Swot Analysis Big Favorite In Saturday’s Louisiana Futurity At Fair Grounds

A talented septet has assembled for Saturday's $100,000 Louisiana Futurity at the Fair Grounds in New Orleans, La., though there's little doubt as to the horse to beat in the six-furlong state-bred dash for 2-year-olds. D.J. Stable LLC, Cash is King LLC, and West Point Thoroughbreds' Swot Analysis, off an overpowering 9 ¾-length local debut win, will be tough to deny if he can deliver an encore.

Swot Analysis (post 6 at 5-2 on Mike Diliberto's morning line, with Declan Carroll to ride), a son of Anchor Down, didn't fire when a distant sixth in an open-company MSW debut Nov. 1 at Churchill Downs, as he tired badly after dueling for the lead early. Trainer Mark Casse regrouped and sent him to Fair Grounds where he met fellow state breds Nov. 27, and the result was in stark contrast to the run in Louisville, as Swot Analysis pressed the pace from the outside, took charge off the far turn, and blew clear for a dominant win. Swot Analysis, purchased for $62,000 at the Ocala Breeders' Sales Company July 2-Year-Olds & Horses of Racing Age Sale 2020, clearly took to his new surroundings at Fair Grounds, which was no surprise to Casse's local assistant Dave Carroll.

“We were expecting him to win, to be honest, based on the tough maiden he came out of, though we weren't expecting him to win like that,” Carroll said. “We got a race into him at Churchill and it was a tough race, but he was able to build off it.”

The Futurity is a definite step up in class, with a trio of impressive local winners, as well as a stakes-placed runner, so Carroll knows Swot Analysis will need to answer the bell one more time, regardless of how impressive he looked last time.

“We're taking everything with a grain of salt, sometimes you draw off and win like that against Louisiana breds,” Carroll said. “It's a good spot for him and we're hoping he runs a big race.”

Trainer Ron Faucheux will saddle a pair of local debut winners, with Flurry Racing Stables LLC's Guice (post five at 4-1 with Brian Hernandez Jr.) the more highly regarded off a sharp two-length MSW score December 12. The son of Half Ours went a long way in making back his $52,000 purchase price as a yearling when he pressed the pace in the mud and drew off late, and is perfectly drawn for his style. Picard Thoroughbreds Racing Stable LLC's Perfect Perigee (post two at 6-1 with Florent Geroux) dueled and pulled clear in a Dec. 11 $25,000 maiden-claimer and could be the controlling speed. The son of Court Vision takes a significant rise in class, though he figures to make the front after setting a :45 4/5 half-mile split last time.

Andrus J Pellerin's Jimmy Two Times pressed the pace and drew off to an easy 4 ¼-length win here in a Nov. 29 N2L allowance in the slop. The Half Ours gelding won on debut at Evangeline Downs in June for trainer Kith Bourgeois then was off-the-board to Chu Chu's Legacy in a pair of state-bred stakes, but clearly rebounded in his local bow. Jimmy Two Times figures to be closest to Perfect Perigee early, though he's a bit of a question mark on a fast main track.

Completing the Louisiana Futurity field from the rail out: Patrick Lee Racing LLC's Adieu Le Chat (6-1 with Santo Sanjur), winless in four starts for trainer Tucker Alonzo; John F Earles' Bunkie's Song (post three at 15-1 with James Graham), no better than fifth in a trio of starts for trainer Allen Landry; and Horseplayers Racing Club LLC's Creole Charlie (post seven at 9-2 with Adam Beschizza), a distant third in both the Louisiana Cup Juvenile at Louisiana Downs in September and Jimmy Two Times' allowance win for trainer Justin Jeansonne.

Ten state-bred 2-year-old fillies are scheduled to meet the starter in the $100,000 Louisiana Futurity, though if Valene Farms LLC's Big Time has anything to do with it, the other nine will be running for second-money in the six-furlong dash, as she looks for her second stakes win of the meet.

Big Time (post six at 5-2 on Mike Diliberto's morning line with Brian Hernandez Jr. to ride) may have stunned bettors when she paid $79.60 on debut in an open MSW at Churchill Downs in June for trainer Dallas Stewart, but she was a much more known commodity when she met state breds in the Dec. 12 Louisiana Lassie. The daughter of Astrology settled early over a muddy main track, snuck through up the inside off the far turn, then powered clear for an easy 3 ½-length win over seven rivals, a trio of which will try her against in the Futurity. Big Time led every step in her Churchill win but showed a newfound rating gear in the Lassie, which only adds to her appeal.

Allied Racing Stable LLC's Winning Romance (post two at 3-1 with James Graham) looks the main danger off a gate-to-wire allowance win here Nov. 27 for trainer Bret Calhoun. The First Samurai won on debut at Evangeline Downs in June then was left in the wake of state-bred star Mirabeau in her next two, though got untracked again in her local bow and could be the inside speed.

Spendthrift Farm LLC and William and Corinne Heiligbrodt's Rue Lala (post five at 6-1 with Adam Beschizza) was actually favored in the Lassie for trainer Steve Asmussen but drew the rail, struggled over the off going, and checked in a distant fourth. The daughter of Star Guitar aired on debut at Louisiana Downs in September then was a distant second to Mirabeau in the Louisiana Cup Juvenile Fillies there two weeks later, but could be a rebound candidate on a fast track, with a better post as well.

Horseplayers Racing Club LLC's Halfglamorous (post nine at 6-1 with Miguel Mena) was a good second on debut her in November and then built on that and wired locally Dec. 13 for trainer Danny Pish. The daughter of Half Ours has shown speed in both starts and figures to be pressing from an advantageous outside attack post.

Completing the Louisiana Futurity field from the rail out: Brittlyn Stable Inc's homebred Spirited Beauty (20-1 with Marcelino Pedroza), a distant seventh to Big Time in the Lassie for trainer Jose Camejo; Roger G Smith's homebred Smittys Barracuda (post three at 6-1 with Florent Geroux), a distant second on debut here to dominant maiden winner Australasia Nov. 26, and also cross-entered earlier on the card in and MSW Race 3 for trainer Ron Faucheux; Set-Hut LLC's homebred Mrs. Judy (post four at 10-1 with Shaun Bridgmohan), well-beaten in eight in the Lassis for trainer Jeff Delhomme; Gulf Haven Farms' homebred Inawic (post seven at 15-1 with Mitchell Murrill), winless in five starts for trainer Ronnie Ward; Keith Bonura and Rodney Virgadamo's Louleigh (post 8 at 10-1 with Miguel Mena), a distant third to Winning Romance for trainer Justin Jeansonne; and William and Carolyn Kline's Amoreena Star (post 10 at 20-1 with Colby Hernandez), claimed for $12,500 by trainer Joe Duhon out of a local Dec. 3 debut state-bred MCL win here.

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Monomoy Girl Back To Work: Champion Mare Targeting Feb. 15 Bayakoa

Champion Monomoy Girl is back to work at the Fair Grounds in New Orleans, La., reports the Blood-Horse. The 5-year-old daughter of the late Tapizar breezed three furlongs in :37 flat on Dec. 27, her first work since earning a second Breeder's Cup Distaff win.

“It was just something to get her started, an easy three-eighths by herself,” trainer Brad Cox told the Blood-Horse. “We will start picking up the pace each week moving forward. We will probably do a half (mile) next week and prepare for the (G3) Bayakoa Stakes (on Feb. 15 at Oaklawn Park)—it's a race on Monday. That's our short term goal as of right now. That's what we're targeting with her.”

The seven time G1 winner was offered at the 2020 Fasig-Tipton November breeding stock sale following her Nov. 7 Breeder's Cup Distaff victory at Keeneland. Consigned by ELiTE Sales, the 2018 Champion 3-Year-Old Filly was purchased by Spendthrift Farm for $9.5 million. The new owners of the Eclipse Award-winning mare quickly announced that she would continue her racing career in 2021 with Cox, rather than immediately joining the farm's broodmare band.

Monomoy Girl has earned $4,426,818 on the track thus far, winning 13 of her 15 career starts.

Read more at bloodhorse.com.

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Jockey Angel Suarez Suffers Broken Femur In Fair Grounds Spill

Jockey Angel Suarez has undergone successful surgery to repair a broken femur suffered during a spill at the Fair Grounds Race Course in New Orleans, La. on Saturday, the Puerto Rico native reported via Twitter on Sunday.

“Thanks everybody for the calls, txts and prayers,” Suarez wrote. “So many people reaching out with so many good wishes made my eyes tear you guys are amazing, thank you all.”

The incident occurred during Saturday's 10th race, when Suarez' mount Kehron's Creed was unable to avoid a stricken rival, Caramel Latte, at the five-sixteenths pole. Kehron's Creed returned to her feet and walked off the track under her own power, according to Equibase, while no news was provided on Caramel Latte.

An Eclipse Award finalist for outstanding apprentice jockey in 2012, Suarez has ridden 710 winners from 5,030 starters in his career.

Suarez made a few of the more bizarre headlines in racing history in 2014. The jockey faced criminal charges after he broke into two apartments in Bensalem, Penn., under the influence of an unknown substance. Though Suarez does not remember the night, he was spotted half-naked, climbing the second story balcony of a woman's apartment. He seized her dog and exited, leaping off the balcony. He then broke into another unit, where he was shot twice by a man babysitting a toddler.

Suarez underwent surgery for damage to his liver and pancreas, and was in a medically-induced coma for a week. He returned to the saddle in 2016, and was ranked in the top 100 jockeys by wins in both 2018 and 2019.

“There are a lot of people out there who are only looking out for themselves,” Suarez told Doug McCoy of The Racing Biz in 2018. “You have to learn who you're real friends are. It's been my true friends and family that's helped me pull through this. I've been lucky enough to be given a second chance in life and I'm trying to make the most of that chance.”

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‘She’ll Run All Day’: Whoa Nellie Ready To Step Up In Broussard Stakes

Saturday's $75,000 Joseph E. Spanky Broussard, run at one mile and 70 yards at the Fair Grounds in New Orleans, La., drew a compact yet stellar field of three and 4-year-old fillies. To hear trainer Larry Jones tell it, Fox Hill Farms Inc's Whoa Nellie will only be getting started when they hit the finish line.

“As we say, her name is Whoa Nellie, so getting her pulled up after her gallops and races is like 'Woah Nellie,'” Jones said. “She'll run all day and her forte is to go two turns.”

Whoa Nellie (post 1 at 8-5 with Florent Geroux) has blossomed since being stretched out over a route of ground and Jones is hoping to use the Broussard as a stepping-stone to what he hopes will be a big 2021 campaign. The 4-year-old daughter of Orb was a solid one-turn allowance performer to start her career but she took her game to a new level last winter when sent two turns. She won the Pippin at Oaklawn Park in January and then was second, beaten just a neck, in a Bayakoa (G3) in February.

“She showed in the Pippin and coming back in the Bayakoa this is what she is and we think her 5-year-old year could be a very big year for her,” Jones said. “She has learned to settle early and sits well now until we're ready to go. Needless to say, being by Orb and (out of a Medaglia d'Oro mare), distance is not an issue for her.”

Whoa Nellie, who is 5-for-11 lifetime, missed nine months after the Bayakoa and came back to run third in Churchill Downs' one-turn Chilukki (G3) Nov. 21, where she spotted recency to local Rachel Alexandra (G2) heroine and multiple graded stakes winner Finite. She made a bold middle-move before flattening out a bit late. The effort left Jones feeling very confident moving forward.

“She's better now than she was then,” Jones said. “Coming into that Chilukki off a nine-month layoff, that was not an easy task, and for her to run that well and against those horses, and to finish as well as she did, that race should tighten her up really well.”

Hoffman Family Racing LLC and Steve Landry's Beautiful Trauma (post 3 at 9-5 with James Graham) looms the one to catch, as she enters off a gate-to-wire win in an optional-claimer November 12 at Churchill for trainer Tom Amoss. The 3-year-old daughter of Tapiture is 3-for-7 lifetime but will make her stakes debut in the Broussard. She is familiar with the local main track, having won an off-the-turf optional-claimer here 370 days ago by 16 lengths.

Phoenix Thoroughbred III Ltd's Lady Apple (post 5 at 3-1 with Adam Beschizza) is looking to find the form that has earlier netted her a quartet of grade 3 wins for trainer Steve Asmussen. The 4-year-old daughter of Curlin was 5-for-7 in 2019, and won the Houston Ladies Classic (G3) at Sam Houston to kick off her season in January, but she is winless in five starts since. Lady Apple is 6-for-17 lifetime, with $1.038 million in earnings, and she gets back to the main track after running fourth in the Kentucky Downs Ladies Turf (G3) Sept. 12.

Completing the Joseph E. Spanky Broussard Memorial from the rail out: Four Lawn Chairs LLC's Longpants Required (post 2 at 20-1 with Shaun Bridgmohan), who broke her maiden two-back at Churchill for trainer Brendan Walsh; La Nora LLC's Joy Epifora (post 4 at 8-1 with Brian Hernandez Jr.), a G1 winner in her native Argentina but winless in four U.S. starts for trainer Ignacio Correas; and Rigney Racing LLC's Singita Dreams (post 6 at 12-1 with Miguel Mena), who won an off-the-turf optional-claimer two-back at Churchill for trainer Phil Bauer.

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