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Dubai World Cup ‘More Of A Trip That Would Suit’ Defending Country Grammer

Defending Dubai World Cup champion Country Grammer was the star attraction on the main track Monday morning in the UAE, breezing tight to the inside rail under Antonio Fresu.

Assistant to trainer Bob Baffert, Jimmy Barnes said: “Country Grammer arrived here directly after his assignment in Saudi Arabia and shipped well. He likes the surface here and this is more of a trip that would suit him.

“He exercised over five-eighths and went nicely under Antonio Fresu; the jockey was happy with the way he worked.”

Following barely thirty seconds behind Country Grammer was Japan Cup hero Vela Azul, while compatriots TO Keynes, Cafe Pharoah and Ushba Tesoro were also in action.

Comments from the connections of several other U.S.-trained horses in Dubai:

Antonio Fresu, jockey of Shirl's Speight (Group 1 Dubai Turf): “He is a Grade 1 winner and another good horse that I am pleased to ride. He was very strong in finishing second in the Breeders' Cup Mile and appears to have carried that form to Dubai. He has been working well in the morning and just seems to love the track.”

Jeremiah O'Dwyer, trainer of Sibelius (Group 1 Dubai Golden Shaheen): “I have been very pleased how he has travelled over andacclimated to Dubai. He had his final piece of work this morning. We picked up his gallop at thehalf mile pole, with regular rider. Chelsie Raabe, aboard, and just let him stretch his legs downthe stretch and he looked great.

“The timing of how everything has been spaced out since the win in the Pelican Stakes has been perfect and he could not be doing any better. We are going to paddock school him in the night schooling session at 6 PM tonight.”

Antonio Fresu, jockey of C Z Rocket (Group 1 Dubai Golden Shaheen): “I just breezed him today. He's a nine-year-old but he's clearly still got it. He finished a solid second behind Elite Power in the Breeders' Cup Sprint and seems to be in very good form. I rode him this morning and he handled the surface well. I think he can run big here.”

Jimmy Barnes, assistant to Bob Baffert, trainer of Hopkins (Group 1 Dubai Golden Shaheen): “He had a short breeze this morning, racing three quarters just to wake him up a bit. He arrived fine and is looking good with Antonio quite happy with the way he performed and handled his work over the surface.”

Jimmy Barnes, assistant to Bob Baffert, trainer of Worcester (Group 2 UAE Derby): “He did a workout over five-eights this morning and was pretty good handling the surface. He shipped fine and the workouts have gone very well. Antonio rode him this morning and he was happy with how he handled the track.”

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RMTC Completes Analysis Of HISA Withdrawal Guidance

The Racing Medication and Testing Consortium's Scientific Advisory Committee has now completed its analysis of HISA's proposed ADMC screening limits and detection times and has developed a withdrawal guidance limited to RMTC's schedule of Controlled Therapeutic Substances. This withdrawal guidance is based on existing research and administration data. The complete withdrawal guidance, which is subject to change, can be found here.

The intention is for the RMTC to provide the industry with scientifically derived information to aid attending veterinarians and horsemen in making medication decisions and to avoid preventable errors, promote compliance with HISA's regulations, and provide all available information in advance of HISA's expected ADMC implementation date of March 27.

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Rate Of Fatal Injuries Lowest On Database Record

The rate of fatal injuries in 2022 was 1.25 horses per 1,000 starts, a 10.1% decrease from 2021 when there were 1.39 fatalities per 1,000 starts according to figures complied by the Equine Injury Database (EID) and released Monday by the Jockey Club. It was the lowest number since the EID began covering the fatality rate in 2009, when the figure was 2.00 horses per 1,000 starts.

“The data shows that since 2009, the risk of fatal injury during racing has declined by 37.5%, which is statistically significant,” said professor Tim Parkin of the University of Glasgow, who has consulted on the EID since its inception. “The overall downward trends are testament to the benefits of an evidence-based approach to safety, which is only possible thanks to the EID.”

Since 2018, the rate of fatal injury has dropped from 1.68 to 1.25, a decline of 25.6%. The 2022 numbers marked the fourth straight years that the risk of fatal injury has fallen.

“We can say with confidence that the risk of fatal injury is heading in a sustained downward direction both overall and in many specific areas,” Parkin said. “The six-month period from July 1, 2022, to December 31, 2022, was the safest six-month period on record since the inception of the EID in 2009. This evidence of positive progress is very encouraging and should be applauded by everyone in North American racing.”

There were just 12 fatalities in races run over synthetic surfaces in 2021, which worked out to a rate of 0.41 fatalities per 1,000 starters, making it, easily, the safest surface. Turf races were next at 0.99, followed by dirt races at 1.44. Races run at more than 8 furlongs were the safest at 0.86. Races run at 6 to 8 furlongs were next at 1.31, followed by races run at less than 6 furlongs at 1.38. Races for 2-year-olds were the safest in the age group at a rate of 0.98. Three-year-old races were next at 1.13, followed by races for 4-year-olds and upward at 1.34. The 3-year-old figure was notable as it showed a 25.7% decline from 2021 and that the figure was as high as 2.08 in 2014.

Since March 2012, racetracks have been able to voluntarily publish their statistics from the EID on The Jockey Club website. The racetracks that publish their EID statistics reported racing fatalities per 1,000 starts of 0.99 as compared to 1.42 for those that do not publish.

Some of the most notable gains have come at the Southern California tracks. At Santa Anita, the figure for 2022 was 0.63, down from 1.45 in 2021. Even more significantly, the rate of breakdowns has dropped considerably since 2019 when the number was 3.01, an alarmingly high rate that led to outcries from animal rights activists and politicians. At Del Mar in 2022, there were 0.56 fatalities per 1,000 starts. In 2016, the number was 3.01.

The trend at Keeneland was also a positive one, at 0.33. In 2019, the figure at Keeneland was 3.21.

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2023 Kentucky Derby Hopeful Snapshots: Congruent

Welcome to 2023 Kentucky Derby Prospect Snapshots, where we’ll take a look each week at a recent winner on the Triple Crown trail, usually from the Road to the Kentucky Derby schedule from which the racehorses earn points toward qualifying. The 1 ¼-mile, $3 million Kentucky Derby Presented by Woodford Reserve will be held May 6, 2023, at Churchill Downs.