Profitable Favourite To Be Champion Freshman

The start of the Flat season may be more than two months away but there is already plenty of interest in the freshman sires of 2021, and Darley's Profitable (Ire) has been made 3/1 favourite by Fitzdares to take the championship.

Ed Guiver, Head of Racing for Fitzdares, said, “We love pricing this market, which would be impossible to price were it not for the Weatherbys Stallion Book used alongside the Weatherbys Return of Mares.

“It was hard to split the front four in the market but Profitable by the sire of sires in Invincible Spirit (Ire) has got the nod. That said, the sector is not without a bevy of shrewd judges, so market movers will be telling.”

The betting company makes the Coolmore duo of Caravaggio and Churchill (Ire) joint-second favourites at 4/1, with Cotai Glory (GB), who hails from Tally-Ho Stud, home to 2020 champion first-season sire Mehmas (Ire), third favourite at 5/1. All of the first four in the betting have at least 124 foals from their first crop.

Guiver added, “Ulysses (Ire) is a dark horse, jungle drums suggest he's produced some early types, and we suspect Ribchester (Ire) will have his fans. If he had more on the ground, Time Test (GB) would have been shorter odds for sure,” added Guiver. 

 Kelsey Riley examined the full quota of European first-season sires in her Value Sires feature in Monday's TDN.

Fitzdares first-season sire betting

Profitable (Ire) 3/1
Caravaggio 4/1
Churchill (Ire) 4/1
Cotai Glory (GB) 5/1
Aclaim (Ire) 8/1
Ribchester (Ire) 10/1
El Kabeir 12/1
Ardad (Ire) 20/1
Galileo Gold (GB) 20/1
Highland Reel (Ire) 20/1
Postponed (Ire) 50/1
Time Test (GB) 50/1
Almanzor (Fr) 100/1
Decorated Knight (Ire) 100/1
National Defense (Ire) 500/1
Zarak (Fr) 1000/1

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Mehmas Up To €25,000

Record-breaking first-season sire Mehmas (Ire) will see a fee increase to €25,000 at Tally Ho Stud in 2021. The son of Acclamation (GB) stood for €7,500 this year. Mehmas is the clear leader of the European first-season sires standings by earnings and winners, the latter tally of 47 as of Nov. 20 representing a record for a first-season sire. Iffraaj (GB) previously held the record at 38. Mehmas’s four stakes winners include the G1 Middle Park S. winner Supremacy (Ire) and G2 Gimcrack S. scorer Minzaal (Ire).

The standardbearer of the Tally Ho roster, however, remains Kodiac (GB), who is available in 2021 for €65,000, the same fee at which he has stood the past two years. His representatives this year have included the G1 Prix Morny winner Campanelle (Ire), G1 Sprint Cup and G1 Diamond Jubilee S. winner Hello Youmzain (Fr) and group-winning juveniles Nando Parrado (Ire), Ubettabelieveit (Ire) and Umm Kulthum (Ire).

Cotai Glory (GB) and Galileo Gold (GB) both have their first runners next year and will stand for €5,000, the same fee as Vadamos (Fr), who has had nine first-crop winners this year; Kessaar (Ire), who will have his first yearlings in 2021, and Inns Of Court (Ire), whose first foals arrive next year.

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