‘All Others’ Favored At 3-1 In Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 3; Life Is Good Next At 7-1

With the Kentucky Derby 11 weeks away, the pari-mutuel field of “All Other 3-Year-Olds”closed as the 3-1 favorite in Pool 3 of the Kentucky Derby Future Wager (KDFW), and Sham Stakes (G3) winner Life Is Good was the 7-1 second betting choice.

Life Is Good, who closed as the 5-1 individual favorite in Pool 1 and 7-1 individual choice in Pool 2, was a narrow but fast winner of the one-mile Sham at Santa Anita on Jan. 2. He is expected to make his next start in the March 6 San Felipe (G2) for six-time Kentucky Derby winner Bob Baffert.

The Brad Cox-trained 2-year-old champion Essential Quality, perfect in three starts after winning the Breeders' Cup Juvenile in November, closed at odds of 8-1 for the third time in as many future wager pools. He is scheduled to make his 3-year-old debut in Saturday's rescheduled Southwest (GIII) at Oaklawn Park.

The Shug McGaughey-trained 5 ¾-length Holy Bull (GIII) winner Greatest Honour was close behind at 9-1. Other horses that garnered attention from bettors include 8 ½-length maiden winner Prevalence (14-1), 10 ¼-length Smarty Jones winner Caddo River (15-1), Risen Star (GII) winner Mandaloun (16-1) and San Vicente (G2) winner Concert Tour (17-1).

Horses in order of the public's betting choice (with trainer, Pool 3 odds and $2 Win will pays): #24 “All Other 3-Year-Olds” (3-1, $8.60); #13 Life Is Good (Bob Baffert, 7-1, $17.40); #5 Essential Quality (Brad Cox, 8-1, $18.80); #8 Greatest Honour (Shug McGaughey III, 9-1, $21.80); #18 Prevalence (Brendan Walsh, 14-1, $31.80); #1 Caddo River (Brad Cox, 15-1, $33); #14 Mandaloun (Brad Cox, 16-1, $34.60); #3 Concert Tour (Bob Baffert, 17-1, $36.60); #12 Keepmeinmind (Robertino Diodoro, 25-1, $52.20); #19 Risk Taking (Chad Brown, 25-1, $52.40); #15 Medina Spirit (Bob Baffert, 25-1, $53); #11 Jackie's Warrior (Steve Asmussen, 26-1, $55.20); #4 Dream Shake (Peter Eurton, 28-1, $58.60); #6 Fire At Will (Mike Maker, 30-1, $62.60); #2 Candy Man Rocket (Bill Mott, 35-1, $73.60); #10 Hot Rod Charlie (Doug O'Neill, 35-1, $73.60); #9 Highly Motivated (Chad Brown, 37-1, $77); #23 The Great One (Doug O'Neill, 38-1, $79.80); #21 Senor Buscador (Todd Fincher, 39-1, $81.60); #16 Midnight Bourbon (Steve Asmussen, 41-1, $84.20); #20 Roman Centurian (Simon Callaghan, 41-1, $85); #7 Freedom Fighter (Bob Baffert, 52-1, $106.80); #22 Swiftsure (Steve Asmussen, 74-1, $150.20); and #17 Nova Rags (Bill Mott, 91-1, $184.40).

Total handle for the Feb. 12-14 KDFW pool – the third of five scheduled wagering pools in advance of the 147th running of the $3 million Kentucky Derby Presented by Woodford Reserve (GI) on Saturday, May 1 – was $388,987 ($278,397 in the Win pool and $110,590 in Exactas).

Dates for the remaining 2021 Kentucky Derby future pools are March 5-7 (Pool 4) and March 26-28 (Pool 5). The lone Kentucky Oaks Future Wager will coincide with Pool 4 of the Kentucky Derby Future Wager.

Visit www.KentuckyDerby.com/FutureWager for more information.

The post ‘All Others’ Favored At 3-1 In Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 3; Life Is Good Next At 7-1 appeared first on Horse Racing News | Paulick Report.

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‘He Just Floats Over The Ground’: Life Is Good Fires Bullet Toward San Felipe

Here's a bit of sobering news for rival camps of Life Is Good: the co-individual betting favorite at 8-1 with Eclipse champion Essential Quality in Pool 3 of the Kentucky Derby Future Book Wagering is growing up.

Winner of the Grade 3 Sham Stakes at one mile on Jan. 2, the $525,000 son of Into Mischief worked six furlongs Monday at Santa Anita Park in a bullet 1:12, breezing, for his next engagement, the Grade 2 San Felipe Stakes at a mile and one-sixteenth on March 6.

It was the fastest of nine drills at the distance and nearly two seconds faster than the average time of 1:13.86.

“He went really nice,” said Bob Baffert, who trains the bay colt for China Horse Club, Inc. and WinStar Farm, LLC. “I let him work a little bit. We're really happy with how he went.

“He's starting to mature and fill out. He just floats over the ground.”

Baffert, a six-time Kentucky Derby winner and two-time Triple Crown king, is represented by four horses in the KDFW pool: Life Is Good (8-1), Concert Tour (20-1), Freedom Fighter (20-1), and Medina Spirit (20-1).

The category of “All Other Three-Year-Olds” is favored at 9-5.

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This Side Up: Proxy Steps In to Try that Unique Fit

Derby dreams at this time of year can prove as ephemeral as the vapours rising into the glacial air of Hot Springs. But the owner of the champion juvenile knows perfectly well that plans, with Thoroughbreds, can only ever be provisional–and that the postponement of Monday's Oaklawn card is a relatively trivial inconvenience to Essential Quality (Tapit). To recall the graver vexations that can unravel a Derby colt, Sheikh Mohammed needs only rewind to the last cycle, and the last colt that offered to requite perhaps the greatest single ambition still animating the biggest bloodstock empire in the breed's history.

Anyone with a sophomore of elite potential knows the highwire that axiomatically permits every Thoroughbred foal one opportunity, and one only, to contest the Kentucky Derby. If, with the approach of his third summer, he is not fit and well on the first Saturday in May, then fortune will never indulge him with a second chance. There might yet be greatness, a Travers or a Breeders' Cup. But there will be no Derby.

In 2020, however, the unprecedented (and arguably unnecessary) disordering of the Classic calendar offered some horses a reprieve even as it destroyed the fortunes of others. Nadal (Blame) and Charlatan (Speightstown) showed their readiness for the appointed hour, when the same track that is frozen this weekend salvaged an appropriate Grade I for sophomores on Derby day. Both colts, however, were sidelined by the time Churchill eventually staged a September Derby. In contrast, Maxfield (Street Sense) had appeared to be thrown a lifeline after a layoff that would have made a normal Derby very tight, if not impossible–only to be derailed by another setback in the summer.

Happily, Maxfield made a seamless resumption before Christmas to nourish hope the patience of all involved can be vindicated, and his full potential finally explored, by an uninterrupted campaign at four. Fitting, then, that he should be resuming Saturday in the GIII Mineshaft S.–a race honoring the 2003 Horse of the Year, who built with maturity on foundations laid so carefully in his European nursery.

Maxfield | Horsephotos

Among horsemen, after all, hope springs eternal. And while Maxfield provides a cautionary context, Godolphin certainly has some exciting young colts. Besides Essential Quality, there's the eye-watering Gulfstream maiden winner Prevalence (Medaglia d'Oro); while in yesterday's edition colleague Steve Sherack highlighted the prospects, down the line, of Speaker's Corner (Street Sense). Closer to hand, meanwhile, the deferral of the champion's reappearance switches attention to the aptly named Proxy (Tapit).

The GII Risen Star S. pitches this colt into a rematch with the pair who sandwiched him not only on the GIII Lecomte S. podium, but more or less from the moment the gate opened. That was not so much a horserace as a procession, all three basically holding their positions throughout as Midnight Bourbon (Tiznow) controlled a light pace. Seemingly Proxy's rider was intent on engaging Mandaloun (Into Mischief) in the stretch, which possibly helped the leader to hold out. Be that as it may, Proxy gets Johnny V. this time while stretching out to serve a pedigree lavishly seeded by Classic influences. As yet another string to the Tapit bow, alongside Essential Quality and Greatest Honour, Proxy is getting a solid grounding to help add mental maturity (has shied under pressure) to the palpable progress he is making in physical terms.

'TDN Rising Star' Mandaloun | Coady

It remains to be seen whether things can play out quite so conveniently for Midnight Bourbon this time, while Mandaloun must excel not to get caught wide again from gate 11. He certainly has the kind of family that is now supporting his sire, freshly gilded by Authentic, as a bona fide Classic stallion. Indeed, beyond the mare who became agent of its transfer to Juddmonte (bred first three dams), there's an unbroken Whitney line going back to 1918!

The big story bubbling under this race, of course, is Senor Buscador (Mineshaft). Joe Peacock, Jr.'s homebred looks an explosive talent and could put a smile on many faces at Remington Park, in the weeks leading up to May 1, if banking 50 Derby points here. He's a half-brother to Runaway Ghost (Ghostzapper), whose GIII Sunland Derby a couple of years ago remains the solitary graded stakes win among 1,158 overall for Todd Fincher. Veteran racetrackers everywhere would be thrilled to see Fincher consoled for the way Runaway Ghost had to leave the Churchill trail with injury.

Senor Buscador | Dustin Orona

It's not just Sheikh Mohammed, then, who knows how precarious a trek these horses are trying to make. So far as Godolphin is concerned, however, I hope it's right to perceive a wholesome shift in the way their Derby quest is viewed. Whether through its owner or the media, there was always something a little too politicized about winning the race “from the desert.” The Sheikh would still be deservedly gratified to realize that dream, but it would be no less a consummation of his unprecedented Turf career to get the job done from an American barn.

Thunder Snow (Ire) (Helmet {Aus}), himself a G2 UAE Derby winner, subsequently confirmed himself as eligible a Derby runner as Godolphin has found–yet his deranged antics on breaking were a bewildering reminder that nobody has ever cracked this challenge until that garland is over your horse's withers.

Proxy | Hodges Photography

Suffice to say, for now, that the Sheikh must be delighted with the work of his Stateside team. Maybe none of these horses will reach a sufficient peak to seize the hour on May 1, but right now nobody can know that. Godolphin, remember, have not even had a dozen Derby runners. People who talk of “failure” or “frustration” are forgetting the exorbitant ratios involved, just to get any colt out of the global crop into the Derby gate. They also need to remember that the more difficult this man finds a challenge, the more he enjoys it; and the more he will persevere.

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Writers’ Room Exclusive: USADA CEO Travis Tygart Explains How His Anti-Doping Team Will Clean Up Racing

Not too long ago, Lance Armstrong was revered as an American hero. The winner of seven straight Tour de France titles, Armstrong brought the sport of cycling into the mainstream and the story of his unprecedented success after recovering from testicular cancer inspired athletes everywhere. But, as the public later found out, it was all built on a lie.

Armstrong was a cheater, and his extensive involvement in an explosive doping scandal tarnished his legacy forever, stripping him of nearly all of his fraudulently-gained athletic accomplishments. The revelations from that scandal rocked the sports world and marked one of the most staggering falls from grace in recent memory. And it likely wouldn't have happened without the United States Anti-Doping Agency and its CEO, Travis Tygart.

Racing has suffered a fall from grace of its own in the past few years. Once a staple of American culture, the game's public support has steadily waned since its peak in the mid-20th century. But two massive scandals, one involving the spate of fatal breakdowns at Santa Anita in 2019, the other a bombshell series of FBI indictments alleging reprehensible and widespread drugging of horses that came out last March, plunged the sport into an existential crisis. These tragic public relations nightmares finally shook racing out of the inert fog it had operated under for far too long, and presented a crossroads: either clean up your business, or have it all come crashing down once and for all.

Enter Travis Tygart.

Late last year, the United States Congress, within an omnibus spending bill that included aid for coronavirus relief, passed the Horseracing Integrity and Safety Act. It is a plainly groundbreaking piece of legislation for racing, but its most notable provision is that drug enforcement, which has frankly been a running joke in the sport for decades, will soon fall under the purview of USADA and Tygart, arguably the most respected anti-doping authorities in the world.

So what, exactly, does that mean for the future of racing and how it will operate in the new HISA era? In his first public interview since USADA was tasked with an entirely new sport to regulate, Tygart sat down with the crew of the TDN Writers' Room podcast presented by Keeneland Wednesday. Calling in via Zoom as the Green Group Guest of the Week, Tygart participated in an expansive, candid, illuminating discussion on the transformation we should expect to see in the coming years as he and his crew take the regulatory reins.

“It's obviously a huge responsibility, but one that we're fully ready to embrace to learn the nuts and bolts of the industry that we don't know,” Tygart, who grew up near Ocala, said about USADA entering a new domain in racing. “We're honored to be part of it. We feel like it's a tremendous privilege. We recognize that we're going to have to work every day and every night to prove that we're the right organization for this. Cheating, honesty, ethics, and the rule of sport are the same across all sports. So while some might want to say there's a difference between equine anti-doping and medication control programs and what happens in humans, the mentality of cheating and trying to get an advantage against the rules, is the same. So we're really looking forward to putting in a gold standard program that people in the industry can have a lot of satisfaction and pride in, that it's being done at the highest levels, with an equal opportunity to win playing by the rules, which is all any athlete–whether you're a trainer, owner of a horse or a human athlete–can ask for.”

Tygart was invited to speak at the 2012 The Jockey Club Round Table, soon after the Armstrong scandal broke, where he was first introduced to the flimsy anti-doping rules that have proved so inefficient for the sport in America.

“I really started looking at the policies around anti-doping and medication control within the industry and they were just completely antiquated,” he recalled. “They were years behind what the human world, as well as the equine and Thoroughbred horse racing industry around the world had done as far as uniform policies. Other places don't have 38 different racing jurisdictions run by the states, with frequently conflicted people that have an interest in the outcome without transparency, without good quality testing, without laboratory accreditation that is uniform. It actually reminded me of, and I drew the comparison to, what the Olympic world looked like prior to us coming into existence. So having a uniform policy, where you can have confidence that when a horse runs in California, it's going to be running under the same rules and allowances and free of drugs as in Kentucky and in New York too, is going to be a game changer I think, right out of the gate.”

Tygart then explained in detail the process that USADA has put in place for human sports, which it will try to replicate in racing. He outlined two keys to its efficacy in particular: getting ahead of new drugs so that trainers can't just move from doping agent to doping agent before regulators catch up, and a tip line from affected parties in the industry.

“I think it's really important that we begin the education with the industry on this, and I always get the question,'Well, how's the testing going to be different?'” he said. “Just to look at testing is, again, an antiquated, old way of looking at modern anti-doping. How you professionalize and ensure that the athletes' rights and their health and safety are going to be protected, it has to start with education. That's going to be uniform, education about the rules across the country. It's going to have to have a research component involved to ensure that things that might not be tested for today in a robust way can be tested for. Any new drugs that are coming out that would tempt trainers or owners to give their horses, for example, are going to also be able to be detected. Then you also have to have a results management process, because we know the science is limited. It's a complex matrix looking at some of these drugs, some that are endogenous or natural to a human body or a horse body. So, distinguishing what's synthetic versus what's endogenous, is sometimes a difficult thing. You have to get that right from a scientific standpoint. That means you have to also have an investigative and an intelligence gathering model.

“We have a whistleblower line. We're the first to say it takes a team to be successful. So, make the call. Last year in our human world, we had close to 500 tips to our whistleblower line. We have a robust internal process where we investigate each and every one of those. When we direct tests off of that information, we have close to a 22% positivity return, clearly indicating that when the information comes in, it's handled appropriately, it leads to detection and that feeds what we're ultimately after, which is deterrence. We don't want people to cheat, but if it's too easy to get away with, and there's no consequence if you get caught, then people will take advantage of that. That's what we have to stop.”

Tygart undoubtedly faced an avalanche of institutional pushback from the cycling powers that be when he and USADA were working to uncover Armstrong's doping. He reportedly received death threats during the investigation and had to have additional security provided for him by the FBI. Asked about what kind of resistance he expects from people in racing, he said he has been encouraged by the industry's response thus far, and noted that there will be an adjustment period for those currently breaking the rules to fall in line.

“We've had a lot of interaction over the last eight-plus years with wonderful people in the industry, trainers, owners, breeders, all sides of it, who have asked really tough questions and really good questions, who have embraced the effort,” he said. “The deaths out in California, and then the indictments, I think created this perfect storm that finally loosened some of the entrenched positions, so I think we feel very good that the industry wants this to happen for the most part. There will obviously be those who like the status quo, because it's been very profitable for them. They're eventually going to either be weeded out, or change their behavior. They'll be given a fair opportunity. The rules will change and the enforcement is going to change, but you'll be given adequate time to change behavior in order to comply with those new rules and prove that you can win the right way.”

Elsewhere on Wednesday's podcast, the writers previewed a strong holiday weekend racing lineup. Then, in the West Point Thoroughbreds news segment, they analyzed the continuing positive handle trends and the passage of a historical horse racing reinstatement bill in the Kentucky Senate. Click here to watch the podcast; click here for the audio-only version.

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