Return To The Ring: Keeneland September’s RNA Re-Offer Sparks Trade In Different Ways

The catalog order was out of sorts at the end of Tuesday's session at the Keeneland September Yearling Sale in Lexington, Ky.

Hip 399 was followed by Hip 399A and 399C, as one would expect when the main catalog turns into the supplemental catalog. Then, Hip 6 entered the ring, followed by Hips 72, 111 and 179.

The four horses causing the catalog detour were the inaugural class of Keeneland's RNA Re-offer program, which allowed sellers of horses that finished under their reserve during the auction's first session the opportunity to run them the ring a second time at the end of Tuesday's second day of trade.

Though each of the RNA Re-offer horses had a common touching point, each one took a unique path to and from it.

The quartet that went through the ring on Tuesday evening was narrowed down from an original group of seven yearlings that were announced by Keeneland at the end of Monday's session. Consignors had to notify Keeneland Sales officials of their intentions to run their horses through again within 30 minutes of the close of Monday's session. Buyers were then made aware of the horses to be offered through Keeneland's social media channels and advertising.

For a few of the horses, that little extra boost of promotion was all they needed to make a sale happen. Mill Ridge Sales had two horses entered in the RNA Re-offer, but neither made it to the ring.

“The one that was early, Hip 70, was for a partnership, and we thought we had action, but didn't have enough,” said Price Bell of Mill Ridge. “We RNA'd it for $125,000 and we wanted to support new ideas. Keeneland promoted it last night, and they promoted it today, and it probably let people know we wanted to sell these horses, that they weren't RNAs to race. This morning, we had three people ask us about her, and we got it done.

Hip 70, a First Samurai filly, sold privately to Madras Bloodstock on Tuesday morning for $90,000.

Bell said the other Mill Ridge horse set to go through again, Hip 195, an Uncle Mo filly who was a $140,000 buyback, was offered late on Monday, and was entered for the second chance mostly to hold the spot until the consignor could talk it over with the breeder, who elected to keep the filly to race. Still, Bell said the filly had an inquiry from a potential buyer on Tuesday morning after the initial list was revealed.

“It was effective to get more eyes on them, and positions them to be buyable,” he said. “It's not Plan A, but this late in the yearling season, sometimes you don't have a Plan B. For this to be a Plan B for that draw and that day, is great.”

Ramsey Farm also had a potential re-offer turn into a private sale, with Hip 197, a Nyquist colt, go to Daniel Pita for $70,000 after hammering for $80,000 in the ring.

For the remaining four horses, it was a slightly different pre-sale experience than their first go-around. Book 1 of Keeneland September is often filled with all-shows and extensive vetting, as high-level buyers attempt to leave no stone unturned. By Tuesday, however, most shoppers have moved on with their inspections to the horses in Book 2.

It was largely business as usual for Taylor Made Sales Agency, which had two horses entered in the re-offer: Hip 72 by Justify (RNA at $200,000), and Hip 179 by American Pharoah (RNA at $140,000). The consignment regularly keeps its buybacks from the first session of Book 1 on the property for an extra day in an attempt to woo a private sale before taking them home. Taylor Made's Mark Taylor said the discussion with the sellers to re-offer was not much different than it would be for any other RNA situation.

“It's the same conversation you would have if this re-offer wasn't in existence,” he said. “We always sit back and say, 'Okay, we've got the horse back. Have you reevaluated what you would take for the horse, and if so, where do you think that is?' Then, we go and start calling people that were interested. A lot of times, those people seek you out, too. In this case, I would say there's no downside for putting them in. If someone calls you at noon and gives you the hammer price, and you want to go ahead and sell it, Keeneland's going to allow you to do that.”

For both horses, Taylor said he expected them to bring more the first time around. He theorized that buyers might have thought that as well, which might have made them think the horses were out of their budget and look elsewhere. Multiple potential buyers made private offers in about the same price range, but all of them were slightly lower than the what seller was looking for, prompting the decision to let the hammer sort it out.

Catalog placement came into play for Hip 6, an Into Mischief colt who was bought back on Monday with a final bid of $340,000. It can take a while for a buyer's bench to build up momentum, and the colt was re-entered with the hopes of catching the market once it's warmed up.

“It's been busy enough,” consignor Pat Costello of Paramount Sales said about an hour before the colt's second trip through the ring. “He's been out five or six times today. Hopefully, we'll get something done.”

Though the shoppers had largely moved on to horses later in the sale, Kerry Cauthen of Four Star Sales said he worked on getting the minds of potential customers back to day one for a moment. Cauthen had Hip 111, a More Than Ready colt who was bought back at $145,000 after his first trip through the ring on Monday.

“People have obviously moved on to the next spot,” Cauthen said. “We mentioned it to everyone at Barn 42 (Four Star's Book 2 barn), letting them know the horse was going to be offered again. A lot of people would have seen him, and it gets back in their head, and we had three or four people say, 'I'm gonna watch him.' I don't know if it'll work or won't work, but there's no harm in letting them have a look.”

Cauthen's strategy was successful. Of the four horses that went through the ring for a second time on Tuesday, the More Than Ready colt was the only one to change hands at the fall of the hammer, improving his price from $145,000 on Monday to $150,000 on Tuesday.

The remaining three horses hammered for less the second time around, with Paramount's Hip 6 getting the closest at $335,000 after initially bringing $340,000.

One of the caveats of the re-offered section was that reserves had to be set with 15 percent above or below the initial reserve on Monday, which could have affected the sale status of some of the horses that hammered for less. As horses clearly marked to sell, it is likely they will find buyers privately before the sale is through.

Tony Lacy, Keeneland's vice president of sales, said he was pleased with what he saw with the re-offer program, between the private and public sales.

“I think there was a little bit of uncertainty over what it really was, but now that we're at the stage of the day where you had a few people that felt the market didn't treat them the way they expected, they can come back, and hopefully there will be better reception,” he said.

“There was anxiety amongst a group of sellers about being early in the sale, and as a former consignor, it definitely felt there was a lack of safety net in certain parts if you had a horse that may be perceived as having less marketability, or less appeal,” he continued. “Quite frankly, I think it really helped, and it helped solidify people's confidence that if they didn't get one sold early, that they had options.”

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Hong Kong Racing Study Guide: Best Riders By ROI

The 2021-2022 Hong Kong Jockey Club season began on September 5 and will continue with racing twice a week until July 16. The rider colony has been dominated by Joao Moreira and Zac Purton as they have shared the last eight titles but the more familiar you are with the other riders, the better you will be. The racing is extremely competitive and the riders are under extreme scrutiny from the racing officials. At the end of each racing day, they issue warnings, reprimands and suspensions when the rules are not being followed. As a bettor, rest assured you are getting a fair shake.

The leading riders win the most races but they also receive the most backing. Blindly betting them rarely works out over time. In Hong Kong, there are just over 20 riders that have licenses to ride. Because the average field size is over 12, many of them are kept busy but don't always get quality mounts. Thus, many have very low win percentages. Still, when they win, they can pay well.

The following are the leading jockeys from the 2020-2021 season based on wins:

Jockey Wins Rides Money Earned
Joao Moreira 157 742 $1,212.90
Zac Purton 125 713 $1,180.20
Karis Teetan 79 741 $1,182.80
Vincent Ho 61 614 $910.50
Jerry Chau 58 481 $1,044.80
Alexis Badel 58 622 $943.40
Derek Leung 39 609 $1,146.30
Matthew Poon 37 537 $965.30
Matthew Chadwick 31 458 $670.90
Antoine Hamelin 27 538 $690.40
Chad Schofield 26 390 $463.90
Blake Shinn 24 374 $784.30
Vagner Borges 22 435 $1,006.00

 

Takeout on win betting in Hong Kong is 17.5% so an average win payoff of $1.65 exceeds the takeout. The following are the leading jockeys from the 2020-2021 season based on a ROI per $2 win bet:

Jockey Wins Rides Money Earned $2 Bet/Horse ROI
Vagner Borges 22 435 $1,006.00 $870.00 $2.31
Jerry Chau 58 481 $1,044.80 $962.00 $2.17
Blake Shinn 24 374 $784.30 $748.00 $2.10
Derek Leung 39 609 $1,146.30 $1,218.00 $1.88
Matthew Poon 37 537 $965.30 $1,074.00 $1.80
Zac Purton 125 713 $1,180.20 $1,426.00 $1.66
Joao Moreira 157 742 $1,212,90 $1,484.00 $1.63
Karis Teetan 79 741 $1,182.80 $1,482.00 $1.60
Alexis Badel 58 622 $943.40 $1,244.00 $1.52
Vincent Ho 61 614 $910.50 $1,228.00 $1.48
Matthew Chadwick 31 458 $670.90 $916.00 $1.46
Antoine Hamelin 27 538 $690.40 $1,076.00 $1.28
Chad Schofield 26 390 $463.90 $780.00 $1.19

 

Some words of caution:

Vagner Borges benefitted from wins that paid $359.30 (race 563) and $117.50 (race 40).

Blake Shinn benefitted from a win that paid $151.90 (race 349).

Derek Leung benefited from wins that paid $138.20 (race 247) and $121.60 (race 257).

Jerry Chau continues to thrive with his five-pound apprentice allowance and his results are the most predictable.

As far as pari-mutuel payoffs, there is little statistical difference between Zac Purton (ROI = $1.66), Joao Moreira (ROI = $1.63) and Karis Teetan (ROI = $1.60).

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Clarkland Farm In Familiar Territory With Mendelssohn Colt At Keeneland September

A half-decade ago, the stall closest to the center aisle under Clarkland Farm's Book 1 shedrow at Keeneland September was occupied by a well-related Scat Daddy colt. Ahead of this year's first book, the same stall in Barn 5 is occupied by one of his sons.

As one might expect, a lot happened in between.

The Scat Daddy colt was out of Clarkland's cornerstone broodmare Leslie's Lady, and he had siblings Into Mischief and Beholder powering his page with black type. He'd be named Mendelssohn after the Coolmore partnership spent $3 million to make him the most expensive offering of the 2016 Keeneland September sale. Then, he'd go on to win the Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf and Group 2 U.A.E. Derby before retiring to Coolmore's Ashford Stud in Versailles, Ky., for the 2019 breeding season.

Mendelssohn tied for the second-most mares bred during his first season at stud, with 252. The only horse he trailed was half-brother Into Mischief at Spendthrift Farm.

Fred Mitchell of Lexington, Ky.-based Clarkland Farm had two foals from that initial crop, including the colt residing in the same stall during the same book as his seven-figure sire. Offered as Hip 58, the colt is out of the Grade 1-placed stakes-winning Lookin at Lucky mare Maybellene.

“He's just a nice individual, and the mare needs a runner, so we'll see,” Mitchell said. “She was a nice, well-bred racemare, and she had bad luck. Her first one by American Pharoah was in that fire accident that Christophe Clement had [Under the Oaks, who was one of 10 horses lost in a 2020 van fire], so that put an end to that really nice 2-year-old. The mare's had a little bit of bad luck, but this is a really nice individual, and she's still a young mare.”

The colt's tie to Leslie's Lady through Mendelssohn is perhaps his most notable pedigree note, but the female family that Maybellene contributes is certainly no slouch. The page includes champion Anees and the cornerstone sire Elusive Quality.

Mitchell has a unique perspective on some of North America's top sires, also throwing in California stallion Curlin to Mischief, having seen most of them develop from day one, even if one removes Into Mischief, who was born before Clarkland Farm bought Leslie's Lady. While we are all familiar with what the most famous offspring of Leslie's Lady look like at the public-facing stages of their lives – the sales ring, the racetrack, and at stud – Mitchell has a grasp of how they developed as foals, and how that might inform how their offspring will come up at the same age.

In addition to the two Mendelssohn yearlings on the farm, Mitchell said he also has four weanlings by the stallion, and they're setting an impressive pace.

“I probably liked them better than I did the first couple crops of Into Mischief, and we can't say anything wrong about Into Mischief,” he said. “Mendelssohn seems to cross with practically any type of mare you breed to him.”

That familiarity with the bloodline also gave Mitchell another perspective that only he and the other staff at Clarkland Farm might recognize.

“I see a lot of Leslie's Lady coming out in them,” he said of the Mendelssohns. “We've got a mare that's got an outstanding weanling on the ground, and is no kin to Leslie's Lady, but the foal looks like Beholder. I thought that was interesting to see coming out of them.”

Mendelssohn has 93 yearlings cataloged to his first Keeneland September sale, which is the most of any debuting sire this year. The veteran, and leading general sire, Into Mischief has 91 in the September catalog.

Mendelssohn has a hard act to follow after his record-setting big brother, but what he's already accomplished to get to this point has put 2016 Broodmare of the Year Leslie's Lady in an even loftier stratosphere. The “big stall” in Barn 5 has already panned out for the Clarkland Farm consignment, and now it could extend multiple legacies even further.

“It's unreal for a broodmare to have three horses standing at stud,” Mitchell said. “She's accomplished more than we think a mare could ever possibly do. If Mendelssohn hits even close to what Into Mischief has done, it'll be something to see, and the pedigree will go on for years and years.”

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Skygaze Romps To Victory In Belle Mahone At Woodbine

Skygaze, full of run late under rider Patrick Husbands, dashed away from her rivals with ease down the stretch en route to a three-length win in Sunday's $100,000 Belle Mahone Stakes at Woodbine Racetrack in Toronto, Ontario.

Trained by Mark Casse, who won both Woodbine stakes on Saturday, Skygaze, a four-year-old daughter of American Pharoah-Skyscape, broke alertly in the Belle Mahone and sat second to pacesetter Fate Factor, who led the way through the opening quarter timed in :24.79.

Skygaze continued to track Fate Factor through a half in :48.73, but by the three-quarters mark, the positions were reversed.

It was game over mid-way down the lane as Skygaze romped to her fifth victory from 11 career starts for owner Tracy Farmer.

Crystal Glacier, also a Casse trainee, was second, a neck ahead of No Mo Lady. Art of Almost, another Casse charge, was fourth. Final time for the race was 1:42.72.

“By the three-quarter pole, I was loaded,” said Husbands. “She was the best today.”

It was the first stakes win for Skygaze, who was bred by Normandy Farm LLC. She was third in the 2019 edition of the Grade 3 Mazarine and third in the Grade 3 Trillium on June 26, her last start before the Belle Mahone.

“Last time I rode her, she was a little bit quiet,” noted Husbands. “Today, I went alone and warmed her up. It showed in her form that she likes to be in the race and the last time I rode her, she was flat the whole way with me. Today, she showed me that she really wanted to be in the race. She showed she was the best.”

Skygaze paid $5.50 to win.

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