80-1 Longshot Strikes It Rich in Derby

LOUISVILLE, KY – Credit the Coach with an assist.

Making his way into the field following the late scratch of the D. Wayne Lukas-trained Ethereal Road (Quality Road), also-eligible Rich Strike (Keen Ice) lit up the tote board with an impossible 80-1 upset in Saturday's GI Kentucky Derby. It was three-quarters of a length back to 4-1 favorite Epicenter (Not This Time) in second. Zandon (Upstart) was another three-quarters back in third.

“He passed them all,” winning trainer Eric Reed said. “I'm elated. I'm happy because this horse trained good enough to win. This rider [Sonny Leon] has been on him all along as he learned the process. He taught him to go between horses. He taught me who to train horses [pointing to his father, Herbert]. I'm surrounded by the best. I didn't think I could win necessarily but I knew if he got it, they'd know who he was when the race was over.”

Rich Strike was overlooked for good reason. Claimed for $30,000 by Richard Dawson's RED TR-Racing, LLC and Reed off breeder Calumet Farm out of a 17 1/4-length maiden tally at second asking beneath the Twin Spires Sept. 17, he hadn't gotten his picture taken in five subsequent attempts. He did outrun his odds in his three most recent starts over Turfway's all-weather, however, including a fourth-place finish at 20-1 in the John Battaglia Memorial S. Mar. 5 and a third-place at 26-1 in the GIII Jeff Ruby Steaks S. Apr. 2. Animal Kingdom was the last to successfully use the Jeff Ruby as a Derby prep, parlaying a win there to wear the roses in 2011.

“What planet is this? I feel like I have been propelled somewhere,” Dawson, an Oklahoma resident and semi-retired from the oil and gas industry, said. “I'm not sure. This is unbelievable. I asked my trainer up on the stage, I said, 'Are you sure this is not a dream? Because it can't be true.' He assured me this is real. I said okay.”

Rich Strike was far back in 18th and masterfully guided throughout and kept out of traffic by the Ohio-based Leon, who had previously never guided home a graded winner. Rich Strike was immediately taken to the inside in the two path from his high draw as the top two from the G2 UAE Derby Summer Is Tomorrow (Summer Front) and Crown Pride (Jpn) (Reach the Crown {Jpn}) absolutely flew through punishing early fractions of :21.78 and :45.36.

Epicenter and Zandon, meanwhile, quietly began to sneak up into striking position while saving all the ground as Messier (Empire Maker) enjoyed first run heading into the far turn. Epicenter revved up three deep with an explosive move to hit the front at the quarter pole and Zandon followed suit with a menacing bid of his own. The stage was set for the match-up that everyone wanted to see, but Rich Strike had other ideas.

Making steady progress throughout, Leon kept his cool and steered Rich Strike off the rail to avoid the tiring Messier leaving the three-sixteenths. He shot through an inviting opening close to home and reeled in the highly regarded winners of the GII Louisiana Derby and GI Blue Grass S. to pull off the second-biggest upset in the 148 runnings of the Kentucky Derby.

Returning $163.60 to win and keying a $2,050.60 exacta for a buck, Rich Strike's upset trails only Donerail's shocker at 91-1 in 1913. Rich Strike's sire Keen Ice is certainly no stranger to upsets either. He famously took down Triple Crown winner American Pharoah at 16-1 in the 2015 GI Travers S.

“You know we had a difficult post but I know the horse,” Leon said. “I didn't know if he could win but I had a good feeling with him. I had to wait until the stretch and that's what I did. I waited and then the rail opened up. I wasn't nervous, I was excited. Nobody knows my horse like I know my horse.”

Reed and his wife Kay tragically lost 23 horses when their Mercury Training Center went up in flames near Christmas time back in 2016. Reed's only other graded win came with Satans Quick Chick in the GII 2009 Lexus Raven Run S.

“A lot of people don't know who I am, but I was that far from beating Zenyatta in 2012,” Reed said with a laugh. “We've won a graded stake, now two. But we don't go out and buy the big horses. We just try to have a good-quality stable. We always perform well. Our percentages are always good, and we take care of the horse first. And the rest falls into place.

Reed concluded, “I never dreamed I would be here. I never thought I'd have a Derby horse. I never tried to go to the yearling sale and buy a Derby horse. So this was never in my plans. Everybody would love to win the Derby. I always would, but I never thought I would be here, ever. It's a horse race, and anybody can win. And the tote board doesn't mean a thing.”

Pedigree Notes:

So much has been written about the amazing up-and-coming sires with first 3-year-olds in this year's Kentucky Derby, but very little of that print has so much as mentioned Keen Ice, a son of Curlin who also has his first sophomores this year. And no wonder: while the Gun Runners of the racing world were making headlines, he was quietly plying his trade at Central Kentucky's Calumet Farm for $7,500. He stayed under the radar for much of his racing career as well, winning just three of 24 starts. But like his first-crop son, Rich Strike, he set the racing world abuzz with a shocking win and is best known for handing 2015 Horse of the Year and Triple Crown winner American Pharoah his sole loss at three in a stunning renewal of the GI Travers S. In hindsight, Keen Ice was a far more substantial racehorse than just that signature win, as he also took the GII Suburban S. at five and placed in five other Grade I races, including the Belmont S. and the Breeders' Cup Classic.

Keen Ice's first crop has yielded 30 individual winners from 92 starters and, prior to Rich Strike's Derby, only one black-type winner and that was in Puerto Rico. His five other stakes performers were highlighted by Rich Strike's third in the GIII Jeff Ruby Steaks S., with no other graded performances in sight.

The most striking thing about Rich Strike's pedigree is undoubtedly Smart Strike. Not only is he the sire of Curlin, he is also the sire of Gold Strike, the dam of Rich Strike, making the Derby winner inbred 3×2 to the Canadian Hall of Famer and son of Mr. Prospector. The late Lane's End sire was a Sam-Son product through and through, being out of U.S. and Canadian Broodmare of the Year Classy 'n Smart (Smarten), who was in turn out of flagship mare No Class (Nodouble). Smart Strike as a Grade I winner wasn't even his dam's best runner, an honor that belonged to his half-sister, Dance Smartly (Danzig), a Canadian Horse of the Year and a U.S. champion. Smart Strike was a two-time leading sire in North America.

Unbelievably, as a broodmare sire, Smart Strike has the distinction of having two of the four biggest longshots in history to win the Derby with Mine That Bird (Birdstone), who paid $103.20 in 2009, also out of one of his daughters. Rich Strike is his 144th stakes winner as a broodmare sire.

Rich Strike's 20-year-old dam was Canada's champion 3-year-old filly in 2005, the year she won the GIII Selene S. and the Labatt Woodbine Oaks. Gold Strike also faced the boys in the Queen's Plate, finishing third. She raced as a homebred for Richard A. N. Bonnycastle's Harlequin Ranches. Bonnycastle, who has a long family history in Canadian racing, is also affiliated with Cavendish Investing and he bred several of Gold Strike's foals in the Cavendish name. His last foal out of the mare was the unraced Stoney Miss (Birdstone) in 2015, soon after her Llanarmon (Sky Mesa) was a graded stakes winner for him, and he sold Gold Strike for $230,000 at Keeneland November that year while in foal to Llanarmon's sire. Calumet Farm was the purchaser.

Calumet is the breeder on record for the mare's 2016 foal, J and J O'Shea (Sky Mesa), who was unraced, and Gold Strike was subsequently sent to Calumet stallions. She got My Blonde Mary (Oxbow) in 2017–who was claimed for $5,000 after finishing third at Tampa Apr. 6–and Rich Strike in 2019. Bred to another Calumet sire, Ransom the Moon, Gold Strike was returned to the Keeneland November sale in 2019 and sold to Tommy Wente for $1,700. The Manitoba-bred mare has not produced a foal since.
–Jill Williams

Saturday, Churchill Downs
KENTUCKY DERBY PRESENTED BY WOODFORD RESERVE-GI, $3,000,000, Churchill Downs, 5-7, 3yo, 1 1/4m, 2:02.61, ft.
1–RICH STRIKE, 126, c, 3, by Keen Ice
1st Dam: Gold Strike (Ch. 3yo Filly-Can, GSW, $564,500), by Smart Strike
2nd Dam: Brassy Gold, by Dixieland Brass
3rd Dam: Panning for Gold, by Search for Gold
1ST BLACK-TYPE WIN, 1ST GRADED STAKES WIN, 1ST GRADE I WIN. O-RED TR-Racing LLC; B-Calumet Farm (KY); T-Eric R Reed; J-Sonny Leon. $1,860,000. Lifetime Record: 8-2-0-3, $1,971,289. *1/2 to Llanarmon (Sky Mesa), GSW, $378,954. Click for the eNicks report & 5-cross pedigree. Werk Nick Rating: First SW this cross.
2–Epicenter, 126, c, 3, Not This Time–Silent Candy, by Candy Ride (Arg). 1ST G1 BLACK-TYPE. ($260,000 Ylg '20 KEESEP). O-Winchell Thoroughbreds LLC; B-Westwind Farms (KY); T-Steven M Asmussen. $600,000.
3–Zandon, 126, c, 3, Upstart–Memories Prevail, by Creative Cause. ($170,000 Ylg '20 KEESEP). O-Jeff Drown; B-Brereton C Jones (KY); T-Chad C Brown. $300,000.
Margins: 3/4, 3/4, 2. Odds: 80.80, 4.10, 6.10.
Also Ran: Simplification, Mo Donegal, Barber Road, Tawny Port, Smile Happy, Tiz the Bomb, Zozos, Classic Causeway, Taiba, Crown Pride (Jpn), Happy Jack, Messier, White Abarrio, Charge It, Cyberknife, Pioneer of Medina, Summer Is Tomorrow. Scratched: Ethereal Road, Rattle N Roll. Click for the Equibase.com chart, the TJCIS.com PPs or the free Equineline.com catalogue-style pedigree. VIDEO, sponsored by TVG.

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Ethereal Road Out, Rich Strike In

The feel-good story of Hall of Famer D. Wayne Lukas adding another GI Kentucky Derby win to his repertoire this year is not to be, as his GII Rebel S. runner-up Ethereal Road (Quality Road) has been scratched from Saturday's race, as first reported by Daily Racing Form's Marty McGee. The defection of Ethereal Road at scratch time for the Derby permitted also-eligible Rich Strike (Keen Ice), most recently third in the GIII Jeff Ruby Steaks S. at Turfway, into the field. Bred in Kentucky by Calumet Farm, Rich Strike is owned by Richard Dawson's RED TR-Racing, LLC and is trained by Eric Reed. Sonny Leon has been tabbed to ride.

GI Breeders' Futurity winner Rattle N Roll (Connect) was behind Rich Strike on the also-eligible list and was also scratched.

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Un Ojo Defection Allows Ethereal Road to Draw Into Derby

According to a tweet from Churchill Downs' Senior Director of Communications and Media Services Darren Rogers, Un Ojo (Laoban), who registered a 75-1 upset in the GII Rebel S. at Oaklawn Park Feb. 26, was not entered for Saturday's GI Kentucky Derby. The Wayne Lukas-trained Ethereal Road (Quality Road), who missed by a half-length in the Rebel and exits a fourth in the GIII Stonestreet Lexington S. at Keeneland Apr. 16, will take the 20th spot in the field when entries are drawn Monday afternoon.

“It's a little bit unexpected,” said Lukas. “Going into the week I was a little apprehensive about even putting him on the also-eligible [list] because I didn't think there was a big chance, but it seems like as we go through this process every year, something happens or somebody decides that it's not the place for them. I'm happy for the owners. I've been there, sung 'My Old Kentucky Home,' watched it all happen and everything, but they're new clients, very enthused about everything and so they're tickled to death. I'm happy for them.”

He added, “He's going to have to have a pace up front, but there will always be one in the Derby. These guys who are worried about pace up front can quit worrying about it because it's always fast. He'll be closing. He has to improve. We're not sitting here with grandiose ideas that we're going to go in and beat everybody. We have to improve. Our numbers are not as good as some of the others, but we're in the race and it's a large purse with great prestige so we'll take our best shot.”

According to Rogers's tweet, Rich Strike (Keen Ice) and Rattle N Roll (Connect) are expected to be the also-eligibles in the race.

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Tiz the Bomb Flashes Home in Jeff Ruby Steaks

On a day of three 100-point prep races for the GI Kentucky Derby, it was TIZ THE BOMB (c, 3, Hit It a Bomb–Tiz the Key, by Tiznow)–a colt not officially pointing to the Derby–who won Saturday's GIII Jeff Ruby Steaks at Turfway Park to snag one of those coveted 100-point slots. Drifting from 6-5 out to 8-5, but still clearly favored as the gates flew in, Tiz the Bomb had a smooth break and sat a midfield trip on the outside through fractions of :23.25 and :47.06. Breathing menacingly down the leaders' necks, he was let go by Brian Hernandez, Jr. at about the six-furlong mark and quickly moved into contention. Tiz the Bomb overhauled a simultaneously moving Tawny Port (Pioneerof the Nile), who had unseated rider Manny Franco prior to the race, and took command with ease after a couple of left-handed taps, winning wrapped up with giant strides as he threw his ears forward crossing the wire.

Only eight races on the Kentucky Derby trail give as many as 100 points to the winner–good for a guaranteed spot in the Derby starting gate–but trainer Kenny McPeek suggested before the race that Tiz the Bomb will likely bypass the Derby and target the G1 QIPCO 2000 Guineas at Newmarket Apr. 30 and/or the G1 Cazoo Derby at Epsom June 4. He wasn't as firm on that stance immediately after the race.

“We're not going to make a decision quickly,” said McPeek, who said the ownership team wasn't going to rule out the Kentucky Derby. “We'll have to figure out some details. I do think the further he goes, the better. Just a real special colt. We've got some options and they're really great options. Right now, we'll enjoy this and go from there.”

He added regarding the Jeff Ruby Steaks trip: “Brian had him in a really good spot and it looked like he was going to have to carry some outside ground to get there, but he's a good-enough horse to handle it. I'm glad he had him out of trouble. This colt traveled the furthest distance and got it done anyway… We shouldn't rule out Kentucky right now. I think he might be able to handle that.”

The Turfway feature, now in its 51st running, has been contested under seven different names/sponsorships throughout the years and has produced two Kentucky Derby winners in Animal Kingdom (Leroidesanimaux {Brz}, 2011) and Lil E. Tee (At the Threshold, 1992).

The Jeff Ruby Steaks was Tiz the Bomb's second win in as many starts on Turfway's synthetic surface, as he was coming off a victory in the John Battaglia Memorial S. Mar. 5 after a sophomore dirt experiment that led to an off-the-board finish behind White Abarrio (Race Day) and Simplification (Not This Time) in the GIII Holy Bull S. at Gulfstream Feb. 5. Those two were one-three in Saturday's GI Florida Derby. Last year, Tiz the Bomb was Keeneland's GII Bourbon S. winner and Del Mar's GI Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf runner-up, in addition to victor of the Kentucky Downs Juvenile Mile S.

Pedigree Notes:

McPeek is known for his prowess in picking out horses at the sales that may be overlooked by others and going on to success with them. While no one would have called Tiz the Bomb a bargain at $330,000, as he was Hit It a Bomb's most expensive yearling by far and one of only two to bring six figures, it had to take nerves of steel to buy a yearling by an unproven sire for so far over that stallion's average and median. McPeek has been rewarded with Hit It a Bomb's most successful runner to date. The War Front stallion, who stands at Spendthrift and was winner of the 2015 GI Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf, has two graded winners and three black-type winners from two small crops to race.

In contrast, broodmare sire Tiznow, who is pensioned at WinStar, is no stranger to the stakes scene as he has 52 black-type winners out of his daughters, including GI Belmont S./GI Travers S./GI Florida Derby/GI Champagne S. winner Tiz the Law (Constitution), who was also second in the 2020 GI Kentucky Derby.

Tiz the Bomb was bred by Spendthrift after the farm had purchased Tiz the Key for $330,000–the same price her son would eventually bring–as a 2012 Keeneland September yearling. She's been bred exclusively to Spendthrift stallions, with 2-year-old filly Bel Rosso (Free Drop Billy), who sold for $180,000 at FTKOCT to Rocket Ship Racing, and a yearling colt by Mor Spirit in the pipeline. She delivered a Gormley filly Feb. 25. Tiz the Key hails from one of the best families in the stud book, as her fourth dam is Gay Missile (Sir Gaylord). Among Gay Missile's several influential foals were Lassie Dear (Buckpasser), dam of Broodmare of the Year Weekend Surprise (Secretariat), who in turn produced A.P. Indy (Seattle Slew). Gay Missile was out of blue hen Missy Baba (My Babu {Fr}), whose notable foals included Broodmare of the Year Toll Booth (Buckpasser).

Saturday, Turfway Park
JEFF RUBY STEAKS S.-GIII, $600,000, Turfway, 4-2, 3yo, 1 1/8m (AWT), 1:48.60, ft.
1–TIZ THE BOMB, 123, c, 3, by Hit It a Bomb
  1st Dam: Tiz the Key, by Tiznow
  2nd Dam: Cabbage Key, by A.P. Indy
  3rd Dam: Mayville's Magic, by Gone West
($330,000 Ylg '20 FTKSEL). O-Magdalena Racing, Lessee;
B-Spendthrift Farm, LLC (KY); T-Kenneth G. McPeek; J-Brian
Joseph Hernandez, Jr. $351,400. Lifetime Record: GISP,
8-5-1-0, $1,044,401. Werk Nick Rating: A+. 
Click for the eNicks report & 5-cross pedigree.
2–Tawny Port, 123, c, 3, Pioneerof the Nile–Livi Makenzie, by
Macho Uno. 1ST BLACK TYPE, 1ST GRADED BLACK TYPE.
($430,000 Ylg '20 KEESEP). O-Peachtree Stable; B-WinStar
Farm, LLC (KY); T-Brad H. Cox. $114,000.
3–Rich Strike, 123, c, 3, Keen Ice–Gold Strike, by Smart Strike.
1ST GRADED BLACK TYPE. O-RED TR-Racing, LLC; B-Calumet
Farm (KY); T-Eric R. Reed. $57,000.
Margins: 2 1/4, 3HF, 3/4. Odds: 1.60, 3.70, 26.20.
Also Ran: Dowagiac Chief, Royal Spirit, Cabo Spirit, Stolen Base, Red Run, Constitutionlawyer, Swing Shift, Great Escape, Optigogo. Scratched: Blackadder. Click for the Equibase.com chart, the TJCIS.com PPs or the free Equineline.com catalogue-style pedigree. VIDEO, sponsored by TVG.

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