Equibase Analysis: European Invader The Foxes May Be Tough To Beat In Belmont Derby Invitational

This Saturday's Grade 1, $750.000 Belmont Derby Invitational drew a very strong field of 11 including six previous stakes winners. Coming out of the toughest race is The Foxes (IRE), who finished fifth of 14 in the G1 English Derby five weeks ago and who previously won the G2 Dante Stakes.

The U.S.-based contingent is led by Webslinger, winner of two stakes in a row – the G2 American Turf Stakes in May and more recently the Audubon Stakes. Kalik just won the G2 Pennine Ridge Stakes last month and is trying for his fourth consecutive win. Wizard of Westwood won the Cinema Stakes in California at the 1 1/4-mile distance of the Belmont Derby and is another with credentials to be competitive.

Silver Knott (GB) missed by a nose in the G1 Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf last fall and in his most recent race was third behind Kalik in the Pennine Ridge. Also in the Pennine Ridge, Far Bridge finished second one month after also finishing second behind Webslinger in the American Turf. Boppy O just won the Jersey Derby Stakes last month and adds more depth to the field. Mendelssohns March hopes to improve off a runner-up effort behind Webslinger in the Audubon.

Mondego (GB) has won two races in a row on the Belmont turf course and steps into a stakes race for the first time, while both Cyber Ninja and Redistricting (GB) step up in class off maiden wins on the turf.

Top contenders to win:

The Foxes (IRE) has been facing tougher horses, and running faster, than the rest of the Belmont Derby Invitational field so gets top billing. Although fifth of in his most recent race (June 3), the English Derby, the colt had rallied to third with about an eighth of a mile to go in the 14 horse field and really wasn't disgraced. Not only that but winner Auguste Rodin returned to win the Irish Derby last week, and runner-up King of Steel won the King Edward Stakes at Royal Ascot on June 23. As important, the 112 ™ Equibase® Speed Figure The Foxes (IRE) earned in the English Derby is by far the highest figure earned by any horse in this race, and the highest last race figure in the field. The next best last race figure 99 was earned by Wizard of Westwood, and the best earned by any horse in the field in any race is 106 by Webslinger in the American Turf Stakes in May. Prior to that, The Foxes (IRE) ran even better and faster, earning a 117 ™ figure when winning the Dante Stakes at the distance of 1 5/16 miles, one-sixteenth of a mile more than the 10 furlong distance of this race. The only other horses in the field to have run this far or farther are Wizard of Westwood, who won the Cinema Stakes at this distance (with a 99 figure), and Cyber Ninja, who won a maiden race at the distance of 1 3/8 miles last month with an 84 figure. World class jockey Oisin Murphy has ridden The Foxes (IRE) in his last three starts and travels from Europe to ride, providing even more reason this horse is the one to beat in this year's Belmont Derby.

Redistricting (GB) was bred in Europe but was purchased and sent to the U.S., and to the care of top trainer Chad Brown. He did not make his first career start until last month but that race on June 3 apparently was good enough for Brown to consider stepping up significantly in class to race here. Brown has been pretty good at assessing whether a horse in his care is good enough to make this kind of move: as per a Race Lens query over the last five years, Brown's starters have won or finished second in nine of 20 graded stakes race on turf following their maiden wins. Brown added to that number three weeks ago when Prerequisite won the Wonder Again Stakes on the Belmont turf following a maiden win, and jockey Flavien Prat was aboard that day as well as rides Redistricting (GB) in this race. Although the 89 ™ figure would need marked improvement to get into the 112 to 117 range of figures The Foxes (IRE) has earned in his last two races, it must be noted Prerequisite improved her figure 16 points in the Wonder Again Stakes from her maiden win, meaning that kind of improvement may be forthcoming for Redistricting (GB).

Webslinger has now won three of six graded stakes on grass, including two in a row. He won the American Turf Stakes on Kentucky Derby day by a nose with a career-best 106 figure, then although regressing to a 96 figure one month later when winning the Audubon Stakes, the victory was impressive as he made a four wide bid on the turn to go from fourth to first and easily held his lead the entire length of the stretch. Considering Webslinger stretched out nicely from the 1 1/16-mile turf distance of the American Turf to the 1 1/8-mile distance of the Audubon, it appears the additional eighth of a mile in the Belmont Derby could be within his reach.

Honorable mention goes to Far Bridge, who won the first two races of his career, both turf routes, in January and March, then was beaten a nose by Webslinger in the American Derby, earning the same 106 figure as the winner. One month later, Far Bridge rallied from sixth of seven to get second behind Kalik in the Pennine Ridge Stakes, after Kalik was allowed to set an extremely slow and uncontested early pace. Kalik may not get that kind of easy lead this time because Wizard of Westwood appears to have the same running style. Any pace battle between Kalik and Wizard of Westwood could help Far Bridge to be as competitive in the late stages of the race as he was in the American Turf.

The rest of the field, with their best ™ Equibase Speed Figures, is Boppy O (94), Cyber Ninja (84), Kalik (97), Mendelssohns March (94), Mondego (GB) (93), Silver Knott (106) and Wizard of Westwood (99).

Win contenders:
The Foxes (IRE)
Redistricting
Webslinger
Far Bridge can be considered a contender for at least a minor award.

Belmont Derby Invitational – Grade 1
Race 10 at Belmont Park
Saturday July 8 – Post Time 5:49 PM E.T.
One Mile and One Quarter on Turf
Three Year Olds
Purse: $750,000

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$138,215 Pick 6 Carryover Awaits Belmont Park Horseplayers On Friday

Friday's card at Belmont Park in Elmont, N.Y., will be bolstered by a Pick 6 carryover of $138,215 after the multi-race wager went unsolved on Tuesday's 10-race card.

The $1 Pick 6 returned $9,214 to bettors who selected 5-of-6 winners correctly.

Tuesday's sequence kicked off with a mild upset as Jose Ortiz guided Classic Mark [No. 4, $15.20] to victory for trainer Linda Rice, besting heavily favored Mistical Curlin in the 1 1/16-mile starter allowance for 3-year-olds and up.

Flavien Prat, who won five races on the card, posted a prominent score in Race 6 aboard the Brendan Walsh-trained Heaven Street [No. 6, $8.90] in a seven-furlong Widener turf test for older horses.

Be Up [No. 3, $17.60] held off Myriskyaffair to capture Race 7, a 10-furlong inner turf test for fillies and mares with Manny Franco aboard for conditioner Mike Maker one race before I'm Buzzy [No. 5, $27.20] upset a six-furlong claiming sprint older fillies and mares with Dylan Davis up for trainer Chris Englehart in Race 8.

Prat returned to the winner's circle in Race 9 after guiding the George Weaver-trained King Moonracer [No. 9, $19.80] to his second career win in the six-furlong state-bred allowance sprint for 3-year-olds and up.

With the carryover already confirmed in the Race 10 finale, a 10-furlong inner turf test for fillies and mares, Prat secured his fifth win on the card by guiding Highland Grace [No. 5, $8.20] to victory for trainer Barclay Tagg.

Friday's Pick 6 will kick off in Race 5 at 3:09 p.m. Eastern and includes the Grade 3, $250,000 Manila in Race 9. First post for the 10-race card is 1:05 p.m.

America's Day at the Races will present live coverage and analysis of the Belmont Park spring/summer meet on the networks of FOX Sports. For the broadcast schedule and channel finder, visit https://www.nyra.com/belmont/racing/tv-schedule/.

NYRA Bets is the best way to bet every race of the Belmont Park spring/summer meet. Available to horse players nationwide, the NYRA Bets app is available for download today on iOS and Android at www.NYRABets.com.

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Cross Country Pick 5 Features Horseshoe Indianapolis, Belmont Park

The New York Racing Association will host a Cross Country Pick 5 on Saturday featuring an all-stakes sequence from Belmont Park and Horseshoe Indianapolis.

The Cross Country Pick 5 requires bettors to pick the winner of five select races from tracks across the country. The minimum bet for the multi-track, multi-race wager is 50 cents. Wagering on the Cross Country Pick 5 is available on ADW platforms and at simulcast facilities across the country with each week featuring a mandatory payout of the net pool. The Cross Country Pick 5, boasting a low 15 percent takeout, offers sequences with races from Belmont Park and partner tracks across the country.

The sequence kicks off at 5:28 p.m. Eastern in Race 10 from Horseshoe Indianapolis, the $100,000 Indiana General Assembly Distaff Handicap at 1 1/16-miles on turf for older fillies and mares. Henrietta Topham arrives off a narrow triumph in the Grade 3 Mint Julep on June 4 at Churchill Downs for trainer Geoff Mulcahy, looking to notch both her third consecutive victory and third career stakes conquest. The Carlo Vaccarezza-trained Sweet Dani Girl looks to improve from two placings in graded events in her last two outings, while the Brad Cox-trained Juncture makes her third state-side outing on the heels of a win in the Ouija Board Distaff on May 29 at Lone Star Park.

Action switches to Belmont Park to commence the first of four graded events to close out the sequence, beginning with the Grade 1, $750,000 Belmont Derby Invitational in Race 10 [5:49 p.m.]. The Andrew Balding-trained The Foxes makes his American debut off a fifth in the Group 1 Epsom Derby, which followed a determined neck victory in the Group 2 Dante at York. A talented field includes the pair of graded stakes-winners Webslinger and Boppy O for Hall of Fame trainer Mark Casse; dual graded stakes-placed Far Bridge for Hall of Famer Todd Pletcher; and last-out Grade 2 Pennine Ridge-winner Kalik for four-time Eclipse Award-winning trainer Chad Brown.

The sequence heads back to Indiana for Race 11 [6:03 p.m.], the 1 1/16-mile Grade 3 Indiana Oaks for sophomore fillies. Graded stakes-winner Taxed makes her first appearance since a breakout win in the Grade 2 Black-Eyed Susan for conditioner Randy Morse. She'll face steep opposition from Grade 1 Ashland-winner Defining Purpose for trainer Ken McPeek and the graded stakes-placed Lily Poo for trainer Michael McCarthy in a competitive field of eight.

The penultimate leg features sophomore fillies sprinting 6 1/2 furlongs in the Grade 3 Victory Ride [Race 11, 6:21 p.m.] at Belmont, led by undefeated starlets Maple Leaf Mel and Dazzling Blue. The former enters from a strong win in the Grade 3 Miss Preakness on May 19 to make her first start for conditioner Melanie Giddings while the latter steps up to the graded ranks for the first time off an 8 3/4-length optional claiming romp on the same day at Churchill for Cox. They will have their perfect records challenged by last-out Grade 2 Eight Belles-winner Red Carpet Ready for trainer Rusty Arnold and the Brown-trained Interpolate, who was a close second last out in the Grade 2 Beaumont in April at Keeneland.

The sequence closes out in the Hoosier State with the Grade 3 Indiana Derby [Race 12, 6:40 p.m.], a 1 1/16-mile test for sophomores. Dual Grade 1-placed Verifying was last seen finishing a game second in the Grade 3 Matt Winn on June 11 at Ellis Park where he earned a 101 Beyer Speed Figure for Cox. Act a Fool has won his last four starts for conditioner Larry Rivelli, including the Hawthorne Derby on turf last out for his first stakes coup. The field also includes Grade 3 Gotham victor Raise Cain for trainer Ben Colebrook; multiple graded stakes-placed Hayes Strike for McPeek; and Georgie W, who is undefeated in two starts and won a local allowance by 9 3/4 lengths last out for trainer Will Walden.

Free Equibase past performances for the Cross Country Pick 5 sequence will be available for download at https://www.nyra.com/belmont/racing/cross-country-wagers.

America's Day at the Races will present daily coverage and analysis of the spring/summer meet at Belmont Park on the networks of FOX Sports. For the complete broadcast schedule, visit https://www.nyra.com/belmont/racing/tv-schedule.

NYRA Bets is the best way to bet every race of the Belmont spring/summer meet. Available to horse players nationwide, the NYRA Bets app is available for download today on iOS and Android at www.NYRABets.com.

Cross Country Pick 5 – Saturday, July 8

Leg A: Horseshoe Indianapolis, Race 10 –Ind. General Assembly Distaff H. (5:28 p.m. Eastern)

Leg B: Belmont Park, Race 10 – G1 Belmont Derby Inv. (5:49 p.m.)

Leg C: Horseshoe Indianapolis, Race 11 – G3 Indiana Oaks (6:03 p.m.)

Leg D: Belmont Park, Race 11 – G3 Victory Ride (6:21 p.m.)

Leg E: Horseshoe Indianapolis, Race 12 – G3 Indiana Derby (6:40 p.m.)

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Rainbow 6: Gulfstream’s Mandatory Payout Yields Multiple $3,061 Payouts

A mandatory payout of the Rainbow 6 pool Friday at Gulfstream Park yielded multiple $3,061.66 payoffs.

The popular multi-race wager had gone unsolved for nine consecutive racing days, producing a carryover jackpot of $149,053.69 heading into Friday's mandatory payout.
A total of S1,448,892 was wagered into the Rainbow 6 pool Friday.

The Rainbow 6 sequence spanned Races 3-8. The winning combination was 5-2-7-1-7-1.

On mandatory-payout days, the entire Rainbow 6 jackpot pool is paid out to the bettor or bettors with the most winners in the wager's six-race sequence. The carryover jackpot is usually only paid out when there is a single unique ticket sold with all six winners. On days when there is no unique ticket, 70 percent of that day's pool usually goes back to those bettors holding tickets with the most winner, while 30 percent is carried over to the jackpot pool.

The Rainbow 6 will start anew on Saturday's 11-race program. The Rainbow 6 sequence will span races 6-11, headlined by the $100,000 Smile Sprint (G3) in Race 10.

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