How Goddess Channels Value and Viability

Once again, the Breeders' Cup reminds us how our whole business hinges on a delicate equilibrium. On the one hand, we need the kind of big plays made on barnmates Gamine (Into Mischief) and Corniche (Quality Road), who changed hands for $1.8 million and $1.5 million respectively, to come off sufficiently to keep the big spenders in the game. But we also need those Goliaths to be humbled, from time to time, by a little guy with a sling. If the Derby were won by a sale-topper every year, the pyramid of bloodstock values would not be vindicated; it would collapse. Because it's vital that every dreamer, at every level, feels he or she has some kind of chance.

We saw that in Wednesday's TDN, with the man who bred four of the best juveniles of the crop from mares that cost a total $32,400. Seeing that, perhaps the bigger farms will ask themselves whether their expensive quest for perfection will sometimes contain the seeds of its own undoing. It's a tough world out there, for the horses we breed, maybe we place such a premium on aristocratic glamor–breeding, elegance, every comfort in upbringing–that we risk introducing an element of delicacy or daintiness.

A still more uncomfortable challenge, however, is offered to those talent spotters who spend big for wealthy patrons. I have often heard horsemen anxiously complaining that they need to find an owner for a lovely horse that cost too little to be offered a client who has set a much higher budget: “They'll only ask why nobody else wanted it.” But the fact is that nobody “discovers” an oil painting with a stallion's page. With those, it just comes down to how deep prospectors are prepared to dig the glaringly obvious seam. Yet how few of those guys stick around for the dregs of a sale, ready to back their judgement on a diamond in the rough.

You might attribute that to a want of diligence or patience. But I would sooner put it down to a want of nerve. Arguably it takes more courage, more self-belief, to offer a tycoon a cheap horse from the second week of the September sale than it does to buy a seven-figure knockout in Book I.

That's why I doff my cap to the man who bought Gamine, Donato Lanni. He has deservedly assembled some pretty powerful clients over the years, having applied lore absorbed from John T.L. Jones to long associations with John Sikura and lately Bob Baffert, his resumé decorated by three winners of the Breeders' Cup Classic in Authentic (Into Mischief), Arrogate (Unbridled's Song) and Bayern (Offlee Wild). But the man who bought Gamine can also be credited with one of the great bargains in this year's Breeders' Cup cast, GI Maker's Mark Filly and Mare Turf favorite War Like Goddess (English Channel).

Aptly enough, he bought this filly–for $30,000 at OBS June–for the client who got him started, George Krikorian, who allowed Lanni to roll the dice on a $35,000 yearling filly by Dynaformer in 1999. She became millionaire and multiple Grade I winner Starrer; and War Like Goddess is threatening to bring things full circle, having won for the sixth time in seven starts on her Grade I debut in the Flower Bowl S.

This is one of those horses that have left a bunch of people standing on the riverbank, looking forlornly at the vacant hook at the end of their line and lamenting the one that got away.

Bred by Calumet, home to her chronically undervalued sire, she was first sold as a weanling for just $1,200 deep in the Keeneland November Sale of 2017 to Falcon L&L Stables / Lawrence Hobson. She was offered in the same ring the following September but was sent back as a $1,000 RNA, and resurfaced at OBS June for Hemingway Racing & Training Stable, breezing in :10 2/5. Step forward Lanni, with HND Bloodstock, to improve her value to $30,000.

The agent has described his curiosity on finding this “big, lanky” staying type in a sale like this. He felt she just needed time–and an owner who would give her just that. Krikorian was the very man, and Bill Mott the trainer to match. Sure enough, War Like Goddess did not resurface until September the following year, but she has barely looked back since.

There will be people similarly reproaching themselves over the odyssey of her dam, Misty North (North Light {Ire}), winner of a maiden claimer at Golden Gate Fields in 11 starts for breeder Judy B. Hicks after being retained as a $10,000 yearling. Calumet picked her up for $30,000 on retirement, carrying a first foal by Cape Blanco (Ire) who never made the track, and covered her with Red Rocks (Ire). The resulting yearling made just $2,000 before winning a series of claimers, but her next foal is War Like Goddess, who remained unraced when Calumet culled Misty North carrying a Bal a Bali (Brz) colt at the Keeneland November Sale two years ago. (They had tried to do so at the same auction the previous year, but she failed to generate a single bid.)

Misty North–who was still only nine–was bought for $1,000 by Charles Yochum, who took her home to his ranch in Texas. The other investor who has doubtless followed the rise of War Like Goddess with astonishment is Matt Ferris, who purchased Misty North's weanling filly by Red Rocks for $5,000 in the same catalog.

However those particular investments have played out, now that they respectively concern the dam and half-sister of a Breeders' Cup favorite, they reiterate our opening premise. We all need to feel we have a shot.

In view of the family's commercial struggles to this point, it's worth raising a couple points about the things missed by everybody bar Lanni.

The first is a fairly poignant one. Because War Like Goddess probably needs to replicate her racetrack excellence in her next career to preserve any kind of legacy for her damsire, who won the 2004 Derby for one of Europe's premier cultivators of Classic blood at the time, Ballymacoll Stud, before being imported by Adena Springs.

We must wait and see whether North Light will prove the last Epsom Derby winner retired to Kentucky–a profoundly depressing prospect, when you think of the breed-shaping impact here of so many predecessors, from the inaugural winner Diomed to Blenheim to Roberto, but very possible given the antipathy of the U.S. commercial market today to turf stallions (never mind staying turf stallions). But North Light certainly proved incompetent to stem that tide, even though access to his sire, the great international influence Danehill, had been a rarity in Kentucky. A peripatetic career that also took in Ontario, a return to Newmarket and California evidently drew unsustainably on a dam who, while a Group 1 winner herself, had achieved that distinction over a distance (two and a half miles!) unfathomable to the American commercial market.

Granted the pedestrian production record of her granddam, an unraced daughter of Victory Gallop, perhaps something has filtered through to War Like Goddess from third dam Romanette, a daughter of Alleged and Laughing Bridge (Hilarious), who completed the Schuylerville-Adirondack double in 1974. Romanette managed a couple of placings in graded stakes before proving a useful producer in Europe, where she had two Group 1-placed sons in Blush Rambler (Blushing Groom {Fr}) and Tendulkar (Spinning World).

Overall, however, it would seem that the principal genetic credit for War Like Goddess must go to her sire. He's having another wonderful year, consolidating his maiden domestic turf championship last year and making it very hard even for those of us who have long admired Kitten's Joy to deny that English Channel, as they approach the evening of their mutual careers, may have overtaken him as the premier grass stallion in America–even though he has hitherto been standing at less than half the fee. The fact is that their lifetime percentages now favor English Channel across all indices, as well as by earnings-per-starter.

War Like Goddess is one of three Grade I winners, eight graded stakes winners and 21 black-type performers for English Channel across North America and Europe this year. Kitten's Joy has admittedly had a quiet campaign (none, one and 14 in those categories) by the outstanding standards that have secured him two general sires' championships, but he could yet redress that with his outlying son Tripoli a live longshot in the GI Longines Breeders' Cup Classic itself. He has plenty of ground to make up on Medina Spirit (Protonico) in their rehearsal at Santa Anita, but he had a wide trip that day, gets Irad and returns to the course and distance of his finest hour in the GI TVG Pacific Classic; while the winner, for his part, should reckon on a lot more competition up front this time.

Reverting to his rival, however, we must salute English Channel as a bulwark of precisely those genetic assets–such as durability and longevity–most urgently required by the breed today. He doesn't have the prizefighter build that comforts commercial breeders, and his median for his latest yearlings has run dead level with their $30,000 conception fee. Exactly the same, in other words, as Messrs. Lanni and Krikorian gave for War Like Goddess as a juvenile.

And here she is, favored to beat the Europeans at their own game. Mind you, their familiar myopia regarding dirt sires apparently extends even to U.S. turf stallions as outstanding as English Channel and Kitten's Joy (despite the immense impact made by the latter, from limited opportunity, most notably with the tragic champion Roaring Lion).

But that brings us right back to where we started. Because if our industry finds its critical energy in everyone having some kind of chance, then that often feeds precisely on the fact that commercial breeding is so nervously oriented to the sales ring, rather than the racetrack. This may very well be storing up trouble for the breed, in the longer term. In the meantime, however, it does allow the likes of English Channel to assist those smaller players laboring under the quaint delusion that it might be nice to have a horse that can actually run.

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Hicksy, Aubrieta Win Juvenile Stakes At Woodbine Saturday

In stakes action at Woodbine Racetrack in Toronto, Ontario, on Saturday, Hicksy took the $130,000 Display Stakes, while Aubrieta won the $140,250 Glorious Song Stakes.

A bay son of Hootenanny, Hicksy, under Antonio Gallardo, tracked 6-5 choice Ironstone through a quarter in :23.08 and a half in :46.10, before turning up the pressure around the turn for home in the seven-furlong main track race for two-year-old colts and geldings.

The duo slugged it out down the stretch with Hicksy taking over late, going on to notch a three-quarter length win in a time of 1:23.38. Ironstone was second and Optigogo was third.

Trained by Kevin Attard for Lani Bloodstock LLC, the Kentucky-bred colt won his second straight race and notched his first stakes crown in what was his first added-money appearance.

“He was just kind of an unassuming little horse, just kind of a straightforward horse,” recalled owner Donato Lanni. “He just looked real kind and classy. I've been active in Kentucky, but I'm from Canada, from Montreal, and I always wanted to come back here and have some horses to run. I have a lot of friends and family in Toronto and it's just great to come back and hang out with my people.”

After a troubled fourth in his career bow on September 12 at Woodbine, Hicksy broke his maiden on October 3, in a race also contested at the Toronto oval.

“He's come a long way,” praised Attard. “We always thought highly of him. When he came to me from Kentucky, Donato said, 'This horse is really eager, he's been showing promise.' When he got here, he had a few little hiccups, just kind of baby stuff. His first race, we were expecting a little more out of him, but he kind of pulled a shoe off and I think that was a good enough excuse. Obviously, his last start, he put it together with an impressive win.”

Hicksy, bred by Richard Forbush, paid $6.60 for the Display victory.

Aubrieta, bred and owned by Conrad Farms, was back in the winner's circle, this time in the Glorious Song Stakes.

Sent on her way at 6-1 in the seven-furlong main track race for two-year-old fillies, the Mark Casse trainee was content to watch the early leaders duke it out before delivering her knockout punch.

Fulminate and Marie MacKay battled out on the front end, leading the field through opening splits of :22.83 and :45.55. Aubrieta, under patient handling from Patrick Husbands, was positioned fourth, well within striking distance of the top two.

When Husbands gave the Ontario-bred daughter of Speightster her cue, the bay responded willingly and sprinted away from her foes down the stretch, crossing the wire a two-length winner. Howdyoumakeurmoney rallied to secure second, a neck in front of Chocolate Addiction.

The final time was 1:22.85.

Aubrieta, who won her debut on September 11, was second in the Shady Well Stakes on October 8.

“You miss the break and Justin (jockey Stein, aboard Marie MacKay) got everything his way,” said Husbands, of the Shady Well. “But she showed me after the race that she was the best horse in the race. She galloped out like the winner. I called Mark after the race and said, 'Boss, she wanted to win so bad. She still thinks she won.'”

Husbands is confident Aubrieta can stretch out with ease.

“That (two turns) is what she wants to go.”

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Nyquist Colt Tops Final Session Of Record-Setting Fasig-Tipton October Sale

The Fasig-Tipton Kentucky October Yearlings sale concluded Thursday evening in Lexington, Ky., with final numbers which crushed historical benchmarks in gross, average, and median.

A colt by last year's leading first-crop sire Nyquist topped the final session when sold for $500,000 to St. Elias Stables from the consignment of St George Sales, agent (video).

Offered as Hip 1281, the dark bay or brown colt is the second foal out of Froyo Star, a winning Rockport Harbor half-sister to multiple Grade 1 winner Sweet Reason; graded stakes winner Don't Forget Gil; stakes winner Battle Girl; and the dam of this year's Group 1 Dubai Golden Shaheen winner Zenden. The session topper was bred in Kentucky by Southern Equine Stable, and was a $270,000 selected weanling at last year's November Sale.

“Day four was another outstanding day for the October sale,” said Fasig-Tipton president Boyd Browning. “It was kind of a fitting conclusion to an exceptional horse sale. The numbers have been tremendous all four days, across the board.”

The session's top filly came in the form of a daughter of current leading first-crop sire Gun Runner, sold for $335,000 to Donato Lanni, agent for Glen Hill Farm. The bay filly was offered as Hip 1584 by Taylor Made Sales Agency, agent. The filly is the first foal out the stakes placed Malibu Moon mare Lunar Gaze, from the immediate family of multiple Grade 1 winner Ello Luv. Hip 1584 was bred in Kentucky by Waymore LLC.

“(There was) tremendous depth overall in the bidding activities,” continued Browning. “A very diverse group of buyers stayed 'til the bitter end. We saw two or three very high priced horses sold in the last 20 to 30 minutes of the sale. We really could not be any more pleased that (the sale) exceeded our most optimistic expectations.”

Rounding out the top five prices of the final session were:

  • Hip 1580, a colt by Street Sense out of Lucky Cover (Medaglia d'Oro), which sold for $290,000 to Cash Is King from the consignment of Burleson Farms, agent. The bay colt is the first foal out of a daughter of multiple Grade 2 winner Teammate, from the immediate family of War Front. Hip 1580 was bred in Kentucky by Nice Guys Stable.
  • Hip 1201, a filly by Speightstown out of Elusive Wave (Mizzen Mast), which sold for $240,000 to Maverick Racing and Siena Farm from the consignment of Four Star Sales, agent. The gray or roan filly is out of a full sister to two-time Breeders' Cup Turf Sprint winner Mizdirection). Hip 1201 was bred in Kentucky.
  • Hip 1338, a filly by Ghostzapper out of Handwoven (Indian Charlie), which sold for $240,000 to Jump Around Stables from the consignment of Baccari Bloodstock, agent. The dark bay or brown filly hails from the immediate family of millionaire and multiple graded stakes winner Scott's Scoundrel. Hip 1338 was bred in Kentucky by Vision Racing and Sales.

“In recent years, the trajectory of the sale has continued to improve,” added Browning. “The consignors are bringing us better horses (every year), and the buyers are supporting them.”

During Thursday's session, 297 yearlings sold for $13,095,900, good for an average of $44,094 and a median of $25,000. Thirty-four horses sold for $100,000 or more.

Over the course of the four days, 1153 horses sold for $52,607,500, surpassing by 37.5 percent the previous sale record gross of $38,258,900 set in 2019. The average was $45,627, a 20.2 percent increase over the established benchmark of $37,955 (also set in 2019). The median rose to $22,000, a new sale record 18.9 percent higher than the previous record median of $18,500 set in 2014. The RNA rate was 17.8 percent, the lowest at the Kentucky October Yearlings Sale since 2013.

The sale topper (Hip 1107), a colt by Street Sense sold for $925,000 during Wednesday's session, tied the sale record originally set in 1999, while establishing a new record price for a colt at this sale. In addition, a pair of colts sold for $750,000 – a colt by Empire Maker (Hip 513) on Tuesday and a colt by Gun Runner (Hip 870) on Wednesday – to match the previous record price for a colt at Kentucky October Yearlings, which was established in 2000.

Full results for the Kentucky October Yearlings sale are available online.

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Tapit Colt Headlines Opening Session Of Fasig-Tipton Kentucky October Sale

Strong trade marked the opening session of the 2021 Kentucky October Yearlings sale Monday at Newtown Paddocks in Lexington, Ky.

A colt by three-time leading sire Tapit topped the session when sold for $700,000 to Donato Lanni, agent for SF Racing, Starlight Racing, and Madaket Stables (video).

Bedouin Bloodstock, agent, consigned the colt as Hip 22. The bay colt is the first foal out of the stakes winning Shanghai Bobby mare March X Press, a half-sister to stakes winner and stakes producer Harlan's Honor. Bred in Kentucky, Hip 22's price tag matched the second-highest paid for a colt in the history of the Kentucky October Yearlings sale.

“I'm very pleased with the opening session of the October sale,” said Fasig-Tipton President Boyd Browning. “(There was) spirited bidding at all levels, lots of competition, and a very diverse crowd that was here to buy horses… It's very encouraging.”

Rounding out the sessions top five prices were:

  • Hip 21, a Justify colt out of multiple stakes winner Maple Forest (Forestry), purchased for $350,000 by John P. Fort from the consignment of Blue Heaven Farm (video). The chestnut colt is a half-brother to multiple graded stakes-placed multiple stakes winner Heartwood. Hip 21 was bred in Kentucky by Blue Heaven Farm.
  • Hip 266, a Union Rags colt out of graded stakes winner Purely Hot (Pure Prize), purchased for $235,000 by Redwings from the consignment of Taylor Made Sales Agency, agent. The bay colt is a half-brother to two winners, including 2019 Grade 1 American Pharoah Stakes winner Eight Rings (Empire Maker). Hip 266 was bred in Kentucky by Orpendale, Cheslton, & Wynatt.
  • Hip 273, a colt by the late Malibu Moon out the stakes-placed Unbridled's Song mare Queenie's Song, purchased for $200,000 by Cypress Creek LLC from the consignment of Timber Town, agent. The dark bay or brown colt is a half-brother to two winners, including multiple stakes winner Oliviaofthedesert (Bernardini). Hip 273 was bred in Kentucky by Timber Town Stable LLC and Jane Winegardner.
  • Hip 302, a filly by successful young sire Liam's Map out of the winning Indian Charlie mare Recoupe, purchased for $190,000 by West Bloodstock from the consignment of St George Sales, agent. The gray or roan filly stakes-placed winner Compensate. Hip 302 was bred in Kentucky by Westpoint Stables.

“I don't think it was any surprise that there was a lot of demand,” added Browning. “We've seen strength in the yearling sales (this year)… We've got a lot of real quality horses still to sell in the next three days, and we're looking forward (to it).”

Overall, 341 yearlings sold for $11,016,900 with 32 yearlings sold for $100,000 or more. Compared to last year's opening session, the gross rose 31.3 percent from $8,393,800. The average rose 18.8 percent to $40,208 from $33,846, while the median increased 13.3% to $17,000 from $15,000. The session RNA rate was 19.6 percent.

The Kentucky October Yearlings sale resumes Tuesday at 10 AM. Results are available online.

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