Breeders’ Cup Classic Odds? Linemaker Jon White Tabs Knicks Go As Early Favorite

Santa Anita Morning Line Maker Jon White has installed a pair of Brad Cox trainees, recent Grade 3 Lukas Classic Stakes winner Knicks Go and top 3-year-old Essential Quality, as the early 5-2 and 3-1 favorites among a list 12 Breeders' Cup Classic hopefuls. To be run on Nov. 6 at Del Mar, the 38th running of the Classic offers a purse of $6 million.

“At this point, I expect Knicks Go to be sent off as the Classic favorite,” said White in his weekly XpressBet.com column. “But I also think it's a pretty close call between Knicks Go and Essential Quality.” A winner of five out of his six starts this year, Godolphin's homebred Essential Quality comes off a win in the Grade 1 Travers Stakes on Aug. 28.

“As for Essential Quality, I think there is a chance that he ends up being the favorite when the Classic field breaks from the gate,” White continued. “After all, Essential Quality has been the favorite in every single one of his nine career starts. He's won two of the nation's premier races for 3-year-olds, the Belmont and the Travers. The only time Essential Quality has been defeated, he had a very wide trip and finished (a close) fourth in the Kentucky Derby.”

White also weighed in on a pair of highly regarded sophomores based at Santa Anita—Doug O'Neill's Hot Rod Charlie and Bob Baffert's Kentucky Derby winning Medina Spirit.

“Hot Rod Charlie is going into the Classic off a terrific win in the (Grade 1) Pennsylvania Derby in which he received a 111 Beyer Speed Figure,” said White. “That's the highest Beyer in a race at a mile or longer by a 3-year-old this year. Essential Quality's top Beyer is the 109 he got when he won the Belmont.

“Medina Spirit won Santa Anita's Grade 1 Awesome Again Stakes by five lengths last Saturday when facing his elders for the first time. It's certainly to Medina Spirit's credit that he not only clobbered older horses, he beat the winner of this year's Pacific Classic (Tripoli) and Santa Anita Handicap (Idol). He also got a strong 107 Beyer, his best figure yet.”

White, who will be making the morning line for his seventh Breeders' Cup World Championships on Nov. 5 and 6, lists the following 12 horses as his top Classic prospects: Knicks Go (5-2), Essential Quality (3-1), Hot Rod Charlie (5-1), Medina Spirit (6-1), Art Collector (10-1), Max Player (10-1), Maxfield (12-1), Tripoli (15-1), Dr Post (20-1), Happy Saver (20-1), Idol (30-1) and Stilleto Boy (30-1).

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Essential Quality Re-Takes Lead In Breeders’ Cup Classic Rankings

Godolphin's Essential Quality moved back into first place by three votes over stablemate Knicks Go in the Longines Breeders' Cup Classic Rankings, a weekly poll of the top 10 horses in contention for the $6 million Longines Breeders' Cup Classic (G1). This year's Longines Breeders' Cup Classic will be run at Del Mar racetrack in Del Mar, California, on Nov. 6 as the final race of the 38th Breeders' Cup World Championships.

The 3-year-old Essential Quality, trained by Brad Cox, received 328 votes. A winner four times in five starts this year, including victories in the Belmont Stakes (G1) and the Runhappy Travers (G1), Essential Quality had been in first place for three consecutive weeks before being overtaken by Knicks Go last week. The 5-year-old Knicks Go, who is in second place with 325 votes, won his fourth race of the year in easy fashion on Saturday, taking the Lukas Classic (G3) at Churchill Downs by four lengths. Knicks Go earned a free berth in the Longines Breeders' Cup Classic when he won the Whitney (G1) at Saratoga Race Course in August.

The 3-year-old Hot Rod Charlie remained in third place with 269 votes. Owned by Boat Racing, Gainesway Stable, Roadrunner Racing, and William Strauss, and trained by Doug O'Neill, Hot Rod Charlie won the Pennsylvania Derby (G1) in his most recent start.

Following his frontrunning victory in the “Win and You're In” Awesome Again Stakes (G1) at Santa Anita Park, Zedan Racing Stables' Medina Spirit has jumped from seventh place to fourth this week with 206 votes.

Godolphin's 4-year-old Maxfield dropped one spot to fifth place with 180 votes. Trained by Brendan Walsh, Maxfield, who finished second in the Woodward Stakes (G1) at Belmont Park on Saturday, earned an automatic starting position in the Longines Breeders' Cup Classic when he captured the Stephen Foster Stakes (G2) at Churchill Downs in June.

The big mover in this week's Classic Rankings was Bruce Lunsford's 4-year-old Art Collector, who leaped from 18th place into a sixth-place tie with George E. Hall and SportBLX Thoroughbreds Corp's Max Player. Trained by Bill Mott, Art Collector won his third consecutive race when he captured Saturday's Woodward wire-to-wire by 1 ½ lengths.

The 4-year-old Max Player, trained by Steve Asmussen, earned an automatic berth in the Longines Breeders' Cup Classic when he won the Suburban Stakes (G2) at Belmont Park in July, and followed up that score with a victory in the “Win and You're In” Jockey Club Gold Cup (G1) at Saratoga on Sept. 4. Art Collector and Max Player have 163 votes apiece.

St. George Stable's 5-year-old mare Letruska, a three-time Grade 1 winner this year for trainer Fausto Gutierrez, improved from 10th place to eighth with 70 votes.

Prince A A Faisal's 4-year-old Mishriff (IRE) dropped one position to ninth place with 61 votes. Trained by John and Thady Gosden, Mishriff gained an invitation to the Longines Breeders' Cup Classic when he won the Juddmonte International Stakes (G1) at York Racecourse in England on Aug. 18.

St. Elias Stable's Dr Post and Hronis Racing's Tripoli are tied in 10th place with 35 votes each. Trained by Todd Pletcher, the 4-year-old Dr Post, who has two Grade 3 wins this year, finished third in the Woodward Stakes. The John Sadler trained 4-year-old Tripoli, who secured a free berth in the Longines Breeders' Cup Classic when he won the TVG Pacific Classic (G1) in August, dropped from sixth place to 10th following his fourth-place finish in the Awesome Again Stakes.

Longines Breeders' Cup Classic Rankings – Oct. 5, 2021*

Rank Horse Votes First-Place Votes Previous Week
1 Essential Quality 328 14 2
2 Knicks Go 325 16 1
3 Hot Rod Charlie 269 1 3
4 Medina Spirit 206 1 7
5 Maxfield 180 1 4
6 Art Collector 163 1 18
6 Max Player 163 0 5
8 Letruska 70 0 10
9 Mishriff  (IRE) 61 2 8
10 Dr Post 35 0 13
10 Tripoli 35 0 6

*Note – The Longines Breeders' Cup Classic Rankings have no bearing on qualification or selection into the Longines Breeders' Cup Classic.

The 2021 Longines Breeders' Cup Classic, which will be run at 1 ¼ miles on the main track, is limited to 14 starters. The race will be broadcast live on NBC.

The Longines Breeders' Cup Classic Rankings are determined by a panel of leading Thoroughbred racing media, horseplayers, and members of the Breeders' Cup Racing Directors/Secretaries Panel. Rankings will be announced each week through Oct. 11. A list of voting members can be found here.

In the Breeders' Cup Classic Rankings, each voter rates horses on a 10-9-8-7-6-5-4-3-2-1 system in descending order.

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Judge Dismisses Baffert Contempt Claim Against NYRA

BROOKLYN, NY–Judge Carol Bagley Amon dismissed Bob Baffert's charge of contempt against the New York Racing Association Tuesday morning in federal court, saying that her previous injunction of NYRA's attempted suspension of Baffert in May applied only to enforcing that suspension, and not the issue at hand of NYRA scheduling a hearing and issuing official charges against Baffert in a Sept. 10 statement. The ruling clears the way for NYRA to proceed with its proposed hearing process, which is scheduled to begin Oct. 11 and may result in Baffert once again being suspended from racing at NYRA tracks.

Baffert's attorney Craig Robertson attempted to argue that NYRA only created rules and procedures for giving a Baffert hearing after the fact in an attempt to suspend Baffert for the same reasoning as it had in May. Amon dismissed that argument, interrupting Robertson several times to note that a hearing process for Baffert is legally separate from NYRA's enjoined May 17 attempt to suspend him.

“That suspension is no longer in effect,” she said. “I don't know how you can read that [injunction] order to say they cannot now proceed with a hearing. They're not seeking [to suspend him], they're simply seeking to give him a hearing. What was enjoined was the fact that they suspended him without a hearing … I didn't reach a merits decision as to [the suspension]. What I said was that your client was entitled, before someone decided to suspend him, to put forth his answers to all of the charges that they had brought. He can do that now.”

Robertson again tried to argue that NYRA was creating “ex post facto” rules for its original suspension, but Amon again interrupted to say, “No, they're not, because this is a whole new proceeding. You're missing the import of the court's original order … The lawsuit that you brought dealt with a suspension in May … This is an entirely different scenario.”

Robertson returned to his argument that the reasoning behind the scheduled hearing process and potential resulting suspension for Baffert is the same as it was for NYRA's initial attempt to suspend Baffert, to which Amon said, “What difference does that make? We're talking about contempt here. I did not make a ruling that their reasons were invalid in the last hearing, I said he should get a chance to answer [the charges] … They are giving him the opportunity to address all of this.”

Robertson then pivoted to criticizing the nature of NYRA's proposed due process hearing, saying, “They have said, 'Here is your due process, Mr. Baffert. You can have a hearing in front of a hearing officer we appoint. That hearing officer then makes recommendations to a panel that we appoint, and that [NYRA CEO] Mr. [David] O'Rourke appoints. And Mr. O'Rouke has already submitted multiple affidavits in this case in support of the suspension of Mr. Baffert. That panel that Mr. O'Rourke appoints then can do whatever they want, impose whatever penalty they want, and then you have no right of appeal.'”

Amon was more sympathetic to that argument but ultimately found it unrelated to the case in front of her, saying, “I understand your point on that … But I don't know that at this point in time, I [can] prejudge something that hasn't happened yet, particularly in the context of this lawsuit, which pertains to the May 17 suspension, not something that may happen in the future.”

Robertson then argued that NYRA had no rule on the books justifying a suspension for offenses occurring outside of New York, saying “they've now made that rule up,” but Amon shot that down as well, saying, “That's a different lawsuit. That's not this lawsuit.”

Chiming in for the first time, NYRA attorney Henry Greenberg said, “A contempt proceeding is not an appropriate vehicle to raise issues, either procedural or substantive, [about] the hearing. Those arguments should be raised before the hearing officer, retired [New York State] Supreme Court Justice Peter Sherwood, a distinguished jurist, who the Court can be confident and certain will provide a fair, impartial, neutral proceeding for opposing counsel. Those arguments, all of which we address in our paper on the merits, respectfully, are not appropriately heard [here].”

Greenberg then referenced Robertson's opening statement that he did not want to be in court Tuesday but was left with no choice due to NYRA's actions, and said that, to the contrary, NYRA was providing precisely what the earlier injunction directed them to.

“When opposing counsel says he had no choice but to bring this proceeding … In fact, what NYRA is doing today by this administrative proceeding is providing exactly–exactly–what he argued he was entitled to. When [the] July 14 order from the Court was issued, your Honor, NYRA took every word, every syllable. It provided–although that wasn't the intent, perhaps–it provided us guidance about how we could establish a due process mechanism that would allow us to fairly provide the accused to tell their side of the story.”

NYRA also pushed back against the notion that it was creating a retroactive process simply to enforce its original suspension against Baffert, noting that it has also scheduled hearings and issued charges for disgraced trainer Marcus Vitali.

“The problems that we are addressing are not limited to Mr. Baffert,” Greenberg said. “On the same day that we brought the proceeding against Mr. Baffert, we brought it against another trainer, a gentleman by the name of Marcus Vitali, and selected a retired Court of Appeals judge to preside over the proceeding … I leave the Court with the thought that NYRA has taken to heart the guidance and analysis contained in your decision, is committing to this Court that our faithfulness and fidelity to due process will be observed. Mr. Baffert will be given a punctilious compliance with a due process hearing.”

As the proceeding wound down, Robertson left the door open to amending his complaint before disputing what he said was NYRA lumping Baffert in with Vitali.

“To the extent that the Court believes I need to amend my complaint, I would ask for leave to do that, number one,” he said. “Number two, I want to make sure the record is clear, comparing Mr. Baffert to Mr. Vitali is comparing apples to oranges. They have only brought a proceeding against Mr. Vitali to give them cover. Mr. Vitali has a history of 84 drug violations, animal cruelty charges, numerous license suspensions throughout the East Coast and in fact, at one point in time was charged with when investigators came to his barn, running to a refrigerator, grabbing a bubble-wrap bag out of a refrigerator and running off. To compare the two, it's not without import. It has no merit.”

Robertson concluded by saying of a potential future suspension of Baffert by NYRA, “It's the same suspension. The only thing that's changed is the date on the letterhead.” But Amon was unmoved.

“The plaintiff has not proved clearly and convincingly that the September statement of charges violates the July 14 order,” the judge said in her official ruling. “The plaintiff mischaracterizes that order as enjoining NYRA from suspending Baffert for the reasons set forth in the May 17 letter until the conclusion of this case. But the text of the July 14 order bars the defendant only from enforcing the May 17 suspension. It says nothing about the May 17 letter's reasoning … This is not a case in which the Sept. 10 statement of charges can be equated to the May 17 suspension, because there had been significant and material alterations. Unlike the summary suspension ordered in the May 17 letter, the Sept. 10 letter does not suspend Baffert without a hearing. Sept. 10 proceedings create a hearing to consider a possible suspension, not to implement one. And unlike the May 17 suspension, the Sept. 10 statement of charges brings with it a full hearing, evidentiary disclosures, the standard of proof, an impartial hearing officer [and a] right to appeal any decision by the hearing officer to a panel. As [NYRA] counsel has pointed out, contempt proceedings are not a proper vehicle to challenge later actions. So I'm going to deny the request for a stay at this point.”

NYRA was quick to issue a statement praising the decision. “Earlier today, Judge Carol Bagley Amon denied Mr. Baffert's motion seeking to hold NYRA in civil contempt and to stay the administrative hearing,” said Patrick McKenna, Senior Director of Communications for NYRA. “We are gratified by the court's decision allowing NYRA to move forward with its administrative hearing against Bob Baffert. The court found that NYRA's actions were consistent with both the letter and spirit of the July 14 order. NYRA's focus in this matter is protecting the integrity of the sport of Thoroughbred racing in accordance with the requirements of due process.”

Robertson said afterward, “I'm disappointed. But the injunction remains in place and Mr. Baffert is still able to race in New York. We will review the court's ruling and determine next steps.”

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Medina Spirit, Art Collector Jump Into Top 10 Of NTRA Thoroughbred Poll

Knicks Go, Letruska and Essential Quality retained the top three spots, respectively, in this week's NTRA Top Thoroughbred Poll while Medina Spirit (seventh) and Art Collector (eighth) moved into the Top 10 following impressive victories in their final tune-ups for the Breeders' Cup World Championships on Nov. 5-6 at Del Mar.

Korea Racing Authority's 5-year-old Knicks Go, who galloped to victory in Saturday's Grade 3 Lukas Classic at Churchill Downs, retained his No. 1 rating in the poll for the ninth straight week. Trained by Brad Cox, Knicks Go is expected to make his next start in the Grade 1 $6 million Longines Breeders' Cup Classic on Nov. 6.

St. George Stable's 5-year-old mare Letruska, who is expected to make her next start this Sunday in the Grade 1 Spinster Stakes at Keeneland, remains in second place in this week's poll. Letruska is a leading contender for the Grade 1, $2,000,000 Longines Breeders' Cup Distaff on Nov. 6.

Godolphin's 3-year-old Essential Quality, also trained by Cox and winner of the Grade 1 Travers Stakes at Saratoga on Aug. 28, remained in third place in the weekly poll. Essential Quality is expected to face older horses for the first time in the Classic.

Kirk and Judy Robison's Jackie's Warrior, a leading contender for the Grade 1, $2,000,000 Breeders' Cup Sprint at six furlongs on Nov. 6, jumped two spots in this week's poll to land in fourth position. Roadrunner Racing, William Strauss, Boat Racing, and Gainesway Stable's Hot Rod Charlie, who secured his first Grade 1 victory in the $1 million Pennsylvania Derby at Parx on Sept. 25, moved from seventh to fifth place in the poll. Trained by Doug O'Neill, Hot Rod Charlie is expected to make his next start in the Classic.

Michael Lund Peterson's Gamine, a leading contender for the Grade 1, $1,000,000 Breeders' Cup Filly and Mare Sprint on Nov. 6, fell from fourth to sixth in this week's poll. She was followed in the polling by Zedan Racing Stables' Medina Spirt, an impressive winner of Saturday's Grade 1 Awesome Again Stakes at Santa Anita and Bruce Lunsford's Art Collector, winner of the Grade 1 Woodward Stakes Saturday at Belmont Park. Max Player and Domestic Spending rounded out the top 10.

Click here for this week's complete poll results.

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