Who Will Be This Year’s Leading First-Crop Sire?

From this year's class, which freshman sire will emerge on top? And what sire currently flying under the radar will be the year's biggest surprise? With 2-year-old sales season upon us, over the next few days, we will be hearing from some of the experts.

NIALL BRENNAN

Top Pick: Vino Rosso (Curlin–Mythical Bride, by Street Cry {Ire}). Spendthrift Farm, 2023 fee: $15,000.

The Mitoles were popular at the yearling sales and they sold well at the OBS March sale. They look like they will be early types. There will be some pressure on him because the expectation for him will be for him to get quite a few 2-year-old winners. I have a Vino Rosso who is quite nice. I'll pick Vino Rosso and the reason is, he was a very good racehorse and has the pedigree. He was a very good older horse. But from what we've seen so far, they have quite a bit of maturity and look like they could be summer 2-year-olds. That's impressive for a stallion where you might think they'll be better later on. From the Vino Rossos, I am seeing athleticism and mental maturity. It's between Mitole and Vino Ross, but I'll give the edge to Vino Rosso.

Under-the-radar pick: Demarchelier (Dubawi {Ire}–Loveisallyouneed {Ire}, by Sadler's Wells). Claiborne Farm, 2023 fee: $5,000.

   My under-the-radar pick will be Demarchelier, a son of Dubawi who stands at Claiborne. He was an excellent racehorse in the making who won his first three starts before he got hurt. That reminds me of Danzig, who only had three starts and was retired. I'm not comparing him to Danzig. I'm just saying it is a similar story. He's the only son of Dubawi to stand over here and he had a lot of talent. I bred a mare to him because I thought he was a super value. Like Oscar Performance, he's going to have to step up and prove himself because he's a turf horse standing in America. They are average-sized, which he was. I have two that I really like. They are sharp and forward. I saw a couple breeze well at the March sale. I wouldn't be surprised if he comes up with four or five nice 2-year-old winners on the grass. He has the quality to do that. He has the potential to break out and have some really nice turf horses.

CARRIE BROGDEN

Top pick: Audible (Into Mischief–Blue Devil Bel, by Gilded Time). WinStar Farm, 2023 fee: $25,000.

I think that every year, the early chatter about who is good and who is going to struggle is very telling, so I have learned to listen to that. Last year in January and February, all the talk was about Bolt d'Oro. The year before in January and February, it was Gun Runner. So we bred three mares to him on his bubble year, off the early chatter. So I'm going to have to go with the horse that everyone was talking about, and that was Audible. With Bolt d'Oro, every single person you talked to had one they liked. I felt that was the case this year with Audible. At Saratoga, we sold an Audible filly to MyRacehorse named Lady Blitz, and I bought a microshare just to keep up with her. She has just gone to Todd Pletcher's barn and she is the real deal. Now, full disclosure: I have a share in Audible, but we have shares in a lot of stallions. Before the speed works and everything, that early chatter tells you who the horses are that like to train.

Under-the-radar pick: Maximus Mischief (Into Mischief–Reina Maria, by Songandaprayer). Spendthrift Farm: 2023 fee: $7,500.

Once again, I'm very biased here. We pinhooked him, raised him, sold him at Saratoga, stayed in on him with Cary Frommer, and took him to the 2-year-old sale. He was very fast. I think his horses look just like him. I'm biased, but I do feel like he's got a big shot. He throws a very different physical than Audible, who seems to throw a stouter body type. He was slightly long, and he throws a big, long horse.

JARED HUGHES

Top pick: Omaha Beach (War Front–Charming, by Seeking the Gold). Spendthrift Farm, 2023 fee: $30,000.

I've liked Omaha Beach from the start and he hasn't disappointed at any step of the way. Great physical from a tremendous female family and they've looked like runners as weanlings, yearlings, and now 2-year-olds. I'm excited to see what he can do this year.

Under-the-radar pick: Solomini (Curlin–Surf Song, by Storm Cat). McMahon of Saratoga, 2023 fee: $6,500

The under-the-radar pick is tricky this year due to a lack of depth, but I've liked the Solominis. He was a good 2-year-old who finished first in a Grade I and looks like he could be a standout in the New York market. Curlin is hot as a sire of sires right now with Good Magic waving the flag with three in the Derby.

Want to send in your first-crop sire selections? Email suefinley@thetdn.com.

In tomorrow's TDN: more first-crop sire picks (and lots of red, red wine).

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All Six 2-Year-Olds Reoffered by Keeneland Change Hands

Six 2-year-olds previously purchased at last year's Keeneland September Sale for a collective $4.875 million through bloodstock agent Richard Knight have been resold, according to a report in Blood-Horse. Keeneland did not reveal the buyers or purchase prices.

Prospective buyers were to submit only one offer on each horse they were interested in with the highest acceptable offer taking the horse. There was no public or online auction held by Keeneland. The six juveniles were all in training in Ocala with either Niall Brennan or David Scanlon.

The most expensive of the group and the eighth-most expensive horse to sell at Keeneland September 2022 was hip 192, a Constitution–Cozze Up Lady colt, who brought $1.3 million last year.

The second-most expensive September yearling of the group was a filly by Gun Runner–Just Wicked, a full-sister to the multiple graded stakes winning Wicked Halo, who brought $1.1 million at Keeneland September.

The group was rounded out by a filly by Justify–Fully Living, who brought $1.05 million as a KEESEP yearling; a Street Sense–Bambalina colt, who brought a final bid of $725,000 at KEESEP; an Omaha Beach colt out of Daisy, who brought $400,000 at KEESEP; and a Twirling Candy–Danceforthecause colt, who brought $300,000 at KEESEP.

For more information on the six 2-year-olds, including videos, click here.

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Keeneland Reoffer of Six Two-Year-Old `Collector’s Items’ Opens Monday

Keeneland will accept offers Monday at 9 a.m. for the six now two-year-olds previously purchased at Keeneland September for which the company was never paid. The six, purchased for a collective $4.875 million in September through bloodstock agent Richard Knight, have been in training in Ocala with Niall Brennan and David Scanlon since they shipped from the September sale. Their pedigrees, videos are photos have all been posted by Keeneland, here.

Interested parties have the opportunity, as do their veterinarians, to inspect the horses in-person or virtually. Radiographs and endoscopic videos are in the Keeneland Repository. Interested parties will submit one offer on each horse they are interested in, with the highest acceptable offer taking the horse. There is no public or online live auction that will take place, and buyers must pay for the horses in full by March 8 at 5 p.m., with buyers being responsible for the horses' training, treatment and other fees as of March 1.

The most expensive of the group and the eighth-most expensive horse to sell at Keeneland September 2022 was hip 192, a Constitution—Cozze Up Lady colt, who brought $1.3 million.

“He is a nice, big, tall, leggy colt,” said David Scanlon. “He has a great walk to him, a really nice step, and good length to him. He really attracts your attention on the racetrack. I think you can see on his videos that he moves really well. He really covers the ground effortlessly. He's a very good-moving horse.”

Scanlon has seen significant development in the colt in the five months he has had him, he said. “He was always a big-framed colt, had all the right angles and all the right things. He was a little taller, maybe a little leaner version of what he is now. And over time and training, he's really filled out and muscled up. He's just matured and filled out more.”

The second-most expensive September yearling of the group is a filly with Niall Brennan, by Gun Runner—Just Wicked, a full-sister to the multiple graded stakes winning Wicked Halo, who brought $1.1 million at Keeneland September. Since the sale, Wicked Halo has padded her resume with her second Grade II stakes win in the Lexus Raven Run S., and was third in the GI Breeders' Cup Filly and Mare Sprint.

“The Gun Runner filly, she speaks for herself,” said Brennan. “Her sister won a Grade II after they bought her, when she won the Raven Run at Keeneland. The mare is a producer, so it's a fabulous Winchell family. She's a lovely specimen for Gun Runner. She's done very well since September. She's grown some, and she's filled out tremendously. She's a very substantial filly. She's a good size with great substance, a beautiful head on her, very intelligent eye, and she trains that way.”

He continued, “She's very laid back and very smart. She just does what she has to do. She's very easy on herself. Again, they've been doing easy stuff, just nice, easy gallops every day, but she could go on at any time. She's got the strength and maturity physically and mentally to be a nice late-summer two-year-old. And she has speed because she's a very strong filly and an efficient mover on the track. But I also think she's built and bred to stretch out a bit. The Gun Runners have got great minds. I'd say she's quite typical of the Gun Runners, except she's probably got a little bit more substance than many of them at this stage.”

He also has a filly by Justify—Fully Living, who brought $1.05 million as a yearling.

“It's funny, because obviously there are a lot of inquiries on these fillies right now and people who say, `Which one do you prefer, Niall?' Or, `Which one is better Niall?'” said Brennan. “And my answer to them is that you can't compare. These are kids in second grade. You're asking what they're going to be like in college. And that's the fact. The two fillies that I have are both beautiful fillies, but they're very different. The Justify filly is a tall, scopey, growthy filly right now. She's really gone through a growing stage. She's another one that's got a lovely demeanor. And again, you could see on the gallop video, she's a lovely mover on the racetrack. She's very light on her feet, doing things effortlessly. She's a stretchy filly. She's growing again right now, and if you give her a little bit of time, this filly could be really nice in the fall. And again, she's another that's bred to be a really good three-year old. She's bred to run long, as in a mile-plus.

“She very athletic. She'll come to hand easily, in my opinion. And there's something about her that's really, really nice that's not obvious. She's got a lovely mind and is very professional. The frame is there, but she'll benefit with more time.”

In training with Scanlon is the Street Sense—Bambalina colt who brought a final bid of $725,000 in September.

“The Street Sense is a very strong horse. He has a really nice hip and high leg, a very good, strong shoulder on him, and a wide chest. He's another horse you can just see is a very powerful horse. And he actually gets over the ground really nicely,” said Scanlon. “Street Sense over a Bernardini mare is a beautiful cross that has done very well. He's a very classy horse with a lot of presence.”

Scanlon also has an Omaha Beach colt out of Daisy, who brought $400,000 in September.

“The Omaha Beach is a really nice, strong horse,” said Scanlon. “He's a very fleshy type. He gets that from the War Front side. But then he's got some nice refinement, too. He's got a beautiful head and nice angles, a good bit of leg under him. He's got a really good hindquarter and shoulder on him, gets over the ground really nicely, and just has a nice presence to him.”

And finally, Brennan is training the Twirling Candy—Danceforthecause colt who brought $300,000.

“This colt has done extremely well since September and he's grown at least a good two inches,” said Brennan. “He's 16.1 now. He's put on about 150 pounds. He's a big boy now, but he's a gentle giant. He's got a great temperament, very professional. He's a beautiful mover on the racetrack. For his size, he's very light on his feet, and as you can see in the gallop videos, he's just a very smooth horse. He's obviously got a lovely pedigree.”

The colt is a half-brother to Say the Word (More Than Ready), a multiple-Grade II and Grade I stakes-placed runner; and Rideforthecause (Candy Ride {Arg}), also a Grade II winner.

“His brothers were stakes winners on the turf,” said Brennan. “He does move very well on the dirt, but we're in the early stages. We're doing second, third grade stuff right now. So they're just kids going through the learning process. But he does everything right and he's got a tremendous temperament.”

“I think he's going to be a better later developer,” he continued. “He'll be a fall two-year old and a better three-year old. That's what he's bred to do and that's what he physically looks like. He's going to be a lovely horse for the future. He does everything right. He's just a big baby right now.”

Globally, said Scanlon, the six on offer are of a very high quality. “My three, and I've actually heard of the others as well, they all justified their purchase prices. They're beautiful. They did a great job buying the horses. They're all very quality, high-end quality horses.

“The situation is a shame. But the one good thing is you've got a very good product to have to reoffer to the public. It's not like the gentleman didn't do a good job. It's a very nice product to put out there. The horses are all standout horses.”

Brennan said he agreed.

“I do think they were well-bought,” he said. “They're horses that are very nice, and obviously the fillies sold accordingly back in September. It was a very competitive bidding market, and these fillies had pedigree and presence, and they were desirable. People wanted them. The way this bidding process is, it's a sealed bid, so it's just one bid. And so people are a bit confused about this because obviously human nature has you wanting to bid against somebody else. In this process, it's important for them to know it's one bid. You make your best bid.”

He said a lot of potential buyers had been inquiring about how much they will bring.

“People ask me, `How do you value them?' I said, `This is how you value them. These are top-quality prospects. In three weeks' time, we're going to start the two-year-old sales process at OBS, and there will be horses over there with no pedigree that breeze exceptionally fast, and people will be battling each other to buy them, and they'll be bringing double what they're worth. And these horses here now are horses that brought the prices legitimately in the market back in September, walking on the end of a shank. Now you've got the benefit of seeing them six months later, galloping beautifully on the racetrack, where their vet work is done and clean and they're ready to go on. How can they not be worth what they brought in a competitive market back in September?”

He points out that potential buyers' have now saved on five months of training bills.

“And that's really how people need to value it right now,” he said. “This (two-year-old) sales market is about to start and it's going to be hot and you're going to regret not buying these. By the time April comes around, people are going to look back and regret not taking the opportunity to buy these horses with their best offer. Because these are collector's items.”

 

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Keeneland To Re-Offer Six September Sale Yearlings

A half-dozen recently turned 2-year-olds–four colts and two fillies–originally sold for a cumulative $4.85 million at last year's Keeneland September Sale, are being reoffered by Keeneland, the auction house announced Friday. Offers will be accepted from Feb. 27 through Mar. 1. Details on the horses and the offer process are available here.

Each of the six horses is currently in training in Ocala with David Scanlon or Niall Brennan and are available for in-person inspection by appointment. Contact info may be accessed at the link above.

The six horses were acquired by Richard Knight Bloodstock during the September sale. Tattersalls also re-offered 17 horses earlier this year purchased by Knight for gross receipts of better than 11 million guineas at last year's October Yearling Sale.

“These horses are actively in training with David and Niall and should fit well into anyone's program, particularly end-users who are looking at summer and fall racing opportunities,” Keeneland Vice President of Sales Tony Lacy said. “Prospective buyers in the Ocala area are welcome to inspect the horses in person. We also encourage those participating remotely to view the walking and training videos on www.Keeneland.com/reoffer.”

Horses at Scanlon Training Center:

  • Colt by Constitution out of Grade III winner Cozze Up Lady (Cozzene); half-brother to GISW Kimari (Munnings); originally purchased for $1.3 million;
  • Colt by Omaha Beach out of Grade III winner Daisy (Blame), purchased for $400,000;
  • Colt by Street Sense out of Bambalina (Bernardini) whose second dam is champion Perfect Sting (Red Ransom), a $725,000 acquisition.

Horses with Niall Brennan Stables:

  • Colt by Twirling Candy out of Danceforthecause (Giant's Causeway) who is a half-brother to Canadian champion Say the Word (More Than Ready) and Grade II winner Rideforthecause (Candy Ride {Arg}), originally sold for $300,000;
  • A Justify filly out of GSP Fully Living (Unbridled's Song), a $1.05-million purchase;
  • A Gun Runner–Just Wicked (Tapit) filly whose full-sister Wicked Halo won the GII Lexus Raven Run S. and GII Prioress S., a $1.1-million sale.

“Given the quality of these individuals and the interest they have attracted both in September and now, we feel an invitation to make an offer is the best way at this time to ensure a fair and transparent process for prospective buyers,” Keeneland President and CEO Shannon Arvin said.

Current pedigree pages, walking and training videos and pre-sale veterinary X-rays and endoscopic video submitted to Keeneland's online Repository are available at the link aboe. Veterinary exams were conducted on each horse as of Feb. 2. A second veterinary exam will be done within 10 days of sale, and those results will be available in the online Repository. Information on the 2-year-olds will be updated on www.keeneland.com/reoffer through noon on Mar. 1.

Offerors are encouraged to inspect fully any horse they may seek to purchase. Horses will be sold on an “AS-IS” basis, subject to the terms of the Bill of Sale available at the website.

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