Tiz The Law, Gamine Favored In Latest Kentucky Derby, Oaks Future Wagers

Seven weeks in advance of the rescheduled $3 million Kentucky Derby  (Grade 1), bettors reaffirmed Belmont Stakes (Grade 1) winner Tiz the Law as the horse to beat when he closed as the 5-2 favorite Sunday in Pool 6 of the Kentucky Derby Future Wager.

Santa Anita Derby (G1) winner Honor A. P. and unbeaten Los Alamitos Derby (G3) winner Uncle Chuck both closed at odds of 6-1. Blue Grass (G2) winner Art Collector was the 8-1 fourth betting choice and was followed by Haskell (G1) winner Authentic at 9-1.

Horses in order of favoritism in the three-day July 17-19 KDFW Pool 6 (Final Odds and $2 Win Will Pays): #21 Tiz the Law (5-2, $7.20); #8 Honor A. P. (6-1, $14); #22 Uncle Chuck (6-1, $15.80); #1 Art Collector (8-1, $19); #3 Authentic (9-1, $21.40); #24 “All Other 3-Year-Old Males” (14-1, $31.60); #4 Cezanne (18-1, $39); #14 Ny Traffic (19-1, $40.20); #6 Dr Post (24-1, $51.80); #11 Max Player (25-1, $52.80); #9 King Guillermo (25-1, $53.20); #5 Dean Martini (37-1, $76.60); #7 Enforceable (38-1, $78.60); #17 Shared Sense (42-1, $86); #13 Mystic Guide (50-1, $103); #23 “All 3-Year-Old Fillies” (52-1, $107.80); #20 Thousand Words (65-1, $132.20); #15 Pneumatic (87-1, $176.80); #19 Storm the Court (88-1, $179.20); #10 Major Fed (90-1, $182.40); #12 Modernist (96-1, $194.80); #2 Attachment Rate (105-1, $212.40); #18 South Bend (106-1, $215.60); and #16 Rushie (141-1, $285.40).

The Kentucky Derby Future Wager, offered for a 22nd consecutive year, enables bettors to wager on possible Kentucky Derby contenders in advance of America's greatest race at odds that could be more attractive than those available on the day of the race.

On March 17, Churchill Downs Incorporated announced the 146th running of the Kentucky Derby, the 1 1/4-mile classic for 3-year-old Thoroughbreds, would be rescheduled from Saturday, May 2, to Saturday, Sept. 5, amid public health concerns in relation to the COVID-19 pandemic.

In Pool 2 of the Kentucky Oaks Future Wager, which was conducted concurrently with the KDFW, 18-length Acorn (G1) winner Gamine closed as the 2-1 favorite over Road to the Kentucky Oaks points leader and Blue Grass (G2) runner-up Swiss Skydiver, who was 9-2. Ashland (G1) winner Speech was the 10-1 third choice.

The final odds for the Oaks Future Wager: #8 Gamine (2-1, $6.20); #19 Swiss Skydiver (9-2, $11.20); #17 Speech (10-1, $23.80); #12 Paris Lights (14-1, $31); #4 Donna Veloce (14-1, $31.40); #1 Altaf (17-1, $37); #21 Tonalist's Shape (19-1, $40); #16 Shedaresthedevil (19-1, $40.40); #18 Spice is Nice (21-1, $45); #24 “All Other 3-Year-Old Fillies” (22-1, $46.60); #7 Finite (24-1, $51); #9 Harvey's Lil Goil (24-1, $51); #22 Venetian Harbor (27-1, $56); #3 Bonny South (27-1, $56.60); #11 Mundaye Call (37-1, $77); #6 Envoutante (72-1, $147.20); #13 Pleasant Orb (78-1, $158); #2 Bayerness (91-1, $185.20); #5 Dream Marie (92-1, $186.20); #14 Project Whiskey (97-1, $197.60); #23 Water White (106-1), $215.60; #15 Queen of God (126-1, $255.60); #10 Impeccable Style (159-1, $320.80); and #20 Tempers Rising (175-1, $353.80).

The 146th running of the $1.25 million Longines Kentucky Oaks (GI), the nation's most lucrative race for 3-year-old fillies, will be run over 1 1/8 miles on Friday, Sept. 4.

All told, $305,488 was bet in future wagers over the three-day period. Total handle for Pool 6 of the KDFW was $191,346 ($126,026 in the Win pool and $65,320 in Exactas). Betting on the Oaks Future Wager totaled $54,897 ($35,383 in the Win pool and $19,514 in Exactas). The Oaks/Derby Future Double, which requires fans to correctly select the winners of both races, handled $59,245.

Pool 7 of the KDFW – the final future wager opportunity in advance of the races – is scheduled for Aug. 7-9.

Visit www.KentuckyDerby.com/FutureWager for more information.

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Letter to the Editor: Davant Latham

Until horses live in a laboratory environment, environmental contamination will occur…hich means zero tolerance is impossible. “Zero Tolerance” is a great soundbite, but unrealistic. The recent final disqualifications of Charlatan and Gamine from their Oaklawn victories for minute levels of lidocaine are ridiculous. A lidocaine backpatch could easily be the source of such a tiny amount, as could a simple caslick procedure on a filly or a “no itch” topical ointment.

Let’s also consider the amount of the banned substance in their systems. Charlatan tested positive with 46 picograms of lidocaine and Gamine tested positive with 185 picograms of lidocaine. I don’t know the weight of either horse, but for the sake of simple math, let’s assume they each weigh 1000 pounds:  1000 pounds = 453,592 grams = 453,592,000 milligrams = 453,592,000,000,000,000 picograms

Do we really believe 185 picograms of any substance will have any effect on a 453,592,000,000,000,000 picogram horse?!

I am all for fair competition and am not an apologist for anyone that intentionally cheats or schemes to illegally beat the system–those trainers and vets should be banned for life. But let’s go beyond soundbites for the media (“Zero Tolerance”) and govern racing with realistic rules while pursuing truly effective measures and punishments. Stall cameras, track employed veterinarians, all meds delivered from track-owned pharmacies, etc., are better ways of controlling the delivery system. And of course one national set of rules would help.

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The Friday Show Presented By Woodbine: COVID-19 And Positive Drug Tests

It's been a busy news week in horse racing. COVID-19 continues to disrupt the racing business, most recently with the cancellation of this weekend's racing at Del Mar. How might a second wave of coronavirus cases impact the racing business as a whole?

Also this week, Arkansas officials announced the disqualification of Bob Baffert trainees Charlatan from the G1 Arkansas Derby and Gamine from an allowance race at Oaklawn Park due to lidocaine overages. Baffert has also been handed a 15-day suspension. Baffert asserts those tests were the result of the horses' exposure to a Salonpas patch used by an employee. That raises the question — should the means of exposure to a substance factor in to a commission or steward's decision when disqualifying a horse?

Ray Paulick and Natalie Voss sit down to discuss these questions in this week's edition of The Friday Show. Watch below and share your thoughts.

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This Side Up: Haskell Sets Derby Compass as East Meets West

Guys. Come on. What was the one thing we were told, right from the outset? Wash your hands. Obsessively, wash your hands. Yet here’s our most accomplished trainer, explaining that his assistant transferred a trace from a medicinal patch on his own back to the tongue-ties of their two most charismatic sophomores.

Somebody seems to have been no more vigilant in the jocks’ room at Los Alamitos, creating a fresh headache for Bob Baffert in the postponement of a barn debut, scheduled for Del Mar this weekend, for Maximum Security (New Year’s Day). This year Baffert has endured setbacks proportional to his success, which is saying plenty, and it’s unfortunate that the mainstream media has taken the opportunity to conflate those twin menaces to the reputation of our sport, injuries and drugs.

The more responsible coverage has at least kept in perspective the relatively innocuous contamination of Charlatan (Speightstown) and Gamine (Into Mischief). But some have been unable to resist the narrative combining this episode with the peculiar treatment of Justify (Scat Daddy), after his positive test on the way to a Triple Crown; the welfare traumas, last year, of Baffert’s otherwise paradisal home track, Santa Anita; and the federal indictments this spring against trainers Jason Servis and Jorge Navarro, among others.

It was Servis, of course, who supervised the career of Maximum Security until that scandal broke–in a fashion that always seemed unorthodox, even before the lurid doubts introduced by his arrest. How long ago it seems, now, since that sultry evening when, after a prolonged delay for the heat wave, Maximum Security denied Baffert’s Mucho Gusto (Mucho Macho Man) in the GI TVG.com Haskell. One way or another it has been a wild ride all the way through, for this horse, and this Del Mar fiasco will barely warrant a footnote in his biography.

Much like Maximum Security, I’m sure all of us must be sharing the same yearning: for what we now know to value as that most extraordinary of privileges, a regular day at the races. As it is, Mike Smith has been locked out of Saratoga (know the feeling, brother) by taking the mount on Authentic (Into Mischief) in a still more surreal Haskell this time round.

Smith will be hoping that the horse makes that a price worth paying, albeit the most obvious value of this race–in pitching together the respective runners-up from the GI Runhappy Santa Anita Derby and GI Belmont S. (presented by NYRA Bets)–is to integrate the form of the crop’s standout colt on either coast.

In his own right, Authentic (what a name for a “Sham” winner!) is certainly at something of a crossroads. The way he goes about his task should settle the questions left open by his first defeat, where he broke a step slow; was kept fairly wide; and for the first time, never made the lead at any call. In view of his idle month, at the height of the lockdown, Authentic could yet prove that he wasn’t simply revealing the kind of low fuel reserves we’ve seen in other brilliantly fast sons of his sire. Don’t forget how green he looked in his first races, almost colliding with the rail even as he cruised clear on his stakes debut. He remains perfectly entitled to turn one small step back into two big steps forward.

Many of us, of course, are hoping that the single most pertinent factor in his defeat will simply turn out to have been the presence, in Honor A.P. (Honor Code), of the classiest colt of the crop. For now, Authentic’s connections appear to be keeping the faith. That looks significant, as the Derby trail extends so much deeper into the calendar this year that his perseverance is already costing key opportunities round a single turn. (He’s hardly going to be bounced out for the GI Allen Jerkens now.) With his future at Spendthrift in mind, however, maybe the idea is just to get his Grade I nailed in the Haskell, and then see how his world looks after that.

If this field lacks depth, it does set up a potential pincer movement on the favorite: the seasoned Ny Traffic (Cross Traffic) can be counted on to press pretty unsparingly, having seen off all bar the stellar Maxfield (Street Sense) last time, while progressive Dr Post (Quality Road) will punish any reckless competition up front by drawing on his stamina.

After all, one thing that won’t change in a September Derby is the perennial equilibrium challenge between the speed horses and the closers. Will that be tilted one way or another, by more mature horses? You could argue that the speed will hold up better, driven by stronger horses. On the other hand, it could be that the speed in May tends to be a function of a more general precocity. Perhaps a 20-runner stampede through 10 furlongs will this time favor the traditional Belmont type. So Dr Post could yet enter the equation, even if he can’t quite run down Authentic this time.

So, too, could Mystic Guide (Ghostzapper). Some people sound ready to give up on this guy after he could only manage third in the GIII Peter Pan S. Thursday, but only a very talented horse would have made that kind of dynamic move from where he was mid-race. Runner-up Caracaro (Uncle Mo), who was making his first start in six months and only his third overall, would also merit a rematch with Country Grammer (Tonalist) in the GI Runhappy Travers S. But then if Country Grammer has really hit the Classic seam in what is a copper-bottomed Classic pedigree, nobody should presume the limits of his own progress.

Still plenty of delicious uncertainty, then, for all that we appear to have a standard-bearer on either coast. Just the last two weekends, after all, have volunteered legitimate new forces in Art Collector (Bernardini) and Uncle Chuck (Uncle Mo). Now we’ll finally get the two coasts together, and find out whether one can maintain social distance from the other through the Monmouth stretch. If not, let’s just hope that everyone has remembered to wash their hands.

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