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Chepstow Coral Welsh Grand National Handicap Chase

Chepstow 27th December 2025, Coral Welsh Grand National Handicap Chase 14.50 UK Time

Rock My Way is in top current form, having won impressively at Ascot over 3m5f on good ground in his most recent start.
He was beaten by eighteen lengths at Cheltenham previously on good going.
He showed stamina with a second at Cheltenham on good to soft.
He excels on good to soft going, with strong placed form.
No Chepstow experience, but he handles left-handed tracks well.
Fitness is excellent after his latest victory, and he has class for this handicap level.

Jubilee Express has displayed good recent form, winning at Chepstow over 3m on good to soft in his last outing.
He previously finished tenth somewhere, but bounced back strongly.
He performs well on good to soft, with a win under those conditions.
Course form is positive with a recent success here.
Fitness appears sharp, and he has experience over extended trips.

O’Connell comes into this with solid form, securing a win at Sandown over 3m5f on good to soft most recently.
He was third at Carlisle on good to soft before that.
He thrives on good to soft going, as shown by his victories.
No specific Chepstow form, but suits stamina tests on undulating tracks.
Current fitness is good, with progressive handicap experience.

Git Maker has mixed recent form, placing third at Lingfield over 2m7f on good to soft in his latest run.
He was unplaced in previous outings but shows signs of returning to form.
He handles good to soft well, with placed efforts.
Has a win at Chepstow, indicating course suitability.
Fitness may improve, with class for competitive handicaps.

Haiti Couleurs has a strong profile but pulled up at Haydock on good to soft in his last start.
He won at Newbury on good to soft before that.
Victories in major handicaps like the NH Chase on good to soft highlight his preference for this going.
No Chepstow form noted, but handles similar tracks.
Fitness question after pull-up, but proven class and stamina.

Mr Vango ran well recently, finishing a close second at Aintree over 3m2f on soft.
He won at Uttoxeter on good to soft earlier in the year.
He performs best with cut in the ground, including good to soft wins.
No Chepstow experience, but suits long-distance chases.
Current fitness is solid, with consistent high-level form.

Collectors Item showed promise with a second at Chepstow over 3m on good to soft last time out.
He was unplaced prior but improving.
Handles good to soft, with placed form.
Course affinity evident from recent performance.
Fitness building, with experience in staying handicaps.

Dom Of Mary is in decent form, winning at Newcastle over 3m6f on good to soft recently.
He placed third before that.
Suited to good to soft, with a win on it.
No Chepstow form, but handles stamina demands.
Fitness good, with class for this contest.

Deafening Silence ran creditably, second at Newcastle over 2m7f on good to soft last outing.
He won earlier but consistent placer.
Performs on good to soft, with placed efforts.
Has placed at Chepstow, showing course suitability.
Fitness sound, experienced in handicaps.

Intense Raffles has moderate recent form, finishing eighth at Newbury over 3m2f on good to soft.
He was third at Clonmel on soft before.
Prefers softer ground, but has form on good to soft.
No Chepstow noted, right-handed preference may not suit left-handed Chepstow.
Fitness adequate, with graded experience.

Uncle Bert impressed with a win at Aintree over 2m4f on soft recently.
He was unplaced at Cheltenham on good to soft prior.
Handles good to soft, with form figures.
No Chepstow experience, but progressive over fences.
Fitness excellent, stamina to prove but class evident.

Livin On Luco won narrowly at Fontwell over 3m4f on good to soft last time.
He placed third before pull-up earlier.
Suited to good to soft, with a win.
Has a win at Chepstow, positive course form.
Fitness good, but tougher here.

Simulation Results:

Rock My Way 63.84%, Uncle Bert 35.46%, Mr Vango 0.69%, Nassalam 0.00%, Monbeg Genius 0.00%, Intense Raffles 0.00%, Haiti Couleurs 0.00%, O’Connell 0.00%, Collectors Item 0.00%, Git Maker 0.00%, Deafening Silence 0.00%, Jubilee Express 0.00%, Where It All Began 0.00%, Livin On Luco 0.00%, Dom Of Mary 0.00%, Hung Jury 0.00%, Tanganyika 0.00%, Beaufort Scale 0.00%, Pats Fancy 0.00%.

Equivalent fractional odds: Rock My Way 4/7, Uncle Bert 9/5, Mr Vango 66/1, Nassalam N/A, Monbeg Genius N/A, Intense Raffles N/A, Haiti Couleurs N/A, O’Connell N/A, Collectors Item N/A, Git Maker N/A, Deafening Silence N/A, Jubilee Express N/A, Where It All Began N/A, Livin On Luco N/A, Dom Of Mary N/A, Hung Jury N/A, Tanganyika N/A, Beaufort Scale N/A, Pats Fancy N/A.

The best bet is Rock My Way.

The two value selections are Rock My Way (live 11/2 greater than fair 4/7) and Uncle Bert (live 8/1 greater than fair 9/5).

Steamer bets are Uncle Bert.

Trends:
Rock My Way fits the age trend at seven years old.
He carries 10-13, below the 11-3 threshold.
He won his last run at Ascot.
He ran 35 days ago, within 54 days.
No previous Chepstow run.
He has a win over 3m5f, fitting distance form.
Chase form includes multiple runs and wins.
Rated 140, above 131.
No graded wins.
Two runs this season with one win.

Uncle Bert matches age at eight.
Carries 10-9, under 11-3.
Won last time at Aintree.
Ran 21 days ago.
No Chepstow form.
Unproven over extended distances.
Chase form solid with several runs and wins.
Rated 132, meets threshold.
No graded wins.
At least one run and win this season.

Collectors Item is eight, fitting age.
Weight 10-8, below threshold.
Placed second last time.
Ran 21 days ago.
Has a previous Chepstow run.
Distance form adequate for stamina test.
Chase form with at least five runs and two wins.
Rated 135, above 131.
No graded wins.
One run this season without a win.

Jubilee Express aged eight.
Carries 10-3, well below.
Won last run in the trial.
Ran 21 days ago.
Multiple Chepstow runs including a win.
Has run over 3m6f here last year.
Chase experience with sufficient runs and wins.
Rated 126, below 131.
No graded wins.
Two runs this season with one win.

Haiti Couleurs eight years old.
Weight 11-13, above threshold.
Pulled up last time.
Ran 35 days ago.
Has Chepstow form.
Wins over 3m5f and 3m6f.
Extensive chase form with many runs and wins.
Rated 154, well above.
Has graded wins in National Hunt Chase.
Two runs this season with one win.

O’Connell is nine, outside preferred age.
Carries 10-9, below.
Won last run at Sandown.
Ran 21 days ago.
No Chepstow form.
Win over near 3m5f.
Chase form meets minimum runs and wins.
Rated 132.
No graded wins.
Two runs this season with one win.

Git Maker nine years old.
Weight 10-6, below.
Third last time over hurdles.
Ran 46 days ago.
Chepstow win previously.
Placed in 4m Scottish National.
Plenty of chase runs and wins.
Rated 133.
No graded wins.
One run this season without win.

Deafening Silence eight.
Weight 10-5.
Second last time.
Ran 28 days ago.
No Chepstow.
First time over extended trip.
Chase form emerging with a few runs and one win.
Rated 132.
No graded.
One run this season no win.

Nassalam eight.
Weight 11-4, above.
Pulled up last.
Ran 41 days ago.
Chepstow win in this race.
Distance win here.
Chase experience good.
Rated 145.
No graded.
Two runs this season no win.

Mr Vango nine.
Weight 11-11, above.
Second last time.
Ran 21 days ago.
No Chepstow.
Wins over 4m2f.
Chase form solid.
Rated 152.
No graded.
One run this season no win.

Monbeg Genius nine.
Weight 11-3.
Pulled up last.
Ran 21 days ago.
Chepstow run last year.
Distance form from fourth here.
Chase runs and wins sufficient.
Rated 144.
No graded.
One run no win.

Livin On Luco seven.
Weight 10-2.
Won last at Fontwell.
Ran 41 days ago.
Chepstow win.
Extended 3m3f win.
Chase form meets.
Rated 128, below.
No graded.
One run one win.

Dom Of Mary nine.
Weight 10-2.
Won last at Newcastle.
Ran 28 days ago.
No Chepstow.
3m6f win.
Chase experience good.
Rated 128, below.
No graded.
Two runs one win.

Intense Raffles seven.
Weight 12-0, above.
Eighth last.
Ran 28 days ago.
No Chepstow.
Distance form limited.
Chase runs adequate.
Rated 155.
No graded.
Two runs no win.

Where It All Began nine.
Weight 10-2.
Pulled up last.
Ran 41 days ago.
No Chepstow but ran here last year.
Distance form from previous.
Chase form yes.
Rated 129, below.
No graded.
One run no win.

Tanganyika seven.
Weight 10-13.
Pulled up last.
Ran 21 days ago.
No Chepstow.
Second over 4m2f.
Chase wins and runs.
Rated 140.
No graded.
Two runs no win.

Hung Jury ten.
Weight 10-2.
Unknown last, but placed in long trips.
Ran 21 days ago.
No Chepstow.
Wins over 4m.
Chase form yes.
Rated 128, below.
No graded.
Multiple runs this season.

Pats Fancy ten.
Weight 10-2.
Sixth last.
Ran 21 days ago.
Chepstow wins.
Distance form limited.
Chase experience.
Rated 120, below.
No graded.
Multiple runs no recent win.

Beaufort Scale six.
Weight 10-2.
Recent run unknown.
Ran 27 days ago.
No Chepstow.
Distance unproven.
Limited chase form.
Rated 123, below.
No graded.
Multiple runs.

In order of preference: Rock My Way, Uncle Bert, Collectors Item, Jubilee Express, Haiti Couleurs, O’Connell, Git Maker, Deafening Silence, Nassalam, Mr Vango, Monbeg Genius, Livin On Luco, Dom Of Mary, Intense Raffles, Where It All Began, Tanganyika, Hung Jury, Pats Fancy, Beaufort Scale.

Kempton – Ladbrokes Desert Orchid Handicap Chase

Kempton – Ladbrokes Desert Orchid Handicap Chase (Grade 2) 14.30 UK Time

Saint Segal has shown consistent form recently, with a win at Kelso in his latest outing.
He previously finished second to Thistle Ask at Exeter, beaten by seven lengths in a Grade 2 contest.
His wins at Chepstow demonstrate he handles right-handed tracks well.
He performs effectively on good going, as evidenced by several strong performances under similar conditions.
Fitness appears sharp following his recent run earlier this month.
He has experience in high-class handicaps and looks suited to this level.

Boothill possesses undeniable class from previous seasons but his recent form has been disappointing.
He finished a distant fifth at Sandown in his last start, beaten by seventy-five lengths.
Prior to that, he pulled up at Ascot and was well beaten in another Ascot contest.
He fell at Kempton previously, which raises concerns about his course affinity.
Performances on good going have been mixed, with some promise earlier but lacking lately.
His fitness is questionable given the poor showings, though he has competed in Grade 1 and Grade 2 races before.

Thistle Ask is in excellent current form, having won his last three starts impressively.
He beat Saint Segal by seven lengths in a Grade 2 at Exeter most recently.
Before that, he secured comfortable victories at Wetherby and Kelso.
He thrives on good going, with multiple wins on such ground.
While lacking specific Kempton experience, his style suits sharp, right-handed tracks.
He remains progressive and fit despite a short break since his last run.
His class is proven at this level and beyond.

Sans Bruit has shown ability in the past but his recent efforts suggest he is not at his peak.
He finished fifth at Cheltenham last time out, beaten by twenty lengths.
Previous runs saw him sixth at Ascot on two occasions.
He has wins at Plumpton and Aintree earlier in the year, indicating potential on good going.
Form at right-handed tracks like Ascot has been inconsistent.
Fitness may improve with more runs, but he has experience in Grade 3 handicaps.

Ryan’s Rocket returned with a solid win at Newbury in his latest appearance.
He unseated his rider at Market Rasen before that and was sixth at Cheltenham.
He showed promise with a close second at Ascot earlier.
He handles good going well, with a win under those conditions.
His Ascot performance suggests suitability for right-handed tracks.
He appears fit following his reappearance success and has scope for further improvement in handicaps.

Gabriel’s Getaway is running well currently, with a fourth at Ascot in his most recent start.
He was a close second at Ascot before that and also second at Kempton in October.
This demonstrates strong form at the course, which is a positive.
He performs adequately on good going, with placed efforts.
Fitness looks good after consistent recent outings.
He has experience in competitive handicaps and conditions should suit.

Calgary Tiger has not won for some time and faces a tough task here.
He fell at Cheltenham in his last run.
Prior to that, he was third at Sandown and Aintree, showing some ability but lacking a cutting edge.
Performances on good going have yielded places but no victories recently.
No specific Kempton form, and his overall level appears below what’s required.
Fitness may be adequate, but he lacks class for this contest.

Simulation Results:

Thistle Ask 47.36%, Saint Segal 31.49%, Ryan’s Rocket 6.83%, Gabriel’s Getaway 6.64%, Sans Bruit 3.86%, Boothill 3.81%, Calgary Tiger 0.00%.

Equivalent fractional odds: Thistle Ask 10/9, Saint Segal 11/5, Ryan’s Rocket 27/2, Gabriel’s Getaway 14/1, Sans Bruit 25/1, Boothill 25/1, Calgary Tiger N/A.

The best bet is Thistle Ask.

The two value selections are Thistle Ask (live 9/4 greater than fair 10/9) and Saint Segal (live 7/2 greater than fair 11/5).

There are no steamer bets, as no horses meet the criteria of early prices higher than live by at least four points among those with the greatest chances.

Last 12 year trends:

Thistle Ask fits several key trends well for the Desert Orchid Chase over the last 12 years.
Aged eight, he aligns with nine of the last 12 winners being between six and eight years old.
Although his official rating of 146 is below the 153 threshold that 10 of 12 winners met, he has shown strong season form with at least one win this campaign, matching the majority.
He won his last run at Exeter, though only five of 12 winners did so, and it was within 48 days, as nine of 12 were.
No run in the Tingle Creek or Shloer last time, but his graded win in a Grade 2 fits the nine of 12 with at least one Grade 1-3 victory.
No previous Kempton form, missing the trend of 10 of 12 having at least one course run and seven with a win.
He has ample distance form over 15-17 furlongs with multiple wins, aligning with 11 of 12 having at least three such victories.
Chase experience is solid with multiple runs and wins, fitting 11 of 12 trends for at least five runs and two wins.
Overall, his progression and class make him a strong contender.

Saint Segal matches the age trend at seven years old.
His rating of 155 exceeds the 153 mark for 10 of 12 winners.
He has season form with a win, and triumphed on his last run at Kelso within 48 days.
No graded wins yet, missing the nine of 12 trend.
Lacks Kempton experience, against the course form trend.
Distance and chase form appear sufficient based on recent performances.
His current fitness and consistency boost his chances despite some gaps in trends.

Ryan’s Rocket, at seven, fits the age profile.
Rated 135, below 153, but has a season win and succeeded on his last outing at Newbury within 48 days.
No graded wins or Kempton form.
Distance experience includes a recent win over similar trips.
Chase form is emerging but may not yet reach the five runs and two wins level for most winners.
His upward trajectory suggests he could outperform expectations.

Boothill, aged 10, falls outside the preferred six to eight range.
Rating of 149 is under 153.
No season win and did not win last time out at Sandown (which was the Tingle Creek, where previous participants in this spot won it, but he finished fifth).
However, he has Kempton form with a previous win there, aligning well with course trends.
Graded experience from past seasons fits.
Distance and chase form are strong with multiple runs and wins.
His class could shine if he regains spark, though recent form tempers optimism.

Gabriel’s Getaway matches age at eight.
Rated 135, below threshold.
No season win, did not win last time (fourth at Ascot within 48 days).
No graded wins.
Has Kempton form with a placed effort, partially fitting the course trend.
Distance form lacks wins in recent terms.
Chase experience includes runs but fewer standout victories.
Consistent recent placings offer some hope, but he misses several key trends.

Sans Bruit fits age at seven.
Rated 139, under 153.
No season win, did not win last time (fifth at Cheltenham).
No graded wins or Kempton form.
Distance form includes two wins over similar trips earlier.
Chase form meets basic levels.
His spring peak may not suit this timing, limiting appeal.

Calgary Tiger, at 10, misses the age trend.
Rated 135 (or possibly lower, out of handicap), below 153.
No season win, fell last time at Cheltenham.
No graded wins, Kempton form, or strong recent distance wins.
Chase experience exists but lacks the depth of most winners.
Faces a tough ask here.

In order of preference: Thistle Ask, Saint Segal, Ryan’s Rocket, Boothill, Gabriel’s Getaway, Sans Bruit, Calgary Tiger.

Leopardstown Top Rated Saturday 27th December

Leopardstown Top Rated Saturday 27th December

12:05
MANOIR DE MIRANDE 14.1
DSCHINGIS DESIRE 11.4
MUNSIF 7.6
KIZLYAR 7.1
OLE OLE 6.0
MICHONNE 4.4
DEEP WATER BAY 3.6
DEAD CERT 2.8
HARDY STUFF 1.5
FAR ECLIPSE 1.5
GENEALOGY 1.4
PALMEZZANO 1.1
CONCERT PARTY 1.1
SEARCOG 1.0
WOLFPACK 0.9
KASHEL SPRING 0.8
RAY GUN 0.5
DREAM ANGEL 0.5
BARTHOLOMEW 0.4
CREST OF LIGHT 0.4
RUA MOR 0.4

12:37
KARGESE 134.7
LOVELY HURLING 39.1
JAMES’S GATE 14.3
BOTTLER’SECRET 4.4
KINGS HILL 1.5

13:12
MAJBOROUGH 45.4
FOUND A FIFTY 32.7
MARINE NATIONALE 29.7
ONLY BY NIGHT 14.4
SOLNESS 6.1
CAPTAIN GUINNESS 2.1
HERCULE DU SEUIL 0.7

13:47
LE DIVIN ENFANT 24.0
KOKTAIL BRUT 22.4
LOVE ME TENDER 10.9
SKYLIGHT HUSTLE 10.5
TALK THE TALK 8.8
THE PASSING WIFE 8.0
MISTER PESSIMISTIC 5.0
CARRIGMOORNASPRUCE 3.6

14:22
BOWENSONFIRE 26.9
BALKO D’ANGE 8.9
PATH D’OROUX 6.9
EN OR 4.3
ACE BRANNIGAN 4.3
SAINTE LUCIE 3.5
WALHAAN 3.4
JOUEUR MASQUE 2.8
MATT CONNOR 2.7
LAAFI 2.3
ICARE DESBOIS 2.1
PRAIRIE DANCER 2.0
SOMEONE’S WISH 1.7
LITTLEFOOT 1.5
FEUD 0.9
FREE FLOW 0.9
KIMY 0.9

15:00
PIED PIPER 5.3
CAPTAIN CODY 4.1
WEVEALLBEENCAUGHT 3.3
SEARCH FOR GLORY 2.7
BALLYSAX HANK 2.6
YOU OUGHTA KNOW 2.5
SA MAJESTE 2.5
BLIZZARD OF OZ 2.4
BACKTONORMAL 2.3
WILL DO 2.3
WILL THE WISE 2.2
BACKMERSACKME 2.0
MIDNIGHT OUR FRED 1.8
NOW IS THE HOUR 1.8
MOSSY FEN PARK 1.7
WATERFORD WHISPERS 1.7
NOBLE BIRTH 1.4
NARA 1.3
YEATS STAR 1.2
BUACHAILLBOCHT 1.2
A WAVE OF THE SEA 1.1
FAVORI DE CHAMPDOU 1.1
SANDOR CLEGANE 1.0
KINTURK KALANISI 1.0
MONBEG PARK 0.8
SHANBALLY KID 0.8
O’MOORE PARK 0.7
HARTUR D’ARC 0.4
NO TIME TO WAIT 0.4
PRIDE OF PLACE 0.3
BEAUFORT SCALE 0.3

15:30
GENEROUS RISK 21.4
ARCADIAN EMPEROR 16.1
BROTHER BERNARD 3.2
BEECHWOOD ROAD 3.0
BARNAHASH MASON 2.1
DIAMOND KAL 1.8
ISDISTHEONE 1.3
LA ROCCA LASS 0.7
MUCKANAGH LOUGH 0.4
NORTHERNLIGHTSKY 0.4

Kempton Top Rated Saturday 27th December

Kempton Top Rated Saturday 27th December

12:45
MAESTRO CONTI 41.5
WHATSGOINGONMARVIN 22.9
ZARAKERJACK 14.2
TETSWORTH 9.3
CHARTWELL JOCK 3.5
BRAVE GUEST 2.0
TENADAAY 1.3
PROVISION 1.2
MISS RAFFLES 0.6

13:20
DELLA CASA LUNGA 22.4
MISS CYNTHIA 16.3
STAR WALKING 13.5
AUDACIOUS ANNIE 10.9
HOLLY HARTINGO 10.4
I’VE MADEUPMYMIND 6.1
GAYE LEGACY 5.6
GREYVAL 4.8
PORTER IN THE PARK 4.7
MUSIQUE DE FEE 3.3

13:55
LUMP SUM 87.2
MAMBONUMBERFIVE 26.4
ALNILAM 21.2
MIRABAD 17.4
HANSARD 6.6

14:30
THISTLE ASK 52.3
SAINT SEGAL 26.1
RYAN’S ROCKET 15.5
BOOTHILL 11.8
SANS BRUIT 10.6
GABRIEL’S GETAWAY 6.7
CALGARY TIGER 0.0

15:07
KAP VERT 25.4
MONTREGARD 23.4
VIROFLAY 21.9
PRINCE ZALTAR 21.9
BECTIVE ABBEY 12.7
BEACHCOMBER 10.9
WISEGUY 4.7

15:37
INDEMNITY 32.3
WANDERING EGO 28.1
TRUSTINTIMES 15.4
WILLIETHEBUILDER 11.1
WASHINGTON 8.7
DE TEMPS EN TEMPS 6.0
NARDARAN 5.6