Beat Ray At Del Mar: Royalty In The Yellow Ribbon?

TVG's Mike Joyce and I have something in common: as lifelong Chicago Cubs fans, we are used to cheering for losers. That practice comes in handy in horse racing, where favorites only win about one-third of the time. Horses I've selected in the Beat Ray Beach Boss contest are doing much worse; in fact, they appear to be boycotting the Del Mar winner's circle.

Joyce is this week's guest handicapper in the Beat Ray Beach Boss competition, joining host and racing analyst Michelle Yu to look at Saturday's Grade 2 Yellow Ribbon Handicap at the seaside track near San Diego, Calif. It's a very competitive race from top to bottom.

Yu has been red-hot in her analysis, schooling me and Nick Luck in selecting Dr. Schivel last week in the G1 Bing Crosby. It may be good news for me (or bad news for her) that we both agree that Michael Stidham-trained Princess Grace is poised for a minor upset in the Yellow Ribbon after winning her seasonal debut recently at Parx Racing in Pennsylvania.

With Joyce also putting his mythical $100 to win on Princess Grace, we're all going to be victorious or go down on the same sinking ship.

It's not too late to sign up for the Beach Boss competition, where the player with the largest mythical bankroll at the end of the current Del Mar meeting will win two VIP tickets for this year's Breeders' Cup world championships at Del Mar.

For more information or to sign up, click here. Watch our analysis of the Yellow Ribbon below.

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Equibase Analysis: By My Standards Poised To Run Down Knicks Go

The number seven is rampant in the 2021 edition of the Grade 1, $1 million Whitney Stakes, as each of the five entrants possesses seven career victories. Combined, the field has won 35 of 70 races for more than $12 million career earnings. Leading the group is Knicks Go, who has made a career of taking the lead at the start and running his competitors off their feet while coasting home in front in the final eighth of a mile. Using his early speed, Knicks Go has won five of his last six North American starts, most recently the Grade 3 Cornhusker Handicap at the distance of the Whitney.

Next in accomplishments is the filly Swiss Skydiver, winner of the Grade 1 Preakness Stakes against males last fall and winner of the Grade 1 Beholder Mile earlier this year. Maxfield has only been defeated one time in eight career starts and enters the Whitney off strong victories in the Grade 2 Alysheba Stakes and in the Grade 2 Stephen Foster Stakes, also at the distance of this race. Silver State has also won two graded stakes in a row starting with the Grade 2 Oaklawn Handicap in April at this nine-furlong trip, followed up by a win in the Grade 1 Metropolitan Handicap in June. Last but certainly not least in this strong quintet is By My Standards¸ runner-up in the 2020 Whitney and winner of the Oaklawn Mile Stakes in April before a runner-up effort in the Metropolitan Handicap. 

Owing to the heavy favoritism Knicks Go will receive from bettors, I'm going to opt for By My Standards to post the upset in this year's Whitney Stakes. Winner of the 2019 Louisiana Derby and well-regarded in the Kentucky Derby that year, By My Standards had little chance in the Derby after getting squeezed back at the start and losing position. Sitting out the balance of 2019, By My Standards returned as a 4-year-old last year and won three races in a row including both the New Orleans Classic Stakes and Oaklawn Handicap before a big runner-up effort behind Tom's d'Etat in the 2020 Stephen Foster Stakes. Next came a career best effort with a 113  Equibase Speed Figure when second behind Improbable in the 2020 Whitney. He ran poorly last fall in two races but just as he did to start 2020, By My Standards started 2021 with a bang, first winning the Oaklawn Mile in April before a runner-up effort in the Metropolitan Handicap (Met Mile) in June. Although second in the Met Mile, By My Standards may have been best as he brushed the gate at the start, was soundly bumped back to last of six and was wide on the turn. Nevertheless, By My Standards rallied and was beaten just one length at the finish by Silver State. Now having finished first or second in five of six career starts at this mile and one-eighth distance, with a clean break By My Standards can post the upset win in this year's Whitney by running as well as he did in last year's edition of the race.

That being said, By My Standards must run down Knicks Go in the stretch to win. There's a saying in racing that  “speed is the ultimate bias,” and with Knicks Go that is a fact. Brilliant as a 2-year-old when winning the Breeders' Futurity in the fall of 2019, Knicks Go went off form but got his brilliant speed back after moving to the barn of Brad Cox over the winter of 2020. Reeling off three wins in a row including the Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile last fall, Knicks Go won the Pegasus World Cup Invitational this past January with a strong 115  figure just one point shy of the career best 116 figure earned three months earlier. Following uncharacteristically poor fourth-place finishes in the Saudi Cup and Metropolitan Mile, Knicks Go showed all his speed, and talent, winning the Cornhusker Handicap last month at the distance of the Whitney and could prove impossible to catch once again.

Maxfield has been nearly perfect in his career, winning seven of eight races. His only loss came when trying 1 1/4 miles in the Santa Anita Handicap in March, perhaps just a bit farther than he wants to run. In his only try at the nine-furlong distance of the Whitney¸ Maxfield easily won the Stephen Foster Stakes in his most recent start near the end of June, earning a 107 figure. Perhaps he didn't have to run any faster, because two months earlier when winning the Alysheba Stakes, Maxfield earned a career-best 115 figure which stands up as nearly the same as the best figures of the top contenders in this field. It must also be noted that jockey Jose Ortiz is a perfect five-for-five when riding Maxfield, compared to four-for-five for Joel Rosario (Knicks Go) and seven-for-14 for Gabriel Saez (By My Standards). 

In terms of probability, both Silver State and the filly Swiss Skydiver can't be ruled out. Silver State earned a 113 figure winning the Oaklawn Handicap in April at the distance of the Whitney before a game victory in the Metropolitan Handicap, while Swiss Skydiver already proved capable of beating males in last year's Preakness (111 figure) and won the Beholder Mile in March off a layoff similar to the one she's coming off today. Notably, North American leading jockey Irad Ortiz, Jr. rides Swiss Skydiver for the first time and the jockey is in a pitched battle with his brother Jose for the coveted Saratoga riding title, with the brothers having won 24 races each through Wednesday and one behind leading jockey Luis Saez. 

Win Contenders, in preference order:
By My Standards
Knicks Go
Maxfield

Whitney Stakes – Grade 1
Race 10 at Saratoga
Saturday, August 7 – Post Time 5:48 PM E.T.
One Mile and One Eighth
4-Year-Olds and Upward
Purse: $1 Million

Ellis Starr is national racing analyst for Equibase

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Weekend Lineup Presented By NYRA Bets: Whitney Day At Saratoga; Del Mar Spotlights Juveniles

Eight graded stakes are offered this weekend at Saratoga Race Course in Saratoga Springs, N.Y., kicking off on Friday with the Grade 1 National Museum of Racing Hall of Fame Stakes and highlighted by Saturday's $1-million, Grade 1 Whitney Stakes, a Win and You're In Breeders' Cup Challenge Stakes for the Classic division, a race that offers a fees-paid spot in the starting gate for the $6-million Classic at Del Mar on Nov. 6. The Whitney should be a doozy, but you won't want to miss stakes like the G1 Saratoga Derby Invitational on Saturday or Sunday's G3 Saratoga Oaks. Whitney Day is one of the best cards of the year anywhere.

Meanwhile, out west in Del Mar, Calif., the seaside track showcases 2-year-old fillies in Friday's G2 Sorrento Stakes and 2-year-old colts on Saturday in the G2 Best Pal Stakes. Del Mar's Saturday card also features a wide-open renewal of the Yellow Ribbon Handicap for fillies and mares going 1 1/16 miles on turf.

For the adventurous horseplayer, take a chance at the New York Racing Association's Cross Country (and Cross Breed) Pick 5 on Saturday. That bet includes the aforementioned Saratoga Derby and Whitney, Monmouth's Tyro Stake, and two of harness racing's biggest events – the Hambletonian Oaks and the Hambletonian, both contested at Meadowlands in New Jersey. Past performances are free here for this 50-cent base wager.

Here's a quick snapshot of this weekend's graded stakes schedule, starting with Saratoga and Del Mar's big races (all times Eastern):

Friday

4:29 – $200,000 Grade 2 National Museum of Racing Hall of Fame S at Saratoga

Two Hall of Fame trainers have entrants in this one-mile turf race for 3-year-olds: Bill Mott, who will saddle Annex and newly inducted Mark Casse, who sends out Easy Time. Hall of Fame jockey John Velazquez also may have a say in the outcome aboard Next for trainer Wesley Ward. But like virtually every grass stakes, you'll have to beat a Chad Brown runner to get the money. In this case, it's Public Sector , a Kingman colt searching for his initial stakes victory and coming off a narrow loss in the Manila on July 4. He'll have West Coast-based Flavien Prat in the saddle.

Hall of Fame Entries

5:39 p.m. – $200,000 Grade 3 Troy S at Saratoga

Imprimus will try to win the Troy again this year for trainer Joe Orseno after crossing the line first and being disqualified for interference in the 2020 running. This gelded son of Broken Vow is 9-for-19 lifetime and almost always makes his presence felt with a strong stretch punch. Wesley Ward runs the speedy Bound for Nowhere and Charlie Appleby has an interesting import from Europe for Godolphin in Lazuli, a Dubawi gelding to be ridden by Luis Saez.

Troy Entries

10:00 p.m. – $200,000 Grade 2 Sorrento S at Del Mar

Smash Ticket, the 9-5 morning line favorite, finished second to the Steve Asmussen hotshot 2-year-old Wicked Halo on a muddy track at Lone Star Park in June, then romped to a five-length maiden win at Del Mar on July 17. She will be tough right back for trainer Todd Fincher and her performance may help solve the puzzle in Sunday's G2 Adirondack at Saratoga, where Wicked Halo is among the leading contenders.

Sorrento Entries

Saturday

3:50 p.m. – $250,000, Grade 2 Glens Falls S at Saratoga

Hard to believe, but the Glens Falls at 1 1/2 miles on the inner turf is a race that Chad Brown has yet to win, though he'll have a pair of runners who will try to end that omission on his record. Five-time Glens Falls-winning trainer Bill Mott has the favorite, however, in War Like Goddess, an English Channel filly who has not run since dominating the G3 Bewitch Stakes over this same marathon distance at Keeneland in April. The lightly raced 4-year-old has only lost once in five career starts

Glens Falls Entries

4:34 p.m. – $500,000 Grade 1 Test S at Saratoga

The 1-2 finishers in the G2 Mother Goose, Zaajel and Always Carina, and the 1-2-3 finishers in the G1 Acorn, Search Results, Obligatory and Make Mischief, make this an exceptionally difficult race to handicap. A sixth filly, G2 Victory Ride winner Souper Sensational, can't be discounted, either. It's going to take a very good filly to win this year's edition of the seven-furlong Test.

Test Entries

5:10 p.m. – $1-million Grade 1 Saratoga Derby Invitational S at Saratoga

Bolshoi Ballet is the 2-1 favorite to ship from Ireland and reprise his July 10 win in the G1 Belmont Derby for trainer Aidan O'Brien, but Aidan's son Joseph O'Brien will try to beat him with State of Rest. Charlie Appleby has a Godolphin runner, the War Front colt Secret Protector, who may be up to the task, and Cadillac rounds out the European competition for trainer Jessica Harrington.

Saratoga Derby Entries

5:48 p.m. – $1-Million Grade 1 Whitney S at Saratoga

Only five runners but they bring a combined $12 million in racetrack earnings into the starting gate led by the $4.8-million earner Knicks Go, the 6-5 favorite on the morning line for trainer Brad Cox. The Paynter 5-year-old suffered two consecutive losses in the G1 Saudi Cup and G1 Met Mile before rebounding with a confidence-building win in the G3 Cornhusker Handicap at Prairie Meadows last month. He'll put his speed on display but champion filly Swiss Skydiver will likely make a run at Knicks Go, and if that softens him up there are three very strong closers. The “now” horse among them may be Silver State, who has posted six consecutive victories dating back to last October.

Whitney Entries

9:06 p.m. – $200,000 Grade 2 Best Pal S at Del Mar

Luis Mendez opted not to run his top juvenile colt, Big City Lights, and instead point for the G1 Del Mar Futurity on Labor Day but will be represented by Olympic Legend in the Best Pal. Peter Miller has a pair of fast 2-year-olds in Bet On Mookie and Aquitania Arrival, but Mark Casse has the probable favorite in Pappacap, a Gun Runner colt who debuted impressively at Gulfstream Park in May.

Best Pal Entries

9:36 p.m. – $200,000 Grade 2 Yellow Ribbon Handicap at Del Mar

Simon Callaghan-trained Maxim Rate is the 7-2 morning line favorite in this wide-open field of 10 fillies and mares going 1o 1/16 miles on turf, but it would be hard to discount any of these entrants' chances. The newcomer to this party is Michael Stidham-trained Princess Grace, a Karakontie 4-year-old coming off a G3 victory at Parx in her seasonal debut.

Yellow Ribbon Entries

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Here's a snapshot of the other weekend graded stakes in North America, courtesy of NTRA:

Saturday

4:55 p.m. ―$200,000 Grade 3 West Virginia Governor's Stakes at Mountaineer 

Sprawl, trained by Tom Drury Jr., has made his last three starts at Churchill Downs. Sprawl won an allowance optional claiming race on May 9 by 7 ¼ lengths, finished third in the black type Blame Stakes, and third again in the Grade 3 Stephen Foster behind Maxfield and Warrior's Charge. Sprawl will break from the rail under Joe Talamo. Down from Canada is 4-year-old Mighty Heart. Trained by Josie Carroll, Mighty Heart won the Blame Stakes at Churchill Downs on May 29 and took the Grade 3, 1 1/6-mile Dominion Day Stakes at Woodbine on July 1. Daisuke Fukumoto has the mount, breaking form post 5. Michael M. Hui's hard-knocking 8-year-old gelding

West Virginia Governor's Entries

5:35 p.m. – $500,000 Grade 3 West Virginia Derby at Mountaineer

Mr. Wireless is the 9-5 morning line favorite against six rivals going 1 1/8 miles. Trained by Bret Calhoun and ridden from post 3 by Ramon Vasquez, Mr. Wireless has won three of five starts, highlighted by a rousing 3 ¾-length score last time out in the Grade 3 Indiana Derby at Indiana Grand. Prior to the Indiana Derby, Mr. Wireless finished second by three-quarters of a length to Warrant in the listed Texas Derby at Lone Star Park on May 31. Trained by Brad Cox, Warrant has won two of five starts. Florent Geroux has the mount from post 5. The Todd Pletcher-trained Bourbonic won Aqueduct's Grade 2 Wood Memorial by a head at 72-1 in April. Bourbonic finished 13th in the Grade 1 Kentucky Derby presented by Woodford Reserve and fifth in the Grade 1 Belmont Stakes presented by NYRA Bets. Bourbonic will break from the rail under Eric Cancel.

West Virginia Derby Entries

Sunday

5:05 p.m. ―$200,000 Grade 2 Adirondack Stakes at Saratoga

Ontheonesandtwos and Wicked Halo, the second and third-place finishers, respectively, in the listed Debutante Stakes at Churchill Downs on June 26, meet again in Saratoga's 105th Grade 2 Adirondack Stakes for 2-year-old fillies going 6 ½ furlongs. Ontheonesandtwos, trained by Norm Casse, broke her maiden at Churchill Downs by 1 ¾ lengths on May 13. She went off as the 8-5 favorite in the Debutante, closed strongly from fifth place, but finished a length behind Behave Virginia at the finish. Irad Ortiz Jr. has the mount from post 2. Owner Winchell Thoroughbreds and trainer Steve Asmussen campaigned Gun Runner to the 2017 Horse of the Year title.  They are starting Wicked Halo, a gray/roan daughter of Gun Runner. Wicked Halo took the lead early in the Debutante and held it to the sixteenth pole before finishing third. Jose Ortiz has the mount, breaking from post 7. Mainstay was the 7-5 favorite in the Grade 3 Schuylerville Stakes on July 17 at Saratoga. Trained by Butch Reid, Mainstay bobbled at the start, and chased leader Pretty Bridie throughout, finished second by two lengths. Joel Rosario will ride Mainstay from post 8.

Adirondack Entries

5:39 p.m. ―$700,000 Grade 3 Saratoga Oaks Invitational at Saratoga

Con Lima leads eight 3-year-old fillies going 1 3/16 miles on the turf. Trained by Todd Pletcher, the Texas-bred Con Lima has won four of seven starts this year, including Grade 3 scores in the Herecomesthebride at Gulfstream Park in February and the Wonder Again at Belmont in June. Con Lima ran brilliantly in the Grade 1, 1 ¼-mile Belmont Oaks on July 10, holding the lead nearly the entire way before losing to favored Santa Barbara (IRE) by a half-length. Flavien Prat will ride from post 5. Breaking from the rail is Higher Truth (IRE), who finished third in the Belmont Oaks, less than a length behind Santa Barbara. Trained by Chad Brown, Higher Truth is two for four this year. She will be ridden by Jose Ortiz from post 1. Gam's Mission, trained by Cherie DeVaux, has won three races this year, including the Grade 3 Regret at Churchill Downs. Gam's Mission, who finished fourth in the Belmont Oaks, will be ridden by Luis Saez from post 3.

Saratoga Oaks Entries

9 p.m. ―$150,000 Grade 3 La Jolla Stakes at Del Mar

Cathkin Peak (IRE) leads a wide open renewal among six 3-year-old filliesgoing 1 1/16 miles on the turf. Trained by Phil D'Amato, Cathkin Peak finished second to eventual Grade 1 Runhappy Santa Anita Derby winner Rock Your World as the even-money favorite in the listed Pasadena Stakes at Santa Anita on Feb. 27. Last year, Cathkin Peak won the listed Eddie Logan Stakes at Santa Anita. She will be ridden by Juan Hernandez from post 4. The Bob Baffert-trained Hudson Ridge won the black type, 1 1/8-mile Cinema Stakes at Santa Anita on May 23, and followed up that victory with a 1 1/8-mile allowance optional claiming win at Santa Anita on June 18. Abel Cedillo has the mount from post 3. In from the Midwest is Stilleto Boy. Trained by Ed Moger Jr., Stilleto Boy was a frontrunning, 4 ½-length winner of the listed Iowa Derby at Prairie Meadows on July 2. Kent Desormeaux has the mount from post 1.

La Jolla Entries

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Fasig-Tipton Announces Partnership With BetMakers

BetMakers Technology Group has been named the official fixed-odds partner of the 100th Fasig-Tipton Saratoga Sale, the auction house's upcoming flagship yearling sale in Saratoga Springs, N.Y.

Australia based BetMakers Technology Group provides critical solutions in technology, data and development to the global racing and wagering industry, spanning both fixed odds and pari-mutuel markets.

Partnering with racing operators all over the world, BetMakers delivers technology-led, data-informed solutions that improve the customer experience, bolster integrity, and enable growth. Their content distribution services offer compelling opportunities for racing operators to expand and better monetize distribution of their racing content and their integrity platforms help racing bodies nurture growth and sustainability of racing around the globe.

With the 2021 acquisition of Sportech Racing, a leading global supplier of pari-mutuel technology solutions, BetMakers has created the world's leading technology provider for racing services with a presence in over 40 countries and 35 U.S. States.

BetMakers is a global leader in the racing and wagering industry, with a strong, growing presence in the United States,” said Fasig-Tipton President and Chief Executive Officer Boyd Browning. “Fasig-Tipton is pleased to partner with such an innovative, progressive company.”

“We are excited to be in the marketplace at this distinctly unique moment,” said Dallas Baker, Head of International Operations for BetMakers. “We are proud to contribute to the Fasig-Tipton Saratoga Sale and congratulate the Fasig-Tipton team on the celebration of its centennial.

“Our industry has a unique and timely opportunity — tap into the enthusiasm surrounding sports betting to introduce new and complimentary betting options for racing that operators can promote, alongside pari-mutuel betting, to produce growth and sustainability. We know from other markets that this is a viable growth strategy. According to the Racing NSW 2020 Annual Report, Australia's introduction of fixed odds betting on racing, as a compliment to pari-mutuel betting, doubled handle over 10 years with a correlated increase in purse returns as well.

“We encourage US racing and betting principals to embrace the opportunity for growth that can be realized through the expansion of products for betting on Thoroughbred racing.”

BetMakers will have representatives on-site at the 100th Fasig-Tipton Saratoga Sale, which takes place this coming Monday and Tuesday, August 9 and 10.  They may also be reached directly by email at Dallas.Baker@BetMakers.com. For further information about BetMakers, please visit betmakers.com.

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