The Week in Review: With Eclipse Ballots Mailed Out in Mid-December, Was Taiba at Disadvantage?

Eclipse Award ballots were sent out electronically to voters on Dec. 12, with 19 days remaining on the calendar in 2022. That's how it's done. The ballot always lands in your in-box with a few weeks to go in the year.

In a normal year, that's not a problem.  Come mid-December there are only a handful of major races left on the calendar and most Eclipse races have been wrapped up by then.

But that wasn't the case in 2022. The GI Runhappy Malibu S. at Santa Anita turned into a race that voters had to pay attention to. It included Taiba (Gun Runner) and a win by him in the Dec. 26 race was something a conscientious voter had to consider before casting his or her vote.

Taiba won the Malibu, giving him three Grade I wins on the year and two more than his main competition for the 3-year-old championship, Epicenter (Not This Time). Prepared to vote for Epicenter, I changed my mind after the Malibu and voted for Taiba.

I did the right thing–I waited. But did everybody? And are there voters out there who would have voted for Taiba and not Epicenter had they waited. Might this cost Taiba the Eclipse Award?

This is a problem, but it's one that is completely avoidable.

When you receive your ballot, the subject of the late-year races at Santa Anita is addressed.

“It is strongly encouraged that you consider waiting to vote until after the conclusion of the Grade I races Dec. 26 at Santa Anita Park, which are the Malibu S., the La Brea S. and the American Oaks,” voters are told. Votes can be received as late as Jan. 3.

All that helps, buy why give voters and option to cast their ballots before the year is over?

According to publicist Jim Gluckson, it's not yet known how many people voted in 2022 before the Malibu. In 2021, 13 votes came in before the Dec. 26 races at Santa Anita. In 2020, it was only seven.

That's good news and shows that people are being careful, but even seven votes or 13 votes is seven or 13 too many when you consider how close the Epicenter-Taiba vote is likely to be. The fix is obvious. Do not accept any votes until Jan. 1 and then give voters an extra five or six days beyond Jan. 3 to get their votes in. What's the hurry? Get it right.

Todd Vs. Chad

In the same column where I threw my support behind Taiba for the 3-year-old championship, I wrote that Todd Pletcher was the “obvious” choice for the Eclipse Award for leading trainer. Steve Laymon, the co-owner of GI Breeders' Cup Filly & Mare Sprint winner and Chad Brown-trainee Goodnight Olive (Ghostzapper), emailed to say he thought that Pletcher was anything but a no-brainer for the award and that Brown deserved consideration. He's right.

In several relevant categories, Brown's numbers are better than Pletcher's. He had more winners (244-223), more stakes winners (51-36) and more Grade I winners (18-17). Brown's stable had earnings of $31,057,362, while Pletcher bankrolled $30,482,937. Brown won with 26% of his starters, while Pletcher won with 22%.

Nonetheless, I still feel Pletcher deserves the title, based largely on the fact that he will have trained three champions in 2022 in Nest (Curlin), Malathaat (Curlin) and Forte (Violence). That's a phenomenal, Eclipse Award-worthy feat. Goodnight Olive will be the champion and a Brown-trained horse may win in the filly and mare turf category. At best, he can get two. Pletcher also deserves a lot of points for finishing one-two in the GI Belmont S.

Two great trainers and two great years. But the edge goes to Pletcher.

Has Gmax Fixed All the Bugs?

It was announced last week that Trakus, which debuted in 2006, is shutting down. The company that operated the timing and tracking system revealed that it was losing money and that the time had come to pull the plug. Trakus went a long way toward bringing the timing of races out of the dark ages and it will be missed.

But perhaps the biggest issue is that, with Trakus no longer an option, more and more tracks will convert to Gmax. Gmax is the timing system that is operated by Equibase, a subsidiary of The Jockey Club, and competed with Trakus for business. That could be a problem.

Since Gmax came on the scene in 2018, it has been plagued by problems and there have been numerous instances at several tracks where the final times of races were inaccurate. In a sport where bettors rely heavily on how fast races were run and speed figures that is unacceptable. Worse yet, it was inconceivable that in 2022 and with all the technology out there, horse racing couldn't figure out a way to accurately time its races.

Fortunately, it appears that Equibase has figured out how to solve what had been the most pressing issue, getting the times right when it comes to the final time of a race. Randy Moss, whose many duties in the industry include his work with the Beyer speed figure team, has been an outspoken critic of Gmax and has pressed The Jockey Club to fix what has been broken. Moss said that the Gmax timing system now includes a wireless beam that is used in conjunction with the GPS technology to record the final times. The new system is working, and Moss said he no longer finds any serious problems when it comes to getting the final times of the races right at Gmax tracks.

However, according to Moss, The Jockey Club has yet to address the issue of fractional times. He says that inaccuracies in this area are still a frequent problem.

“We've seen many races where the fractions are off by two-fifths or three-fifths of a second,” he said. “There is a difference between :21.80 and :22.15. To handicappers, that's a big difference. Some fractions are reasonably accurate and it varies from race to race. But it is a problem.”

Moss said that the reported fractions in the 2021 GI Breeders' Cup Distaff and the GI Breeders' Cup Classic, run at Del Mar and timed with Gmax, were not correct.

“At Del Mar for the Breeders' Cup, they had converted to the hybrid beams, so the final times were good,” he said. “At the same time, some of the fractional times were not. Remember how incredibly fast the fractions were for the Distaff? They were off by two to three-fifths of a second. The pace was still extremely fast, but it wasn't as fast as the posted times. The same thing with the Classic. People were wondering how Knicks Go could run that fast and still hang on. He didn't run as fast as the fractional times that were posted.”

Moss said he has been told that The Jockey Club is aware of the problem and is experimenting with using wireless beams to record fractional times. That would be a needed step in the right direction and can't happen soon enough.

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TDN’s NTWAB Members Cast Eclipse Votes

With the 52nd Annual Eclipse Awards in Palm Beach, Fla. less than a month away, the votes will be cast by the media and other important officials until Jan. 3, as Thoroughbred racing aims to honor its best.

The Thoroughbred Daily News Staff that are members of the National Turf Writers and Broadcasters (NTWAB) submitted their selections this week and here is a rundown of the results from some of the categories, along with their 'strongest vote.'

Bill
Horse of the Year: Flightline
3-Year-Old Male: Taiba
3-Year-Old Filly: Nest
2-Year-Old Male: Forte
Male Sprinter: Elite Power
Female Turf Horse: Regal Glory
Older Dirt Female: Malathaat
Owner: Godolphin
Breeder: Godolphin
Trainer: Todd Pletcher
Strongest Vote: Epicenter is a deserving champ, but with Taiba having three Grade I wins to Epicenter's one, I went for Taiba in the 3-year-old male division.

Alan
Horse of the Year: Flightline
3-Year-Old Male: Epicenter
3-Year-Old Filly: Nest
2-Year-Old Male: Forte
Male Sprinter: Jackie's Warrior
Female Turf Horse: Regal Glory
Older Dirt Female: Malathaat
Owner: Godolphin
Breeder: Godolphin
Trainer: Chad Brown
Strongest Vote: Though she stubbed her toe against the boys and even with a head-to-head defeat to her commonly owned stablemate In Italian, Regal Glory gets the slight nod for three very strong top-level scores in 2022.

Christina
Horse of the Year: Flightline
3-Year-Old Male: Epicenter
3-Year-Old Filly: Nest
2-Year-Old Male: Forte
Male Sprinter: Elite Power
Female Turf Horse: In Italian
Older Dirt Female: Malathaat
Owner: Godolphin
Breeder: Godolphin
Trainer: Todd Pletcher
Strongest Vote: Looking at this year's Eclipse voting, TAP holds a strong hand with both fillies and colts, horses of varying ages and across several divisions. In my opinion, he is dominance personified.

Sara
Horse of the Year: Flightline
3-Year-Old Male: Epicenter
3-Year-Old Filly: Nest
2-Year-Old Male: Forte
Male Sprinter: Jackie's Warrior
Female Turf Horse: Regal Glory
Older Dirt Female: Malathaat
Owner: Godolphin
Breeder: Godolphin
Trainer: Todd Pletcher
Strongest Vote: Malathaat is my top pick this year. She not only continued the momentum from her season as a champion 3-year-old, but built upon that success with an ultra-impressive blend of tenacity and heart, topped by a breathtaking performance in the GI Breeders' Cup Distaff.

J.N.
Horse of the Year: Flightline
3-Year-Old Male: Modern Games (Ire)
3-Year-Old Filly: Nest
2-Year-Old Male: Forte
Male Sprinter: Cody's Wish
Female Turf Horse: Regal Glory
Older Dirt Female: Malathaat
Owner: Hronis Racing, Siena Farm, Summer Wind Equine, West Point Thoroughbreds
Breeder: Summer Wind Equine
Trainer: John Sadler
Strongest Vote: It was Flightline and Co.'s year, but lest we forget that Modern Games won a pair of Grade Is in North America against older (which included the Breeders' Cup Mile), which tells me this turf horse earned the bob in the hotly contested 3-year-old male division.

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John Deere, Keeneland, Jockey Club, Are Eclipse Presenting Sponsors

John Deere, Keeneland, and The Jockey Club will be presenting sponsors of the 52nd Annual Eclipse Awards, honoring Thoroughbred racing's champions of 2022, to be held Thursday, Jan. 26, 2023, at The Breakers Palm Beach, the National Thoroughbred Racing Association announced Wednesday.

“We are grateful to John Deere, Keeneland, and The Jockey Club for their partnership in serving as this year's presenting sponsors for the Eclipse Awards,” said Tom Rooney, President and CEO of the NTRA. “We're very excited to welcome the Thoroughbred industry to The Breakers to celebrate the best of the best of this year's finalists. This event would not be possible without our presenting sponsors or our large number of official partners, and we are very appreciative for their support.”

In addition to the presenting sponsors, many other organizations have pledged their support and are serving as official partners of the event. Official Partners for the event include 1/ST, Breeders' Cup, Churchill Downs Incorporated, Daily Racing Form, Dean Dorton Equine, Del Mar Thoroughbred Club, EquinEdge, FanDuel, Four Roses, Florida Thoroughbred Horsemen's Association, Florida Thoroughbred Breeders and Owners Association, Hallway Feeds, Jackson Family Wines, Monmouth Park, The New York Racing Association, Oaklawn Park, Palm Beach Kennel Club and Poker Room, Racetrack Television Network, Rood and Riddle, Thoroughbred Owners and Breeders Association, and the Thoroughbred Owners of California.

 

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Class of 2017: Grading the Rising Stars

Each year, the team at the TDN designates horses early in their career who display enough promise to become an eventual graded-stakes winner. In 2017, a total of 80 horses racing on North American soil received the honor, but how many actually went on to achieve success?

The class is led by the achievements of its lone Eclipse Award winner, 2020 champion turf female Rushing Fall (More Than Ready). A 2-year-old in 2017, the half-sister to SW & MGSP Milam (Street Sense) earned her tag with a half-length defeat of fellow 2017 'Rising Star' classmate Daddy Is A Legend (Scat Daddy) at Belmont Park. Two starts later she would take the GI Breeders' Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf and take the second-most votes behind Caledonia Road (Quality Road) to be champion 2-year-old filly. Rushing Fall raced only four time as a 3-year-old but earned 3 wins and a second, capping her season off with a score in the GI Queen Elizabeth II Challenge Cup S. She added two more wins at the highest level as a 4-year-old in 2019 before retiring as a 5-year-old with an impressive final record of 15-11-3-0, six of those being grade ones in four consecutive years, and earnings of $2,893,000. Rushing Fall was purchased by M.V Magnier's Coolmore connections for $5.5 million out of the 2020 Fasig-Tipton Night of the Stars sale.

The most successful colt of the 2017 'Rising Star' class, Mckinzie (Street Sense) didn't debut until late in his 2-year-old year, taking a maiden special weight event at Santa Anita in late October before immediately making an impact with a win via disqualification over future MGISP Solomini (Curlin) in the GI Los Alamitos Cash Call Futurity. Though he missed the Triple Crown series as a 3-year-old, McKinzie returned in the fall of 2018 to take the GI Pennsylvania Derby and would finish the year with a win in the GI Malibu S. He would put up one more grade-one win in the 2019 Whitney S. before finishing his career in the fall of 2020 with a record of 18-8-6-0 and earnings of $3,473,360. McKinzie now stands at Gainesway and had his first weanling sell at this year's Keeneland November Sale.

Four more members of the class won multiple times at the grade-one level: Paradise Woods (Union Rags), current WinStar Farm stallion Yoshida (Jpn) (Heart's Cry {Jpn}), Separationofpowers (Candy Ride {Arg}), and Moonshine Memories (Malibu Moon). Six other 'Rising Stars' of 2017 would go on to win once against grade-one company: Battle of Midway (Smart Strike), current Hill 'n' Dale Farms stallion Army Mule (Friesan Fire), Pavel (Creative Cause), Lady Ivanka (Tiz Wondeful), Mia Mischief (Into Mischief), and Sporting Chance (Tiznow).

Several notable horses, while not grade-one winners, would place at the level multiple times. Perhaps most notably is 2018 Canadian Horse of the Year and 2017 Canadian champion 2-year-old Wonder Gadot (Medaglia d'Oro) who took both the Queen's Plate S. and the Prince of Wales S. as part of the Canadian Triple Crown following a second-place finish to dual Eclipse Award winner Monomoy Girl (Tapizar) in the GI Longines Kentucky Oaks. She would be purchased for $2,000,000 by Japan's KI Farm at the 2020 Fasig-Tipton Night of the Stars Sale.

The aforementioned Daddy Is A Legend would hit the board twice in grade-one company behind both Rushing Fall and 2019 champion turf female Uni (GB) (More Than Ready).

There were 16 'Rising Stars' in 2017 who would go on to achieve success in grade two or three events–led by millionaire and current Spendthrift Farm stallion Coal Front (Stay Thirsty).

In total, 28/80 horses who received the 'Rising Star' honor in 2017 would win a graded-stakes race, or 35%. By including those horses that placed in graded events, that number jumps to 49/80, of 61%. An additional nine horses would win at the stakes level and five would be stakes placed. Of the 80, only 17 failed to earn black type in their careers.

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