HISA Announces Next Generation Advisory Group Membership

Selected from a pool of almost 200 applicants, the Next Generation Advisory Group will consist of 16 new members who represent a broad range of views and experiences across the American horse racing community, the Horseracing Integrity and Safety Authority (HISA) announced Monday.

The group will start in April and will convene monthly to provide feedback on the implementation and evolution of HISA's various regulations, including racetrack safety and anti-doping and medication regulations. Among this group of 16 are horsemen, veterinarians, jockeys, horseplayers, representatives from horsemen's groups, racing offices and racing syndicates. They will serve in 18-36 month terms to stagger changes in group composition.

Those selected were: Waqas Ahmed, deputy executive director of the Kentucky Horse Racing Commission (KRHC); Keith Asmussen, rider and eldest son of Steve Asmussen; Joe Bianca, ownership advisor for West Point Thoroughbreds and former editor/podcast host at the TDN; Marc Broady, executive director of the Maryland Thoroughbred Racetrack Operating Authority; Eric DeCoster, assistant racing secretary at Prairie Meadows and racing official at Oaklawn Park; Devon Dougherty, assistant trainer for Christophe Clement; Dr. Tatiana Fraguela, racetrack veterinarian based at Churchill Downs and Oaklawn Park and jockey Tyler Gaffalione.

Also selected were Jeffrey A. Matty, Jr., executive director of the Pennsylvania Thoroughbred Horsemen's Association at Parx; Katie Miranda, co-owner of HorseOlogy and owner of White Lilac 2-year-old Consignment; Tyler Peeples, handicapper and owner; Courtney Reid, senior director of racing and industry relations for Breeders' Cup Limited; trainer Lindsay Schultz; Brianne Sharp, marketing and research coordinator for Godolphin; Sam Houston track announcer and handicapper Nick Tammaro; and Najja Thompson, executive director of New York Thoroughbred Breeders, Inc. and a member on several various boards.

“Thank you to everyone who applied for the Next Generation Advisory Group,” said CEO Lisa Lazarus. “HISA remains dedicated to preserving our sport for generations to come, and the sheer number of applicants alone has been an incredible sign of support for a successful future. We are thrilled to have such diverse perspectives, vast experience and impressive qualifications across our industry advisory groups.”

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Nick Tammaro Produces His First Breeders’ Cup Morning Line

By J. N. Campbell

As the Breeders' Cup Festival looms, Nick Tammaro is delving deep into the past performances. It's not to participate in the BC Betting Challenge. He's too principled. There is a more ardent task at hand-making the morning line.

Last month, Tammaro got the call from Keeneland about taking over the October Meet's duties, previously held by longtime oddsmaker Mike Battaglia. “It was a true honor to even be considered,” he said. “I have been doing this at Sam Houston Race Park and the chance to make the line at such a unique place as Keeneland is special.” The Breeders' Cup offer followed.

A Houston native who grew up in Dallas, Tammaro has a diverse resume. He's forged a career in the industry these past number of years that includes becoming a public handicapper to serving as the announcer at his home track. Raised by a horseplaying father who loved the sport, when asked by his son what families do on Saturdays, Tammaro recalls his father telling him, “I don't know, let's not find out.” Nick's father passed away earlier this year, but to hear him tell it, “I am sure Dad is up there bending someone's ear about how I am making the line for the Breeders' Cup.”

While it may be a distinct honor, crafting a morning line is a rather thankless pursuit. Tammaro makes an apt comparison. “You're a grocery store produce manager in that you only hear from customers when the tomatoes and lettuce are putrid.” This is one of those pressure-packed jobs at a racetrack with an interesting history.

In another age, the great turf writer Whitney Tower penned a piece for Sports Illustrated on March 2, 1959 entitled, “Hanging on the Morning Line,” in which he interviewed “Mr. Price Maker.” Tower told readers, “A friend…works at his own regular job six days a week, rarely gets to the races more than 15 times a year, and yet for the last 10 years has been among the top men in this difficult and exacting profession.” Enjoying his anonymity, Mr. Price Maker summed up his profession by adding, “My job is essentially one of evaluation rather than of observation.”

Nowadays, we know exactly who the culprit is that makes the odds. Tammaro and his colleagues regularly face strict scrutiny when something is off. Not all of it makes sense. “I always crack up when I put a horse at 8-1, and it goes off at 4, because that sends people into a furor on Twitter,” he said. “But when he is 3-1 and ends up 6-5, there is silence.” Like a weatherman forecasting a flash flood, predicting the odds in an age where computer-assisted wagering can sink a runner's payouts in seconds, there are numerous complexities when it comes to constructing the line.
Producing odds is all about observing myriad factors, with the goal of predicting what the public thinks the prices will be when a race goes off as opposed to who the linemaker thinks will win.
Tammaro is guided primarily by math. Every odds number represents a percentage of the betting pool, and using a spreadsheet, he balances the field until it adds up to a magic number of 120. When it comes to percentages, if he makes a horse 2-1, then he is saying that 33.33% of the public is betting on that horse to win. He calculates this with a formula: 2/1=2; that 2+1=3; 100/3=33.33). The more evenly the field is matched, the tougher it is to differentiate the odds of one horse with that of another.

Taking a cue from his handicapping, this oddsmaker has developed a two-fold system to sweep through the form once a field is drawn. This can be tricky because tracks release who is entered sometimes a week in advance of the race. “What I try to do is take a break after an initial run through,” Tammaro explained. “I think that all goes into the math and improvisation behind constructing an accurate morning line.” Watching replays, workouts, and looking at everything, from speed figures to the trainer and jockey statistics during a meet, are essential. “I couldn't make a line if I wasn't directly following a track,” he said. “I think it would be too difficult.” Everyone might not agree, but like an umpire calling balls and strikes, it's the human element that persists with this job.

In particular, the Breeders' Cup is a highly-specialized event when it comes to the odds because not only do you have some of the best pointing to the post, but there are international runners that are shipping in from around the world. Tammaro said he would feel the pressure, but admitted much of it is self-imposed, “No one will scrutinize what I do more than me.” For instance, when it comes to the Breeders' Cup GI Juvenile, GI Distaff, and GI Classic, he is faced with different puzzles in each race.

The Juvenile started out with a shortlist of competitors, but over the past few weeks, that has grown. He thinks that it could end up with 10 or 12 entered, but Bob Baffert's undefeated Southern California champion, Cave Rock (Arrogate) will be the morning-line favorite. “I don't see him being higher than 4-5 at this point,” Tammaro said. “I think the connections, plus his latest speed figure, make him better than Forte (Violence), who is a clear second choice.”

In for the Distaff, the Todd Pletcher matchup has him thinking that Nest (Curlin) will be a slight favorite at 8-5 over her older stablemate, Malathaat (Curlin) at 5-2. “This groundswell for Nest that the public is backing is remarkable, but I don't think her races after Belmont were against top competition. Malathaat should be the favorite, but that's not my job.” He said the toughest call was what to do with Steve Asmussen's Clairiere. At 4-1, his third choice is a real mystery, especially after a poor showing in the G1 Personal Ensign S. at Saratoga in August.

When it comes to the Classic, Tammaro is clear on this marquee event. John Sadler's Flightline (Tapit) is the deserving favorite. Rarely do oddsmakers in horse racing assign 1-9, and he is shying away from doing so. Tammaro is more in the 3-5 range, which still takes a significant piece of the pie. “I can't go that low because it takes away too much from the others, so 62.5% makes more sense.” The closest competitors, Epicenter (Not This Time), Life Is Good (Into Mischief), and Taiba (Gun Runner), will come in at 5-1 (16.66%), 6-1 (14.29%), and 8-1 (11.11%), respectively. He believes that Rich Strike (Keen Ice), beaten by Hot Rod Charlie (Oxbow) last time in the GII Lukas Classic, will end up at 20-1 (4.76%). Tammaro elaborated, “Hot Rod is probably going to be 15-1 (6.25%), based on the Lukas, and I think will be under the radar, what with the likes of Epicenter taking significant action.”

Still, he said he was not overly concerned about this slate. Rather, it's the races like the Juvenile Turf Sprint or Juvenile Turf, with their large and diverse fields, that can be more of a challenge. “Charlie Appleby runners are going to play a major factor, just like Aidan O'Brien's entries did in the past, but I will have my hands full with some of those races that could go in any direction,” Tammaro said.

The modern version of “Mr. Price Maker,” who also works full-time at a Houston staffing agency, won't shy away from a trip to Keeneland next week. After all, any racetrack is what he describes as his “happy place,” as he remembers those trips with his father. With that in mind, Nick Tammaro will produce the morning line odds for the Breeders' Cup to the best of his ability. Then customers can eye the tomatoes and lettuce.

HOW TAMMARO'S CLASSIC ADDS UP
Horse                             ML             % of pool
Flightline                       3/5              62.5%
Epicenter                       5/1             16%
Life Is Good                   6/1             14%
Taiba                              8/1             11%
Hot Rod Charlie            15/1             6%
Rich Strike                    20/1             5%

Happy Saver                 30/1             3%

Total                                                117.5%

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Handicapper, Sam Houston Racecaller Nick Tammaro Joins Bettor Things

Nick Tammaro has been known in public handicapping and tournament circles for nearly a decade now, having proven his sharp opinion on the New York Racing Association's Talking Horses pre-race handicapping show and in contest spots as prominent as the Breeders' Cup Betting Challenge. But Tammaro took on what he calls the “biggest professional challenge” of his life earlier this year at his hometown track, Sam Houston Race Park, when he started his first job as a full-time racecaller.

Tammaro just wrapped up his first Thoroughbred meet as the announcer at the player-friendly track and took a break before calling quarter horses Friday night to join the third episode of Bettor Things with Joe Bianca, TDN's handicapping-focused one-on-one conversation podcast. Bianca and Tammaro had an engaging, funny and illuminating 40-minute discussion that touched on a wide variety of topics: the debate over the Triple Crown's spacing, sports betting, fixed-odds wagering, how to keep your mind focused during the chaos of a major handicapping tournament, their shared schadenfreude for James Harden's playoff failures, what the racing and handicapping landscape will look like in 10-15 years and much more. Then, in his future bets segment, Bianca gave out bets for the French Open, two each on the men's and women's sides.

Click here to watch the show; click here for the audio-only version or find it on Apple Podcasts or Spotify.

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Nick Tammaro New Announcer at Sam Houston

Houston native Nick Tammaro has been named the new track announcer of Sam Houston Race Park. He will step into the role when the 50-day Thoroughbred meet gets underway Jan. 6 and will also call for the Quarter Horse meet, which begins in April.

The 37-year-old Tammaro has been following racing since his first trip to Louisiana's Fair Grounds when he was six. He's been officially involved in racing for more than 13 years as a public handicapper, speed figure maker, and oddsmaker. He has competed eight times in the National Handicapping Challenge in Las Vegas and earned a top-five finish in the Breeders' Cup Betting Challenge. Tammaro called the 2021 Quarter Horse meet at Sam Houston when previous announcer Chris Griffin departed for Parx.

“Nick has been a part of the Sam Houston Race Park team for many years as our morning-line oddsmaker and guest handicapper,” said Frank Hopf, Sam Houston's senior director of racing operations. “He did a tremendous job calling races during our Quarter Horse meet. His passion for the sport of horseracing is contagious and will be a major asset to our team.”

Tammaro got his undergrad at the University of Dallas and earned his M.B.A. at the University of Houston. He and his wife, Norma, and 2-year-old daughter, Alessandra, live in Pearland, just outside of Houston.

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