Bryan J. Howlett in Florida? Howlett worked under Nerud at Tartan, and Miss Macy Sue's pedigree is a homage to Nerud and Tartan, because her Great Above dam Yada Yada, who was also bred by Howlett (and H&R Stable), is intensely inbred 2×3 to Ta Wee–perhaps the greatest female sprinter, as well as being Dr. Fager's half-sister. In this case, Ta Wee was Yada Yada's third dam and Great Above's dam.

Rasmussen also advocated the breeding of highly inbred mares, like Yada Yada, to outcrossed stallions to create “hybrid vigor,” and that's what Howlett did when he sent Yada Yada to Trippi to get Miss Macy Sue. Trippi, a son of the Forty Niner stallion End Sweep, has no duplications of ancestors through at least five generations.

There were many reasons why we liked Unbridled's Song for Miss Macy Sue, but one of them was the Rasmussen and Nerud architecture that was in place to recombine a Tartan-bred stallion in Unbridled, who brought in two strains of Aspidistra–the dam of Ta Wee and Dr. Fager–in the background, with the two crosses of Ta Wee in the background of Miss Macy Sue. But close up, Unbridled's Song, like Trippi, had no inbreeding in his pedigree within five generations, making Liam's Map himself relatively outcrossed within five generations (he is 4×5 Mr. Prospector and 5×5 In Reality).

On the surface, Liam's Map is bred similarly to Unbridled's Song's best racing son, the late Arrogate, as each is from a Forty Niner-line mare. Arrogate, who recently had this third winner, will be represented by only three crops, and perhaps he'll come up with a top-class son over the next few seasons. He was long considered the potential savior of this branch of the Unbridled line, but Liam's Map is the one proving to be a revelation. It's notable, also, that three of Liam's Map's four Grade l winners are from A.P. Indy-line mares–two from Bernardini mares and the latest from a Flatter mare. With so much A.P. Indy blood, particularly through Tapit, in the population, this could further benefit the stallion moving forward.

In 2019, Liam's Map was fourth on the first-crop list by progeny earnings behind American Pharoah, Constitution, and Palace Malice, but in the fine print you'll note that he led all freshman sires that year with two Grade l winners–Basin and Wicked Whisper. That's a sign of a stallion with potential.

Since, Nyquist had two juvenile Grade l winners in 2020, and Gun Runner has two already this year. Both are considered high-class stallions in the making.

Add Liam's Map to the list now.

Sid Fernando is president and CEO of Werk Thoroughbred Consultants, Inc., originator of the Werk Nick Rating and eNicks.

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The Week in Review: Letruska Belongs in the Classic

Minutes after another easy win by Letruska (Super Saver), this time in the GI Juddmonte Spinster S. Sunday at Keeneland, trainer Fausto Gutierrez told reporters that the GI Breeders' Cup Distaff, and not the GI Breeders' Cup Classic, would be next for his 5-year-old mare. That was hardly a surprise. Gutierrez and German Larrea, the Mexican billionaire businessman who owns the horse, are looking to play it safe. Letruska is simply better than every other filly and mare in the sport and shouldn't have any problem winning the Distaff. The Distaff is an easier assignment than the Classic. Perhaps much easier.

That's racing in 2021. Don't take a chance. Don't test your horse. Always go for the softest spot.

The problem is that she has nothing to gain by winning the Distaff. That is, outside of the purse money, which can't possibly matter to Larrea. She's already clinched the older filly and mare championship and there's nothing that can happen in the race to embellish her reputation. She's 6-for-7 on the year while racing exclusively against fillies with four Grade I wins and has traveled all over the country. For her, the Distaff is pretty much just another race.

She deserves a chance to prove her greatness and that can only happen with a start in the Classic. Win the Distaff and she's just another very good filly. Win the Classic and she can be mentioned in the same breath as a Rachel Alexandra or a Zenyatta.

It may also be her only real chance of becoming Horse of the Year. Should any of the top three or four horses in the Classic go on to win, they will be named Horse of the Year. For Letruska to win the title, she would need to win the Distaff and have an outsider win the Classic.

This year's Classic is loaded. Knicks Go (Paynter), Essential Quality (Tapit), Hot Rod Charlie (Oxbow), Medina Spirit (Protonico), Art Collector (Bernardini), Max Player (Honor Code) and Maxfield (Street Sense) headline one of the deepest fields ever assembled for the race. There's also the matter of Letruska's running style. She is a front-runner, which means she'd either have to alter her style in the Classic or go to the lead and risk getting into a suicidal early duel with Knicks Go.

No one is saying this would be easy. As talented as Letruska is she simply may not be good enough to beat the very best males. But the potential rewards outweigh the risks and this terrific mare deserves every opportunity to truly show what she is made of. Is Letruska a great horse? Is she among the best fillies of her era? Give her the chance to answer that question.

Win and You're Not In

The “Win and You're In” program leading up to the Breeders' Cup has been a success. Not only are the races important preps for the Breeders' Cup, but several top trainers have said they gravitate toward these races because a win in one of these races cuts way down on the expenses normally involved with getting a horse into a Breeders' Cup race. Win one of the “Breeders' Cup Challenge” races and pre-entry and entry fees are paid and any horse based outside of the home state for that year's Breeders' Cup will have its travel expenses paid.

Most of the races that are part of the program make perfect sense. Obviously, races like the GI Runhappy Travers S., the GI TVG Pacific Classic, the GI Champagne S., etc. belong. But there are some notable races missing from the series.

Saturday's GII Vosburgh S. at Belmont, which attracted just four starters, is a Win and You're In race. But on the same day, the GI Joe Hirsch Turf Classic S. is not. The Sept. 18 Jockey Club Derby Invitational, for 3-year-olds on the grass, qualifies but the Jockey Club Oaks Invitational, run the same day for 3-year-old turf fillies, does not. The other notable omission is the Grade I races at Parx. The GI Pennsylvania Derby has become a very important race, but is not a Win and You're In. Neither is the GI Cotillion S. for 3-year-old fillies. Both deserve to be included.

Lugo Deserved More Than 30 Days

It was announced last week that jockey Carlos Lugo was suspended 30 days by the Gulfstream stewards for failing to persevere when riding Princess Tereska in the fourth race on Oct. 3.

The race was won by Princess Tereska's stablemate Rubysa (Gone Astray), who was hammered down from 15-1 in the morning line to 5-2. Though a $12,500 maiden claiming race, the six-furlong event handled more than any other race on the card. Both horses are trained by Juan Reveriego.

That the Gulfstream stewards took action against Lugo is commendable. A lot of tracks would have just looked the other way. But, under the circumstances, 30 days doesn't seem like enough. And what about Reveriego? If there was a betting coup and he was in on any part of it, he would certainly seem to deserve some sort of stiff penalty.

Runco, Bocachica on a Roll at Charles Town

Though the West Virginia Breeders' Classic card at Charles Town was overshadowed by the many preps run the same day for the Breeders' Cup, it featured one of the standout training and riding feats on the year.

Trainer Jeff Runco won seven races on the nine-race card, all of them stakes. The list includes a win by Muad'dib (Fiber Sonde) in the $300,000 West Virginia Breeders' Classic S. The 4-year-old is 8-for-8 lifetime.

And Runco's regular rider, Arnaldo Bocachica won eight races, a Charles Town record. Bocachica finished fourth in the third race aboard Aaron's Tap (Northern Afleet) for his only loss on the night. It was also a big night for owner David Raim, who had five winners.

Runco is largely unknown outside of West Virginia, but his numbers are noteworthy. He has 4,494 career wins from 20,992 starters, 12th best among all trainers.

Medina Spirit and the Eclipse Awards

If a horse were to win the GI Kentucky Derby, the Shared Belief S, the GI Awesome Again S. and the Breeders' Cup Classic would that be enough to be named Horse of the Year or, perhaps, 3-year-old champion? Normally, the answer would be yes. Four horses have won the Kentucky Derby and the Classic in the same year and three (Authentic, American Pharoah and Sunday Silence) were named Horse of the Year and 3-year-old champion. The fourth, Unbridled, was named 3-year-old champion, but lost out on Horse of the Year to Criminal Type.

So what should voters do with Medina Spirit in the case that he wins the Classic? The way things are dragging along with his betamethasone positive from the Derby, it's entirely possible that the matter will be unresolved by the time voters must make their choices for the Eclipse Awards. That would mean that, technically, Medina Spirit would still be the winner of this year's Derby.

Would that mean he should be given credit for winning the Derby, at least until the matter is resolved? Most voters will likely assume that he will eventually be disqualified from the Derby and vote for someone else. But a case could be made that Medina Spirit would at least deserve serious consideration for year-end honors.

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OBS October Kicks off Tuesday

The Ocala Breeders' Sales Company's October Yearling Sale begins with a session of selected yearlings Tuesday and continues Wednesday with an open session. Bidding will begin at 1 p.m. Tuesday, with a total of 152 yearlings–including 17 supplemental offerings–catalogued, with an additional 395 head–including 32 supplements–catalogued for the second day, which starts at 11 a.m.

The two-day auction comes in the midst of a yearling sales season which has featured competitive bidding across the country.

“It certainly has been competitive all year long and we hope that competitive market continues here,” OBS Director of Sales Tod Wojciechowski said on a picture-perfect fall day in Ocala Monday. “We are seeing a lot of activity in the barns. Most of the people started showing Sunday and it was very active with a lot of consignors telling me that they are showing as many horses as they've ever shown. I am out in the barn area now and it looks like the barns are quite active. We've seen some newer players here and a lot more people with intention looking at horses.”

During last year's select session of the October sale–held amidst the uncertainty of the ongoing pandemic–86 horses sold for $3,397,000 for an average of $39,500 and a median of $28,000. A filly by Not This Time brought the top price of $225,000. In 2019, 130 select yearlings sold for $5,689,200 for an average of $43,763 and a median of $30,000.

Included among October sale graduates, Exline-Border Racing LLC, SAF Racing and Richard Hausman's Lady Mystify (Bernardini) took the Sept. 26 GIII Remington Park Oaks. The OBS graduate realized $120,000 for consignor Summerfield (Francis & Barbara Vanlangendonck) at the 2019 renewal of the October Selected Yearling Sale before selling for $325,000 the following April.

LNJ Foxwoods' Outfoxed (Valiant Minister), who broke her maiden in Gulfstream's FTBOA Florida Sire Susan's Girl S. in August, returned to Hallandale Sept. 25 to post a 9-1/4 length victory in the FTBOA Florida Sire My Dear Girl S. The Bill Mott trainee, who sold for $27,000 out of the Abbie Road Farm consignment at the 2020 October Yearling Sale, later brought $360,000 at OBS in April. Another recent winner to exit the October sale, Monarch Stables Inc.'s Last Leaf (Not This Time) led an OBS sweep of Saturday's Hollywood Beach S. The two-time OBS graduate was sold by Sharon Biamonte at the 2020 Winter Mixed Sale and then purchased for $23,500 out of the Kaizen Sales consignment at the 2020 October Sale.

Rounding out the sale's recent graduates, Full of Run Racing, LLC and Madaket Stables LLC's Dreamalildreamofu (Commissioner), a $65,000 October purchase in 2018, won the $100,000 Twixt S. at Laurel Sept. 18.

OBS will again offer online bidding and buyers may register for bidding approval, then access the OBS Bidding Screen with their credentials. For complete information on registration and online bidding visit www.obssales.com.

The sale, which will be streamed live via the OBS website, will also be available on the TDN site.

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