The Haiku Handicapper Presented By NYRA Bets: 2021 Breeders’ Cup Juvenile

Time to analyze the 2021 Breeders' Cup Juvenile field, in post position order, in the form of Haiku; a Japanese poem of 17 syllables, in three lines of five, seven, and five.

To read previous editions of The Haiku Handicapper, click here.

#1 – Jack Christopher
It could be argued
He had the best final prep
Tough if traffic-free

#2 – Jasper Great
What's the exchange rate
From a 10-length Japan romp
To U.S. dollars?

#3 – Oviatt Class
Belongs in the field
But there's not a whole lot there
To stand out in it

#4 – Pappacap
Can win at Del Mar
But will his aim remain true
As foes get tougher?

#5 – Double Thunder
Climbing steadily
He'll need to skip a few rungs
To catch the top ones

#6 – American Sanctuary
Flyover standout
Appears to have a ceiling
Well below the best

#7 – Giant Game
Recent graduate
Feels like they're taking a shot
Don't love the angle

#8 – Barossa
He's bred for greatness
But what's he do better than
The other Bafferts?

#9 – Pinehurst
Two months between starts
Rust, two turns are big questions
The track is not, though

#10 – Commandperformance
A willing closer
Still looking for his first win
He could steal a piece

#11 – Tough to Tame
Better with each start
He'll pick up his share of wins
But hard to back here

#12 – Corniche
Freak Del Mar debut
Then 13-point Beyer drop
Feels like a red flag

Prediction
This race loves upsets
Jasper Great grows the legend
One, ten round it out

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Cox Duo Top Two on Breeders’ Cup Classic Morning Line

DEL MAR, CA – Leading older horse Knicks Go (Paynter) received the nod at 5-2 on the morning-line for Saturday's $6-million GI Breeders' Cup Classic as a field of nine was drawn during Monday's Rood & Riddle Breeders' Cup Post-Position Draw held in the Del Mar paddock.

The speedy 2021 GI Pegasus World Cup Invitational S. and GI Whitney S. winner, hero of last term's GI Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile at Keeneland, will be on the engine from post five in this first attempt at the 1 1/4-mile Classic distance.

Last year's outstanding trainer Brad Cox will also be very well-represented by the 3-1 second-choice in 'TDN Rising Star' Essential Quality (Tapit). The 2020 GI Breeders' Cup Juvenile winner and champion 2-year-old colt is drawn one to the inside of his stablemate. The Godolphin homebred takes on his elders for the first time off a hard-fought score in the GI Runhappy Travers S. at Saratoga.

The Classic field also includes fellow leading sophomores–GI Kentucky Derby winner Medina Spirit (Protonico) (post eight; 4-1) and GI Pennsylvania Derby winner Hot Rod Charlie (Oxbow) (post three; 4-1).

Consisting of 14 races with purses and awards totaling more than $31 million, the two-day 38th Breeders' Cup World Championships feature 169 horses, including seven returning champions.

Saturday's loaded Breeders' Cup program also includes:

• Four-time GISW in 2021 Letruska (Super Saver) (post six; 8-5 favorite) meets GI Kentucky Oaks heroine and 'TDN Rising Star' Malathaat (Curlin) (post three) in the GI Breeders' Cup Distaff.

'TDN Rising Star' Gamine (Into Mischief) is the 3-5 morning line favorite to repeat in the GI Breeders' Cup Filly and Mare Sprint. The defending champion female sprinter is drawn in post five in the six-horse affair.

• Talented 'TDN Rising Star' and MGISW Jackie's Warrior (Maclean's Music) (post two) is the 6-5 morning-line favorite as he meets his elders for the first time GI Breeders' Cup Sprint.

• CHC Inc. and WinStar Farm's 'TDN Rising Star' Life Is Good (Into Mischief) (post five), a facile winner of Belmont's GII Kelso H. for Todd Pletcher, returns to Southern California as the overwhelming 4-5 morning-line favorite for the GI Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile.

Tarnawa (Ire) (Shamardal), owned by the H.H. Aga Khan Studs and trained by Dermot Weld, is the 9-5 morning-line favorite and drawn one from the outside to defend her crown in the GI Breeders' Cup Turf.

• The G1 Qatar Prix de la Foret winner Space Blues (Ire) (Dubawi {Ire}) (post three) makes the trip across the pond for the GI Breeders' Cup Mile. He is the 3-1 morning-line favorite in the 14-horse field.

War Like Goddess (English Channel) (post seven) leads the way in the GI Breeders' Cup Filly and Mare Turf off four straight wins, including Saratoga's GI Flower Bowl Invitational. The defending F/M champion Audarya (Fr) (Wootton Bassett {GB}) is drawn wide in post 12.

• Defending GI Breeders' Cup Turf Sprint heroine Glass Slippers (GB) (Dream Ahead) is drawn on the rail to defend her title as she faces off against last year's speedy GII Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf Sprint winner Golden Pal (Uncle Mo) (post three). The latter is the 7-2 morning-line favorite.

The Future Stars Friday program includes:

• A showdown of unbeaten 'TDN Rising Stars' and GISWs is on tap in the GI Breeders' Cup Juvenile between the rail-drawn 9-5 morning-line favorite Jack Christopher (Munnings) and Corniche (Quality Road), drawn widest of 12.

'TDN Rising Star' and MGISW Echo Zulu (Gun Runner) puts her perfect three-for-three record on the line in the GI Breeders' Cup Juvenile Fillies. The 4-5 morning-line favorite is drawn widest of all in post six.

• Euro invader Dubawi Legend (Ire) (Dubawi {Ire}), runner-up in the G1 Darley Dewhurst S., will see them all from post 14 in the GI Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf. He is the 4-1 morning-line favorite.

• The rail-drawn Bobby Flay homebred and GI Natalma S. runner-up Pizza Bianca (Fastnet Rock {Aus}) has been installed as the lukewarm 5-1 favorite in a completely wide-open renewal of the GI Breeders' Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf.

• The unbeaten Wesley Ward-trained filly and three-time stakes winner Averly Jane (Midshipman) (post eight) headlines a full field of 12 set for the GII Juvenile Turf Sprint.

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Breeders’ Cup Notes: Brown Brigade, Europeans Begin To Arrive

Max Player – George Hall and SportBLX Thoroughbreds Corps' Max Player completed his final preparations for the $6 million Longines Breeders' Cup Classic (G1) by working a half-mile in 50 just after the renovation break as he looks to extend his win streak to three. His stablemate, Bloom Racing Stable's Snapper Sinclair, also worked a half mile, going in 49 4/5 over a fast track. He was pre-entered in both the Dirt Mile and Mile.

“They were both typical, easy half-mile works,” assistant trainer Scott Blasi said. “Snapper Sinclair went in 49 and 4 and Max Player went in 50 flat. They are both getting over the surface really well. They had their big works at Santa Anita last week. This was just to get them acquainted with the racetrack. We weren't looking for too much. All of our horses seem to be doing really well.”

Stilleto Boy – Steve Moger's Stilleto Boy had an easy gallop under Jose Sandoval following the morning track renovation session for trainer Ed Moger Jr.

Runner-up to Classic rival Medina Spirit in the Awesome Again in his most recent start, Stilleto Boy is scheduled to work Tuesday morning.

Blue Stripe (ARG) – Pozo De Luna Inc.'s Blue Stripe had a walk day at trainer Marcelo Polanco's barn at Del Mar.

A Group 1 winner in her native Argentina, Blue Stripe is scheduled to breeze Tuesday morning in preparation for the $2 million Longines Distaff.

Letruska – St. George Stable's standout mare Letruska galloped 1 1/2 miles with the pony Monday morning, two days after her final timed work for the Distaff, 5f in 1:01 1/5, over the Del Mar track.

Letruska opened the season Jan. 31 with a victory in the Houston Ladies Classic at Sam Houston Park. She finished second by a head in the Azeri on March 13 at Oaklawn Park and has since put together a five-race winning streak. Four of those victories have come in four Grade 1 races run at four tracks.

Trainer Fausto Gutierrez said that Letruska appears to like the surface at Del Mar.

Mind Control – Red Oak Stable and Madaket Stables 5-year-old horse Mind Control was found to have an elevated temperature Monday and will not be able to compete in the Big Ass Fans Dirt Mile for trainer Todd Pletcher. It is the third consecutive year that issues kept the son of Stay Thirsty from running in the Breeders' Cup.

“He spiked a temperature and his blood count is not right,” Pletcher said. “We had no choice but to start him on some treatment and not enter.

“He wasn't acting himself this morning,” Pletcher added. “His temperature was a little elevated and as the morning went along it continued to go up.”

Mind Control has won two of three starts since being moved to Pletcher's barn this year. He was headed to the Dirt Mile after winning the Parx Dirt Mile on Sept. 25.  After 18 races around one turn, the Parx Dirt Mile was his first start around two turns since he finished seventh in the 2018 Breeders' Cup Juvenile at Churchill Downs.

Mind Control shipped from Pletcher's base at Belmont Park in New York to Del Mar on Sunday.

“I'm sure the flight was a bit stressful for him. That probably triggered it,” Pletcher said. “He will respond quickly to treatment and we will hopefully be able to regroup and be ready in time for the Cigar Mile. First things first, we will make sure he is well and go from there.”

Chad Brown – Four-time Eclipse Award champion trainer Chad Brown had 11 of his 14 Breeders' Cup runners on site in Barn DD at Del Mar on Monday morning, each going to the track for light exercise. The remaining three, coming from Kentucky, are scheduled to arrive later Monday in California, per the conditioner.

On site are Portfolio Company and Verbal (Juvenile Turf), Consumer Spending (Juvenile Fillies Turf), Jack Christopher (Juvenile), Pocket Square and My Sister Nat (FR) (Filly & Mare Turf), Raging Bull (Mile), Royal Flag (Distaff), and the Longines Turf-bound trio of TribhuvanRockemperor and Domestic Spending.

Jack Christopher, one of the favorites for the TVG Juvenile presented by TAA, especially made a sharp impression while galloping a circuit of the Del Mar dirt at about 6:30 a.m., followed closely by stone-gray stablemate Consumer Spending.

Brown reported that Blowout (GB) (Mile), Dunbar Road (Distaff) and Haughty (Juvenile Fillies Turf) will arrive Monday after shipping from Keeneland.

All going well, 14 will be a personal record for Breeders' Cup starters for Brown. He has twice started 13 horses, in 2017 and 2020, and will have double-digit starters in eight of the past nine Breeders' Cups.

Dr. Schivel – Multiple stakes-winning sprinter Dr. Schivel, unbeaten in three starts at Del Mar, is coming into his upcoming start in the $2 million Qatar Racing Breeders' Cup Sprint in peak form, according to trainer Mark Glatt.  “His last race (Santa Anita Sprint Championship) was his best race yet, and I'm hoping he's got an even better one in him for Saturday.”

The 3-year-old son of Violence, who has reeled off five consecutive victories, including two Grade 1's in the 2020 Del Mar Futurity and this year's Bing Crosby Handicap versus older horses, finished up his serious work with a quick 5f drill at Santa Anita Saturday timed in :58:20.  “I know he likes this track, which would possibly be to our advantage.  Jackie's Warrior is the one to beat, but they're all runners in this race,” Glatt continued.  “I wouldn't change places with anyone.”

European Report
The first of the European horses touched down at Del Mar racetrack quarantine barn Friday afternoon arriving at 4.30. All connections reported their horses traveled over well and there were no issues. Godolphin's horses arrived Saturday afternoon with Aidan O'Brien's team touching down in quarantine just before midnight Saturday night.

The first group of European horses cleared quarantine Sunday night and went onto the main track Monday morning. Both Godolphin and O'Brien horses will be on the track Tuesday morning.

All horses that have cleared quarantine did light exercise getting used to the surroundings. Three 2020 Breeders' Cup winners, Glass Slippers (GB) (Turf Sprint), Audarya (FR) (Filly & Mare Turf) and Tarnawa (IRE) (Turf) were all out on the track Monday morning.

Glass Slippers was very fresh having some small bucks up the stretch, but looked in great condition. Kevin Ryan, Glass Slippers' trainer travels from the UK Monday and will be on track Tuesday morning. Tom Eaves will once again take the ride and arrives Tuesday alongside Ryan.

Audarya and Tarnawa both took in their surroundings extremely well, having a good look around and seemed to enjoy their exercise.

Trainer David Loughnane, who has two runners at this year's Breeders Cup, rode Go Bears Go (IRE) (Juvenile Turf Sprint) himself on the main track and was accompanied by his other runner Hello You (IRE) (Juvenile Fillies Turf).

Loughnane said: “Go Bears Go and Hello You both traveled over really well. The trip probably took a bit more out of Hello You. Go Bears Go is like an old pro with this sort of stuff as he takes everything in his stride. They were both in good form on track, moving very well and it was good to get them out exercising after quarantine. It's a huge opportunity for us to be here with two live chances taking on some of the best horses in the world. I feel very lucky and very privileged to be here. I'm going to go and walk the turf track this afternoon. We just need a nice post position for them both now and fingers crossed they run big races.”

Qatar Racing's Sheikh Fahad Al Thani, owner of Mise En Scene (GB) (Juvenile Fillies Turf), Hierarchy (Juvenile Turf Sprint), Ocean Road (IRE) (Filly & Mare Turf) and Shedaresthedevil (Distaff) was on track this morning to see his horses exercise. He said, “I flew over yesterday and it's great to be back at the Breeders' Cup. It's one of my favorite weeks of the year and to have some nice runners is very exciting. The horses look fantastic and reports are that they traveled over really well.”

Michael O'Callaghan was the first of the European trainers to land in America arriving on Thursday evening. O'Callaghan who trains Twilight Jet (IRE) (Juvenile Turf Sprint) was on track to watch exercise. O'Callaghan said, “I'm delighted to be here, it's been an ambition for a while to get here with a live contender. The facilities and organization of everything is second to none, the track is in great order and I'm quite surprised by how good a cover of grass there is on the turf course. We couldn't have been happier with how Twilight Jet handled his first day training on the main track this morning. We're very much looking forward to lining up on Friday.”

Leigh Roche who will take the ride on Twilight Jet on Friday rode him this morning and said, “He's in super order. He felt brilliant on the track, very fresh and well but that's him every day. He just loves his work. The traveling doesn't seem to have bothered him at all.”

A Case of You (IRE) (Turf Sprint) who recently won the Prix de l'Abbaye at ParisLongchamp was ridden on the main track doing a light canter, looked in great condition.

Work rider Ian Brennan said: “A Case Of You traveled over super. He has recovered from the long journey and has settled in great. We were just out for a leg stretch this morning with some trotting and a light canter. He moved well and took in all his surroundings. He's very professional and he's a pleasure to deal with.”

Trainer Brian Meehan was on track riding the pony alongside Vertiginous (IRE)(Juvenile Turf Sprint). The Oasis Dream filly was very settled on the training track accompanied by Armor (GB) (Juvenile Turf Sprint).

Reports from the Japanese team have been very positive since their arrival in Del Mar. Matera Sky (Sprint) and Jasper Great (Juvenile) exercised alongside each other, both doing light canters.

All international runners will be on the main track Tuesday morning for exercise. Many owners and trainers are traveling in the next couple of days to Del Mar.

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Week in Review: Can Jack Christopher be Brown’s First Dirt Superstar?

When pre-entries for the Breeders' Cup were announced last week it was no surprise that Chad Brown's contingent was dominated by turf horses. He has 11 entered for grass races and just three for dirt races. Since he went out on his own in 2007, Brown has established himself as the sport's best grass trainer and grass racing has always been his focus. Entering Sunday's races, he had won 1,316 turf races for a winning rate of 25% and 63.5% of his career wins had come on the grass. Brown has trained nine grass horses who won Eclipse Awards and has won so many grass stakes that it's hard to keep count. He's won 15 Breeders' Cup races, 13 in grass events.

But his most talented Breeders' Cup starter may not be a turf horse. Jack Christopher (Munnings), pre-entered in the GI Breeders' Cup Juvenile, has looked sensational in his two career starts, including a romp in the GI Champagne S. in which he earned a 102 Beyer figure.

“He was a horse that identified himself as early on as his first work,” Brown said after the Champagne. “I was on the phone with the connections saying, 'This is potentially a really good horse. I can't believe what I just saw.' He's just been brilliant in every work. There was some buzz around him before he ran, and he lived up to it.”

An awful lot can go wrong between now and the first week of May, but should he win Friday he will be a solid early favorite for the 2022 GI Kentucky Derby. This one looks to have the potential to go places where only special horses go, which, for Brown, could mean filling in what is maybe the only hole on his resume.

It's not that Brown can't train a dirt horse. He has 756 career dirt wins and his winning rate of 25% on the main track is identical to his percentage on the turf. He has won the GI Champagne S. three times and the GI Cigar Mile twice. He has also won, among others, the GI Breeders' Cup Juvenile, the GI Haskell S.,  the GI Cigar Mile H., the GI Acorn S., the GI Breeders' Cup Filly & Mare Sprint. In 2017, he snuck into Pimlico with the lightly regarded Cloud Computing (Maclean's Music) and won the GI Preakness S. at 13-1 for his lone win in a Triple Crown race. He had a nice run in 2016 with Connect (Curlin), who won the GII Pennsylvania Derby, the GI Cigar Mile H. and the GIII Westchester S.

But he's been quiet over the years in the Triple Crown preps and the Triple Crown races themselves. He's 0-for-6 in the Derby, 1-for-2 in the Preakness and 0-for-3 in the GI Belmont S.

Brown's best dirt horse to date has been Good Magic. After finishing second in the 2017 Champagne, he won the Breeders' Cup Juvenile and later the GII Blue Grass S. He ran a winning race when second in the Derby, but just happened to run into a buzz saw in eventual Triple Crown winner Justify (Scat Daddy). After running fourth in the Preakness, he won the Haskell and was retired after a ninth-place finish in the GI Runhappy Travers S. Though unable to win a Triple Crown race, he proved that Brown could successfully navigate a good horse through the preps and the Triple Crown races.

He didn't fare quiet as well with his two other top prospects, 2018 Champagne winner Complexity (Maclean's Music) and 2016 winner Practical Joke (Into Mischief). Complexity finished 10th in his Breeders' Cup Juvenile and his biggest win thereafter came in the GII Kelso H. Practical Joke, now a well-regarded stallion standing at Coolmore, finished third in the Juvenile and fifth in the Derby. He later won the GI H. Allen Jerkens S. Brown has had five starters in the Juvenile overall.

Brown doesn't have anything to prove when it comes to dirt horses, but not everyone sees it that way. The Juvenile, next year's preps and the Derby itself will be seen as a test for him. He's just 42 and is arguably one of the best there's ever been. He's going to win the Kentucky Derby. Maybe as soon as next year.

What's Going On With Asmussen, Santana?

Steve Asmussen is not only the top trainer all time in wins, he is remarkably consistent. Since 1997, he's never had a year in which his stable won with less than 18% of its starters. All of which makes what went on at Keeneland so remarkable. Asmussen finished the meet Saturday with a record of 1-for-57. And it wasn't a matter of a lot of near misses. He had just seven seconds and seven thirds. Asmussen did win 14 races at other tracks during the Keeneland meet.

It was an even worse story for his go-to rider, Ricardo Santana, Jr. He was 0-for-81 with seven seconds and eight thirds. Including four races he lost at Belmont earlier in October, Santana entered Sunday's card at Churchill Downs having ridden 85 straight losers. On the year, he's won with 17% of his starters.

The last race Santana won was on Oct. 3 aboard Echo Zulu (Gun Runner) in the GI Frizette S. at Belmont.

Asmussen and Santana figure to bust out of their slumps any day now, but what if they don't? Both will be heavily involved in the Breeders' Cup races, including with Echo Zulu, who will be the solid favorite in the GI Breeders' Cup Juvenile Fillies. Should handicappers look elsewhere? It's something to consider.

Watch Out For Americanrevolution

Though he was competing in restricted company, in the Empire Classic H. for New York-breds, Americanrevolution (Constitution) served notice Saturday at Belmont that he is going to be a force going forward.

A bit of a late-developer, he ran a creditable race when third against open company in the GI Pennsylvania Derby, earning a career best 101 Beyer figure.

The odds-on favorite Saturday in his next start, he took command on the turn and took off from there to win by 11 3/4 lengths. He got a 108 Beyer for the race, which puts him among the upper echelon of 3-year-old colts. Numbers-wise, he has improved in each of his six career starts.

He'll be back in 2022, and it could be a big year for him.

It was also a big day for his sire, Constitution. Twenty six minutes after the completion of the Empire Classic, Independence Hall (Constitution) won the GII Hagyard Fayette S. at Keeneland in a romp, winning by 7 1/4 lengths. A horse who has had an up-and-down career, it was his first win of 2021 and, perhaps, a sign that he, too, will take his place among the top older dirt horses next year.

The Trend Continues: Record Handle at Keeneland

Total all-sources handle for the Keeneland fall meet was $181,009,626, an all-time record for the Lexington track. Last year's fall meet handled $160,207,916.

The “boutique” meets in racing continue to show no signs of slowing down. This year, Saratoga, Del Mar and Kentucky Downs also set new records for total handle.

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