Book 1 Sensation Out Early At Newmarket

Observations on the European Racing Scene turns the spotlight on the best European races of the day, highlighting well-pedigreed horses early in their careers, horses of note returning to action and young runners that achieved notable results in the sales ring. Sunday's Observations features a pricy son of Dubawi (Ire).

1.15 Newmarket, Mdn,  £15,000, 2yo, 5fT
SYNDICATED (GB) (Dubawi {Ire}) is a surprise runner on breeding in this sharp juvenile test, being an April-foaled son of J Wonder (Footstepsinthesand {GB}), the full-sister to Chachamaidee (Ire) (Footstepsinthesand {GB}) who captured the G3 Fred Darling S. and G3 Oaks Tree S. for Andrew Rosen. Andrew Balding had a bright 2021 with his juveniles and it will be interesting to see how this 450,000gns Tattersalls October Book 1 graduate, who races for Rosen and Myracehorse, fares with Royal Ascot on the horizon.

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Guineas Glory For Coroebus

A Godolphin-Charlie Appleby one-two in Saturday's G1 QIPCO 2000 Guineas at Newmarket seemed highly plausible, but as the dust settled on the sun-blessed Rowley Mile it was Coroebus (Ire) (Dubawi {Ire}) and not Native Trail (GB) (Oasis Dream {GB}) who held the Moulton Paddocks bragging rights. Despite arriving here in his stablemate's shadow, the G3 Autumn S. winner received due respect and support at 5-1 attempting to navigate from the one draw on the far side. As the 5-4 favourite charged down the other wing with William Buick animated, Coroebus was just gliding under James Doyle and no sooner had he been delivered to lead approaching the furlong pole was the result settled. Hard as Native Trail tried to bridge the gap, it was 3/4 of a length at the line as Ballydoyle's Luxembourg (Ire) (Camelot {GB}) put up an ideal Derby trial, 1 1/2 lengths away in third. “At halfway, I thought 'this is all going pretty well' and I just had to keep patient,” the winning rider said. “It was no surprise to see William there at the finish–I had thought of saying to him going down 'I'll be seeing you at the other end' and that was how it happened. He travelled incredibly strong throughout and there's no reason he won't improve from today, as he was quite exuberant through the race.”

What had looked beforehand a vintage renewal may well turn out that way, with the only one of the “big four” out of the frame being the forwardly-ridden Point Lonsdale (Ire) (Australia {GB}) who had been interfered with by Native Trail as that rival veered right running down into the dip. Coroebus, who had so dramatically gone too early when worn down by Royal Patronage (Fr) (Wootton Bassett {GB}) in the G2 Royal Lodge S., was not for stopping this time as he showed all the benefit of a winter's strengthening. Still a physical specimen in need of time, the winner faced a deficit in terms of form figures entering this but put it all together to emerge best of a strong bunch.

As Coroebus remained trapped wide without cover for the early part of the contest, Native Trail had the same dilemma towards the stands but as expected their racing styles were in marked contrast throughout. There was no surprise to see Buick niggling some way out to engage his long-striding mount and, equally, nothing unusual in the manner Doyle was able to employ minimal encouragement to send the slick-travelling second-string forward heading to the downhill slope. Native Trail lost minor momentum there as he lugged into Point Lonsdale, but his finish was typically strong enough to win out had Coroebus fallen into a hole as he had in the Royal Lodge. Seven months on, the son of Dubawi was a more dynamic proposition at the death and that was the telling factor. Intriguingly, he becomes the latest superstar to emerge from the August Newmarket mile novice–formerly a maiden–won by Motivator (GB), Frankel (GB) and Roaring Lion.

“Ryan [Moore] joined me quite quick and so I just asked him a couple of questions going into the dip and he responded incredibly–I think had Ryan not forced my hand to go early I could have afforded to be even cheekier and he would have won even more impressively,” explained Doyle, the latest in a long line of riders to sport the old “lucky” white cap for the operation in a prestige event. “It is just amazing how hard it is to win this race. I've ridden some very good horses, including Kingman and Barney Roy–I hate to mention them, but they both fell short through no fault of their own and were victims of circumstance. It is testament to Charlie and the belief he has in us guys. For a jockey go out in a big race with a free rein to change things up is an incredible feeling.”

Interestingly, immediately after Coroebus's Autumn success on a Future Champions Day which belonged to the stable, Appleby had seemed to favour him over Native Trail. He said at the time, “It's a long way off, but I do like Coroebus. He's a supreme traveller and although you cannot fault what Native Trail has done, you've got to be able to travel in a Guineas and what Coroebus does have is a high cruising speed. You'll never take him off the bridle before the two-pole.” Reflecting on Saturday's performance, he said, “I could see James was travelling for fun and that's what this horse does–they can't go quick enough for him. He's a seven-furlong horse who could potentially get a bit further than a mile in time, I think.”

“I'd like to think I know the Dubawis by now,” Appleby added. “We've had enough of them through our hands and he's shown us all the right signs. This horse has always shown, like any good horse, natural pace and when they have that natural pace in the physique he has you can't do anything apart from get excited about it. He gained a lot of confidence in the Autumn Stakes and you have to just keep filling him up as he has an electric turn of foot. Dare I say it, he'll progress throughout the season and I think we'll potentially try to keep them apart.”

“It would be a shame for them to keep butting heads with one another and on the evidence of what we've seen today they are the best two 3-year-old colts around to date,” their trainer concluded. “We can probably say Native Trail will go to Ireland for the Irish 2000 Guineas where we have seen him be impressive before and Coroebus can go straight to the St James's Palace. Native Trail has gone down on his sword, but to be fair to him he's not actually built like a Newmarket runner and his class gets him through it. He's built to meet a nice rising track and Ascot would suit him perfectly. He's been beaten by an exceptional horse and is still a class animal.”

Already replete with Derby prospects, Aidan O'Brien can approach the Epsom Classic with even greater bullishness after Luxembourg put in a perfect preparatory effort. There were shades of Australia (GB), who also filled the third spot in 2014, in his performance as he stayed on to chase the pacier duo up ahead. “We knew he was a middle-distance horse and we were happy with where he was coming into this, so we were delighted with that run,” he said. “Everything went perfect over the winter and Ryan was delighted, he said he just stepped half a length slow out of the stalls and it just lost him a length or two but he was full of praise and Ryan did everything perfect. Point Lonsdale might not have been as forward as the other horse, so we hope there's going to be more to come from him. He's a horse that's going to be happy stepping up to a mile and a quarter and a mile and a half as well.”

Coroebus is the second foal out of the G3 Oh So Sharp S. scorer First Victory (Ire) (Teofilo {Ire}), who is one of five black-type winners out of the leading producer Eastern Joy (GB) (Dubai Destination). They include the four-times group 1 and grade I-winning Godolphin flagbearer Thunder Snow (Ire) (Helmet {Aus}), who was versatile enough to win a Dubai World Cup, the G2 May Hill S. winner and G1 1000 Guineas-placed Ihtimal (Ire) (Shamardal) and Always Smile (Ire) (Cape Cross {Ire}) who was runner-up in the G1 Sun Chariot S. and third in the G1 Falmouth S. The third dam is the G2 Sun Chariot S. winner Red Slippers (Nureyev), a full-sister to the G2 Jockey Club S. winner and G1 Epsom Derby-placed Romanov (Ire) and a half to the G1 Irish Derby and G1 Epsom Oaks heroine Balanchine (Storm Bird) who was responsible for the G1 Prix de Diane heroine West Wind (GB) (Machiavellian). Also connected to the G1 Irish Derby hero Sovereign (Ire) (Galileo {Ire}), First Victory's 2-year-old colt by Shamardal is named Pherenikos (Ire).

Saturday, Newmarket, Britain
QIPCO 2000 GUINEAS S.-G1, £500,000, Newmarket, 4-30, 3yo, 8fT, 1:36.27, gd.
1–COROEBUS (IRE), 126, c, 3, by Dubawi (Ire)
     1st Dam: First Victory (Ire) (GSW-Eng), by Teofilo (Ire)
     2nd Dam: Eastern Joy (GB), by Dubai Destination
     3rd Dam: Red Slippers, by Nureyev
1ST GROUP 1 WIN. O/B-Godolphin (IRE); T-Charlie Appleby; J-James Doyle. £283,550. Lifetime Record: 4-3-1-0, $439,852. Werk Nick Rating: A+++ *Triple Plus*. Click for the eNicks report & 5-cross pedigree.
2–Native Trail (GB), 126, c, 3, Oasis Dream (GB)–Needleleaf (GB), by Observatory. (€50,000 Wlg '19 ARQDE; 67,000gns Ylg '20 TATOCT; 210,000gns 2yo '21 TATBRE). O-Godolphin; B-Le Haras d'Haspel (GB); T-Charlie Appleby. £107,500.
3–Luxembourg (Ire), 126, c, 3, Camelot (GB)–Attire (Ire), by Danehill Dancer (Ire). (150,000gns Ylg '20 TATOCT). O-Westerberg,Mrs J Magnier,M Tabor,D Smith; B-B V Sangster (IRE); T-Aidan O'Brien. £53,800.
Margins: 3/4, 1HF, 2. Odds: 5.00, 1.25, 4.50.
Also Ran: Eydon (Ire), Berkshire Shadow (GB), Lusail (Ire), Perfect Power (Ire), Royal Patronage (Fr), Light Infantry (Fr), Point Lonsdale (Ire), The Wizard of Eye (Ire), Tacarib Bay (GB), Boundless Ocean (Ire), Checkandchallenge (GB), Dubawi Legend (Ire). Click for the free Equineline.com catalogue-style pedigree.

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The Return Of The Native

Since Charlie Appleby took up the mantle at Moulton Paddocks in 2013, Godolphin's fortunes on British soil have been back on the rise and there is no greater exponent of that trend than Saturday's G1 QIPCO 2000 Guineas leading light Native Trail (GB) (Oasis Dream {GB}). The way Appleby's runners have been sweeping up the Spring's black-type contests so far this term is reminiscent of the days when Henry Cecil's Warren Place was at its height and provides further evidence that Ballydoyle has a heavyweight of mutual prowess to trade blows with in these times. Native Trail, who may have been compromised if anything by having only seven furlongs to run over at two, looks the proverbial “good thing” that the yard's Pinatubo (Ire) (Shamardal) turned out not to be in this two years ago.

Simon Rowlands, in his excellent “Sectional Spotlight” feature on attheraces.com, is clear as to the hot favourite's advantage over his peers. “What sets him apart most is [a] giant stride, of a magnitude usually seen only in champions,” he stated in his most recent piece, having measured it at “a peak of 27.3 feet when 24.5 feet is the global average for flat horses”. He calls this “monster territory” and that is what the other 14 Guineas pretenders are up against.

 

Leading The Chase

OK, so what gets near the huge-striding royal blue colossus? Maybe Ballydoyle's G1 Vertem Futurity Trophy winner Luxembourg (Ire) (Camelot {GB}), who with his similarly unbeaten tag is at least a worthy opponent. His electric finishing surge in a weak-looking renewal of the G2 Beresford S. provoked memories of the race's recent winners Sea the Stars (Ire), St Nicholas Abbey (Ire) and Saxon Warrior (Jpn) and he is undoubtedly the chief threat to Native Trail. Aidan O'Brien has taken on clear division-leaders Xaar (GB), Dubawi (Ire) and New Approach (Ire) in the past and managed to subdue them in this, so he knows more than most what it takes to down champions not hailing from the Rosegreen pantheon. There is every chance Luxembourg is a rare talent. Professional but not scintillating at Doncaster, he gave us a glimpse of his material in the Beresford where it was notable how old hand Seamie Heffernan reacted. Not renowned for his tendency to hype, he was abuzz in the winner's spot on that occasion.

 

According To Ryan

Another who errs on the side of caution when in analysis, Ryan Moore's unspoken gestures are often the ones to focus on and it is surely the case that almost nobody expected him to side with Point Lonsdale (Ire) (Australia {GB}) over Luxembourg. Famously a man of few words, his Betfair blog can be read as a subtle warning. “We expect him to make his presence felt,” he said of the Westerberg flag-bearer as he prepares to halt Team Godolphin's momentum. Interestingly, he had insight to offer on the speed aspect of the race, Perfect Power (Ire) (Ardad {Ire}). “I think the faster 2-year-olds were some way inferior to their staying counterparts,” he states.

 

The Coroebus Dilemma

Godolphin's burgeoning talent Coroebus (Ire) (Dubawi {Ire}) is here very much on merit, but seems to be viewed as a longer-term prospect in the shadow of Native Trail and this education will not be lost on him. If he had one major weakness at two it was his painful honesty, seen most tellingly as he ripped off passing halfway in the G2 Royal Lodge S. before being eventually dragged back by Royal Patronage (Fr) (Wootton Bassett {GB}). Held on to for longer over the same course and distance in the G3 Autumn S., the bay who bears a resemblance to his sire has significant ground to make up on Native Trail on every score and it will be James Doyle's task to play the waiting game drawn as far away from his stablemate as is possible.

 

Winter Bloomers

Few would have predicted that Eydon (Ire) (Olden Times {GB}) and Checkandchallenge (GB) (Fast Company {Ire})–from contrasting ends of the ownership and training spectrum in Prince Faisal and Roger Varian and Andrew Hetherton and William Knight respectively–would be live Guineas outsiders when making their all-weather debuts in the colder months. The former was beaten in a Newcastle novice Feb. 19 before taking a huge leap forward in the nine-furlong Listed Feilden S. at Newmarket, while the race's fairytale horse Checkandchallenge was all style in Newcastle's Listed Burradon S. David Egan rates Eydon, whose state of wellbeing has forced connections' hands into putting him in this picture. “We went a slow pace in the Feilden, he had to show a lot of speed to get into the race and he did everything with ease.”

Click here for the group fields.

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Native Trail To Face 14 In The Guineas

Godolphin's unbeaten champion juvenile Native Trail (GB) (Oasis Dream {GB}) heads a field of 15 for Saturday's G1 QIPCO 2000 Guineas at Newmarket, with William Buick on board as expected leaving the fellow Charlie Appleby-trained Coroebus (Ire) (Dubawi {Ire}) to be ridden by James Doyle. Drawn at opposite sides, the G1 Vincent O'Brien National S. and G1 Dewhurst S. hero Native Trail is in 15 with his G3 Autumn S.-winning stablemate in one with a field split always a possibility in this race. Ballydoyle's unbeaten G1 Vertem Futurity Trophy winner Luxembourg (Ire) (Camelot {GB}) will break under Ryan Moore from stall four, with the operation's TDN Rising Star Point Lonsdale (Ire) (Australia {GB}) in 11 with Aidan O'Brien snapping up Frankie Dettori. The master of Rosegreen withdrew Glounthaune (Ire) (Kodiac {GB}), while the three others taken out were Angel Bleu (Fr)  (Dark Angel {Ire}), Bayside Boy (Ire) (New Bay {GB}) and Dr Zempf (GB) (Dark Angel {Ire}). Looking for a pace scenario at this stage, it could be that low numbers are the place to be with Highclere Thoroughbred Racing's Royal Patronage (Fr) (Wootton Bassett {GB}), who beat Coroebus in the course-and-distance G2 Royal Lodge S., set to exit from stall six. Another high-profile runner drawn low is Sheikh Rashid Dalmook Al Maktoum's G1 Prix Morny and G1 Middle Park S. winner Perfect Power (Ire) (Ardad {Ire}) in three.

Saturday, Newmarket, post time: 15:40
THE QIPCO 2000 GUINEAS STAKES (CLASS 1) (GROUP 1) (BRITISH CHAMPIONS SERIES)-G1, £500,000, 8f 0y
1 Berkshire Shadow (GB) Dark Angel (Ire) Berkshire Parts & Panels Ltd No1 Fanclub Andrew Balding Jason Watson 126
2 Boundless Ocean (Ire) Teofilo (Ire) Mrs J. S. Bolger J. S. Bolger Kevin Manning 126
3 Checkandchallenge (GB) Fast Company (Ire) Mr A. Hetherton William Knight Daniel Tudhope 126
4 Coroebus (Ire) Dubawi (Ire) Godolphin Charlie Appleby James Doyle 126
5 Dubawi Legend (Ire) Dubawi (Ire) Dr Ali Ridha Hugo Palmer Tom Marquand 126
6 Eydon (Ire) Olden Times (GB) Prince A. A. Faisal Roger Varian David Egan 126
7 Light Infantry (Fr) Fast Company (Ire) Never Say Die Partnership David Simcock Jamie Spencer 126
8 Lusail (Ire) Mehmas (Ire) Al Shaqab Racing Richard Hannon Pat Dobbs 126
9 Luxembourg (Ire) Camelot (GB) Westerberg/Mrs J Magnier/M Tabor/D Smith Aidan O'Brien 126
10 Native Trail (GB) Oasis Dream (GB) Godolphin Charlie Appleby William Buick 126
11 Perfect Power (Ire) Ardad (Ire) Sheikh Rashid Dalmook Al Maktoum Richard Fahey C. Soumillon 126
12 Point Lonsdale (Ire) Australia (GB) D.Smith,Mrs J.Magnier,M.Tabor,Westerberg Aidan O'Brien 126
13 Royal Patronage (Fr) Wootton Bassett (GB) Highclere T'Bred Racing – Woodland Walk Charlie & Mark Johnston Jason Hart 126
14 Tacarib Bay (GB) Night of Thunder (Ire) Mr J. R. Shannon Richard Hannon Sean Levey 126
15 The Wizard of Eye (Ire) Galileo Gold (GB) O Humphrey A Favell R Humphrey J S Moore J. S. Moore John Egan 126

Breeders: 1-Cheveley Park Stud Limited, 2-J. S. Bolger, 3-Meon Valley Stud, 4-Godolphin, 5-Rabbah Bloodstock Limited, 6-Nawara Stud Limited, 7-7mme 1barbara Moser, 8-Tally-Ho Stud, 9-B. V. Sangster, 10-Le Haras D'Haspel, 11-Tally-Ho Stud, 12-Epona Bloodstock Ltd, 13-Emma Capon Bloodstock, 14-J. R. Shannon, 15-M. Phelan

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