The Haiku Handicapper Presented By BC2A Equine Sports Performance: 2020 Kentucky Derby

Time to analyze the 2020 Kentucky Derby field, in post position order, in the form of Haiku; a Japanese poem of 17 syllables, in three lines of five, seven, and five.

To read previous editions of The Haiku Handicapper, click here.

#2 – Max Player
Can't knock his hustle
Don't love the late-game barn change
Should gain some ground late

#3 – Enforceable
Looked good at Fair Grounds
But fell off the map quickly
Blue-blood would surprise

#4 – Storm the Court
How many horses
Finish third at Thistledown
Then win the Derby?

#5 – Major Fed
A fine Grade 3-type
Punching against heavyweights
Tricky assignment

#7 – Money Moves
One start in six months
An optional claimer loss
This guy's pocket change

#8 – South Bend
Which will be longer:
Touchdown Jesus's wingspan
Or lengths off winner?

#9 – Mr. Big News
First-class pedigree
Exit-row coach race record
Minor check at best

#10 – Thousand Words
His ship's been righted
Knocking around four-horse fields
What's his true level?

#11 – Necker Island
A wonderful claim
Who's lost to a lot of these
He'd be an upset

#12 – Sole Volante
Churchill plays turfy
Which might be his best surface
A player, if he's right

#13 – Attachment Rate
Has some wins in him
Don't reckon this'll be one
He'll grow up nicely

#14 – Winning Impression
A pair of sevenths
Never held back Dallas Stewart
From trying longshots

#15 – Ny Traffic
Loves to run second
Pack animal tendencies
Wait for a mile race

#16 – Honor A. P.
Mike Smith had options
This one got the final rose
Serious win threat

#17 – Tiz the Law
All that's left to do
Is avenge his Churchill loss
And he's a man now

#18 – Authentic
Nail-biting Haskell
Begs the question if he peaked
For the May Derby

Prediction
Long-awaited bout
“Law” staves off Honor A. P.
Twelve and two follow

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Kentucky Derby Pedigree Corner: Winning Impression, Necker Island, And Money Moves

Each day of Kentucky Derby week, we'll take a look at the pedigrees of some Derby contenders and how those pedigrees might factor into their ability to succeed at 1 1/4 miles.

Pedigree analysis for the rest of the Kentucky Derby field can be found below.

Winning Impression
Paynter x Unbridled Sonya, by Unbridled's Song
Paynter is best known for his dramatic comeback from a life-threatening illness, but he was also a decorated two-turn runner. His biggest win came in the G1 Haskell Invitational Stakes at 1 1/8 miles, and he finished second in the 2012 Belmont Stakes. At age four, he turned in runner-up efforts in the G1 Awesome Again Stakes (1 1/8 miles) and G2 San Diego Handicap (1 1/16 miles).

He has an average progeny winning distance of 6.95 furlongs, putting him in the lower-mid pack among this year's Derby sires. His star runner is Knicks Go, who won the G1 Breeders' Futurity and finished second in the Breeders' Cup Juvenile, both at 1 1/16 miles. Lazy Daisy took the G2 Pocahontas Stakes at the same distance. Ms Peintour has arguably done the most to boost her sire's distance credentials, notching a win in the G3 Astra Stakes going 1 1/2 miles over the turf.

Winning Impression would be Paynter's first Derby starter.

Unbridled Sonya went one-for-nine during her racing career, graduating in her second start, a Belmont Park maiden special weight going 7 furlongs on the turf.

She is also the dam of Queen Arella, a 2-year-old of 2020 who became the first winner for sire Speightster when she took a 5 furlong maiden special weight at Gulfstream Park. Unbridled Sonya was sold to continue her broodmare career in Korea at the 2018 Keeneland November Breeding Stock Sale.

Necker Island
Hard Spun x Jenny's Rocket, by Mr. Greeley
Hard Spun finished second in his own Kentucky Derby try in 2007, but he proved himself to be a versatile runner, taking the G1 King's Bishop Stakes at 7 furlongs and the G2 Lane's End Stakes and Kentucky Cup Classic Stakes at 1 1/8 miles. He also finished second in the Breeders' Cup Classic at 1 1/4 miles.

His own foals post an average winning distance of 7.64 furlongs, which is near the top of the list for this year's Derby sires. His most notable runner on the classic stage is Wicked Strong, who won the G1 Wood Memorial Stakes at 1 1/8 miles en route to finishing fourth in the Kentucky Derby and Belmont Stakes.

Stonestreet Farm homebred Jenny's Rocket went winless in four career starts in South Florida, but she was never worse than third in any of those efforts, all of them around one turn.

The two foals to race out of Jenny's Rocket are both winners. Joining Necker Island is the Super Saver colt In the Loop, who won on debut in a six-furlong Gulfstream Park maiden special weight, and later won a waiver claiming race at Belmont Park at the same distance.

Money Moves
Candy Ride x Citizen Advocate, by Proud Citizen
Candy Ride was a turf star in his native Argentina, taking a pair of Group 1 races at a mile. He then moved to Southern California where he proved his mettle on both surfaces, winning the G1 Pacific Classic at 1 1/4 miles on the dirt, and the G2 American Handicap at 1 1/8 miles on the grass.

Those looking for Candy Ride's classic credentials as a sire need look no further than 2017 Horse of the Year Gun Runner, who finished third in the Kentucky Derby, and went on to win six G1 races, including the Breeders' Cup Classic and the Pegasus World Cup Invitational Stakes. Champion Shared Belief was also a Pacific Classic winner at the same distance as his sire. Game Winner ran a solid fifth in last year's Derby.

Citizen Advocate rolled off a diverse four-race winning streak as a 2-year-old, breaking her maiden at six furlongs on the dirt, then taking the Catcharisingstar Stakes over five furlongs on the turf at Calder Race Course. She then won at 6 furlongs over the all-weather Tapeta at Presque Isle Downs before shipping to Delta Downs to win the My Trusty Cat Stakes over 7 furlongs.

She never won again, but she finished second or third in five additional stakes races in Florida and Louisiana, highlighted by a runner-up effort in the G3 Azalea Stakes at 6 furlongs. Her longest black-type earning effort came at 7 1/2 furlongs over the turf.

Money Moves is the second starter out of Citizen Advocate, joining Remarqued, a daughter of Arch who was a maiden special weight winner at Saratoga, going 1 mile on the turf.

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TVG Handicappers Weigh In With Top Three Kentucky Derby Picks

TVG, America's horse racing network and leading ADW provider, will be offering special promotions and featuring expert selections from their team of analysts in advance of Saturday's 146th running of the Kentucky Derby. Additionally, the award-winning network will be live on site at Del Mar for the long holiday weekend for four graded stakes races including the Del Mar Debutante (GI) and Runhappy Del Mar Futurity (GI).

Throughout the week, TVG will be airing analysis and features on the Kentucky Derby contenders including a special Kentucky Derby Profile Show which can be viewed here. Select races from Churchill Downs will be available on TVG2.

TVG Expert 1st 2nd 3rd
Simon Bray #17 Tiz the Law #6 King Guillermo #15 Ny Traffic
Matt Carothers #17 Tiz the Law #7 Money Moves #16 Honor A. P.
Todd Schrupp #17 Tiz the Law #16 Honor A.P. #13 Attachment Rate
Ken Rudulph #3 Enforceable #16 Honor A.P. #11 Necker Island
Christina Blacker #16 Honor A.P. #17 Tiz The Law #13 Attachment Rate
Mike Joyce #17 Tiz The Law #7 Money Moves #16 Honor A.P.

TVG will be offering a Money Back Special promotion throughout the week and will be giving money back for 2nd and 3rd-place finishes on win bets on multiple races each day.

New customers can take advantage of a $200 Risk Free Bet on their first win wager. For further details, go to https://www.tvg.com/promos.

TVG's Todd Schrupp, Mike Joyce, Christina Blacker and Joaquin Jamie will be reporting live from Del Mar with Simon Bray contributing to the broadcast remotely. The coverage will include exclusive interviews and analysis as Del Mar concludes its summer meet on Labor Day. There are four graded stakes scheduled including the Del Mar Debutante (GI) and Runhappy Del Mar Futurity (GI), two premier races for juveniles.

Labor Day will also mark opening day of the popular Runhappy Meet at Kentucky Downs. Caton Bredar will be live trackside on Monday. The track's boutique six-day turf meet offers $2 million per day in purses and will host the Runhappy Turf Sprint (GIII) which is part of the Breeders' Cup “Win and You're In” Challenge Series and earns the winner a spot in the Breeders' Cup Turf Sprint (GI) on November 7 at Keeneland.

Fans of international racing can tune in to TVG on Saturday morning as international superstar Enable (GB) competes in the September Stakes (GIII)  at Kempton in preparation for her fourth appearance in the Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe (GI) in October. She won the Arc in 2017 and 2018 and was second last year. TVG's international expert Scott Hazelton will be covering the race from Los Angeles. Post time for the September Stakes is approximately 9:35 a.m. ET/6:35 a.m. PT.

In addition to Del Mar and Kentucky Downs, TVG will also be broadcasting racing from Gulfstream Park, Monmouth Park, Golden Gate and more all weekend.

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‘He’s A Remarkable Man’: Pletcher Grateful For Hall Of Fame Assistance With Derby Contender Money Moves

Robert LaPenta and Bortolazzo Stable's Money Moves had one of the most heralded set of eyes in the sport keeping watch on him as he got his first feel of the Churchill Downs track during his gallop on Wednesday.

With his trainer Todd Pletcher remaining in New York at his Saratoga base this week, the lightly raced son of Candy Ride (ARG) is having his Kentucky Derby preparations handled by the legend that is Hall of Famer D. Wayne Lukas. That Lukas is now acting as an “assistant” of sorts for Pletcher is the equivalent of Obi Wan Kenobi readying Luke Skywalker's light saber given that the latter famously cut his teeth working for the four-time Kentucky Derby winning trainer.

“I just did what I was told,” said Lukas, who celebrated his 85th birthday Wednesday. “I sent him out there and he had a good maintenance gallop. We'll school him in the gate tomorrow. Todd just said 'Run him like you would any of your others'.”

“First of all he's a great friend for doing it,” Pletcher added by phone. “They've gone out of their way to accommodate us. Part of the decision making process of going with this horse was that one of the challenges was with the staff. It's been a difficult time for our staff in general all year losing the visa workers and (Lukas) was able to accommodate us and, that way, we don't have to go through the quarantine process coming back.”

Lukas recently returned to his barn after battling the COVID-19 virus, and he makes no bones about how hard the illness hit him. The resilience Lukas has shown in his recovery, however, is par for the course for the man who had made a career out of pulling off extraordinary feats.

“He's a remarkable man. My biggest concern was I knew he had a bout with COVID-19 and I didn't want to be a burden in any way on him,” Pletcher said. “But I could tell from talking to him that his voice was strong and he was feeling good compared to the week before. That was my main concern was I didn't want to be a burden for him.”

Money Moves comes into Saturday with just three career starts to his credit and none against stakes company. The bay colt has held his own against older horses, though, finishing second last time out in an allowance optional claiming race at Saratoga on July 25.

“He came into us with high expectations and I thought he ran very impressively to win his first two races,” Pletcher said. “Unfortunately after that he got sick and we missed several weeks of training so it kind of knocked out the original schedule that we hoped for.

“By the time we got him back, we were in kind of a difficult position because we didn't feel like he was quite ready to run in the Peter Pan off the long layoff. We were in a tough spot. We ran him 1 1/8 miles first time around two turns against older horses and he fared pretty well. It was a very tough race, he was almost able to win and his figures came back strong. After that, it started to look like it might not take any points to get into the Derby, so the ownership group expressed interest in monitoring how he's training and he trained well. We got together after his last breeze and weighed the pros and cons and they felt like we don't get these opportunities but once in a horse's life, so let's take a shot.”

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