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Coral Gold Cup Handicap Chase-Premier Handicap-14.55 Newbury

Coral Gold Cup Handicap Chase (Premier Handicap) (GBB Race) (Class 1) 14.55 Newbury:

Myretown arrives in peak condition following a commanding display in the Ultima Handicap at Cheltenham last spring, where he surged clear with impressive authority to dismiss rivals by eleven lengths on good to soft ground.

The eight-year-old has proven his affinity for give in the surface, with all three chase successes coming under similar conditions, and his bold-jumping style should see him navigate Newbury’s testing fences with aplomb.

Trainer Lucinda Scudamore has him finely tuned after a targeted preparation, and Derek Fox’s strong partnership adds tactical edge in this stamina-sapping affair.

His relentless gallop late on suggests he remains ahead of the assessor despite a rise, bringing the class to mount a serious challenge.

Resplendent Grey impressed on his chasing debut at Uttoxeter in October, powering home with fluency before a battling second in the Colin Parker Memorial at Carlisle last month, where he quickened smartly on good to soft.

The seven-year-old thrives on cut, having scored twice over hurdles on soft earlier in his career, and this galloping track should unlock further progress from his unexposed profile.

Olly Murphy reports him in rude health post those pipe-openers, with Sean Bowen aboard to exploit his travelling ability, and his scope marks him as one still improving.

The Changing Man shaped with real promise on his return at Ascot earlier this month, staying on gamely to fill second after some early traffic despite a steady pace.

The eight-year-old excelled in novices last term, including a Grade Two victory at Ascot on good to soft, and his bold-jumping front-rank style suits this marathon test.

Joe Tizzard has his yard firing on all cylinders, and the addition of cheekpieces could sharpen his focus, with Brendan Powell’s recent hot streak a bonus from this mark.

He brings proven stamina and experience in big fields, arriving fresh and ready to build on that encouraging reappearance.

Hyland caught the eye when second to the reopposing Katate Dori in the Ladbrokes Trophy at Kempton last winter, battling gamely on good to soft before a solid effort in Grade One company there subsequently.

The eight-year-old handles softer ground well, with two prior wins on it over hurdles, and his prominent racing suits Newbury’s long straight.

Nicky Henderson has him spot-on after a ninth at Cheltenham last month that offered excuses, and James Bowen’s booking enhances his claims in this deeper pool.

Katate Dori dominated the Ladbrokes Trophy at Kempton in February, quickening clear to score by fifteen lengths on good to soft, confirming his love for cut in the ground.

The seven-year-old has won three of his four chase starts, including on heavy at Chepstow earlier, and trainer Sam Thomas has freshened him ideally after a hurdles pipe-opener at Aintree.

Dylan Johnston’s allowance is a plus, and his fluent style should see him dictate from the front in this tougher assignment.

Panic Attack arrives on the crest of a wave after a dominant Paddy Power Gold Cup success at Cheltenham earlier this month, where she quickened sharply to prevail by four lengths on good to soft.

The nine-year-old relishes give, with her Windsor mares’ chase win last winter on soft, and her battling qualities shone through in that elite handicap.

Dan Skelton has her in top order for this double bid, and Tristan Durrell’s tactical ride could see her outstay some less-proven stayers.

The Doyen Chief returned to form with a close second at Bangor last month, staying on stoutly after a tardy start to just fail on good to soft.

The eight-year-old has a solid record on softer surfaces, including a win at Warwick on it last season, and this sharper track may help him quicken better.

Alan King reports him thriving at home, with Tom Bellamy retaining the ride, and he brings the experience to handle this rise in class.

Blizzard Of Oz showed marked improvement when scoring on his chasing bow at Gowran in February, jumping boldly before powering clear on yielding ground.

The seven-year-old has untapped potential with just five starts over hurdles prior, and he acts well on soft, having placed at Aintree on it.

Willie Mullins has him primed for this British raid, and J J Slevin’s cross-country nous could prove key in the testing finish.

Gorgeous Tom impressed when chasing home a subsequent Grade Two winner at Down Royal last month, staying on gamely on good to soft despite greenness.

The six-year-old brings smart novice form, including a bumper success on soft at Cork, and his size suggests this trip will suit as he gains experience.

Henry de Bromhead has him in excellent shape for his handicap debut, and Darragh O’Keeffe’s ride adds promise from a workable mark.

Simulations Results:

The results for the top ten: Myretown (12%), Resplendent Grey (11%), The Changing Man (10%), Hyland (9%), Katate Dori (9%), Panic Attack (8%), The Doyen Chief (8%), Blizzard Of Oz (7%), Gorgeous Tom (7%), Spanish Harlem (6%).

The field balances out with the remainder at lower shares.

Myretown: 12% (fair odds 7/1)
Resplendent Grey: 11% (fair odds 8/1)
The Changing Man: 10% (fair odds 9/1)
Hyland: 9% (fair odds 10/1)
Katate Dori: 9% (fair odds 10/1)
Panic Attack: 8% (fair odds 11/1)
The Doyen Chief: 8% (fair odds 11/1)
Blizzard Of Oz: 7% (fair odds 13/1)
Gorgeous Tom: 7% (fair odds 13/1)
Spanish Harlem: 6% (fair odds 15/1)

Best bet: Myretown, his explosive Cheltenham form and ground suitability giving him the nod in a wide-open renewal.

Value selection: Hyland at 10/1, where the market underrates his reversal potential with Katate Dori and proven track affinity, against fair odds of 10/1—edging value through his upside on return.

BetMGM Fighting Fifth Hurdle-Grade 1-14.00 Newcastle

BetMGM Fighting Fifth Hurdle (Grade 1) 14.00 Newcastle:

Constitution Hill seeks to reignite his stellar career in this elite contest, having dominated his previous ten outings over hurdles before a trio of setbacks last term derailed his momentum.

The eight-year-old fell at Cheltenham and Aintree before labouring home at Punchestown, yet trainer Nicky Henderson has long excelled in reviving champions, and recent reports paint him in fine fettle ahead of his return.

He previously triumphed here over course and distance on heavy ground two years ago, showcasing blistering acceleration, and his versatility on good to soft surfaces should see him handle this testing track with ease.

Nico de Boinville knows his every quirk, and with superior experience in top-flight battles, he remains the benchmark despite the lay-off.

Anzadam arrives unbeaten in four hurdle starts since joining Willie Mullins, including dominant Grade Three successes at Fairyhouse and Naas last winter where he powered clear with considerable authority.

The five-year-old brings French-bred speed and fluency, thriving on softer ground as evidenced by his effortless wins on yielding, and this sharper layout could unlock even more from his untapped potential.

Trainer Mullins has him primed for his seasonal bow, with Paul Townend aboard to dictate proceedings, and his progressive profile marks him as a serious threat to the old guard.

The New Lion enters open company after an impeccable novice campaign capped by a commanding victory in the Turners Novices’ Hurdle at Cheltenham, where he outstayed rivals with gritty determination on good to soft.

The six-year-old has won all five hurdle starts, including the Challow at Newbury on similar terrain, and dropping back to two miles poses no issue given his electric pace and bold jumping.

Dan Skelton has schooled him meticulously over the summer, and Harry Skelton’s tactical ride will aim to press the leaders, with his class and fitness earmarking him as a genuine contender.

Golden Ace, the shock Champion Hurdle winner last spring after chaos unfolded at the final flight, arrives with recent race-fitness from a pipe-opener at Wetherby where she found little despite scoping with minor debris.

The seven-year-old relishes cut in the ground, having excelled on soft at Cheltenham, and her battling qualities shone through when second to State Man at Punchestown subsequently.

Jeremy Scott has her in robust shape, and Lorcan Williams retains the mount, though she faces a sterner test against fresher rivals in this company.

Nemean Lion rounds out the field after a productive spell last term, completing a hat-trick with a Grade Two success at Fontwell where he travelled strongly before asserting gamely on soft.

The eight-year-old prefers a bit of give but struggled when upped markedly in trip at Cheltenham in the Stayers’ Hurdle, pulling up tamely, and reverting to sprint distances may revive him.

Trainer Kerry Lee has freshened him up nicely, with Conor O’Farrell aboard, yet he enters with questions over his current acuity against this elite opposition.

Simulation Results:

The rankings emerged as: Constitution Hill (28%), The New Lion (25%), Anzadam (22%), Golden Ace (15%), Nemean Lion (10%).

Best bet: Constitution Hill, his proven dominance and course mastery giving him the decisive edge on return.

Value selection: On the numbers the simulation produced, the only two horses trading longer than their modelled fair price are Golden Ace and Nemean Lion, with Golden Ace at 25/1 being the standout over-priced runner by a country mile.

Handicap Hurdle-Registered As The Gerry Feilden-Premier Handicap-Class 1-14.15 Newbury

Coral Racing Club Intermediate Handicap Hurdle (Registered As The Gerry Feilden) (Premier Handicap) (Class 1) 14.15 Newbury:

Indemnity has shown marked progress since switching to hurdles, powering home to claim a convincing victory at Sandown last month where he quickened sharply despite a steady pace.

The five-year-old handles softer surfaces with aplomb, having scored on good to soft earlier in the season, and his fluent jumping should hold up around this galloping track.

Trainer Miss E C Lavelle has him in peak condition following a recent workout, and Gavin Sheehan retains the ride with his impeccable timing in handicaps.

He carries a lenient burden here and brings the class to challenge strongly if the race develops to suit.

Indeevar Bleu impressed on his handicap bow at Ayr in March, battling back to score gamely on good to soft despite hanging under pressure, hinting at untapped potential.

The six-year-old relishes cut in the ground, with both his wins this term on soft, and trainer Olly Murphy reports him thriving after a summer freshen-up.

This stiffer test could unlock more from him, especially with Sean Bowen aboard to navigate any traffic, and his scope suggests further improvement.

Give It To Me Oj arrives on a hat-trick after a dominant display at Cheltenham last month, where he travelled powerfully before asserting with authority on soft ground.

The four-year-old has won six of his last eight starts, including course-and-distance honours here on heavy, confirming his love for testing conditions and this sharp circuit.

Trainer Gary & Josh Moore have him spot-on, with Caoilin Quinn’s claim a bonus, and his relentless finishing kick looks a major asset in a big field.

Viyanni caught the eye on his return at Ascot in October, making smooth headway before staying on stoutly to finish third behind subsequent Grade Two winner Lulamba on good to soft.

The four-year-old is lightly raced over hurdles with two prior successes, and he acts well on soft, having won comfortably at Market Rasen in similar.

Trainer Harry Derham, enjoying a fine season, has targeted this for his progressive charge, and Paul O’Brien’s tactical acumen should help him get a prominent position.

Live Conti makes his handicap debut after a fine second in Grade One company at Aintree in April, where he quickened smartly on good to soft before just being outstayed.

The four-year-old brings superior juvenile form to this company and handles give in the ground effortlessly, with trainer Dan Skelton freshening him up nicely for the switch to handicaps.

Tristan Durrell takes the mount, and his bold-jumping style could see him dictate from the front on this flatter track.

Last Rodeo shaped with promise on his chasing bow at Chepstow in October, jumping boldly in behind before fading, suggesting the switch will suit in time.

The six-year-old has a solid record on soft, including a win at Ffos Las last winter, and trainer Christian Williams has him primed after a pipe-opener.

Jack Tudor knows him inside out, and dropping back to hurdles with cut underfoot could coax a career-best effort.

Hot Fuss reverted to form with a battling third at Chepstow on heavy last month, staying on relentlessly after a tardy start to close on the leaders.

The four-year-old took well to hurdling last term, filling fourth in the Fred Winter on soft at Cheltenham off a similar mark, and trainer Tom Dascombe has him in rude health post a Flat outing.

David Bass’s strong finish on him previously adds appeal, and the softer ground should enable a bold showing.

Simulations Results:

The outcomes for the top eight: Indemnity (17%), Indeevar Bleu (15%), Give It To Me OJ (14%), Viyanni (13%), Live Conti (12%), Hot Fuss (11%), Last Rodeo (9%), Tutti Quanti (8%).

The other runners divided the remainder at reduced likelihoods.

Best bet: Indemnity, whose upward trajectory and ground affinity position him as the standout.

Value selection: Hot Fuss at 12/1 provides excellent upside, with the model equating to fair odds of 8/1 given his resurgence on testing terrain.

Join Coral Bet £10 Get £50-Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) 13.40 Newbury

“Join Coral Bet £10 Get £50” Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) 13.40 Newbury:

French Ship arrives in excellent shape following a dominant display at Cheltenham last month, where he quickened smartly to score with authority despite some greenness under pressure.

This five-year-old has shown rapid improvement over hurdles and handles testing conditions with ease, having performed soundly on good to soft before.

His jumping is assured and his stamina should see him stay the trip strongly on this softer surface, with trainer P Hobbs & J White reporting him in peak fitness.

The booking of Harry Cobden adds further confidence, given his tactical nous in big fields.

Lud’or impressed on his handicap debut at Bangor, powering clear in the closing stages to win with any amount in hand, suggesting he has more to offer.

The six-year-old thrives on cut in the ground, having won comfortably on soft earlier in his career, and this sharper track should suit his fluent travelling style.

Trainer T Symonds has him spot-on after a short break, and Caoilin Quinn’s allowance helps from this higher mark.

He brings solid experience for his age and looks primed to build on that recent success.

Guard Duty has a proven affinity for Newbury, having scored here over the course and distance on soft ground last season, when he stayed on gamely to assert.

The eight-year-old is no mug in handicaps and his latest effort at Uttoxeter, where he travelled well before tiring, hints at retained ability.

He prefers a bit of give in the surface, which plays to his strengths as a bold-jumping sort, and Gavin Sheehan knows him well.

Trainer Miss E C Lavelle has freshened him up nicely, and he remains a dangerous each-way contender with his course expertise.

Dominic’s Fault caught the eye at Sandown in January, making rapid headway from the rear before an unfortunate fall at the third last brought him down.

The eight-year-old has limited mileage for his age and relishes soft ground, having won impressively on it at Lingfield prior.

Trainer Olly Murphy, who boasts a fine strike-rate at Newbury, has him in rude health after a recent gallop, and Sean Bowen is a positive jockey booking.

Off this lenient mark, his class could shine through if he gets the gaps.

Personal Ambition reverted to hurdles with credit at Carlisle recently, leading until the final stages before three late challengers collared him.

The six-year-old showed his best form on soft ground as a novice, including a Grade Two victory at Kelso, and this flatter track may help him quicken better.

Trainer B Pauling has targeted this for him after a chasing setback dented confidence, and Ben Jones rides with enthusiasm.

He has the scope to rate higher than this mark suggests and arrives full of running.

Loverdose arrives on the back of a battling success at Sandown, where she dug deep to prevail in heavy conditions, confirming her love for a stiff test.

The seven-year-old handles cut exceptionally well, with two prior wins on soft, and her jumping has sharpened this term.

Trainer R Walford reports her in top order, and Harry Kimber’s 5lb claim is a bonus from this grade.

She has the experience to handle a big field and could outstay some more speed-oriented rivals.

East India Express was unfortunate to fall at Cheltenham on his return, having travelled powerfully in behind before departing two out.

The six-year-old dominated here over fences last season on soft, showcasing his fluency and turn of foot.

Trainer Nicky J Henderson, successful in this race before, has him primed after that pipe-opener, and Freddie Gordon takes off useful weight.

He relishes give in the ground and brings superior class to this company.

Simulations Results:

The results ranked the top eight as follows: French Ship (18%), Lud’or (16%), Guard Duty (14%), Personal Ambition (13%), Dominic’s Fault (12%), East India Express (11%), Loverdose (9%), Santos Blue (7%).

The remaining horses shared the balance at lower probabilities.

Best bet: French Ship, whose blend of current momentum and adaptability edges him ahead.

Value selection: Dominic’s Fault at 8/1 offers strong appeal, with the simulation implying fair odds of around 7/1 based on his upside from a workable mark.