Think About It, Is He The New Australian Star?

The streaking Think About It will give 17 rivals plenty to think about when he starts favorite in Friday night's AU$3 million Stradbroke Handicap at Eagle Farm Racecourse. The Group 1, seven-furlong Stradbroke heads an all-stakes program on the year's biggest day of racing in my hometown of Brisbane. An average field size of 14 across nine races will guarantee tantalizing wagering value, which Sky Racing World's Jason Witham will analyze trackside as he broadcasts live on FanDuel TV. First post is 6:43 p.m. Pacific or 9:43 p.m. Eastern.

Under the patient handling of Joe Pride, Think About It (2-1 favorite) has emerged as the latest star in Australia's globally renowned ranks of turf sprinters. The 4-year-old stamped himself Stradbroke material with a sixth consecutive victory in the G1 Kingsford Smith Stakes two weeks ago. While Joe takes pride in his charge “going from strength to strength,” he is wary of the threat from a quartet of 3-year-olds.

Citing Giga Kick (winner of The Everest and G1 Doomben 10,000) as the prime example, Pride points out that “3-year-olds are bobbing up everywhere and winning good races. It's a great crop.” Indeed, the second wagering choice is a lightly raced 3-year-old named Hawaii Five Oh (from the dam Aloha), who is a hulking, full brother to three-time G2 winner Libertini. Hawaii Five Oh (9-2) capitalized on a perfect trip two weeks ago, when beating his own age at the Stradbroke's track and distance. From post position 3 on Friday night, he again will not “spend a penny” in transit under a feathery 109 pounds. Hawaii Five Oh's colorful owner, the successful businessman and leviathan gambler John Singleton, is Australia's equivalent of Jim “Mattress Mack” McIngvale – but relates to the public in a more quintessentially Australian way. Singleton is famous for picking up the tab for the rest of the afternoon after major wins – specifically at racetracks' public bars, while shunning the equivalent of Turf Clubs and Directors' Rooms. “Singo” is threatening to again “shout the bar,” should Hawaii Five Oh win the Stradbroke.

Godolphin's Aft Cabin (16-1) finished 4th to Giga Kick in the aforementioned “Doomben 10,000” a month ago, in his first test against older horses. The powerhouse training operation of Ciaron Maher and David Eustace provides a pair of 3-year-olds who each beat elders at G1 level last start in Adelaide, Royal Merchant (30-1) and Ruthless Dame (14-1). Interestingly, Joe Pride mentioned that the latter “would appear to me to be the best of the 3-year-olds in the Stradbroke.”  Two more highly regarded 3-year-olds, Opal Ridge (16-1) and Yellow Brick (11-1) are among five also eligibles in this strong, oversubscribed renewal of the time-honored Stradbroke Handicap, which was inaugurated in 1890. Clearly, bright prospects are brimming for next season's The Everest (Oct. 13), the world's richest race on turf.

Group 1 billing on Friday night is shared by the JJ Atkins Stakes, at a mile for late-blooming 2-year-olds (the southern hemisphere racing season ends on July 31). Named after a champion Brisbane trainer whose stellar career spanned the second half of the 1990s, this race could give present-day champion conditioner Chris Waller a milestone 150th Group 1 victory. Waller's three-pronged attack comprises Tannhauser (9-2 favorite), Congregation (9-1) and Chrysaor (13-1). Another million-dollar purse is up for grabs in the “Q22,” at 1 3/8 miles. Without A Fight (5-2 favorite) defied his name when winning at 1 1/8 miles off a six-month layoff. Stakes action continues each Friday night from tracks in-and-around Brisbane, throughout the rest of June.

The Eagle Farm card will be broadcast live on FanDuel TV this Friday night (first post: 9:43 p.m. ET / 6:43 p.m. PT) alongside cards from Randwick, Newcastle and Gold Coast. All races will be live-streamed in HD on the new Sky Racing World Appskyracingworld.com and major ADW platforms such as TVG, TwinSpiresXpressbet, NYRABets, WatchandWagerHPIbet, FanDuel and AmWager. Wagering is also available via these ADW platforms. Fans can get free access to live-streaming, past performances, and expert picks on all races at skyracingworld.com.


A native of Brisbane, Australia, Michael Wrona has called races in six countries. Michael's vast U.S. experience includes; race calling at Los Alamitos, Hollywood Park, Arlington and Santa Anita, calling the 2000 Preakness on a national radio network and the 2016 Breeders' Cup on the International simulcast network. Michael also performed a race call voiceover for a Seinfeld episode called The Subway.

 

 

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Dylan Donnelly Wins Monmouth Park’s Pick Your Prize Handicapping Contest Over Record Field Of 299 Entrants

Monmouth Park's $2,000 Pick Your Prize Handicapping Challenge on Saturday, June 3, played host to a record 299 entries with Dylan Donnelly finishing ahead of all others.

Playing on Xpressbet, Donnelly turned his starting $1,000 bankroll into $8,960 with the help of two large daily doubles – a winning $400 bet starting in Race 8 and a winning $800 play starting in Race 11.

By finishing first, Donnelly automatically received a $15,390 cash prize. As part of Pick Your Prize's unique and unparalleled prize structure, Donnelly also received two prize selections from a prize board that included 25 seats to the National Horseplayers Championship, eight seats to the Breeders' Cup Betting Challenge and seven cash prizes ranging from $9,800 to $4,500.

With his two selections, Donnelly picked a BCBC seat and $9,800. All told, Donnelly walked away with his $8,960 bankroll, $25,190 in cash prizes, and a spot in the BCBC.

George Bosch, playing on-site at Monmouth, finished Saturday's contest with a bankroll of $8,310. The second-place finish earned him an automatic $8,550 plus two prize selections – used on a BCBC seat and “NHC+$6,000.”

In total, the Top 7 finishers received two prize board selections.  Finishers 8 through 33 received one pick.

All Pick Your Prize players had to bet a minimum of five Monmouth Park races.   The minimum bet for those races was $200.  Pools available for contest play were win, place, show, exacta and daily double. Contest players participated on-site or online through Xpressbet, TVG and HPI.

Monmouth Park's next live money handicapping contest is the $1,000 Haskell Challenge on Saturday, July 22.  Entries can only be played online through Xpressbet, TVG/4NJBETS or HPI.

For those looking for more immediate contest action, Monmouth Park has partnered with Horsetourneys.com for a $1 (yes, $1) online handicapping for the Saturday, June 17, Haskell Preview Day card. The Top 5 finishers in that Horsetourneys contest will receive a seat in the $1,000 Haskell Challenge.

For information on future Monmouth Park contests, please contact Brian Skirka at bskirka@monmouthpark.com.

$2,000 Pick Your Prize Official Contest Results & Prizes

Name Bankroll Prize(s)
Dylan Donnelly $8,960 $15,390, BCBC, $9,800
George Bosch $8,310 $8,550, BCBC, NHC+$6,000
Dennis Hubbard $7,464.50 $5,130, BCBC, NHC+$4,000
Steven Wells $6,600 $3,420, BCBC, NHC+$3,000
William Meisel $6,270 $1,710, $8,500, NHC+$2,000
Rick Broth $6,002.50 BCBC, NHC
Chris Larmey $5,480 BCBC, NHC
Chris Littlemore $5,240.76 BCBC
Dan Edwards $5,130 NHC
Frank Mustari $4,580 BCBC
Richard Nilsen $4,386.40 $8,000
Seth Morris $4,280 $7,000
Ken Jordan $4,136 NHC
Kyle Roscoe $4,080 $6,500
Terrence Severson $4,030 NHC
Bill Rendino $4,000 $5,500
Dennis Tiernan $3,944 $4,500
Zachary Agamenoni $3,700.50 NHC
James Giamundo $3,478 NHC
Bradley Anderson $3,400 NHC
Mark Streiff $3,298 NHC
Joe Scanio $3,173 NHC
John Kostin $3,140 NHC
Chris Ahl $3,007.80 NHC
Mike Steindler $2,940.50 NHC
Jerry McClenin $2,854 NHC
Paul Shurman $2,820 NHC
Francis Drew $2,813 NHC
Gary Johnson $2,770 NHC
Braden Selvig $2,755 NHC
Lorne Weiss $2,741.82 NHC
Robert Losier $2,530 NHC
Ken Seeman $2,500 NHC

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Equibase Analysis: Tapit Shoes Primed For Upset In Belmont Stakes

The 155th running of the Grade 1, $1.5 Million Belmont Stakes is an intensely intriguing race because Kentucky Derby winner Mage, who finished third in the Grade 1 Preakness Stakes behind National Treasure three weeks ago, is not running, but Kentucky Derby morning line favorite Forte, who was withdrawn because of a foot bruise, is.

Derby third place finisher Angel of Empire skipped the Preakness with his target being this race, as did Derby fifth place finisher Hit Show and seventh place finisher Tapit Trice. Red Route One attempts to improve off his fourth place Preakness finish, while G3 Peter Pan Stakes winner Arcangelo attempts to earn the Peter Pan – Belmont double as Tonalist did in 2014.

Tapit Shoes is a new face at the top level for 3-year-olds, coming into the Belmont off a head defeat behind Red Route One in the Bath House Row Stakes. Il Miracolo just won an allowance level race four weeks ago but was sixth in both the G2 Fountain of Youth Stakes and G1 Florida Derby, both won by Forte, prior to that.

Analysis and main contender:

Over the last 10 editions of the Belmont Stakes, sons of top sire Tapit have won four times. It appears with two entrants in the race this year, that number may be five by around 7:05 pm on Saturday, June 10. Tapit's bloodline is represented by both Tapit Trice and Tapit Shoes, but it is Tapit Shoes I'm much more interested as he is likely to enter the gate for this year's Belmont Stakes at high odds. This is because he hasn't raced at this level to date, but that is not a reason to ignore his chances for even a second. Last fall Tapit Shoes made his debut in a two-turn race without a sprint race first, likely because trainer Brad Cox knew the colt's greatest chances for success were in longer races. After finishing sixth of 11 in that debut, Tapit Shoes dominated to win by seven lengths a little over four weeks later then finished fourth and third. Although those efforts subsequent to the win did not result in top two finishes, Tapit Shoes ran faster each time, going from an 83 ™ Equibase® Speed Figure in his maiden win, to 90, then 93. Returning after two months off on April 22, Cox apparently felt confident Tapit Shoes fit with top 3-year-olds, as he was entered in the Bath House Row Stakes against Red Route One, who had finished second in both the Rebel Stakes and Southwest Stakes, and against Victory Formation, who won the Smarty Jones Stakes in January. Tapit Shoes confirmed Cox's opinion in the Bath House Row, as the colt earned a new career-best 102 figure, missing by a head on the finish line after making the lead in the stretch. This colt is a full brother to Cyberknife, who earned more than $2 million and who was second in the 2022 Travers Stakes, and Cox has a Belmont Stakes win under his belt, having saddled Essential Quality to win the race in 2021. On a pattern for a new career-best effort and having superb tactical speed to stalk the pacesetters in third or fourth in the early stages from the ground saving rail, I think Tapit Shoes can post the upset and win this year's Belmont Stakes.

Angel of Empire rallied from 16th in the 18 horse Kentucky Derby field five weeks ago, to 10th with a quarter mile to go, then to third with an eighth of a mile to run, and got within a half-length of Derby runner-up Two Phil's at the end. Sensing he may have been just a bit unfocused in that race, trainer Brad Cox (who also saddles Tapit Shoes and Hit Show) adds blinkers, hoping for the colt to run as well as he did one race before last in the Arkansas Derby, where he made a visually impressive run on the far turn to go from sixth to first as the field entered the stretch. Since that race, Angel of Empire has put in two sparkling morning workouts at Cox's home base in Kentucky, both five furlongs drills in :59.8 seconds which were near the fastest on the day and also faster than either Tapit Shoes or Hit Show, who worked the same distance on the same day. The career-best 106 ™ figure Angel of Empire earned in the Arkansas Derby is tied for the best figure earned by any horse in this field (with Forte) and so if the new equipment (or shorter field) helps, Angel of Empire certainly can run well enough to win.

Tapit Trice won four races in succession until a seventh place effort in the Kentucky Derby where he never got involved but did pass 10 horses to go from 18th to seventh at the end. Prior to that Tapit Trice earned a career-best 103 ™ when winning the Blue Grass Stakes, after losing the lead mid-stretch to Verifying but showing his mental toughness to prevail by a neck at the finish. Trainer Todd Pletcher immediately set the colt's sights on the Belmont after the Derby and Tapit Trice has been in steady training at Belmont for this race, so if he can return to the form shown in December through April, he could have a big say in the outcome.

Red Route One gets honorable mention and in my opinion has to be considered for second or third so could be part of the exacta or trifecta. Red Route One won the Bath House Row Stakes in April, beating Tapit Shoes by a head on the wire. He rallied from eighth of nine in that race and his tendency is to come from far back, which historically is not the style which wins the Belmont Stakes. He earned a 102 figure in the Bath House Row before regressing to a 95 figure in the Preakness, but he is one of few in here which has the pedigree to get this mile and one-half trip (his dam's sire is Tapit) and trainer Steve Asmussen won the 2016 Belmont with Creator, so I think Red Route One could be passing a number of the other entrants in this race for a nice piece of the prize money.

Now, I know many will be wondering why Forte and National Treasure are not win contenders in my opinion. Forte would have been the betting favorite in the Kentucky Derby if not scratched because of a foot bruise, which based on his most recent workouts appear not to be an issue. He has won five races in a row, including the Fountain of Youth Stakes with a career-best 106 figure. Although he hasn't run in a race since winning the Florida Derby on April 1, that isn't a reason for discounting his chances to win because Tiz the Law won the 2020 Belmont after winning the Florida Derby (that was the year the Kentucky Derby was postponed until after the Belmont). The reason I feel Forte isn't as probable to win as Tapit Shoes, Tapit Trice, or Angel of Empire is I don't think Forte has the pedigree to successfully run this mile and one-half distance. So although trainer Todd Pletcher has won the Belmont Stakes three times in the last 10 years, I'm taking a stand against Forte.

As to National Treasure, he won the Preakness leading from start to finish and really slowed the tempo, enabling him to fight off Blazing Sevens in the final yards. As long as Il Miracolo (who is likely to go for the lead from the start) runs in this race, National Treasure is unlikely to have an easy lead, and considering that in his four previous two-turn races prior to the Preakness National Treasure didn't really show any kind of late kick, I feel if he can't have the lead he can't run well enough to win in spite of the competitive 102 figure earned in the Preakness.

The rest of the field, with their best representative ™ Equibase® Speed Figures, is Arcangelo (97), Hit Show (99) and Il Miracolo (84).

Top Win Contenders:
Tapit Shoes
Angel of Empire
Tapit Trice

For use on exacta and trifecta tickets in second and third position:
Red Route One

Belmont Stakes presented by NYRA Bets – Grade 1
Race 12 at Belmont Park
Saturday, June 10 – Post Time 7:02 PM E.T.
One Mile and One Half
Three Years Old
Purse: $1.5 Million
T.V.: FOX 6:30 – 7:30 PM E.T.

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Belmont Cancels Thursday Racing, Laurel And Pimlico Cancel Training

The New York Racing Association released the following statement Thursday morning, June 8: 

The New York Racing Association, Inc. (NYRA) has canceled live racing Thursday at Belmont Park due to poor air quality conditions forecast to impact Long Island and all of New York State throughout the day on Thursday.

As previously announced, morning training was canceled Thursday at both Saratoga Race Course and Belmont Park. The conditions that necessitated the cancelation of training are likely to persist this afternoon and into the evening. As a result, Thursday's twilight racing program, which featured a 3:05 p.m. first post to kick off the 2023 Belmont Stakes Racing Festival, has been cancelled.

“Safety is paramount as we navigate this unprecedented situation,” said NYRA President & CEO David O'Rourke. “NYRA will actively monitor all available data and weather information as we work toward the resumption of training and racing both here at Belmont Park and at Saratoga Race Course. Based on current forecast models and consultation with our external weather services, we remain optimistic that we will see an improvement in air quality on Friday.”

Thursday's co-featured Grade 2, $200,000 Wonder Again and $150,000 Jersey Girl will be re-scheduled for Sunday, June 11 at Belmont Park. Those races will be brought back as extras for Sunday's card, and re-drawn today.

The indoor facilities at Belmont Park and Aqueduct Racetrack will remain open for simulcasting on Thursday.

Live racing is scheduled to resume on Friday at Belmont Park with an 11-race card, featuring five graded stakes highlighted by a trio of Grade 1 events: the $600,000 New York, the $500,000 Just a Game and the $500,000 Acorn, as well as the Grade 2, $250,000 Belmont Gold Cup and the Grade 3, $200,000 Intercontinental. First post is 12:50 p.m.

According to a tweet from Georganne Hale, vice president of racing development at the Maryland Jockey Club, training at Pimlico and Laurel was also cancelled for Thursday morning. 

Read our previous reporting on the air quality issues impacting the East Coast this week, as well as the Horseracing Integrity and Safety Authority's recommended policy on air quality here.

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