Mandatory Payout: Nicoletti Likes Fawkes, Sutherland, And Riveting Spirit

A mandatory payout of the 20-cent Rainbow 6 jackpot pool is set for Saturday's program at Gulfstream Park, highlighting the final weekend of the inaugural Fall Meet.

The Rainbow 6 has gone unsolved for the 21 racing days in a row following a $461,035.47 jackpot payoff Oct. 9.

The Rainbow 6 jackpot pool stood at $450,473.78 entering betting on Saturday, when the pool is expected to grow over $3 million.

Saturday's Rainbow 6 sequence will span Races 5-10, including four races on the Tapeta all-weather course and two on the main track.

Gulfstream host and analyst Ron Nicoletti says to use a couple 6-1 shots, both ridden by Chantal Sutherland, and not to forget Riveting Spirit in the final leg.

A 'spread' race kicks of the sequence in Race 5, a mile-and-70-yard route for $20,000 claiming fillies and mares on Tapeta.

A full field of 12 juvenile fillies has been entered in Race 6, a six-furlong sprint at six furlongs for $50,000 maiden claimers, including eight first-time starters. Joe Orseno-trained Keen Kingdom, a daughter of Animal Kingdom, is a debuting half-sister to a Grade 2 stakes winner on turf. Saffie Joseph Jr.-trained Illogical Love, a daughter of Classic Empire, is also scheduled to debut.

A well-balanced field of fillies and mares has been assembled for Race 7, a 1 1/16-mile route over the all-weather track for $20,000 claimers. Gerald Brooks-trained Midnight Bella, a two-time winner over Presque Isle's Tapeta course in September; Little Bit Good, who makes her first start for dangerous off-the-claimer trainer Gilberto Zerpa; Anthony Margotta Jr.-trained Diamond Play, who hasn't been off the board in her last seven starts; and Elizabeth Dobles-trained Pearlescent, who rolled to a nine-length win in her Tapeta debut against weaker last time out; all figured to be well represented on many handicappers' tickets.

Race 8, a mile event for $6250 claimers on the main track, will likely provide a stern handicapping test for Rainbow 6 bettors. Peter Walder-trained Mr. Tito's, who won first off the claim at the same level last time out; Herbert Miller-trained Doctor D J, who was just a neck behind Mr. Tito's; and Mark Casse-trained Kramden, dropping down while switching to dirt, over which he has finished first and second in three outings; figure to be included on many tickets.

David Fawkes-trained Riveting Spirit will seek a repeat victory in the Race 9 feature, a 1 1/16-mile starter optional claiming allowance for fillies and mares on Tapeta. Riveting Spirit, who has a win and a second-place finish on Tapeta, is a half-sister to multiple-stakes winner Noble Drama. The 4-year-old Florida-bred filly is out of Queen Drama, a half-sister to Big Drama, the Eclipse Award-winning sprint champion, and a full sister to Sheer Drama, a multiple Grade 1-stakes winner. Carlos David-trained Centsless Drama, an ultra-consistent daughter of Big Drama; and Ralph Nicks-trained Katz a Dream, who beat slightly weaker while romping to victory in her Tapeta debut; are rated first and second, respectively, in the morning-line.

Jane Cibelli-trained Flowmotion, a hard-hitting turf veteran with back success on Tapeta, is among the strongest contenders in Race 10. The mile-and-70-yard route on Tapeta for $12,500 claimers may well be viewed as another 'spread' race by bettors looking for multiple chances should they be alive into the last race.

First-race post time for Saturday's 10-race program is set for 12:30 p.m.

The Rainbow 6 carryover jackpot is usually only paid out when there is a single unique ticket sold with all six winners. On days when there is no unique ticket, 70 percent of that day's pool usually goes back to those bettors holding tickets with the most winners, while 30 percent is carried over to the jackpot pool. However, on mandatory-payout days, the entire pool is paid out to the bettor or bettors with the most winners in the six-race sequence.

Gulfstream's inaugural Fall Meet will conclude on Sunday.

The 2021-2022 Championship Meet is scheduled to get underway Friday, Dec. 3.

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Stronach 5: Six Winning Tickets Each Worth $13,619

There were six winning tickets in Friday's Stronach 5 with each worth $13,619.70.

The popular wager featured races from Laurel Park, Gulfstream Park and Golden Gate Fields as well as a low 12-percent takeout.

The sequence kicked off with Stay In winning Laurel's seventh race and returning $16.60. After Naughty Shirley ($4.20) won Gulfstream's eighth race and Kingston Pike ($8.80) won Laurel's eighth race, the 20-1 shot Coolcross won the second race at Golden Gate returning $43.20. The Stronach 5 concluded with Morning Colors ($8.20) winning Gulfstream's ninth and final race of the day.

Friday's races and sequence

Leg One –Laurel Race 7: Stay In $16.60
Leg Two –Gulfstream Race 8: Naughty Shirley $4.20
Leg Three –Laurel Race 8: Kingston Pike $8.80
Leg Four – Golden Gate Race 2: Coolcross $43.20
Leg Five –Gulfstream Race 9: Morning Colors $8.20

Fans can watch and wager on the action at 1/ST.COM/BET as well as stream all the action in English and Spanish at LaurelPark.com, SantaAnita.com, GulfstreamPark.com, and GoldenGateFields.com.

The minimum wager on the multi-race, multi-track Stronach 5 is $1. If there are no tickets with five winners, the entire pool will be carried over to the next Friday.

If a change in racing surface is made after the wagering closes, each selection on any ticket will be considered a winning selection. If a betting interest is scratched, that selection will be substituted with the favorite in the win pool when wagering closes.

The Maryland Jockey Club serves as host of the Stronach 5.

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Pick 6 Carryover Of $29K Into Friday’s Card At Aqueduct

Friday's Pick 6 will be bolstered by a $29,994 carryover as the multi-race wager went unsolved on Thursday at Aqueduct.

The $1 Pick 6 returned $178.50 to bettors who selected 5-of-6 winners correctly.

Thursday's Pick 6 sequence kicked off in Race 4 when Jose Lezcano engineered a winning trip aboard the Mike Maker-trained Voliero [No. 9, $14.80], who came from last-to-first to earn a second victory in 14 starts for a $30,000 tag.

Robert Evans homebred New Ginya [No. 11, $24.40] made her career debut a winning one for trainer Christophe Clement in Race 5, covering 1 1/16 miles over the inner turf. Dylan Davis piloted the winning trip aboard the daughter of Tonalist.

The shortest price in the sequence took place in the middle leg in Race 6, when Saratoga Beauty [No. 7, $3.30] earned her fifth career win while running for a $20,000 tag for trainer Rob Atras.

Dancing Buck [No. 5, $7] narrowly secured a third career win in Race 7, holding off Phantom Smoke in the final strides for trainer Michelle Nevin against his New York-bred counterparts.

Thomas Coleman and Doheny Racing Stable's Grape Nuts Warrior [No. 8, $5.80] defeated winners in Race 8 for trainer Chad Brown. The New York-bred son of Vancouver was ridden by Irad Ortiz, Jr. in the 1 1/16-mile allowance optional claimer on the inner turf.

Closing out the sequence in Race 9 was Vision Board [No. 12, $12.20]. The Saffie Joseph, Jr.-trainee was one of seven horses uncovered in the seven-furlong maiden claiming tilt. Dylan Davis provided the winning trip to secure a riding double on the card.

Friday's Pick 6 kicks off in Race 5 at 1:45 p.m. Eastern. First post on the 10-race card is 11:50 a.m.

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Equibase Analysis: Lightly-Raced Price Talk Rates Highest In Red Smith

This Saturday's Grade 2, $200,000 Red Smith Stakes drew a field of 10 running 11 furlongs on the Aqueduct turf course. Although it is a grade two race, there are few in the field proven at the level and/or distance.

  • One of those is Tide of the Sea, who on the Grade 2 William L. McKnight Stakes this past January and more recently won the Japan Turf Cup Stakes in October at a similar distance.
  • Another who is proven at the level is Channel Cat, who leads the field in career earnings at $1.4 million, including when victorious in the Grade 1 Man o' War Stakes at this distance on grass in May. However, Channel Cat has lost three races since then and the Man o' War was his only win this year (from six starts), with his last win before that coming in July, 2019.
  • Soldier Rising (GB) may fit with these based on his runner-up effort to eventual Breeders' Cup Turf winner Yabir in the Jockey Club Derby Invitational in September. However, his most recent effort was a disappointing fifth of 11 when favored in the Grade 2 Hill Prince Stakes last month.
  • Serve the King (GB) enters the Red Smith in excellent recent form, having won the John's Call Stakes one before last and then finishing second in the Grade 1 Turf Classic Invitational last month.
  • Shamrocket won the Point of Entry Stakes at a mile and one-half just one month ago and might be up to the task moving into graded stakes company.
  • Price Talk beat Shamrocket prior to the Point of Entry and is another untried at the distance but he has won two in a row.
  • No Word was competitive at the level when second this past summer in the Grade 2 Bernard Baruch Handicap but that was at a much shorter distance and he has never run farther than one mile and one-quarter.
  • Another who has never run the distance is Sanctuary City, but he did finish second in the Mohawk Stakes in his most recent start.
  • Corelli won the Grade 3 Singspiel Stakes at 10 furlongs on turf in August and may fit at this grade two level. He also may enjoy the longer distance as he missed by a head in a mile and one-half race in England before importing to the U.S. last year.
  • Value Engineering has never raced in a stakes but enters the race off a win and the one time he ran at this mile and three-eighths trip he missed winning by just a head on the wire.

Main contenders:

Given there are knocks with the horses likely to be favored by bettors, such as Soldier Rising (GB), who has yet to win in three U.S. starts, particularly when as the eight to five favorite last month in the Hill Prince Stakes, and with Tide of the Sea, who won the Japan Turf Cup takes in October but was beaten as the seven to five favorite last month in the Point of Entry Stakes, I'll go with Price Talk to win this year's Red Smith Stakes.

First, Price Talk is the second most lightly raced horse in the field, having run just eight times, but he's won four of those eight races, including two in a row. Price Talk won the first three races of his career, including when breaking his maiden at first asking, then breaking his maiden again after being disqualified from the first win. Last November, in only the fourth start of his career, Price Talk finished third in the Gio Ponti Stakes on the Aqueduct Turf, but when returning this spring did not run well in two races thereafter. Dropped into a claiming race in August, Price Talk won with a career-best 108 ™ Equibase® Speed Figure which was a stakes quality effort, as compared to the 109 figure Shamrocket earned winning the Point of Entry Stakes last month, the 106 figure Corelli earned winning the Singspiel Stakes in August and the 105 figure Serve the King (GB) earned when second in the Turf Classic Invitational last month.

Price Talk then bettered himself with a 113 figure winning near the end of September, in what turned out to a productive race from which Shamrocket came out of to win the Point of Entry. That 113 figure is tied for the best earned by any horse in this field in 2021 with the figure Channel Cat earned winning the Man o' War Stakes in May. As such, just repeating it is good enough to win the Red Smith, but I feel he may even better that effort and figure as this will be his third start off a layoff.

Serve the King (GB) has done very little wrong in 10 career starts, like Price Talk having won four times in his career. After winning the John's Call Stakes at the longer distance of one mile and five-eighths with a career-best 107 ™ figure, Serve the King (GB) finished well from sixth to second in the tougher Turf Classic Invitational with a similar 105 figure effort. Irad Ortiz, Jr. was aboard for both of the horse's “A” efforts and rides back in the Red Smith, giving Serve the King (GB) a strong chance for another competitive effort good enough to win.

Shamrocket has more second place finishes (6) in his 20 race career than wins (4), and even more third place finishes (7). Still, his win last month in the Point of Entry Stakes at a mile and one-half earned a career-best 109 figure competitive with the best in this field. Javier Castellano was aboard for that win, and for the colt's last win before that in June so that is a positive sign particularly as Castellano rode Value Engineering to victory last month as well as Price Talk in his two most recent wins. As such, Shamrocket rounds out a trio of horses I think stand out against the other seven in terms of their probability to win this race.

The rest of the field, with their best ™ Equibase Speed Figures, is Channel Cat (113), Corelli (106), No Word (103), Sanctuary City (107), Soldier Rising (GB) (110), Tide of the Sea (105) and Value Engineering (107).

Win Contenders (in probability/preference order):
Price Talk
Serve the King (GB)
Shamrocket

Red Smith Stakes – Grade 2
Race 9 at Aqueduct
Saturday, November 20 – Post Time 3:43 PM E.T.
One Mile and Three-Eighths on Turf
Three Years Olds and Upward
Purse: $200,000

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