Severe Weather Causes Early End To Laurel’s Friday Program

A severe lightning and thunderstorm passing through the Mid-Atlantic region forced the Maryland Jockey Club to cancel Laurel Park's live Friday program following the seventh race.

Laurel had two races remaining on Friday's card, which had its usual 12:40 p.m. post time pushed back to 1:50 p.m. due to a high temperatures topping 90 degrees, heavy humidity and a heat index of 100.

Live action will return to Laurel Saturday with 10 races including the $100,000 Bald Eagle Derby for 3-year-olds going 1 3/16 miles and $100,000 Searching for 3-year-old fillies at 1 1/16 miles, both scheduled for the grass.

Saturday's forecast calls for a high of 89 degrees and a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2 p.m.

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Equibase Analysis: Olympiad Can Upset Life Is Good In Whitney

The 2022 edition of the Grade 1, $1 million Whitney Stakes on Saturday is likely to be a race which will be talked about for quite some time no matter the outcome, given the depth of talent in this six-horse field.

The key pairing is Life is Good vs Olympiad, but the other four all have been competitive at the level and none would be a complete surprise if winning. Life is Good brings a seven-for-nine record into the race including last year's Grade 1 Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile, while Olympiad sports a seven-for-10 career record and is undefeated in five races around two turns including in the G2 Stephen Foster Stakes last month.

In spite of those two powerhouses, Hot Rod Charlie leads the field in career earnings at $5.2 million and just ran the best race of his career, although beaten a head for the win in the G3 Salvator Mile Stakes. Happy Saver is $12,000 shy of $1 million in earnings in spite of having finished second in four straight graded stakes including behind Olympiad in the G2 Alysheba Stakes in May. Americanrevolution won the G1 Cigar Mile Stakes last year and is set to improve in his third start after six months off, most recently finishing second behind Olympiad in the Stephen Foster. Zoomer rounds out the field and is no slouch as he is seeking his 12th career win, although he is winless in two previous stakes tries in his 37 race career.

Olympiad typifies what a top Thoroughbred can do as they mature, physically and mentally, over the course of their 4-year-old season. Since trying two turns for the first time this past January, he has reeled off five straight victories, four in graded stakes. In each of those races Olympiad has exuded a mental attitude to compliment his physical prowess, dominating in the stretch in each of those wins by two lengths or more. Most recently Olympiad won the Stephen Foster Stakes at the distance of the Whitney Stakes with a career-best 123 ™ Equibase® Speed Figure, which only Life Is Good appears capable of matching if he repeats his Pegasus World Cup Invitational effort from January. Any questions of Olympiad running the same, or better, in the Whitney as compared to the Foster appear to have been answered when he put in an exemplary four furlong workout at Saratoga in 47.8 seconds last week, which was the best of 51 at the distance on the day and sends a message he will take some beating in this race.

Life is Good may have an edge in one department over Olympiad in the Whitney which could help deliver him the victory: he is likely to be the controlling speed in the field. Not once in his nine race career has Life is Good been second after a quarter mile has been run, leading to easy wins in seven of those races. Most have been around one turn but he proved he can run further twice, most recently when winning the Pegasus World Cup Invitational in January at the distance of the Whitney, defeating last year's Breeders' Cup Classic winner Knicks Go and earning a career-best 123 ™ figure while coasting to a 3 1/4-length win. After a poor fourth-place finish after leading early in the Dubai World Cup at the 1 1/4-mile distance he'd never run before, Life is Good returned following three months off to easily win the John A. Nerud Stakes last month with a 115 figure effort he is bound to improve upon in his second start off the layoff.

As to the others, in terms of class and how fast they've run, Hot Rod Charlie continues to display a strong competitive spirit but also has been unable to really break through at this level, having finished fourth, second and second in his last three North American graded stakes, with the best of those efforts yielding a 118 figure when beaten a head in the Salvator Mile Stakes in June. Happy Saver continues to play groomsman with four straight runner-up efforts in graded stakes, including behind Olympiad in the Alysheba Stakes in May. Happy Saver ran his best race in the past year when second in the Clark Stakes last fall with a 112 figure. Americanrevolution was no match for Olympiad when two lengths behind at the end in the Stephen Foster Stakes, an effort which yielded a career-best 120 figure, and I don't foresee a reversal of that order in the Whitney. Zoomer has won three of six races this year, with two of those efforts yielding 109 figures which even if repeated are unlikely to be competitive in this race with the top contenders.

Win Contenders, in preference order:
Olympiad
Life is Good

Whitney Stakes – Grade 1
Race 10 at Saratoga
Saturday, August 6 – Post Time 5:43 PM E.T.
One Mile and One Eighth
Four Year Olds and Upward
Purse: $1 Million

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TIF: Cross Country Pick 5 Past Posting Exposes Tote Insecurities

“One of the most urgent issues facing our industry is that of improved electronic security for the pari-mutuel wagering system.”

This simple declaration was part of the National Thoroughbred Racing Association's (NTRA) five-year strategic plan covering 2006 through 2010, and published in 2005.

Approaching two decades later, there has been little progress on the topic, and recent wagering incidents in the summer of 2022 highlight the long-term failure to address these problems.

If you think the stewards are always in charge of stopping wagering when the race begins, think again. A new revelation suggests that primary control of some bet types resided exclusively in the hands of a single, off-site tote company employee, potentially in violation of wagering rules in numerous states while also exposing a staggering vulnerability.

A QUICK LOOK BACK

After the industry spent months strategizing a way forward with American racing's approach to wagering security, then Del Mar president Craig Fravel said the following in 2005 at the University of Arizona's Racing Symposium:

“I think to allow customers to have sufficient levels of confidence in us, we have to demonstrate that not only are we capable of reviewing [wagering], but that there is a sufficiently independent and authoritative organization out there that can be the ultimate arbiter of those kind of decisions.”

The NTRA's 2005 plan stated “the industry must make improving the tote infrastructure its top priority.”

The improvements suggested were to include a new transaction-based betting protocol where all betting details are transmitted to the host track, as well as “development of a secure database of wagering information to allow for real-time monitoring of suspicious activity and historical review of wagering data by regulators and appropriate industry representatives.”

Also included, the plan sought to embrace “technological advances to eliminate or substantially reduce late odds changes.”

The issue remains.

Not only did a central, industry-wide organization overseeing this never materialize, but industry consolidation hastened and track operators also launched ADWs, purchased bet processing companies and even bought major portions of an offshore, high volume betting services firm.

A March 2022 column by Ray Paulick confirmed the source of the majority of offshore, robotic wagering on U.S. racing, which comes from Curacao-based Elite Turf Club, is owned in part by both 1/ST (formerly The Stronach Group) and NYRA Bets.

For perspective, data from the California Horse Racing Board, obtained by the Thoroughbred Idea Foundation, showed 17 accounts at Elite and two at Saint Kitts-based Racing & Gaming Services (RGS), were responsible for more than $373 million in bets across races at just Del Mar and Santa Anita in 2021.

The destructive impact of late odds changes, facilitated in large part from these super high-volume bettors, persists.

SUMMER 2022

TIF has found dozens of instances of pari-mutuel pool manipulation in recent months, incidents which tie unusual and unexpected legal betting to illegal, offshore, unregulated markets. But in just the last two weeks, three incidents have further exposed a lack of evolution in wagering infrastructure and some of the integrity systems supporting it.

Most recently on August 1, Ed De Rosa of Horse Racing Nation reported that bets emanating from TwinSpires, processed by United Tote, for a new Mid-Atlantic Pick 4, a cross-state bet linking races from Monmouth and Colonial Downs, were refunded to customers after they did not merge properly with Monmouth's pari-mutuel operator, Global Tote.

On July 21, the New York Racing Association announced a deviation from existing New York State Gaming Commission rules related to surface switches and multi-race bets. Exactly how or why existing rules were ignored is unknown, but TIF published a piece on the incident and is still awaiting a response from the NYSGC.

But of prime concern, the betting pool for the NYRA-hosted Cross-Country Pick 5 on July 30, connecting races at Ellis Park and Saratoga, reportedly remained open for nearly two minutes following the start of the sequence. David Grening of the Daily Racing Form reported on this incident, with NYRA's vice president of communications Pat McKenna confirming roughly $2,600 of bets were taken after betting should have closed.

“Wagering on Saturday's Cross-Country pick-5 was not stopped until after the first leg of the wager had been run.

The error resulted in a 90-minute delay of calculating the payoffs…

“The original pool…was $138,110 which included approximately $2,600 of wagers after the first leg of the pick-5, the seventh race from Ellis Park, went off and before wagering was stopped, according to Pat McKenna, who is NYRA's vice president/communications.

“On Sunday, Am-Tote, the company that processes wagers for NYRA, in a release admitted that, due to human error, wagering on the Cross-Country pick-5 closed 1 minute, 46 seconds late. It took 1:41.16 to run the seventh from Ellis. On Sunday [July 31], Am-Tote, the company that processes wagers for NYRA, in a release admitted that, due to human error, wagering on the Cross-Country pick-5 closed 1 minute, 46 seconds late. It took 1:41.16 to run the seventh from Ellis.”

A similar incident occurred almost four years ago and this reoccurrence highlights the ongoing lack of innovation in pari-mutuel bet processing despite assurances that processes would be updated.

In October 2018, Bloodhorse's Frank Angst covered that story and reported the New York State Gaming Commission fined AmTote a total of $10,000 for various transgressions resulting from these incidents.

“AmTote president Keith Johnson said after examining what happened with the Oct. 13 [2018] wager, some protocols have been changed to prevent such an error going forward, specifically with multi-track wagers…

“[Johnson said] 'In short, these types of separately hosted special or promotional wagering events inherently involve unique and more complex configuration and coordination…After in-depth review of these elements between AmTote and NYRA management, the late stop-betting command incident with the 'Cross Country Pick 4' last week uncovered some standard role responsibilities, with related processes and safeguards, that were compromised and will be applied moving forward for any future special events between AmTote operations and NYRA management.” 

It seems that in the years since the first reported incident, the “unique, more complex configuration and coordination” issues have not been solved entirely.

To their credit, NYRA and AmTote preemptively added $50,000 to the July 30, 2022 Cross Country Pick 5 pool in an effort to cool customer concerns.

Grening reported that without the additional contribution, the bet would have returned $564 for every winning $0.50 stake. With the unexpected bonus, it returned $769. How much went to tickets that were entered after betting should have been closed is not yet public.

Regardless, fixing the antiquated pari-mutuel infrastructure in North American racing will require far more than $50,000.

STEWARDS BYPASSED ON STOP BETTING FUNCTIONS

In our April 2021 series, “Wagering Insecurity,” TIF reported backward steps were taken as recently as December 2020 to codify the ability to close betting pools remotely.

It might be worse than it seemed then.

The Totalisator Technical Standards (TTS) are overseen by the Association of Racing Commissioners International (ARCI) and intended to “establish the concept of 'baselines' for software and equipment involved in critical operational activities” related to pari-mutuel wagering.

The TTS were updated in December 2020 to enable backup devices for stopping wagering to be operated remotely, away from the track and direct oversight of stewards.

“If the tote system backup is operated remotely,” the TTS document reads, “a protocol for the remote operation shall be submitted to the racing commission for approval.”

But as it relates to cross-track bets like the Belmont-Yonkers Pick 4 in 2018, the Cross-Country Pick 5 last week, or potentially other multi-track bets facilitated by AmTote, it seems that the primary stop betting function has been in the hands of an individual AmTote employee, based off-site.

David Grening's coverage of the July 30 incident revealed the surprising new information.

“Unlike all other wagers at NYRA, where the stop-betting function is automated [by the stewards], the stop-wagering function on the Cross-Country pick-5 is done manually by an off-site AmTote employee, according to McKenna.”

The on-track stewards are not in direct control of stopping betting on all legal pari-mutuel wagers on their race. That alone is likely a violation of various states' regulations, including Kentucky where the first race of the bet occurred, designed to protect the interests of customers and eliminate instances of potential fraud and specifically, past-posting.

Nearly $5 million has been staked in “Cross-Country” bets hosted by the New York Racing Association since April 2021, but far more than that dating to at least 2018. Presumably, the bet has operated throughout that period with a remote tote employee as the arbiter of when betting is stopped.

“McKenna said that NYRA and AmTote are going to try determine a way to automate the stop-wagering function on the Cross-Country pick-5,” wrote Grening.

“Toward that end, that wager will cease for an indefinite period following next Saturday's Cross-Country pick-5, McKenna said.”

Bettors beware.

WAITING FOR CHANGE

Customer confidence is a necessity for racing's sustainability. Incidents such as these and many others cited in TIF's “Wagering Insecurity” series damage the confidence of horseplayers.

That lost confidence needs to be rebuilt through active steps to modernize racing's wagering security infrastructure.

Little has been done.

Despite years of planning in the early 2000s, vastly increased processing power and countless technological innovations in nearly every other part of the gaming space, pari-mutuel wagering remains well behind modern expectations for customer protections.

“Automated bingo card devices in church basements have more independent monitoring than the tote systems,” Kevin Mullally, vice president of government relations and general counsel for Gaming Laboratories International told TIF for “Wagering Insecurity.”

“It cannot be understated how surprising the details in this incident are if you understand the history of racing wagering integrity in North America,” said TIF Executive Director Patrick Cummings.

“A lot comes into question when it is acknowledged that the licensed officials overseeing the race do not have control of stopping all legal wagering connected to it.”

“This is probably the most notable exposed vulnerability in the human oversight of wagering since the Breeders' Cup Fix Six.”

Racing commissions across the continent, and particularly those where races in their jurisdiction started cross-track exotic bets, likely have many questions too.

“Did racing commissions know about this casual setup? If so, for how long? Everything about this single incident raises questions both for the commissions and about the commissions in their roles approving bets and regulating wagering.”

Customer protection is paramount. With it, comes customer confidence.

The racing business knew it had wagering integrity issues in the aftermath of the Breeders' Cup Fix Six scandal in 2002 and spent years attempting to adopt changes. Some changes were made, and security did improve.

But most of the grander plan to enhance the wagering integrity infrastructure fell flat soon after the NTRA's five-year plan was published in 2005.

“Wagering should be a driver of value to all facets of the racing industry. The values of professional sports franchises, in some part thanks to the rise of legalized sports betting, are growing at astronomical levels,” Cummings said.

“Racing has had betting forever, including a veritable domestic monopoly in legal, online betting for the entirety of the internet era, and our handle today is nearly 50% lower today than it was 20 years ago when adjusting for inflation.

“One of the reasons to be optimistic about the future of American racing is that for the best part of the last two decades, it's like we haven't even tried to compete. Bet pricing is too high, transparency in many areas is in short supply, data is expensive and cumbersome, and it is clear our approach to wagering integrity is insufficient.”

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Equibase Expands ‘Leaders By Track’ Data

Equibase Company has expanded the availability of its free leaders by track data on equibase.com. Initially available for the most recent past two meets per racetrack, the leaders by track listings are now available for every past meet back to 2000.

Leaders by track data is available for each horse, owner, jockey, and trainer that had a start at the respective meet. The data can be sorted by column heading: starts, firsts, seconds, thirds, earnings, win percentage, and in the money percentage.

“Fans and industry participants alike enjoy seeing how horses and people perform during specific track meets, but it was limiting to just have the past two years of data,” said Rhonda Norby, Equibase's director of Marketing and Communications. “For media who are conducting research or for those who just enjoy looking back, the additional 20 years of data will be a welcome addition.”

Users can find the leaders by track listings within the statistics section of equibase.com. In addition to the ability to sort on column headings, data for every horse, owner, trainer, and jockey can be filtered to view the statistics by a variety of categories, including age, sex, racing surface, and all races vs. stakes races or just graded races.

Equibase Company is a partnership between subsidiaries of The Jockey Club and the Thoroughbred Racing Associations of North America and serves as the Thoroughbred industry's official database. Through its website and mobile applications, Equibase offers a comprehensive array of free statistical information as well as premium handicapping products and reports in support of the North American Thoroughbred racing industry.

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