The Haiku Handicapper Presented By Form2Win: 2020 Breeders’ Cup Juvenile

Time to analyze the 2020 Breeders' Cup Juvenile field, in post position order, in the form of Haiku; a Japanese poem of 17 syllables, in three lines of five, seven, and five.

To read previous editions of The Haiku Handicapper, click here.

#1 – Camp Hope
Impressive debut
Launches him in the deep end
This is a big ask

#2 – King Fury
Matured last time out
He's bred for a day like this
Must keep progressing

#3 – Reinvestment Risk
He's the class leader
If we pretend to ignore
Jackie's Warrior

#4 – Likeable
Late-bloom potential
Given his form, pedigree
Eye him for a price

#5 – Essential Quality
Classy pedigree
Classy Grade 1 progression
All the tools are there

#6 – Keepmeinmind
Shock second last out
And he nabs Jose Ortiz
A “hit the board” threat

#7 – Jackie's Warrior
The mountain to scale
Does he meet the hype head-on
Or begin descent?

#8 – Classier
Others have done more
But you can't ignore his barn
Off a hot debut

#9 – Sittin On Go
His dad loved Keeneland
Short-stretch finish line won't help
His deep-closing ways

#10 – Dreamer's Disease
The lesser entry
Of the Diodoro pair
Put bluntly, he'd shock

#11 – Next
Dual surface winner
Gaudy last-out score misleads
Not sure it's his spot

#12 – Hot Rod Charlie
Found new life on dirt
Great fit for an “other than”
Not the Breeders' Cup

#13 – Rombauer
Switch to dirt paid off
Another that might be felled
By Keeneland's short stretch

#14 – Calibrate
He'll have to run wide
And show something he didn't
In his limp class jump

Prediction
Good day for Darley
“Quality” tops Likeable
Eight, three fill it out

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‘Derby-Type Horse’ King Fury, Son Of Grade 1 Winner Taris, Captures Street Sense Stakes

King Fury, named after superstar boxer Tyson Fury, collared odds-on 4-5 favorite Super Stock inside the final furlong and grinded his way to a half-length victory in Sunday's eighth running of the $98,000 Street Sense Overnight Stakes on opening day of Churchill Downs' 24-day Fall Meet.

“This is a Kentucky Derby-type horse,” winning trainer Kenny McPeek said. “We may look at the (Nov. 6) Breeders' Cup Juvenile but more than likely just wait for the (Nov. 28) Kentucky Jockey Club. The future is very bright for a horse like this.”

Brian Hernandez Jr. rode the well-bred 2-year-old colt for McPeek and owners Fern Circle Stables (Paul Fireman) and Three Chimneys Farm LLC (Goncalo Torrealba). The son of 2007-08 Horse of the Year Curlin ran 1 1/16 miles over a fast track in 1:44.30.

Purchased for $950,000 at Fasig-Tipton's 2019 Saratoga Sale, King Fury is the first foal out of six-time stakes winner and 2016 Humana Distaff (Grade I) hero Taris.

Breaking from post No. 4 in the field of six juveniles, King Fury rated just behind Franz Josef and Super Stock as the leader rattled off comfortable early quarter-mile clips of :24.60, :49.51 and 1:14.34. King Fury circled three-wide around the final turn as Super Stock took over leaving the final turn. The chestnut colt with a big white blaze found his best running in deep stretch and held off Super Stock as the two battled on determinedly to the wire. A half-length separated the top two at the finish and it was another 3 ¾ lengths back to third-place finisher Oncoming Train.

King Fury, who earned $59,835 for the win and improved his record to 3-2-0-0—$116,979, paid $7.40, $3.40 and $3 as the 5-2 second betting choice. Super Stock, ridden by Ricardo Santana Jr., returned $2.80 and $2.40. Oncoming Train, with Rafael Bejarano up, paid $3.

Arabian Prince finished fourth and was followed by Franz Josef and Crime Spree. Eucharist was scratched.

King Fury, bred in Kentucky by Heider Family Stables, broke his maiden by 2 ¾ lengths in his career debut on Sept. 3 at Churchill Downs, but subsequently finished eighth one month later after racing four-wide throughout in the $400,000 Breeders' Futurity (GI) at Keeneland.

“His last race at Keeneland was pretty puzzling because we thought he'd run a lot better than he did,” McPeek said. “I think the track ended up being pretty forward that day and his trip didn't really help things.”

Should McPeek bypass the Breeders' Cup Juvenile which comes 12 days after the Street Sense, King Fury could vie for favoritism in the $200,000 Kentucky Jockey Club (GII), a 1 1/16-mile race for 2-year-olds at Churchill Downs on Saturday, Nov. 28. The Kentucky Jockey Club is part of the “Road to the Kentucky Derby” point series that will determine the field of 20 horses that will compete in the Kentucky Derby Presented by Woodford Reserve (GI) at Churchill Downs on Saturday, May 1.

The Street Sense is named in honor of 2007 Kentucky Derby winner Street Sense who became the first horse to win the Breeders' Cup Juvenile (GI) as a 2-year-old and the Run for the Roses at age 3. He also was the first Champion Two-Year-Old Colt to win the Kentucky Derby since Spectacular Bid who won the Kentucky Derby in 1979.

Each of Sunday's races was for 2-year-olds, and Sunday marked the first time spectators watched live racing at Churchill Downs since Dec. 1, 2019, owing to the COVID-19 pandemic. A limited attendance of 1,534 was on-hand with proper social distancing as Churchill Downs followed the COVID-19 health and safety protocols for Venues and Events as mandated by the Commonwealth of Kentucky. Racing continues every Wednesday-Sunday at 1 p.m. ET through Sunday, Nov. 29.

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King Fury Proves Best in Street Sense S.

Blue-blooded King Fury bounced back from an uninspiringly flat performance in the GI Breeders Futurity at Keeneland earlier this month to win Sunday’s Street Sense S. at Churchill Downs. Favored at 4-5 to make amends, the chestnut was a two-wide fourth going into  the first turn and remained comfortably off the rail heading into the far turn. Starting to make up ground approaching the quarter pole, the $950,000 Fasig-Tipton Saratoga yearling purchase wrested the lead from GISP Super Stock in the stretch and drew clear late to score by a half length over the favorite. A debut winner at Churchill Downs Sept. 3, the colt is the first foal out of Grade I winner and millionaire Taris (Flatter), who brought $2.35 million at the F-T Fall Mixed sale in 2014.

STREET SENSE OVERNIGHT S., $98,000, Churchill Downs, 10-25, 2yo, 1 1/16m, 1:44.30, ft.
1–KING FURY, 118, c, 2, by Curlin
1st Dam: Taris, by Flatter
2nd Dam: Comedy, by Theatrical (Ire)
3rd Dam: Don’t Be Silly, by Lord At War (Arg)
($950,000 Ylg ’19 FTSAUG). 1ST BLACK TYPE WIN. O-Fern Circle Stables & Three Chimneys Farm, LLC; B-Heider Family
Stables, LLC (KY); T-Kenneth G. McPeek; J-Brian Joseph Hernandez, Jr. $59,835. Lifetime Record: 3-2-0-0, $116,979.
2–Super Stock, 122, c, 2, Dialed In–Super Girlie, by Closing Argument. ($70,000 Ylg ’19 KEESEP). O-Woolsey, Erv and
Asmussen, Keith; B-Pedro & P.J. Gonzalez (KY); T-Steven M. Asmussen. $19,450.
3–Oncoming Train, 118, c, 2, Mineshaft–Fascino, by Harlan’s Holiday. ($50,000 Ylg ’19 FTKJUL; $100,000 2yo ’20 OBSAPR).
O-Doubledown Stables, Inc.; B-Curtis C. Green (KY); T-James P. DiVito. $9,725.
Margins: HF, 3 3/4, HF. Odds: 2.70, 0.90, 5.30.
Also Ran: Arabian Prince, Franz Josef, Crime Spree. Scratched: Eucharist.

Click for the Equibase.com chart or VIDEO, sponsored by Fasig-Tipton.

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Godolphin Could Repeat In Claiborne Breeders’ Futurity With Maiden Winner Essential Quality

Godolphin homebred Essential Quality, a flashy winner on Kentucky Derby Day at Churchill Downs, headlines a field of nine 2-year-olds for the Claiborne Breeders' Futurity.

The Claiborne Breeders' Futurity is one of five graded stakes on Saturday's 11-race program at Keeneland that begins at 1:05 p.m. ET, and will go as the afternoon's ninth race with a 5:24 p.m. post time. The Breeders' Futurity is a “Win and You're In” race for the $2 million Breeders' Cup TVG Juvenile Presented by Thoroughbred Aftercare Alliance (G1) to be run at Keeneland on Nov. 6.

Essential Quality is on the same path for Godolphin that Maxfield was in 2019: win a one-turn race in September at Churchill and go straight into the Claiborne Breeders' Futurity.

Trained by Brad Cox, Essential Quality won that debut by 4 lengths going 6 furlongs and since has come back to work twice at Churchill Downs with the most recent being a :59.80 move over 5 furlongs last Saturday.

Luis Saez has the mount and will break from post position four.

Another impressive debuting Derby Week winner at Churchill Downs was Fern Circle Stables and Three Chimney Farm's King Fury.

Trained by two-time Breeders' Futurity winner Kenny McPeek, King Fury won by 2 ¾ lengths going 1 1/16 miles. King Fury will break from post position nine and be ridden by Corey Lanerie.

The field for the Claiborne Breeders' Futurity, with riders from the rail out, is: Super Stock (Tyler Gaffalione), Upstriker (Joe Talamo), Notary (Julien Leparoux), Essential Quality (Saez), Keepmeinmind (David Cohen), Dixie's Two Stents (Rafael Bejarano), Calibrate (Ricardo Santana Jr.), Founder (Joel Rosario) and King Fury (Lanerie). All starters will carry 122 pounds.

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