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Belmont Partners With Keeneland For Saturday Cross Country Pick 5

Saturday's Cross Country Pick 5 will feature action from Belmont Park and Keeneland Race Course in a wager hosted by the New York Racing Association, Inc.

Live coverage will be available with America's Day at the Races on FOX Sports and MSG Networks. Free Equibase past performances for the Cross Country Pick 5 sequence are now available for download at https://www.nyra.com/belmont/racing/cross-country-wagers.

Keeneland will start the action in Race 7 at 4:24 p.m. Eastern with a maiden contest for juvenile fillies going seven furlongs. Willful Woman, a $400,000 purchase at the 2019 Fasig-Tipton New York Select Sale, has been training at Keeneland ahead of her anticipated debut for Hall of Fame trainer Steve Asmussen. Trainer Tom Amoss will send out a pair with Miss Dial and Wicked Bisou as part of a 12-horse field.

Belmont gets in on the action with the 80,000 Floral Park in Race 9 at 4:47 p.m. Graded stakes-winner Mitchell Road will get her first career test at Belmont when she competes as part of a full 13-horse field for fillies and mares 3-years-old and up contesting six furlongs on the Widener turf course. Trained by Hall of Famer Bill Mott, Mitchell Road enters off a runner-up effort in the Grade 3 Kentucky Downs Ladies on September 12. Rose Flower, a German bred who has gone 1-0-2 in four starts since arriving from Europe last year for trainer Christophe Clement, will look for class relief after running sixth in the Grade 3 Intercontinental on June 6 over a yielding Belmont turf.

Action will again alternate to Keeneland for the third leg in Race 8 at 4:57 p.m. when a full field of 12 3-year-olds and up will run at nine furlongs on the turf in an allowance tilt. Trainer Mike Maker will send out a pair in Temple and Apreciado. Conditioner Jack Sisterson will also saddle multiple graded-stakes placed Ritzy A.P., who will break from the inside post.

Belmont's second and final leg will be the card's 10th-race finale, where 10 New York-bred fillies and mares 3-years-old and up will compete over seven furlongs on Big Sandy at 5:20 p.m. Jc's Shooting Star, a stakes-winner who also bested allowance company on August 16 at Saratoga, drew the far outside post for trainer David Donk. Playtone, second in last year's Key Cents at Aqueduct Racetrack, will go for trainer George Weaver.

The Grade 2, $200,000 Raven Run in Keeneland's Race 9 at 5:30 p.m. will close the curtain on the Cross Country Pick 5, with 10 sophomore fillies vying for supremacy going seven furlongs on the main track in Race 9. Graded stakes-winners Venetian Harbor and Four Graces will look for additional blacktype in a race that could set up a spot in the Grade 1 Breeders' Cup Filly and Mare Sprint on November 7 at the same Lexington track. Nine of the field's entrants are either graded-placed or stakes winners.

Trained by Richard Baltas, Venetian Harbor won the Grade 2 Las Virgenes in February at Santa Anita Park and has run second in three straight graded stakes, falling just short to divisional leaders Swiss Skydiver, Speech and Gamine.

The minimum bet for the multi-track, multi-race wager is 50 cents. Wagering on the Cross Country Pick 5 is also available on ADW platforms and at simulcast facilities across the country. Every week will feature a mandatory payout of the net pool.

The Cross Country Pick 5 will continue each Saturday throughout the year. For more information, visit NYRABets.com.

Cross Country Pick 5 – Saturday, October 17:
Leg 1 – Keeneland, Race 7: (4:24 p.m.)
Leg 2 – Belmont, Race 9: Floral Park (4:47 p.m.)
Leg 3 – Keeneland, Race 8: (4:57 p.m.)
Leg 4 – Belmont, Race 10: (5:20 p.m.)
Leg 5 – Keeneland, Race 9: G2 Raven Run (5:30 p.m.)

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Economic Indicators: September Derby Bolsters Monthly Handle

Equibase, LLC released its monthly report on Economic Indicators in Thoroughbred Racing this Monday, Oct. 5. Due to the COVID-19 outbreak, Equibase is currently providing monthly reporting of its Economic Indicators Advisories. The Advisory is typically disseminated on a quarterly basis to provide key metrics used to measure racing's performance throughout the year.

The Kentucky Derby's delayed date on the first Saturday in September caused a significant wagering jump for the year-over-year comparisons to the same month in 2019, an increase of 29.64 percent. Churchill reported a significant decrease in Kentucky Derby day wagering, however, down nearly 50 percent compared to the race held on the first Saturday in May in 2019.

Churchill Downs attributed the decline in handle for this year's Derby Day program to the lack of on-track wagering, fewer horses per race including in the Kentucky Derby race, and a prohibitive favorite in the Derby.

Overall, wagering in 2020 is down just 2.86 percent through September, a jump from the difference of -6.20 percent reported at the end of August. Average daily wagering continues to show a positive trend as well, up 36.10 percent through the first nine months of 2020 compared to the first nine months of 2019.

September 2020 vs. September 2019
Indicator	September 2020	September 2019	% Change
Wagering on U.S. Races*	$1,039,737,336	$801,998,134	+29.64%
U.S. Purses	$110,251,841	$118,229,293	-6.75%
U.S. Race Days	365	412	-11.41%
U.S. Races	3,101	3,329	-6.85%
U.S. Starts	24,447	25,231	-3.11%
Average Field Size	7.88	7.58	+4.02%
Average Wagering Per Race Day	$2,848,595	$1,946,597	+46.34%
Average Purses Per Race Day	$302,060	$286,964	+5.26%

3rd QTR 2020 vs. 3rd QTR 2019
Indicator	3rd QTR 2020	3rd QTR 2019	% Change
Wagering on U.S. Races*	$3,293,292,589	$2,921,407,748	+12.73%
U.S. Purses	$305,013,587	$349,865,237	-12.82%
U.S. Race Days	1,208	1,411	-14.39%
U.S. Races	9,989	11,097	-9.98%
U.S. Starts	76,402	80,738	-5.37%
Average Field Size	7.65	7.28	+5.13%
Average Wagering Per Race Day	$2,726,236	$2,070,452	+31.67%
Average Purses Per Race Day	$252,495	$247,956	+1.83%

YTD 2020 vs. YTD 2019
Indicator	YTD 2020	YTD 2019	% Change
Wagering on U.S. Races*	$8,348,815,108	$8,594,182,019	-2.86%
U.S. Purses	$629,176,645	$893,867,369	-29.61%
U.S. Race Days	2,509	3,515	-28.62%
U.S. Races	20,895	28,554	-26.82%
U.S. Starts	164,476	210,977	-22.04%
Average Field Size	7.87	7.39	+6.53%
Average Wagering Per Race Day	$3,327,547	$2,445,002	+36.10%
Average Purses Per Race Day	$250,768	$254,301	-1.39%

* Includes worldwide commingled wagering on U.S. races.

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All Grade 1 Cross Country Pick 5 Features Free Equibase Past Performances

A Cross Country Pick 5 that encompasses five Grade 1 contests across Belmont Park and Keeneland Race Course will highlight exciting action on Saturday in a wager hosted by the New York Racing Association, Inc.

Top-caliber racing will start at Belmont in Race 7 at 4:03 p.m. Eastern with the $250,000 Joe Hirsch Turf Classic for 3-year-olds and up going 1 1/2 miles on the Widener course. Grade 1-winning multimillionaires Channel Maker and Sadler's Joy will face one another for the 15th time, while 2-1 morning-line favorite Rockemperor will look to build on a last-out third-place effort to stablemate Digital Age in the Grade 1 Old Forester Bourbon Turf Classic on September 5 at Churchill Downs. In his prior effort, he was second, beaten by a neck to stablemate Instilled Regard, in the Grade 1 Manhattan on July 4 at Belmont, earning a career-best 102 Beyer Speed Figure. New York-bred Cross Border, the winner of the Grade 2 Bowling Green on August 1 at Saratoga, also will contend in the seven-horse field.

Keeneland will host the first of its three races in the sequence with the $350,000 First Lady for fillies and mares 3-year-olds and up going one mile on the turf in Race 8 at 4:51 p.m. Trainer Chad Brown trains two of the field's six entrants for a race that is a “Win and You're In” qualifier to the Grade 1, $2 million Breeders' Cup Filly and Mare Turf on November 7 at the same track, saddling 2019 champion grass mare Uni and Newspaperofrecord, winner of the 2018 Breeders' Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf. Hall of Fame trainer D. Wayne Lukas will send out Crystal Lake, with the field also comprising Beau Recall, Dalika and Daddy Is a Legend.

Another Breeders' Cup qualifier will highlight the third leg back at Belmont, where a nine-horse field of sophomores will compete in the 71st running of the Grade 1, $250,000 Belmont Derby Invitational going 1 1/4 miles on the inner turf in Race 9 at 5:06 p.m. A spot in the Grade 1, $4 million Breeders' Cup Turf on November 7 will be on the line for a race that features the top-three finishers of the Saratoga Derby Invitational – Domestic Spending, Gufo and No Word – all returning for a rematch. The Brown-trained Domestic Spending, who outlasted the Christophe Clement-conditioned Gufo by a head in August, has three wins in four career starts. Other contenders include Mo Ready, South Bend, Pixelate, Venezuelan Hug, Moon Over Miami and Ajourneytofreedom.

Keeneland will conclude the wager with the final two legs, starting with the $400,000 Claiborne Breeders' Futurity for juveniles going 1 1/16 miles on the main track in Race 8 at 5:24 p.m. A spot in the Grade 1, $2 million Breeders' Cup Juvenile will be on the line, with Godolphin homebred Essential Quality, a winner on Kentucky Derby Day last month at Churchill Downs, headlining a nine-horse field. King Fury, trained by two-time Breeders' Futurity winner Kenny McPeek, was a 2 ¾ length debut winner going 1 1/16 miles on September 3.

The finale will be the $750,000 Shadwell Turf Mile for 3-year-olds and up in Race 10 at 5:57 p.m. Halladay, the winner of the Grade 1 Fourstardave this summer at Saratoga, will look for additional glory in a race that's an automatic qualifier to the Grade 1 Breeders' Cup Mile on November 7, though Halladay earned a spot in the race with his last-out victory. Other contenders looking to punch a return ticket to Keeneland include Grade 1-winners Bowies Hero and Raging Bull, as well as Group 1-victors in Without Parole [Great Britain] and Ivar [Brazil].

The Cross Country Pick 5 will continue each Saturday throughout the year. For more information, visit NYRABets.com.

Cross Country Pick 5 – Saturday, October 3:

Leg 1 – Belmont, Race 7: G1 Joe Hirsch Turf Classic (4:03 p.m.)
Leg 2 – Keeneland, Race 8: G1 First Lady (4:51 p.m.)
Leg 3 – Belmont, Race 9: G1 Belmont Derby Invitational (5:06 p.m.)
Leg 4 – Keeneland, Race 9: G1 Claiborne Breeders' Futurity (5:24 p.m.)
Leg 5 – Keeneland, Race 10: G1 Shadwell Turf Mile (5:57 p.m.)

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Equibase Analysis: Pneumatic, Art Collector Both Poised To Upset Preakness Stakes

Overview: Kentucky Derby upset winner Authentic returns in the Grade 1, $1 million Preakness Stakes, with Derby third place finisher Mr. Big News trying to improve his finish, as well as Max Player and Ny Traffic who finished fifth and eighth, respectively, in the race. Two horses that were expected to run in the Derby but did not, Art Collector and Thousand Words, appear to be legitimate challengers to the likely betting favorite. Art Collector won both the Grade 2 Blue Grass Stakes and Ellis Park Derby before a minor issue resulted in him passing the Derby. Thousand Words, who won the Shared Belief Stakes in August, briefly fell in the paddock before the Derby and had to withdraw. Other new shooters include the filly Swiss Skydiver, runner-up in the Grade 1 Kentucky Oaks last month. Another potential contender is Pneumatic, winner of the Pegasus Stakes in August. Liveyourbeastlife was competitive at the level when second in the Grade 2 Jim Dandy Stakes the first weekend of September, with Jesus' Team close behind in third in that race. Excession hasn't been seen since March but appears to fit as well off his second place finish in the Grade 2 Rebel Stakes in his most recent start. However, that race was more than six months ago.

Contender analysis: In spite of Authentic winning the Kentucky Derby rather easily and gamely by a length and three-quarters, I think an upset is brewing and the horse which is capable of that upset is Pneumatic. In recent history, the Derby winner has won four of the last 10 editions of the Preakness when they have run in the race. However, that means there have been six occasions the Derby winner has been beaten. I'll take those odds, particularly this year where the number of horses who didn't run in the Derby appear to be every bit as fast as the Derby winner. Pneumatic is the most lightly raced horse in the Preakness field and I think that gives him an edge.

Starting his career in February, Pneumatic won first out in a sprint and has continued to improve, mature, and run faster in each race since then. After stretching out to a mile in his second start in April, Pneumatic improved again when third in the Matt Winn Stakes and even when fourth in the Belmont Stakes in June took another step forward. His pattern of Equibase Speed Figures from his debut through the Belmont (90, 96, 98, 101) denotes a 3-year-old getting physically and mentally stronger with each and every race. Then, in the Pegasus Stakes in mid-August, Pneumatic took a drastic step forward to earn a 113 figure. Putting that figure in perspective, Authentic earned a 109 figure in the Derby while Swiss Skydiver earned the same 109 figure when runner-up in the Kentucky Oaks. Thousand Words' 107 figure in the Shared Belief and the 104 figure Art Collector earned in the Ellis Park Derby were both lower as compared to Pneumatic. Then there's the matter of this mile and three-sixteenths distance. Aside from the fact Swiss Skydiver won the Alabama Stakes and Authentic won the Kentucky Derby at the distance of one mile and one-quarter, no other horse has won at the distance. However, Pneumatic is by Uncle Mo, and per STATS Race Lens Uncle Mo has sired the most stakes race winners at distances from nine and one-half to 10 furlongs compared to all the other sires of Preakness entrants. Trained by North American leading trainer Steve Asmussen, who won the Preakness in 2007 (Curlin) and in 2009 (Rachel Alexandra), if Pneumatic continues to improve as it appears he should, he could win the Preakness at high odds.

Art Collector, who was likely to be the second betting choice behind Tiz the Law in the Derby, did not enter the race when sustaining a mild injury to his heel prior to the race. That might have been the best thing to happen to this immensely talented colt, as he's come back to put in three superb workouts. This suggests Art Collector is in the same top form he has demonstrated since returning from five and one-half months off in May and winning four straight races. After a dominant victory in the Blue Grass Stakes in July with a 102 figure, he ran even better in the Ellis Park Derby with a 104 figure. In both those races, Art Collector was drawing off at the end, suggesting he's a horse which should have no issues with the added sixteenth of a mile in the Preakness. Having the ability to win on the lead or from off the pace, Art Collector is likely to be in the thick of the action in the Preakness from the start and right down to the finish line.

Authentic has been nearly perfect in his career, winning five times and finishing second once. After taking the Haskell Stakes with a career-best 109 figure in July at one mile and one-eighth, Authentic repeated the effort with the same figure in the Derby while leading from start to finish. Considering his last four wins have been earned when leading from start to finish, there is some concern as to what will happen if other horses decide to contest him for the lead. Stablemate Thousand Words (also trained by Bob Baffert) led from start to finish in the Shared Belief Stakes last month and might try to battle for the lead in spite of Baffert's strategy to the contrary, particularly since he is adding blinkers. Art Collector, Ny Traffic and Swiss Skydiver could all be hot on Authentic's heels from the start as well. Still, his Derby effort was very good and any improvement off that race could make him a formidable opponent in the Preakness.

Swiss Skydiver will try to repeat the feat of another filly, Rachel Alexandra, who won the Preakness in 2009 after competing in the Kentucky Oaks. Rachel Alexandra won the Oaks, while Swiss Skydiver finished second in the race this year, but Swiss Skydiver ran the best race of her career in doing so, earning the same 109 figure Authentic did one day later winning the Derby. Prior to that, Swiss Skydiver won the 10 furlong Alabama Stakes in handy fashion and it's possible the return of a 19 day layoff may have been too quick of a turnaround. Rested four weeks this time, Swiss Skydiver has come back to put in two very strong workouts and I expect the filly to be very competitive in this race.

The rest of the Preakness Stakes field, with their best Equibase Speed Figures is Excession (100), Jesus' Team (109), Liveyourbeastlife (107), Mr. Big News (105), Max Player (105), Ny Traffic (109) and Thousand Words (107).

Win contenders:
Pneumatic
Art Collector
Swiss Skydiver
Authentic

Preakness Stakes – Grade 1
Race 11 at Pimlico
Saturday, Oct. 3 – Post Time 5:36 PM E.T.
One Mile and Three Sixteenths
For 3-Year-Olds
Purse: $1 Million
TV: NBC 4:30 – 6 PM ET

You can get Ellis' full card detailed analysis and betting recommendations for all the races at Pimlico on Preakness Stakes Day – Saturday, Oct. 3 at Equibase.com, TrackMaster.com and most online wagering sites.

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