Hong Kong Racing Study Guide: Best Riders By ROI

The 2021-2022 Hong Kong Jockey Club season began on September 5 and will continue with racing twice a week until July 16. The rider colony has been dominated by Joao Moreira and Zac Purton as they have shared the last eight titles but the more familiar you are with the other riders, the better you will be. The racing is extremely competitive and the riders are under extreme scrutiny from the racing officials. At the end of each racing day, they issue warnings, reprimands and suspensions when the rules are not being followed. As a bettor, rest assured you are getting a fair shake.

The leading riders win the most races but they also receive the most backing. Blindly betting them rarely works out over time. In Hong Kong, there are just over 20 riders that have licenses to ride. Because the average field size is over 12, many of them are kept busy but don't always get quality mounts. Thus, many have very low win percentages. Still, when they win, they can pay well.

The following are the leading jockeys from the 2020-2021 season based on wins:

Jockey Wins Rides Money Earned
Joao Moreira 157 742 $1,212.90
Zac Purton 125 713 $1,180.20
Karis Teetan 79 741 $1,182.80
Vincent Ho 61 614 $910.50
Jerry Chau 58 481 $1,044.80
Alexis Badel 58 622 $943.40
Derek Leung 39 609 $1,146.30
Matthew Poon 37 537 $965.30
Matthew Chadwick 31 458 $670.90
Antoine Hamelin 27 538 $690.40
Chad Schofield 26 390 $463.90
Blake Shinn 24 374 $784.30
Vagner Borges 22 435 $1,006.00

 

Takeout on win betting in Hong Kong is 17.5% so an average win payoff of $1.65 exceeds the takeout. The following are the leading jockeys from the 2020-2021 season based on a ROI per $2 win bet:

Jockey Wins Rides Money Earned $2 Bet/Horse ROI
Vagner Borges 22 435 $1,006.00 $870.00 $2.31
Jerry Chau 58 481 $1,044.80 $962.00 $2.17
Blake Shinn 24 374 $784.30 $748.00 $2.10
Derek Leung 39 609 $1,146.30 $1,218.00 $1.88
Matthew Poon 37 537 $965.30 $1,074.00 $1.80
Zac Purton 125 713 $1,180.20 $1,426.00 $1.66
Joao Moreira 157 742 $1,212,90 $1,484.00 $1.63
Karis Teetan 79 741 $1,182.80 $1,482.00 $1.60
Alexis Badel 58 622 $943.40 $1,244.00 $1.52
Vincent Ho 61 614 $910.50 $1,228.00 $1.48
Matthew Chadwick 31 458 $670.90 $916.00 $1.46
Antoine Hamelin 27 538 $690.40 $1,076.00 $1.28
Chad Schofield 26 390 $463.90 $780.00 $1.19

 

Some words of caution:

Vagner Borges benefitted from wins that paid $359.30 (race 563) and $117.50 (race 40).

Blake Shinn benefitted from a win that paid $151.90 (race 349).

Derek Leung benefited from wins that paid $138.20 (race 247) and $121.60 (race 257).

Jerry Chau continues to thrive with his five-pound apprentice allowance and his results are the most predictable.

As far as pari-mutuel payoffs, there is little statistical difference between Zac Purton (ROI = $1.66), Joao Moreira (ROI = $1.63) and Karis Teetan (ROI = $1.60).

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Kenny Mollicone Named Kentucky Downs’ King Of The Turf

Kenny Mollicone, a 47-year-old real-estate developer from Somerset, Mass., is the 2021 National Turf Handicapping Champion, having won the six-day online Kentucky Downs Turf Handicapping Challenge at the FanDuel Meet at Kentucky Downs.

Mollicone finished with an aggregate total of $5,783.90 Sunday after playing in all three of the individual two-day, live-money competitions. That gave him a comfortable $1,163.90 advantage over runner-up Christy Moore, who finished on top in the second contest.

As the King of the Turf, Mollicone earned $20,000 in prize money and the BetMakers King of the Turf Trophy. He earned a seat and prize pack to the 2022 National Horseplayers Championship (NHC) in Las Vegas in late January by virtue of his second place in the second contest.

If Mollicone was a horse, his race-chart trouble line would read “left at the gate, rallied, won under wraps.”

Mollicone tapped out in the first two-day contest staged Sept. 5-6, finishing with a $0 score as Gary Gristick won the competition with a $2,500 bankroll. Undeterred, he finished second at $3,778.40 behind Moore's winning bankroll of $4,620 in the second tournament Sept. 8-9 and seventh with $2,005.50 Saturday and Sunday in the final leg won by Ed Deicke at $7,392. Contest players were required to bet a minimum amount of money on a minimum of five races each day.

“I was going to bet Kentucky Downs anyway,” Mollicone said by phone Monday. “To be honest, I really didn't concentrate on the tournament. I usually bet $200, $300, $500 a race. I liked a horse or two, so I screwed around and the horses didn't win, so I was done (with the first tournament). Some people do so much a race and manage their money. Me, I'm just like if I take a shot and win, great; if not, hey, I'll do the next tournament. Kind of like that's what happened.

“Like, I did OK for the tournaments, but I did great betting on my own…. I entered the contest figuring if I like a horse, I'll take a shot. If he does well and I win, I got money and I keep playing. If not, then I just keep betting on my regular account.”

Mollicone says he played some horses whose double-digit odds seemed too high, but he couldn't generally remember their names. One name he clearly recalls, however, is Arklow, who got bottled up in traffic in midstretch before getting through late and coming up a neck shy of Imperador in Saturday's $1 million, Grade 2 Calumet Farm Turf Cup.

“He got blocked, should have won the race for fun,” he said. “He wins that race, I probably win that tournament. I had big doubles going in to him and big doubles going out with him. That's what kind of killed me. Then (Sunday), I just did what I had to do. I didn't like anything on the card.”

He said he calculated that he had enough bankroll to win the overall title and quit playing after Sunday's seventh race — his handicapping there proving correct.

Mollicone is a fan of the competition's format.

“It kept it interesting,” he said. “I knew I didn't do well on the first one, but I kind of liked a couple of horses in the second one; it kept me involved. I thought it was great, the way they set up it and the way they did the overall so you're going to play all three. Whoever came up with it, I think it's a great idea. It keeps you wanting to do it.

“A couple of guys who beat me (in the third leg), they didn't do the other tournaments and they didn't get the $20,000. Shame on them. You're going to bet Kentucky Downs anyway. It's great racing. You've got great horses. I think the more the people find out about it, especially with the bonus at the end, you're going to find more people playing next year. Guys are going to kick themselves in the butt for not playing the whole thing.”

Mollicone calls his late father, Bob, the best handicapper he's ever known. He says the first thing he learned how to read was the Daily Racing Form and went Suffolk Downs and the off-track betting at Rhode Island casinos with his dad, the two also traveling around the country to play contests.

“I love betting turf races,” he said. “It's a more exciting race, a more true race. And I just love the set up (at Kentucky Downs). They're going uphill, downhill. I just love it. You look forward to it. I've always done well at Kentucky Downs. You get horses who pay $25, $30 that you think should pay $8 or $10. Great racing and great value.”

Tournament Director Brian Skirka called the 2021 Kentucky Downs King of the Turf Handicapping Challenge “a massive success.”

“We had over 400 combined entries over the three contests and awarded over $171,000 in prizes,” he said. “I'd like to thank all the players who participated and Kentucky Downs for putting on six days of world-class turf racing. In just two years, these Kentucky Downs contests have proven themselves to be some of the most-challenging and most-lucrative in the country. I look forward to working with the Kentucky Downs team to grow them even more in the future.”

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Gulfstream Rainbow 6 Jackpot Guaranteed At $100,000 Thursday, Late Pick 5 Returns $73

Thursday's 20-cent Rainbow 6 jackpot pool will be guaranteed at $100,000 at Gulfstream Park in Hallandale Beach, Fla.

The popular multi-race wager went unsolved Sunday following Saturday's mandatory payout that produced multiple payoffs of $313,299.84.

The Rainbow 6 jackpot is paid out when there is a single unique ticket sold with all six winners. On days when there is no unique ticket, 70 percent of that day's pool goes back to those bettors holding tickets with the most winners, while 30 percent is carried over to the jackpot pool.

Late Pick 5 Returns $73

After going unsolved Saturday, the Late Pick 5 generated brisk betting at Gulfstream Park Sunday, when a $140,079.77 carryover pool prompted bettors to wager an additional $1,131,239.

A 50-cent multi-race wager that spanned Races 7-11, the Late Pick 5 yielded multiple payoffs of $73.15.

The last race for Sunday's Late Pick 5, Rainbow 6, and Late Pick 5 was “ALL” when the race was taken off the turf and moved to the main track due to heavy rain.

 

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Longshot Look Presented By Kentucky Downs: A Closing Day Buzzer Beater

It's closing day of the FanDuel Meet at Kentucky Downs, and the Paulick Report is ahead of it with another Longshot Look video segment.

Bloodstock editor Joe Nevills steps in with an attempt to end the season on a high note, singling out a price play with his reasoning for what makes the horse worth a look when they might go overlooked.

Nevills turns his attention to Race 4 on Sunday's card, a seven-furlong allowance for fillies over Kentucky Downs' unique turf course. His pick showed some real flashes of turf ability in her most recent start, and she has the class to build upon it in her toughest test to date.

Kentucky Downs' 2021 meet takes place Sept. 5, 6, 8, 9, 11, and 12. First post each day is at 12:20 p.m. Central.

Watch today's Longshot Look presented by Kentucky Downs below:

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