Handicapping | Horse Racing Free Tips

Handicapper Mike Somich To Feature In EquinEdge’s New Live Show ‘Good Chalk/Bad Chalk’

EquinEdge™ will present a new, live horse racing show each Thursday night beginning Oct. 21 at 9:00 PM Eastern. The YouTube live stream will feature Mike Somich, co-host of The Magic Mike Show, along with Brady Klotz, a leading EquinEdge™ player, talking horse racing, building winning tickets and making selections for racing around the country.

Good Chalk / Bad Chalk will provide an opportunity for fans to participate in handicapping races with two of the best players in the business while enjoying some great conversation with the EquinEdge™ Community. Mike and Brady will use the EquinEdge™ platform on the show to instruct and inform players on the best use of the EquinEdge™ data and tool sets including the Genetic Strength Rating (GSR™), Strength of Race (SOR™) and the unique EE Ticket Generator.

The show will kick off this Thursday night when they'll cover Charles Town and Remington Park. Join the show here: https://youtu.be/AzV8YAinDlQ.

Mike Somich has become known for cashing large, multi-race tickets, and most recently, he's been focused on the tournament scene where he has qualified for NHC three consecutive years and won more than $65,000 across multiple tournaments over 2020 Breeders Cup weekend. You can find his product, the Somobombs, and The Magic Mike Show, along with co-host Curtis Kalleward, at RacingDudes.com

Brady Klotz burst onto the tournament scene this year by finishing 2nd in the 2021 Pegasus World Cup Betting Challenge. He is known for his hammer-ticket style of play. Brady finds favorites to fade and value plays to press his opinions.

“Mike is an absolute encyclopedia of racing knowledge, and he plays racing with a passion. Brady is a successful horseplayer and an engaging racing talent, and the two of them will provide a lot of value and fun with EquinEdge™ as their handicapping tool of choice,” stated Scotty McKeever, Founder and CEO of EquinEdge™.

About EquinEdge™

EquinEdge™ is a mobile and web-based platform that utilizes multiple data sets and unique, artificial intelligence-driven algorithms to develop values that enable players to quickly analyze any US horse race from competitive, genetic, and odds value angles. These values are combined with useful navigation and sorting tools and a unique wager generator tool to design tickets that win.

EquinEdge™ offers new subscribers an initial week of free service to try out the platform and to learn about its data. Go to EquinEdge™.com for more details.

About Racing Dudes

Racing Dudes.com is a destination site for free and premium picks and full stakes previews and recaps with options for any skill level. Racing Dudes Live, which covers major stakes days on the Racing Dudes YouTube channel, adds to the lineup which includes the titles Blinkers Off, The Magic Mike Show, The Rocket Hour and Dudes Who Bet Sports.

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Friday’s Stronach 5 Wager Features $76,823 Carryover

The weekend will begin with a bang Friday with a rare carryover in the Stronach 5 of $76,823.80.

The popular wager will feature a low 12-percent takeout and races from Laurel Park, Santa Anita Park, Gulfstream Park and Golden Gate Fields.

The Stronach 5 begins with Laurel Park's very competitive eighth race, a maiden special weight event for 2-year-olds at seven furlongs.

Figlio Del Re, a son of Galileo trained by Graham Motion, draws the rail, and makes his second career start after finishing a well-beaten eighth at Belmont Park Sept. 18 on the turf. The winner of the Sept. 18 race, Slipstream, came back to win the Futurity (G3) Oct. 10 at Belmont while the second-place Futurity finisher, Run Curtis Run, had won the Rick Violette Stakes earlier in the summer at Saratoga.

Trainer Michael Trombetta will saddle two in the Laurel eighth. Caminero, a son of Lord Nelson, will be making his debut while Souper Royal Moon comes off a seventh-place finish in his debut. Trainer Jose Corrales will saddle Backnthewoods coming off a fourth-place finish against similar company Sept. 17 at Belmont.

Santa Anita's third race, a $50,000 maiden claiming event for California-bred or sired horses 3-year-olds and up going six furlongs, is wide-open. What an Idea, a son of Shackleford, makes his debut for trainer Peter Miller and jockey Flavien Prat. Devil Be Me returns after a seventh-place finish in his debut Sept. 24 at Los Alamitos and Straus's Place makes his second start after finishing fifth, beaten only 2 ¾ lengths, Sept. 12 at Las Alamitos.

The Stronach 5 heads to Gulfstream for its ninth race, a claiming event at 1 1/16 miles on the Tapeta. It's been two years and 23 starts since Gran Malbec has visited the winner's circle, but the tough 6-year-old enters this race after finishing second by a neck last time out on this surface. Til the End rallied last out on the Tapeta to finish fifth, beaten only 1 ½ lengths for the win. Golden Decision will also be running late for trainer Gustavo Delgado and jockey Cristian Torres.

Laurel's ninth race, an allowance optional claiming event at 5 ½ furlong on the turf, brings together another competitive group. Hugh McMahon saddles Rohrbacher, who has finished first, second or third in 10 of his last 12 starts and 10 of 11 starts at the distance and surface. Charmed, trained by Philip Antonacci, comes into the race off a victory against allowance company at Monmouth Sept. 26 at the distance and on turf.

The Stronach 5 concludes at Golden Gate Fields with its third race, a starter allowance at 1 1/16 mile. Anitanewmercedes goes for his third consecutive victory while Baby Frankie goes for his second consecutive win. Iz Invincible has been a model of consistency, finishing first, second or third in 10 of his last 13 starts for trainer and co-owner William Delia. The gelding reeled off four consecutive victories at Golden Gate earlier in the year.

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Friday's races and sequence

Leg One –Laurel Race 8: (9 entries, 7 furlongs) 4 :40 ET, 1:40 PT
Leg Two –Santa Anita Race 3: (10 entries, 6 furlongs) 5:02 ET, 2:02 PT
Leg Three –Gulfstream Race 9: (9 entries, 1 1/16 mile) 5:06 ET, 2:06 PT
Leg Four – Laurel Race 9: (12 entries, 5 ½ furlongs turf) 5:12 ET, 2:12 PT
Leg Five –Golden Gate Race 3: (7 entries, 1 1/16 mile) 5:20 ET, 2:20 PT

Fans can watch and wager on the action at 1/ST.COM/BET as well as stream all the action in English and Spanish at LaurelPark.com, SantaAnita.com, GulfstreamPark.com, and GoldenGateFields.com.

The minimum wager on the multi-race, multi-track Stronach 5 is $1. If there are no tickets with five winners, the entire pool will be carried over to the next Friday.

If a change in racing surface is made after the wagering closes, each selection on any ticket will be considered a winning selection. If a betting interest is scratched, that selection will be substituted with the favorite in the win pool when wagering closes.

The Maryland Jockey Club serves as host of the Stronach 5.

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Hialeah Park To Host Qualifying Tournament For National Horseplayers Championship

For only the second time in the long and storied history of this iconic South Florida landmark, Hialeah Park will host a qualifying tournament for the National Horseplayers Championship.

The qualifier will be held in the Champions Simulcast Center & Sports Bar on the second floor of the Hialeah Park clubhouse, located at 2200 East 4^th Avenue, on Sunday, December 12, 2021.

Handicappers can purchase their entries for the qualifying tournament by visiting the Hialeah Park web site at www.hialeahpark.com.

Scheduled as a points event on the 2021 NHC docket, the grand prizes will be seats for the top two finishers in the National Horseplayers Championship finals at Bally's Las Vegas on January 28-30, 2022, including hotel and airfare.

Under rules established by the NHC, participants in the Hialeah Park tournament must be 2021 tour members to earn a seat in the 2022 finals.

The $500 entry fee for current NHC tour members will cover a $300 live bankroll for wagering on designated races at Gulfstream Park and Aqueduct, and $125 for cash prizes.

The remainder of the entry fee will cover a buffet lunch, programs for designated races, and Hialeah Park swag.

The prize money pool, determined by the total number of entries, will be awarded on site at the conclusion of the tournament, with 50% going to the winner, 30% to the runner-up, and 20% to the third-place finisher.

Only current National Horseplayers Championship tour members will be eligible to win the grand prizes. The event will also be open to non-members and they will be eligible to win the cash prizes.

As an incentive, the NHC will offer first-time tour members $25 off the regular $50 membership fee if they register for the Hialeah Park qualifier and submit a $525 entry fee.

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Equibase Analysis: Empress Josephine Could Rule In QEII Challenge Cup

A strong field of 10 three-year-old fillies is assembled for Saturday's Grade 1, $500,000 Queen Elizabeth II Challenge Cup Stakes at Keeneland. This race is an “invitation only” event and drew eight horses which have been running in North America plus two coming in from Europe off good efforts in stakes.

In terms of achievements, Shantisara (IRE) could be considered first based on money earned as she's just $12,000 short of a half-million dollars, the majority of that earned winning the non-graded but very classy $700,000 Jockey Club Oaks Invitational last month at Belmont Park.

Then there's Empress Josephine (IRE), who along with Nicest (IRE) has faced the toughest competition of any horse in the field. Empress Josephine (IRE) won the Group 1 Irish 1000 Guineas in May and comes back on six days rest after finishing third last week in the Grade 1 First Lady Stakes at Keeneland. Nicest (IRE) finished third in the Irish Oaks when last seen in mid-July and the horse that won the race is top European filly Snowfall, who recently finished sixth against some of the toughest males in the world in the Group 1 Prix De l'Arc de Triomphe.

Technical Analysis (IRE) enters this race off a victory in the Grade 2 Lake Placid Stakes, while Flippant just won the Virginia Oaks at the distance of the Queen Elizabeth II Challenge Cup. Closing Remarks is another who has been competitive in top company as she finished second in the Grade 1 Del Mar Oaks in her most recent race. Burning Ambition is yet another recent stakes winner, having captured the Indiana Grand Stakes last month.

Cloudy Dawn (IRE) makes her North American debut and when last seen in August she was victorious in the Group 3 Prix de Lieurey so is another not to be taken lightly. Queen Goddess and Lady Speightspeare both enter this race off allowance wins and for Lady Speightspeare it was her first start following nearly a year away from the races. Just prior to the layoff she won the Grade 1 Natalma Stakes.

Empress Josephine (IRE) has the best credentials in the field and one of the best ™ Equibase® Speed Figure earned by any filly in this group, a 113 when third last week in the First Lady Stakes at a shorter distance on the Keeneland Turf. In that race Empress Josephine (IRE) raced mid-pack in sixth of 12 in the early stages and steadily made up ground to finish third, just a half-length from the runner-up, with the winner another half-length in front. She had just run four weeks earlier in Ireland when fourth of 13, beaten a head for second, in the very important Group 1 Matron Stakes. That effort earned a 115 figure and she had earned a 114 figure in May when winning the Irish 1000 Guineas.

No other horse in the field, except Nicest (IRE), has broken through the 110 figure threshold so considering Empress Josephine (IRE) has done it three times this season, she appears to be the one to beat. As a daughter of amazing sire Galileo, Empress Josephine (IRE) should appreciate the extra eighth of a mile and she adds blinkers as well, likely suggested by top jockey John Velazquez, who returns to ride after being aboard last weekend. There's also no concern about the filly returning so quickly because her trainer is one of the best in the world in Aiden O'Brien, who according to a Race Lens query has only run two horses back on a week's rest in the past five years. One of those was Athena, who won the 2018 Belmont Oaks easily off a similarly short respite. Even more significant is the fact that Together (IRE), who was a daughter of Galileo and who was trained by O'Brien, finished second in the 2011 First Lady Stakes then went on to win the Queen Elizabeth II Challenge Cup one week later.

Flippant may be a live longshot candidate although she has won three races in a row, two of those stakes races. Flippant won the Preview Dueling Grounds Oaks Stakes in August with a 98 ™figure then improved to 100 at the end of August when victorious in the Virginia Oaks at the same nine furlong trip of the Queen Elizabeth II Challenge Cup. In the Virginia Oaks, Flippant put in a furious rally from 11th with a quarter mile to go and was never really asked as she lengthened her stride to win going away. The 100 figure earned is a far cry from any of the three best figures Empress Josephine (IRE) has earned but Flippant has the pattern to improve, and the breeding to run very well. The Race Lens report on her dam, Frivolous, shows that mare won the Grade 1 Fleur de Lis Stakes at this distance on dirt as well as won on turf, and the report on her sire Tapit shows me his daughter Time and Motion won the 2016 edition of the Queen Elizabeth II Challenge Cup so there is a lot of potential for this filly to run well.

Cloudy Dawn (IRE) and Nicest (IRE) are both nice fillies who have faced some tough competition in Europe and who could both have a say in the outcome of this race. Cloudy Dawn (IRE) just won a group three stakes in Europe, the equivalent of a grade two stakes in North American, and she was flattered when the runner-up came back to win her next race. Trainer William Haggas hasn't started many horses in North America in the past few years but one of them was Call to Mind, owned by Her Majesty the Queen, who shipped in to win the 2018 Belmont Gold Cup. Nicest (IRE) has been facing top company just like Empress Josephine (IRE) and that alone warrants consideration as a contender. She finished third of 13 in the Ribblesdale Stakes in June at Royal Ascot and followed that up with a third place finish behind top European three year old Snowfall in the Irish Oaks in mid-July. That last effort earned a 116 Equibase Figure and if she can repeat or improve off that effort nearly three months later she could certainly be in the thick of the action at the wire in this race.

The rest of the field, with their best ™ Equibase® Speed Figures, is Burning Ambition (83), Closing Remarks (101), Lady Speightspeare (98), Queen Goddess (91), Shantisara (IRE) (101) and Technical Analysis (IRE) (100).

Top Win Contender:
Empress Josephine

Other contenders:
Flippant
Cloudy Dawn (IRE)
Nicest (IRE)

Queen Elizabeth II Challenge Cup Stakes presented by Dixiana – Grade 1
Race 8 at Keeneland
Saturday, Sept. 16 – Post Time 4:44 PM E.T.
One Mile and One Eighth on Turf
Fillies, Three Years Old
Purse: $500,000

You can get Ellis' full card detailed analysis and betting recommendations for all the races at Keeneland at Equibase.com, TrackMaster.com and most online wagering sites.

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