King's Reign | Horse Racing Free Tips

Making his fifth career start and his first in Group 1 company in Wednesday's G1 Hopeful S. at Nakayama, Dura Erede (Jpn) parlayed a close fourth-place finish last out in the G2 Tokyo Sports Hai Nisai S. on Nov. 19 to claim victory at odds of 89-1 by a nose over 17-1 outsider and pacesetter Top Knife (Jpn).

The colt received a stalking trip to the outside of the frontrunner for the first mile before reaching even terms with his leading rival at the top of the stretch. After falling back briefly within the last furlong, dug in gamely in the final yards to surge past the wire in front by the narrowest of margins.

“It's the same good feeling as when I won my first G1 race in Germany–I'm very happy,” winning jockey Bauyrzhan Murzabayev said. “I couldn't tell if we won, it was so close, but my colt broke well and it was the plan to chase the pace in second so everything went well. After two close seconds last weekend, I'm so happy that I came in first in the last Grade 1 race of the year.”

Favored Mikki Cappuccino finished fifth at odds of 3-1.

Pedigree Notes:
Dura Erede is the fourth Grade 1 winner for the late stallion Duramente, who died in August of 2021 at age nine. Dura Erede is the first foal out of the unplaced Orfevre (Jpn) mare Marchesa, who is out of the Argentine MG1W Malpensa (Arg) and therefore a half to Japanese champion and MG1SW winner Satono Diamond (Jpn) (Deep Impact {Jpn}).

Wednesday, Nakayama, Japan
HOPEFUL S.-G1, ¥135,820,000, Nakayama, 12-28, 2yo, 2000mT, 2:01.50, fm.
1–DURA EREDE (JPN), 121, c, 2, by Duramente (Jpn)
1st Dam: Marchesa (Jpn), by Orfevre (Jpn)
2nd Dam: Malpensa (Arg), by Orpen
3rd Dam: Marsella (Arg), by Southern Halo
1ST GROUP 1 WIN. (¥100,000,000 yrl '21 JRHAJUL).
O-Three H Racing; B-Northern Farm (Jpn); T-Manabu Ikezoe;
J-Bauyrzhan Murzabayev; ¥71,274,000. Lifetime Record:
5-2-1-0. Click for the eNicks report & 5-cross pedigree.
Werk Nick Rating: A++
Click for the free Equineline.com catalogue-style pedigree.
2–Top Knife (Jpn), 121, c, 2, Declaration of War–Be Wind (Jpn),
by Spinning World. O-Koji Yasuhara; B-Kineusu Farm (Jpn);
¥28,364,000.
3–King's Reign (Jpn), 121, c, 2, Rulership (Jpn)–Touching Speech
(Jpn), by Deep Impact (Jpn). 1ST BLACK TYPE; 1ST GROUP
BLACK TYPE. O-Sunday Racing; B-Northern Farm (Jpn);
¥18,1582,000.
Margins: NO, 1 1/4, NK; Odds: 89.60, 17.70, 17.20.
Also Ran: Phantom Thief (Jpn), Mikki Cappuccino (Jpn), Seven Magician (Jpn), Hearts Concerto (Jpn), Serendipity (Jpn), Sea Wiard (Jpn), J Palms (Jpn), Gruner Green (Jpn), Wurttemberg (Jpn), Born in Grande (Jpn), Jun Tsubamegaeshi (Jpn), Fate (Jpn), Gastrique (Jpn), Monde Plume (Jpn), Ska Paradise (Jpn).
Click for the JRA chart & video.

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Wednesday's Hopeful S. is the last of 24 Group 1 events on the JRA circuit for 2022 and the event has attracted a wide-open group of juveniles who will try to prove their mettle over the 2000-metres.

Hearts Concerto (Jpn) (Heart's Cry {Jpn}) could offer value relative to what he's accomplished in his two racetrack appearances to date. The bay dismantled a group of newcomers by eight resounding lengths as the 9-10 chalk going this trip at Chukyo Sept. 18 and was the hot favourite for the nine-furlong G2 Tokyo Sports Hai Nisai S. at headquarters Nov. 19. It all went wrong when he walked out of the stalls, spotting his rivals several lengths, but he closed off in a race-best :33.8 to finish a good third to the re-opposing Gastrique (Jpn) (Just a Way {Jpn}). He was trading at better than 10-1 on the JRA tote as of this writing.

“He missed the break [last time] and was left behind, and that really hurt,” said trainer Ryo Takei. “His preparation after that race has all gone smoothly. I think the extra distance is a plus and the conditions are better for him here.”

Mikki Cappuccino (Jpn) (Epiphaneia {Jpn}) is perfect in his two starts, each over 10 furlongs. A narrow debut winner, with future Group 3 winner Gruner Green (Jpn) (Lovely Day {Jpn}) third, at Tokyo Oct. 9, he jumped out of the ground in the final furlong and shot away to take a course-and-distance allowance by a widening 3 1/2 lengths when last seen Dec. 3. Keita Tosaki will have to work out a trip from barrier 18.

Since finishing third in an 1800-metre heat at Hakodate in July, King's Reign (Jpn) (Rulership {Jpn}) has won back-to-back races, including a 1 1/2-length tally in a one-win class allowance over the 2000 metres at Tokyo in early November. Christophe Lemaire retains the ride.

J Palms (Jpn) (Just a Way {Jpn}) is a son of the American-bred mare Killer Graces (Congaree), making him a half-brother to last year's Hopeful hero Killer Ability (Jpn) (Deep Impact {Jpn}). He got his career off on a popular and winning note in his lone career start, carrying Lemaire to a three-length victory at odds of 2-5 in a Tokyo newcomers' event Nov. 5. David Egan, who has ridden nine winners from 52 rides on his current short-term contract in Japan, takes the call for Noriyuki Hori.

The post Hearts Concerto Looms a Double-Digit Danger in Hopeful appeared first on TDN | Thoroughbred Daily News | Horse Racing News, Results and Video | Thoroughbred Breeding and Auctions.

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