Problems Persist with Gmax Timing System

Despite a press release in late August from Equibase in which the company announced it would be conducting an “extensive analysis” of its Gmax timing system, the technology has continued to produce a number of inaccurate times at the racetracks it services.

The TDN has found recent examples from Del Mar, Tampa Bay Downs and Penn National that show there were problems with the Gmax timing of the races. Gmax, which is operated in the U.S. by Equibase, relies on Global Positioning System (GPS) to record times, as well as providing additional information such as the running order of a race.

Equibase issued the press release after the TDN and other media outlets reported on a series of problems with the timing system since it was first introduced to American racing in 2018 and subsequently suffered a number of timing issues during this year’s Del Mar summer meet. Starting with the Aug. 2 card, Del Mar took the unusual step of relying not on Gmax, but on hand times, for all its grass races through the remainder of the meet.

The more recent problems were particularly pronounced during the early days of the meet at Tampa Bay Downs, where the Gmax system is being used for the first time. The chart for the first race on opening day, Nov. 25, notes that the race was hand-timed. During the running of the first three races of the day, no fractional or final times were posted on the toteboard as the races were being run.

After an uneventful day Nov. 27, the second day of the Tampa meet, there were several problems Nov. 28. The charts of five of the 10 races on the card noted that the races were hand-timed. In some of the races, no times were posted on the toteboard or through the simulcast feed while the races were being run. In others, the times listed were clearly incorrect. In the fifth race, the opening quarter time was posted as 33.81. In the sixth race, after the horses crossed the wire a time of 1:29.94 was listed for the quarter-time. In the seventh, the quarter-time was posted as 1:04.39 and the final time for the six furlong race went up as 1:10.71. In the official race chart, the running time is listed as 1:11.70, nearly a full second off the Gmax time originally posted on the toteboard.

Tampa Bay Downs President Pete Berube told the TDN that some of the problems with the posting of inaccurate fractional and final times were the result of errors being made by an outside vendor contracted to handle Tampa’s television graphics package. Berube added that he had not lost faith in the Gmax system.

“I am very confident with the times,” he said. “I know there has been a lot of talk about timings and things like that from the speed figure guys and I certainly appreciate that. But I am very pleased that Equibase is doing the video control with the timing to make sure we are putting out correct times because I know how important they are to the bettors.”

Over the Aug. 1-2 weekend, the original times of seven races at Del Mar were updated in the final chart. The altered times came in both turf and dirt races and the differences were as small as 0.07 seconds and as big as 1.19 seconds. Addressing the problems after the meet concluded, Del Mar officials announced that they had re-surveyed the turf course to “enhance timing and tracking accuracy with the state-of-the-art GPS system.” There was no mention of correcting problems with the timing for dirt races.

Speaking to the California Horse Racing Board in September, Del Mar President Josh Rubinstein told the regulators that the track would not have to rely on hand timing for the Bing Crosby meet because problems with the Gmax system had been corrected.

But the official charts for five races run at the Bing Crosby meet list that they were hand-timed. Two of the races were run on the dirt and three were turf races. Asked by the TDN to address the five hand-timed races, Rubinstein pointed to extenuating circumstances that led to the problems. Some of the problems, Rubinstein said, involved miscalculating how far the run-up distance prior to the start was and how far out the rails were on the turf course.

There were a handful of additional problems during the meet. Over the three-day span beginning Nov. 20, there were at least four races where Gmax times that went up on the toteboard while the race were being run were changed in the final chart.

Equibase President and COO Jason Wilson said there were issues with “probably 10 races” at the Del Mar fall meet.

Despite the problems with Gmax, Rubinstein said he remains a fan of the system.

“Del Mar continues to believe in the platform and GPS technology for timing and tracking” he wrote in an e-mail  “We’re working with Gmax and Equibase to provide the most accurate information possible.”

During November, there were numerous occasions at Penn National where the Gmax time was later corrected, with an adjusted time going into the official charts. On the night of Nov. 13 alone, the were seven races in which the final Gmax time was adjusted before going into the official chart.

Chris McErlean, the vice president of racing for Penn National Gaming, referred Gmax questions to Wilson.

Among the first to discover that there were problems with Gmax, the team that puts together the Beyer figures stopped using the Gmax times when making their numbers. Instead, they used a computer program that, they said, allows them to get accurate times by watching the replays. Wilson said that Equibase is now relying on a similar video timing program whenever it comes to their attention that a Gmax time may be inaccurate. By doing so, it appears that Equibase has been able to catch most of the mistakes and correct them before they become a permanent part of the charts and a horse’s past performance lines. But Wilson admitted that it would be preferable for there to be fewer mistakes in the first place.

“We use video timing as a way to check for races where there needs to be some investigation as to whether a time is good or not,” he said. “We will go in and review those races and make changes as we need to. People have probably seen some of that. I think we need to work on how we communicate those changes to people. A lot of this is growing pains and, unfortunately, it has been a bit more painful than we thought it was going to be. We are getting there. Obviously, video timing every single race is not, in the long term, sustainable. It’s just not a good use of resources.”

Gmax was developed by the British company Total Performance Data. In an Oct. 11, 2018, press release, Equibase first announced its partnership with Total Performance Data and that Gmax had been installed at Woodbine, Golden Gate Fields, Laurel and Pimlico. Gmax was being touted as an efficient and inexpensive timing system that could not only time races but provide tracks with such things as automated charts and dynamic video graphics. The problems began at the outset. Theracingbiz.com website reported that during a four-month period at Laurel beginning in Feb. 2019, 10 track records were set at Laurel and that it was later found that in all 10 cases the Gmax time was faster than the time recorded by traditional timing methods.

Wilson said that Equibase realized early on that an effort was needed to continually improve the system.

“When we went into this project, we didn’t necessarily look at it that we were buying something off the shelf, had to install it and that was that,” he said. “We definitely looked at it from a standpoint of how can we make the overall environment better and bring in more research and development. It’s not just times. It is information in general. How do we improve on that and make it better for everybody?”

That 21 months have passed since the first signs of problems at Laurel and Gmax is still creating a number of inaccurately timed races has raised questions as to whether or not Gmax will ever work properly and whether or not GPS is a good means of measuring time. In the meantime, other sports where timing is part of the equation have made great strides in their timing methods. The times for Olympic events are now so accurate that races can be measured at one-millionth of a second. Gmax times have been known to be off by as much as a full second.

Wilson said that tests have shown that Gmax is getting better all the time and he listed a number of steps Equibase has taken to improve the technology. Wilson acknowledges that the goal should be for the Gmax times to be so reliable and so accurate that they no longer come under question. He said he was confident that day would come.

“We are in the business of continuous improvement,” he said. “We don’t want to have to check the times with video timing going forward. We want to be to the point where we don’t have to go and check those times because we are confident they are accurate to, say, a tenth of a second 99% of the time.”

Editor’s note: Barry Weisbord, the founder and former publisher of the TDN, is the Chairman of Trakus, a competing timing and tracking system. 

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Economic Indicators: Average Daily Handle Continues To Show Increases

Equibase, LLC released its monthly report on Economic Indicators in Thoroughbred Racing this Friday, Dec. 4.

Due to the COVID-19 outbreak, Equibase is currently providing monthly reporting of its Economic Indicators Advisories. The Advisory is typically disseminated on a quarterly basis to provide key metrics used to measure racing's performance throughout the year.

The Breeders' Cup was held during the first weekend of November at Keeneland, but handle was down eight percent from the record set in 2019. The total handle for the month of November was down 6.33 percent in 2020 versus the same month in 2019.

Overall, wagering in 2020 is down 1.48 percent through November, and average daily wagering continues to show a positive trend as well, up 33.78 percent through the first 11 months of 2020 compared to the first 11 months of 2019.

Average field size is up to 7.91 starters per race in 2020, compared to 7.49 in 2019, while the total number of races run is down 24.52 percent through November.

November 2020 vs. November 2019
Indicator November 2020 November 2019 % Change
Wagering on U.S. Races* $895,325,220 $955,843,009 -6.33%
U.S. Purses $92,058,080 $115,756,315 -20.47%
U.S. Race Days 224 324 -30.86%
U.S. Races 1,945 2,730 -28.75%
U.S. Starts 16,236 21,839 -25.66%
Average Field Size 8.35 8.00 +4.35%
Average Wagering Per Race Day $3,996,988 $2,950,133 +35.49%
Average Purses Per Race Day $410,974 $357,273 +15.03%
YTD 2020 vs. YTD 2019
Indicator YTD 2020 YTD 2019 % Change
Wagering on U.S. Races* $10,173,203,539 $10,326,096,192 -1.48%
U.S. Purses $812,146,506 $1,101,605,086 -26.28%
U.S. Race Days 3,073 4,173 -26.36%
U.S. Races 25,692 34,038 -24.52%
U.S. Starts 203,122 254,992 -20.34%
Average Field Size 7.91 7.49 +5.54%
Average Wagering Per Race Day $3,310,512 $2,474,502 +33.78%
Average Purses Per Race Day $264,285 $263,984 +0.11%

* Includes worldwide commingled wagering on U.S. races.

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The Jockey Club Commends Gulfstream Park For Eliminating Post Time Drag

The Jockey Club commends Gulfstream Park in Hallandale Beach, Fla. for committing to run races at their scheduled post times during the track's Championship Meet, which began Dec. 2, 2020. Not only does post time drag frustrate bettors, but it also has a negative impact on handle.

At the 2017 Round Table Conference on Matters Pertaining to Racing, Ben Vonwiller of McKinsey & Company spoke on the importance of race scheduling among different racetracks to maximize total handle. According to McKinsey's models, a more synchronized race schedule could lead to an annual handle increase of $400 million across the United States.

“Our question was, 'Do the preconditions for schedule optimization exist in racing and can applying scheduling analytics really drive value?' We left that exercise with real conviction that the answer is yes.”

In response to these findings, Equibase established a scheduling office to assist tracks in communicating to each other about their post times to minimize overlap. Through a scheduling hub, tracks submit their proposed off-times, and Equibase suggests changes based on a tool developed by McKinsey & Company. On race day, any changes to post times can be communicated to other tracks. The Jockey Club encourages racetracks to participate in this service for the benefit of the horseplayer and of the racing industry.

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Equibase Analysis: Performer Appears Ready For Spotlight In Cigar Mile

This Saturday's Grade 1, $250,000 Cigar Mile Handicap drew a field of nine and will likely be run on a wet racetrack given the weather forecast near Aqueduct.

  • Among the nine, five are millionaires, led by Firenze Fire ($2.2 million), who won the Grade 1 Vosburgh Invitational Stakes in September. However, Firenze Fire has only won once on a wet track in five races and finished 11th and fourth in his last two stakes on the type of surface he's likely to be running over in the Cigar Mile.
  • Another millionaire is Snapper Sinclair ($1.3 million), who moves back to the main track after a pair of in-the-money finishes on turf including a second place in the Tourist Mile this past summer.
  • Mr. Buff is a horse who likes to lead early, resulting in 15 wins in 40 starts and $1.2 million in the bank. He has a liking for off tracks with three wins but nearly all of his 15 career wins have been racked up against New York breds only and he finished fifth in his two tries in graded stakes this year.
  • Mind Control ($1 million) put together three straight graded stakes wins from August 2019 through March of this year including the Grade 3 Tom Fool Stakes at Aqueduct but hasn't threatened to win in five races since then, two of those over sloppy tracks.
  • Similarly, True Timber ($1 million) has now gone winless in 13 races since September of 2018 although he did finish third in the Grade 1 Forego Stakes in August over a sloppy track.
  • Majestic Dunhill won the Grade 3 Bold Ruler Handicap in October and returns on five days rest following a seventh place effort in the Grade 3 Fall Highweight Handicap last Sunday.
  • Three-year-old King Guillermo won the Grade 2 Tampa Bay Derby in March before a second place finish in the Grade 1 Arkansas Derby in May and makes his return to the races in the Cigar Mile.
  • Bon Raison has won 11 of 44 races but has never won a stakes race.
  • Last but certainly not least is Performer, who has won five races in a row going back to June, 2019, including the Grade 3 Discovery Stakes in November of 2019, before a win in October following 11 months off.

Performer lost the first start of his career in November, 2018 and has not lost a race since. Moving straight through his first two allowance conditions in the summer of 2019, Performer improved to earn 105 and 106 Equibase Speed Figures before a new career-best figure in November of last year when victorious in the Discovery Stakes at Aqueduct. Rested for 11 months, Performer returned as if he had never been away to win a classified allowance race in mid-October with a 109 figure effort. Joel Rosario has been aboard for every race since the debut, all wins, and rides again. With the ground saving rail and the ability to take up a stalking spot from the start behind likely early leader Mr. Buff, and with logical improvement off his comeback effort in October, Performer should be very tough to beat in this year's Cigar Mile Handicap.

King Guillermo proved his 49-1 upset win in the Tampa Bay Derby was no fluke when clearly second in the Arkansas Derby on what would have otherwise been Kentucky Derby day in May. Although regressing a bit to a 101 figure in the Arkansas Derby from the 110 earned in the Tampa Bay Derby, King Guillermo proved he belongs in top company. Rested since May, King Guillermo put in a very strong pair of half-mile drills at his home base in south Florida, the first of the two the best of 59 on the day and the second the best of 38, suggesting he may be able to do what Performer did in his recent comeback off a long layoff, and that is run as if he had never been away at all.

Snapper Sinclair has more second place finishes (six) than wins (five) in his career but he is competitive quite often and may be the one finishing fastest of all in the Cigar Mile. Snapper Sinclair ran well when second in the Essex Mile Handicap in March on a sloppy track with a 107 figure, similarly missing by a head on a muddy track in the Fifth Season Stakes in January with the same figure. This fall, Snapper Sinclair has run even better, earning a 114 figure when second (beaten three-quarters of a length) in the Tourist Mile Stakes. That race was on turf, but having run so well on dirt earlier this year, I think Snapper Sinclair could get a big piece in this race in his current form.

The rest of the field, with their best Equibase Speed Figures, is Bon Raison (116), Firenze Fire (111), Mr. Buff (119), Majestic Dunhill (112), Mind Control (113) and True Timber (113).

Win Contenders, in preference order:
Performer
King Guillermo
Snapper Sinclair

Cigar Mile Handicap – Grade 1
Race 10 at Aqueduct
Saturday, Dec. 5 – Post Time 4:13 PM E.T.
One Mile
Three Years Olds and Upward
Purse: $250,000

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