T. D. Thornton’s Belmont Predictions, Sponsored by Fasig-Tipton

This week's TDN Triple Crown feature examines the GI Belmont S. entrants listed in “likeliest winner” order.

1) Mo Donegal (c, Uncle Mo–Callingmissbrown, by Pulpit)
O-Donegal Racing & Repole Stable. B-Ashview Farm & Colts Neck Stables (KY). T-Todd Pletcher. Sales History: $250,000 yrl '20 KEESEP.
You could argue that Mo Donegal lost the GI Kentucky Derby at the post draw after getting stuck with the dreaded rail gate. But his fifth-place effort, beaten 5 3/4 lengths in a stretch finish that featured the 1-2-3 horses all running full-tilt to the wire, is actually quite a bit better than it appears on paper. This $250,000 KEESEP son of Uncle Mo was too patiently handled by Irad Ortiz, Jr., who didn't ask this athletic colt for his best run until 2 1/2 furlongs out, and Mo then had to float 12 wide off the turn to find clear passage. But he still uncorked with his characteristic acceleration inside the eighth pole, and that type of late-race torque has been evident throughout Mo's career. This colt simply keeps gaining ground in deep stretch, even when the final furlongs are quick, and his company lines are far more robust than any of his Belmont S. foes. Don't be tempted to stamp him as strictly an off-the-tailgate type, because Mo is agile and nimble enough to take up the running from a sweet stalking spot in an eight-horse field where he's not as likely to meet up with the trip trouble that he often encounters.

2) We the People (c, Constitution–Letchworth, by Tiznow)
O-Winstar Farm, LLC, Bobby Flay, CMNWLTH, & Siena Farm, LLC.
B-Henley Farms Inc (KY). T-R Brisset. Sales History: $110k wnlg '19 KEENOV, $220k yrl '20 KEESEP, $230k 2yo FTFMAR.
We the People possesses both a very high cruising gear and a reputation for being difficult to handle. His brief past performance block features a pair of open-length wins at Oaklawn and a blowout, 10 1/4-length, tour-de-force romp in the GII Peter Pan S. four weeks ago (103 Beyer Speed Figure). But sandwiched in between was a hot-and-bothered effort in the weak GI Arkansas Derby in which this Constitution colt couldn't make the lead, then got hooked wide around both turns, beating only two horses. Which We the People will show up as the morning-line fave for the third leg of the Triple Crown? Sure, he's won with authority over Belmont's main track. But that was a sealed, post-rain surface rated “good,” and the field contained only one horse who had ever won a stakes (a minor one at that). Still, the raw power of that victory will be enough to sway pari-mutuel supporters to this colt's side. We the People was always in control in the Peter Pan, and it's hard to shake the visual of him turning for home under a hand ride from Flavien Prat while everyone else in his widening wake was desperately whipping and driving. He also had a nice spurt of extra acceleration in upper stretch-the kind of move where Prat was probably just gauging what was under the hood for future reference.

3) Rich Strike (c, Keen Ice–Gold Strike, by Smart Strike)
O-RED TR-Racing, LLC. B-Calumet Farm (KY). T-Eric Reed.
When a horse wins a race at 80-1 odds, you can usually point to evidence that the favorites didn't fire, the pace blew up, or a number of logical contenders ran into trip trouble. None of those things happened in the Derby. Sonny Leon sliced and diced his way to a clear inside path through the far turn, and Rich Strike did the rest, taking aim with purpose and reeling in two favorites who weren't quitting. Is the effort replicable? This connections of this former $30,000 maiden-claiming son of Keen Ice defied convention and skipped the GI Preakness S. with the aim of having a tighter fighter at 12 furlongs, a distance trainer Eric Reed believes is within this colt's scope. His 101 Beyer in Louisville represents a 17-point jump off his best career effort, and Rich Strike is going to have to come up with a similar or better fig if he is to be draped in a blanket of white carnations.

Rich Strike poses for every photo before Saturday's Belmont Stakes. | Sarah Andrew

But you have to wonder if he's going to be tactically forced out of his sweet spot, because dropping far behind the field against this crew is likely going to leave him too much work to do.

Then again, this is a colt who wasn't too far off the action going a one-turn a mile at Churchill at age two (a 17 1/4-length upset), so maybe he's a touch more versatile than critics give him credit for. A bigger concern might be Leon's inexperience riding over Belmont's vast, sweeping main-track configuration, which has been known to stymie riders unfamiliar with its 1 1/2-miles circumference. Leon is named to ride in only one race (on the grass) at Belmont on Friday, then will have what will seem like an interminably long wait on Saturday (7 1/2 hours) between his only main-track mounts in the opener and in the Belmont S. itself.

4) Barber Road (c, Race Day–Encounter, by Southern Image)
O-WSS Racing, LLC. B-Susan Forrester & Judy Curry (KY).
T-John Ortiz. Sales History: $15,000 wnlg '19 KEENOV.
Despite having to rally from last and getting parked in the 14 path turning for home, this Race Day gray ($15,000 KEENOV) put in a fairly decent sustained run over the final three furlongs of the Derby. Barber Road gets a jockey change to Joel Rosario for the Belmont, and will race without blinkers for the first time since his career debut at Colonial Downs last August. He's winless since Nov. 10, but has amassed a bankroll north of $650,000 by chipping away with minor awards in graded stakes. Longer distances certainly appear within the scope of his pedigree. His paternal grandsire is Tapit, the sire of four Belmont S. winners, and damsire Southern Image won two Grade I routes at Triple Crown distances in 2004 (the Santa Anita H. and the Pimlico Special). But the big question for Barber Road isn't staying power-it's whether he's fast enough. His best Beyer tops out at 94, seven points below the par for this race.

5) Nest (f, Curlin–Marion Ravenwood, by A.P. Indy). O-Repole Stable, Eclipse Thoroughbred Partners, & Michael House.
B-Ashview Farm & Colts Neck Stables (KY). T-Todd Pletcher. Sales History: $350,000 yrl '20 KEESEP.
Nest's family tree is replete with distance-centric influences. Her sire, Curlin, lost the 2007 Belmont by a head, barely coming up short behind the gallant filly Rags to Riches (who was trained by Nest's trainer, Todd Pletcher). Nest's damsire, A.P. Indy, won the '92 Belmont. This filly is also a full sister to Idol, last year's winner of the Santa Anita H. She was most recently a grinding second in the GI Kentucky Oaks, incrementally gaining on the winner, and before that, she popped for an 8 1/4-length victory in the GI Ashland S. in April. That score was notable for a prolonged, 4 1/2-furlong bid over Keeneland's short-stretch configuration in which Nest drove past the front four leaders with authority midway on the far turn. Jose Ortiz picks up the mount for the first time, as his brother, Irad, sticks with Nest's uncoupled stablemate, Mo Donegal.

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Rail-Drawn We the People Favored for Belmont Stakes; Derby Winner Rich Strike Third Choice

ELMONT, NY — With GI Kentucky Derby winner Rich Strike (Keen Ice) breaking from post four, a field of eight was drawn Tuesday morning for Saturday's GI Belmont S.

The monumental come-from-behind 80-1 Derby upsetter heads to the final leg of the Triple Crown fresh after skipping the GI Preakness S. He has been installed as the third choice on the morning line at odds of 7-2.

“He's doing really good since he's been here, he's training better every day,” trainer Eric Reed, seated alongside owner Richard Dawson, said at Tuesday's well-attended draw from Belmont's Triple Crown Lounge. “I don't think the pace will be nearly as fast. He's still going to drop back, that's just his style of running. Turning for home, if he's close enough, he'll have a real good shot at it.”

The pace of the race is expected to come from the rail-drawn 'TDN Rising Star' We the People (Constitution), a runaway front-running winner in a sloppy renewal of the local prep GIII Peter Pan S. He was given the 2-1 nod on the morning line.

Mo Donegal (Uncle Mo), a rallying fifth in the Derby, was installed as the 5-2 second choice. He will break from post six. Todd Pletcher-trained stablemate Nest (Curlin) takes on the boys following a runner-up effort in the GI Kentucky Oaks.

This story will be updated.

From the rail out, the complete field for the GI Belmont S.:

1-We the People (Constitution) (2-1)

2-Skippylongstocking (Exaggerator) (20-1)

3-Nest (Curlin) (8-1)

4-Rich Strike (Keen Ice) (7-2)

5-Creative Minister (Creative Cause) (6-1)

6-Mo Donegal (Uncle Mo) (5-2)

7-Golden Glider (Ghostzapper) (20-1)

8-Barber Road (Race Day) (10-1)

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Pompa’s Legacy Lives On

When longtime owner and breeder Paul Pompa, Jr., who campaigned the likes of dual Classic winner Big Brown, passed away suddenly in October of 2020, it was a big blow to many in the industry. Some 19 months after his passing, the owner of Truck-Rite Corp.'s legacy has reached new heights. In the past two months alone, four former Pompa horses have won stakes, topped by Grade I winners Regal Glory (Animal Kingdom) and Country Grammer (Tonalist).

“Mr. Pompa was a gentleman and a great sport to work for,” said Lane's End's Allaire Ryan, who supervised the sale of most of Pompa's horses. “First and foremost he cared about his horses and always made the right decisions for them. Alongside his trainers and the farms and training centers he entrusted with his stock, he built a very successful racing stable and commercial breeding operation. There was a plan for each horse from start to finish. Those plans might have had to change day to day, but Mr. Pompa was a discusser, a listener, a thinker and a decision maker through-and-through. Mr. Pompa was a student of the business, always took the time to talk about what was going on with his mares, foals and yearlings. He gave you his time because he was interested in the horses and genuinely cared about each of them. He enjoyed every conversation with him for being thorough, pragmatic, and above all caring.”

Shortly after Pompa's death, his family dispersed of all of his racing and breeding stock. Most of his stock sold in a dispersal handled by Ryan and the Lane's End team at the 2021 Keeneland January Sale. The headliner of that dispersal–and the entire sale–was 'TDN Rising Star' Regal Glory, who was purchased by Peter Brant's White Birch Farm for $925,000 and returned to her regular trainer Chad Brown.

A homebred out of Pompa's GSW Mary's Follies (More Than Ready), Regal Glory had won a trio of graded events prior to the dispersal, but her resume had one thing missing. She filled in that missing piece 10 months after selling to Brant when she captured the GI Martriarch S. in November. The chestnut has continued to honor her late owner and breeder Pompa this year with wins in the GIII Pegasus World Cup F/M Turf Invitational S. in January and another top-level score in the GI Jenny Wiley S. at Keeneland in April.

“This filly gave Mr. Pompa a lot to be proud of as she was a homebred for him,” Ryan said. “She dead-heated in the [GII] Lake Placid at Saratoga on very dark, stormy afternoon. I remember how long the stewards deliberated the race call afterwards–a frustrating moment for Mr. Pompa as an owner to share a big win in such tough conditions, but again, he was always the one to see the glass half full and be a good sport in trying situations. There was always tomorrow. He was so proud of this filly after that race.”

Ryan continued, “Mr. Pompa decided after he bred Mary's Follies to Curlin in 2020 that he would sell the mare in November at a time when her commercial value was at its highest. In turn, his plans for Regal Glory were to continue her career and retire her to his broodmare band at [Lane's End] farm. With Chad Brown, Mr. Pompa had this filly on the trajectory to improve with age and she's done exactly that. It's been incredibly satisfying to see Chad and Mr. Brant guide her to this stage in her career and keep her sound and happy at this age. We still cheer for her!”

A $450,000 OBSAPR purchase for Pompa, Country Grammer captured the GIII Peter Pan S. in July of 2020 and gathered some hype heading into that year's GI Runhappy Travers S. Unfortunately, he did not hit his best stride that day, finishing fifth behind GI Belmont S. winner Tiz the Law (Constitution). Shelved for the rest of the season, he was purchased by WinStar for just $110,000 at the KEEJAN dispersal.

Sent to Bob Baffert, Country Grammer showed he was only getting better with age, winning the GI Hollywood Gold Cup S. in his second start for his new connections last May. Benched for the remainder of the year, the bay made his seasonal bow in the desert, finishing second in the G1 Saudi Cup in February and upended heavy favorite Life is Good (Into Mischief) with a decisive score in the G1 Dubai World Cup a month later.

“Country Grammer was another nice physical when he came under our care at the sale,” Ryan said. “I never saw his as a young horse, but from photographs he looks like a quality individual for his sire Tonalist. He had been at WinStar's training center for some R&R and was back training leading up to the sale, so they [Elliott Walden, David Hanley, Destin Heath and Dr. Nieman] appreciated where he was in his career having that insider knowledge. By design after his passing, several of the Pompa dispersal's horses of racing age were prepared here leading up to the sale. Again, credit is due for the programs that have managed these dispersal graduates and brought them–back in Country Grammer's case–to competing at not only the graded stakes level, but now the highest international level of our sport. The win in Dubai was thrilling to see. He validated his status as a top older horse amongst the best talent in the world. It was one of those moments when I thought to myself, if only Mr. Pompa could see this.”

The most recent former Pompa horse to achieve black-type is his homebred colt Ethereal Road (Quality Road), who rallied to a good-looking victory in the Sir Barton S. last weekend. Out of Pompa's War Front mare Sustained, who is also responsible for GSW Turned Aside (American Pharoah), the bay colt brought $90,000 from Dr. Aaron Sones at the 2020 Keeneland September just one month before Pompa's passing and was turned over to D. Wayne Lukas.

A second in the GII Rebel S. in February and fourth in the GIII Stonestreet Lexington S. in April earned Ethereal Road enough points for a spot in the GI Kentucky Derby starting gate. However, the day before the race, Lukas decided his colt needed more time and scratched, opening the door for upset winner Rich Strike (Keen Ice). The Hall of Fame conditioner still won a big prize that weekend thanks to GI Kentucky Oaks victress Secret Oath (Arrogate) and initially considered both sophomores for the GI Preakness S. Instead he sent the filly to the Classic and placed Ethereal Road in an easier spot on the undercard, which he won with ease.

“Ethereal Road was a big, physically forward yearling that we raised on the farm,” Ryan said. “From day one he was that way. I remember distinctly the order in which we showed yearlings at the farm in our September sale previews to potential buyers. He was the final yearling of each show because he completely filled your eye. Turned Aside had just come off his win in the [GIII] Quick Call S. at Saratoga, so for us at the farm, it was a very exciting time to showcase a yearling colt by Quality Road out of a young, successful producer. While he would keep the odd homebred each year to race, Mr. Pompa's plan was always to take this horse to the sale.”

Pompa's name could still be connected to the winner of a Triple Crown race this year in GI Belmont S. contender We the People (Constitution). Pete Bradley purchased the colt for $220,000 at the 2020 KEESEP sale on Pompa's behalf and he was turned over to Eddie Woods, who did the early conditioning on most of the businessman's horses. Instead of selling in the KEEJAN dispersal, We the People was sent through last year's Fasig-Tipton Gulfstream Sale, bringing $230,000 from WinStar Farm, who partnered with Siena Farm and CMNWLTH.

Opening his account with a pair of wins at Oaklawn this winter, the 'TDN Rising Star' found the waters a bit too deep in the GI Arkansas Derby Apr. 2, finishing seventh. But, the bay showed he just needed time, coming back to romp in Belmont's GIII Peter Pan S. May 14 and is now headed for the Test of a Champion June 11.

“He was always a nice horse,” Woods said. “He is by a good stallion. He is a tough, hardy horse like all the Constitutions are. He was a bit disappointing in the Arkansas Derby, but I think it was just too soon for him. He showed how good he is the other day and he is a really nice horse going forward.”

Woods said he was not surprised to see Pompa's continued effect on the industry.

“He had quite an impact because he paid both ends,” the Ocala-based horseman said. “He was a good breeder and a buyer. He bought at every level. He bought yearlings and 2-year-olds. He usually spent plenty of money. He was really easy to work for and deal with. He took bad news as well as he took good news. He was a very straight forward person. You just had to be honest with him all the time. That's all he asked of you. It is ironic now to see all these horses he was involved in winning graded stakes because he would have loved it. He was so into it. It showed he had the right stock.”

Ryan echoed similar sentiments, saying, “It was a tragedy that he passed at a time when he was prepared to retire and focus solely on his racing and breeding. He enjoyed every day of it, but as we've seen since the dispersal, there was so much more coming in the pipeline that he didn't get to experience. It's been so gratifying to see the Pompa graduates compete successfully at the top levels of our sport, but it's definitely bittersweet knowing how much enjoyment Mr. Pompa would be having if they were still in his colors. I can only imagine how proud he would be!”

With the likes of Regal Glory, Country Grammer, Ethereal Road and We the People competing at the top of the game this year and even more in the pipeline, Pompa's legacy will not only grow, but leave an even bigger impact than he could have ever imagined.

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A Mating to Form a More Perfect Union

They may be pretty new to this business, but Jana and Roy Barbe are perfectly aware that it won't always be like this; that many breeders, in fact, have worked with Thoroughbreds all their lives without ever experiencing anything quite like Saturday night.

First they watched a colt they had raised winning the GIII Peter Pan S. by 10 1/4 lengths, for the crop's joint-highest Beyer, lining up a return to the same track for the GI Belmont S. As related in TDN last week, the Barbes had acquired We the People (Constitution) in utero with one of their first mares in a somewhat impromptu adaptation of their Bluegrass farm–initially just a rural sanctuary from Jana's highflying corporate career, and a Chicago home without a backyard.

Then, five hours after We the People crossed the wire, Letchworth (Tiznow) finally delivered a colt–aptly enough, by More Than Ready–whose delayed advent had caused her owners several days' tension. It turned out that the mare had merely been waiting for her first Henley Farms foal to magnify the value of her fourth.

This precious colt will now begin to benefit from the same loving attention that turned We the People into a $110,000 weanling, instantly recouping the $40,000 invested in his pregnant dam at Keeneland January in 2019.

The Barbes' advisors at that auction, like many others at the time, were wary of a sire at a familiar crossroads. With his first juveniles imminent, WinStar had clipped his fee from $25,000 to $15,000. Even so, in an instructive measure of the nervous opportunism of commercial breeding today, 85 covers that spring halved his debut book of 172.

But the Barbes insisted that this was a long-term play on a mare they loved, with a very decent family behind her. If the paternity of her foal was going to cool the price, so much the better.

In the event, they found themselves with a commodity right back in demand after Constitution made a flying start. Though himself unraced at two, he led the freshman table by individual, black-type and graded stakes winners, while his earnings were surpassed only by American Pharoah–who had, of course, been supported by mares corresponding to a $200,000 opening fee. The two have since passed on the stairs, American Pharoah now down to $80,000 and Constitution having been raised initially to $40,000, and then to $85,000 after Tiz the Law consolidated the reputation of that debut crop with a dazzling sophomore campaign.

Tiz the Law, now standing at Ashford, arguably paid for a self-serving response to the pandemic by Churchill Downs. A September “Derby” gifted priceless maturity to Authentic (Into Mischief), who had surely remained too raw to have beaten him in May. In the meantime, absurdly, Tiz the Law had found himself contesting a “Belmont Stakes” over nine furlongs in June. We only revisit this unilateral shredding of the calendar because it would feel hard, as a result, to describe We the People as Constitution's second Classic winner; and impossible, meanwhile, to determine his stamina potential for this unique test from the fact that he happens to be bred on the same cross as Tiz the Law.

Now everybody tries to solve the puzzles of breeding in their own way, and there's no need for dogmatism when we can settle things out on the racetrack instead. Purely as a matter of personal taste, then, I always mistrust anything that sounds more like a “formula” than simply matching complementary physiques in a way that secures balance and quality through the resulting pedigree. Since you can't ever be certain which strands will come through, even in full siblings, the best insurance is for it not really to matter.

(Tapit himself is a good example: the female lines out of his third generation respectively introduce the dynasties of Gay Missile, Monarchy, Aspidistra and Foggy Note. And that, by the way, is why we need to be wary of the huge books of today. When you required elite mares to reach elite stallions, the quality was locked in.)

This focus on depth, however, is actually consistent with “nicking” when you have an immediate cross of the type uniting Tiz the Law and We the People: by Constitution out of a Tiznow mare. In their third generation, six of eight genetic contributors are the same. In the fourth, because the third dam of both bizarrely happens to be a daughter of Crafty Prospector, the parity becomes as high as 13 of 16. A cross this close, then, is actually shorthand for examining the interplay between far broader influences. (Obviously this ceases to be true once people imagine they can cross entire sire lines, though tapering to ever more receding brands like Fappiano, A.P. Indy or Storm Cat.)

So let's see what flavors stand out in the large inheritance shared by Tiz the Law and We the People; and then what emphasis might be latent in the surplus dividing them.

Well, the name that immediately leaps out is Foggy Note (The Axe II), mother both of Tapit's third dam and Tiznow's grandsire Relaunch. In each case, Foggy Note had been mated with In Reality–whose daughter out of the regal Magic (Buckpasser-Aspidistra) went on to produce the dam of Tapit's damsire Unbridled. (It was a daughter of Magic's half-brother Dr. Fager, incidentally, that produced Unbridled's sire Fappiano. One way or another, then, there's a lot of wholesome reinforcement here.)

Constitution's dam Baffled (Distorted Humor), a Royal Ascot-placed juvenile in a light career, would subsequently decorate his page with Boynton, a Group 2 winner at Newmarket for Godolphin; and Jacaranda, winner of the GIII Tempted S. And the pedigree also obtained fresh distinction from the GI Forego S. success of her half-brother Emcee (Unbridled's Song). Even as it was, her son made $400,000 as a Saratoga yearling.

That partly reflected Constitution's tall, rangy build, but her own parentage also had a nice shape: Distorted Humor had been chosen for her dam as a half-sister (by Ocean Crest, a rather forgotten son of Storm Bird) to Awesome Humor, a daughter of the same sire who completed the GII Adirondack-GI Spinaway double in 2002.

But it's Constitution's next dam that brings something intriguing to the We the People equation, as a daughter of Pass The Tab, who emerged from Santa Fe to run sixth in the 1981 Kentucky Derby. Because Pass The Tab's sire Al Hattab also gave us the fourth dam of We the People–and Al Hattab was a son of none other than The Axe II, the sire of Foggy Note.

This is all pretty ancient history, obviously, but it does feel healthy to see this doughty soil spread along the roots of the pedigree. Foggy Note herself (won 10 of 34 starts), Al Hattab (16 of 35) and Pass The Tab (11 of 33) all attest to the toughness and stamina associated with The Axe II. Certainly finding Al Hattab along the bottom line is no bad thing when you recall that one of his daughters produced Black Tie Affair, 18-for-45 and Horse of the Year at five; and that another gave us Holy Bull, whose own record as a broodmare sire is being lavishly advanced by the likes of Munnings, Cairo Prince, Caravaggio and Connect.

And this kind of bedrock could yet filter usefully into We the People's Belmont bid. Yes, we know that Tapit has made the race his own; that Constitution himself has had 12-furlong Classic winners in Chile; and that Tiznow is a powerful two-turn label. (Tiznow's remarkable dam Cee's Song (Seattle Song) is by a son of Seattle Slew, who in turn gazes down Constitution's sire line.) But the fact is that some strongly contrasting flavors intrude between Tiznow and The Axe II in We the People's bottom line.

Of course, we don't even know how far Tiznow might have drawn out Letchworth herself, as she was unraced. So, too, are two of the three foals (one raced in Russia) resulting from her sojourn at WinStar, who had bought her for $180,000 as a maiden mare (bred by Eugene Melnyk) before soon culling her to Henley Farms.

(It's obviously gratifying for WinStar to have “retrieved” her son as a 2-year-old, from Eddie Woods at the Gulfstream Sale, for $230,000–a price that achieved only a marginal gain on his yearling cost, in contrast with the previous pinhook cycle when Machmer Hall doubled their weanling investment.)

What we do know is that We the People's second and third dams, intervening between the sturdy pair Tiznow and The Axe II, are both by speed influences. And that fact told on the racetrack, too.

Letchworth is out of Harmony Lodge, a very brisk sprinter by Hennessy who also came through Woods's nursery at Gulfstream, for no less than $1.65 million, before making all in the GI Ballerina H. It feels quite alarming, in terms of We the People's prospects of lasting home in the Belmont, that Harmony Lodge's son by none other than A.P. Indy–while talented enough to run up a sequence of four as a sophomore before derailing–should have peaked in as hectic a dash as the GIII Shakertown S.

In fairness, Declaration of War did get Harmony Lodge's other black-type operator to extend as far as nine furlongs. (Likewise on turf/synthetics, confirming Hennessy's versatility in terms of surface.) But while Tiz the Law obviously saw out a 10th furlong well, in the GI Travers, we must remember that his second dam was by Go For Gin. That's a pretty stark contrast with Hennessy: Go For Gin was by a son of His Majesty out of a Stage Door Johnny mare.

This divergence feels all the wider with both Tiz the Law and We the People having third dams, as mentioned, by another source of speed in Crafty Prospector. Harmony Lodge was out of his half-sister to GII Tom Fool H. winner Diligence (Miswaki), Win Crafty Lady: a winner eight times across four seasons–as befits the daughter of an Al Hattab mare–including a Grade III over just six furlongs.

Win Crafty Lady also proved accomplished in her second career. She bred a GII Arkansas Derby winner by Dehere, in Graeme Hall; but her other graded stakes winner Win McCool, though by Giant's Causeway, prospered around a single turn. And beneath her this meanwhile remains a dynamic branch of the family: Win McCool's unraced daughter by Unbridled's Song produced the tragic Magnum Moon (Malibu Moon), while Graeme Hall's sister is second dam to a recent Grade I scorer in Pinehurst (Twirling Candy). Rookies or not, then, the Barbes deserve credit for prizing the bloodlines behind Letchworth–and have duly earned their incidental Constitution bonus.

For now, in terms of domestic Grade I success, Tiz the Law has been emulated only by Americanrevolution in the Cigar Mile, leaving their sire behind American Pharoah (four), Liam's Map (four) and Honor Code (three) in his intake. But it's only a matter of time before Constitution attends to that, his sheer consistency in elite stock already setting him apart even before the upgrade in his mares kicks in. Remember that his first $85,000 covers–and there were no fewer than 188 of those–have only just hit the foaling straw this spring.

As things stand, Constitution has 22 stakes winners at 6.6% of named foals; 52 stakes performers at 15.6%; 13 graded stakes winners at 3.9%; and 30 graded stakes operators at 9%. Among active stallions, his own sire is among very few who can set higher standards across the board. With Tapit entering the evening of his career, the succession is being keenly contested. But while there are several less expensive alternatives, Constitution is certainly giving himself every chance to be named the People's choice.

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