The Week in Review: Penny Breakage a Welcome Change, but Not a ‘First’

When the .69-to-1 favorite returned $3.38 to win at Ellis Park in the first race on July 15, the to-the-penny payoffs represented a massively positive paradigm shift for horseplayers. Under a new Kentucky law that eliminates dime breakage at the state's tracks, bettors will no longer be subject to the disadvantageous, industry-wide practice of down-rounding that, in the above instance, would have sliced the return on that winning $2 wager to $3.20.

Yes, penny breakage looks a bit odd to the eye. But getting used to the concept will be worth it.

The Thoroughbred Idea Foundation (TIF), which spent four years championing this cause and advocating for any industry entity to make the change, estimates breakage at roughly 0.45% of the nation's total handle.

“That suggests breakage totals at least $50 million per year,” a 2018 TIF study reported, explaining that instead of being retained by tracks, states, or purse accounts, the rightful return of that money to bettors has the potential to generate additional wagering. “We estimate the betting churn from breakage to total at least an additional $200 million in annual handle.”

Those increases could nudge even higher if place and show betting suddenly become more attractive (because the returns on those bets will be greater, percentage-wise). In America's competitive wagering landscape, you'd think that other racing jurisdictions would be quick to follow Kentucky's lead.

There's only one misconception about Kentucky's laudable move to penny breakage: It's not a “first” as has been widely publicized.

In fact, Kentucky itself was among a handful of states that mandated penny breakage nearly a century ago, when pari-mutuels first began replacing on-track bookmakers.

In 1927, Kentucky and Maryland were the two only states with legalized pari-mutuels. The takeout rate for both states (in an era when only win-place-show betting existed) was 5%, with dime breakage.

Pari-mutuel machines were in use in other states despite not being explicitly sanctioned. In such cases, the public had zero knowledge of how much takeout and breakage were being raked out of the pools.

“In other states the amount of the percentage depends entirely on the greed of the pari-mutuel officials,” wrote nationally syndicated newspaper columnist Frank G. Menke in 1927. “How much was deducted in Florida last winter by each of the tracks is not publicly known. [One track] is purported to have apportioned 20% for itself, [another] 25%.”

Such aggressive pool-scraping, Menke further reported, was exacerbated by the all-too-common practice of track officials literally grabbing money out of the tills and pocketing it before it showed up in the mutuel calculations. At one Canadian track, he wrote, mutuels officials made a $10,000 error one afternoon by overpaying bettors. It simply made up the difference the very next day by upping the takeout and liberally rounding down the breakage.

“If such an act is not deliberate theft, then what is theft?” Menke asked rhetorically.

When Illinois codified its new mutuels law that went into effect July 1, 1927, it tweaked the percentages that were standard in Kentucky and Maryland. It set the takeout higher (6.5%), but mandated penny instead of dime breakage.

Half a year later, the Louisiana Jockey Club also saw merit in abandoning dime breakage, and the issue was a big enough deal that the New York Times reported on it. Starting Jan. 2, 1928, the Fair Grounds swapped out a 4% takeout and dime breakage and replaced it with a 6.5% take and penny breakage.

Louisiana officials calculated that bettors would receive “the same net return” under the penny breakage system. But their belief was that the betting pools would be more secure because the change “would render impossible any charge or insinuation that the mutuel calculations have been juggled via the amount of the breakage to return on winning certificates a smaller amount than would otherwise have been the case.”

It didn't take long after that for Kentucky to revisit how its tracks calculated breakage.

A front-page story in the Mar. 17, 1928, edition of the Lexington Herald proclaimed that, “The penny promises to come to prominence on Kentucky race courses during the coming season. At the meeting of the state racing commission here yesterday, a rule was introduced whereby breakage in the pari-mutuels shall be to the penny.”

At that time, Kentucky staggered its takeouts based on a two-tiered system that took into account the population base around each track. Churchill Downs and Latonia (now Turfway Park) in the more populated parts of the state went from a 5% takeout to 6.5%. The more rurally located tracks at Lexington, Raceland, and Dade Park (now Ellis Park) went from 7% takeouts to 10%.

“The new rule favors the players slightly,” the Herald reported.

Yet penny breakage remained the norm in those three states for only a relatively brief window of time. The Great Depression was a major factor in quashing the concept.

As finances became tighter, some tracks in the penny- breakage states went out of business entirely. Others pleaded with state regulators for permission to start chipping away at the winnings of horseplayers by raising takeout rates and restoring dime breakage so tracks could retain more rounded-down money. When new states began embracing pari-mutuels as a form of “sin taxes” to raise revenues, they wrote laws stipulating dime breakage, which once again became established as an industry standard.

Barely three months after the huge stock market crash of 1929, the Fair Grounds did away with penny breakage to start its 1930 winter meet. In 1934, Kentucky went to a 10% statewide takeout and back to dime breakage at the request of its track operators. Illinois also abandoned penny breakage.

It's interesting to note that when penny breakage first came into vogue in 1927 and '28, the idea made national headlines. When breakage reverted to dimes, newspapers rarely reported on it.

Writing in 1937 about Fairmount Park, the St. Louis Post-Dispatch reported that, “When the [1927] mutuel bill went into effect, the property immediately became a dead loss. It will be different now,” the article said, with takeout set at 9% and dime breakage once again a windfall for the track.

In 1938, penny breakage briefly resurfaced at Rockingham Park as the result of an oddball standoff between the New Hampshire racing commission and “Uncle” Lou Smith, the track's owner.

The New Hampshire attorney general had ruled that, unlike mutuels calculations in other states, Rock could not deduct its dime breakage until it had multiplied a bettor's winnings on a dollar by the number of dollars wagered.

Smith told the New York Times that such a rule “discriminated against the $2 bettors” who comprised 84% of Rockingham's patronage and provided 55% of the handle.

“We are faced with the alternative of closing our track or giving up the entire breakage to avoid discrimination against the $2 bettor,” Smith said. “We voluntarily choose to give up the breakage,” relying on revenue solely from the track's cut of the 10% takeout.

This required the Rock money room to have 220,000 pennies on hand each day to make exact change. The stalemate was resolved in time for the 1939 summer meet, which opened with a takeout hike to 11% and breakage reverting back to a dime.

New York's racing commissioners advocated for penny breakage when legalizing mutuels there in 1940, but they had to settle for nickel breakage (still a significant improvement over a dime). “The general public pays little attention to breakage,” the New York Times dismissively reported when briefly mentioning the concept in its annual recap of the racing season.

Penny breakage then went into a long, long slumber. History is just now repeating itself.

This time around, here's hoping the bettor-friendly “Keep the change!” mentality takes root and grows.

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‘Special’ Target for Promising Damon’s Mound

Damon's Mound (c, 2, Girvin–San Antonio Stroll, by Stroll), a jaw-dropping 12 1/2-length debut winner at Churchill Downs July 2, is targeting the GII Saratoga Special S. at the Spa Aug. 13.

“That's the goal, he's doing great,” former jockey-turned-trainer Michelle Lovell said from her summer base at Colonial Downs. “We've got some weeks to go, so, hopefully all goes good. As long as he's doing great, he deserves the opportunity.”

Does he ever.

Off as the well-backed, third choice at 4-1 in his unveiling, Damon's Mound was off to a slow start from post four in the 11-horse field. He made very quick progress, however, to track under a nice hold in a four-wide fifth through a sharp opening quarter in :21.84.

The handsome bay cruised up four deep beneath Gabriel Saez approaching the quarter pole, gained control in effortless fashion as they straightened and put on a show beneath the Twin Spires to stop the timer for six furlongs in 1:09.84 in 'TDN Rising Star' fashion.

Damon's Mound earned a very strong 84 Beyer Speed Figure for the effort.

“I was in awe of watching him do it,” Lovell said. “We had high hopes that he'd run great, but it really was a special performance from him. It was great to share it with my crew and his owners. Obviously, he brought a lot of attention to himself.”

She continued, “He's always been wonderful training and has done everything perfectly. The only thing we were lacking was him being sharp away from the gates. Hopefully, he learns a little bit more from the race.”

Members of the press aren't the only ones who have been blowing up Lovell's cell phone since Damon's Mound's smashing debut victory.

“There was a high demand for him within minutes of him crossing the wire,” Lovell said. “They haven't stopped asking [if he's for sale], but it's slowed down now because we've said no to so many people. Obviously, when he won, I was thrilled and I was elated how he did it. But soon after, I realized that I may not be training him for his second race. So, it was a roller coaster ride from when he hit the wire. His owners are super. They're excited and want to run their horse.”

Damon's Mound is a homebred for Cliff and Michele Love. The Florida-bred is the first foal out of their multiple stakes-placed mare San Antonio Stroll (Stroll). He is one of five winners for quick-starting freshman sire Girvin (Tale of Ekati). Damon's Mound is the first horse that Lovell has trained for the Texas-based couple.

“His grandparents lived in Texas and that's a place where Mr. Love spent a lot of time with his cousins when he was a child,” Lovell said of Damon's Mound's namesake. “It was a special place for him as a child.”

Lovell began training in 2003 and enjoyed a career-best year in earnings with $1,872,883 in 2021, led by standout sprinters MGSW Change of Control (Fed Biz) and MSW & MGSP Just Might (Justin Phillip). Lovell co-owns and co-bred the latter, an earner of $958,100. She currently trains 30 head, a number she is quite content with.

“We've had a great couple of years,” Lovell said. “One of the reasons why Mr. and Mrs. Love chose me to train, I believe, was right after Just Might won a race for me. Not only did he win seven stakes last year, some wonderful people called me up and said, 'I've got a 2-year-old coming your way if you have empty stalls.'”

She concluded, “It's great obviously to have him in the barn–there's a lot of buzz. He's just super talented and special. It's really fun.”

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Penny Breakage to Begin On Kentucky Races July 15

From the Thoroughbred Idea Foundation

Bettors wagering on racing from Kentucky will enjoy returns paid to the penny beginning Friday, July 15. The Kentucky Horse Racing Commission confirmed to the Thoroughbred Idea Foundation (TIF) the shift will take effect this week, three months after legislation enabling the change to penny breakage was passed by the Kentucky General Assembly and signed into law.

“This is a welcome and long overdue shift in pari-mutuel wagering to pay bettors the entirety of their duly deserved winnings,” said Patrick Cummings, TIF's Executive Director. “Kentucky is leading the way, and if a horseplayer wants to enjoy the entirety of a winning dividend, they should be betting on races run in Kentucky. This will be the first time in American history a racing jurisdiction is requiring payment to the penny for all wagers and we hope it will not be the last. This should put more money in the hands and accounts of horseplayers and inspire additional churn, something everyone across the sport should seek, yet remarkably eludes us as churn-killing super exotic bets and jackpot bets have expanded. We are incredibly thankful for the efforts of Kentucky Representative Adam Koenig, bill co-sponsor Representative Al Gentry and Senator Damon Thayer for their support over the years to bring this topic to the fore. They continue to look out for the best interests of horseplayers and the greater sport.”

For the modern history of pari-mutuel wagering in American racing, winning dividends have generally been rounded to the lowest 10-cent unit, with limited exceptions. Going forward, the dividend is rounded to the lowest penny.

Until now, if the unbroken return on a show bet was $1.4854928, the return for every $1 unit was rounded down to $1.40. A $2 bet returned $2.80.

Beginning Friday, in the above example a winning bettor would receive $1.48 for every $1. A $2 bet in this example would return $2.96, a meaningful increase in the profit returned to customers.

The campaign to bring penny breakage to horseplayers was the topic of the first white paper in TIF history. It can be reviewed by clicking here.

“This effort would not have been possible without the tireless support of TIF Founder and Glen Hill Farm President & CEO Craig Bernick, who has been so remarkably driven to improve American horse racing for its voluntary financial participants–horseplayers and horse owners,” Cummings said. “If we make the sport better for them, the benefits trickle to every corner of the industry.”

An estimated $35 million was collected and retained as breakage from Kentucky races over the last five, full fiscal years. Under the new law, nearly all of that money would go back to winning bettors.

“Breaking to the penny will put millions of dollars back into the hands of horseplayers each year, wherever they are betting on Kentucky racing,” Cummings added. “Until other states make the change, Kentucky will have the advantage.”

Kentucky tracks and horsemen split on-track breakage in the past, while off-track bets and ADW bets saw breakage retained by the respective bet-taker. Going forward, all bettors of races run in Kentucky will enjoy a full winning dividend rounded to the penny. Sub-penny breakage will still be retained.

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A Triumphant Return For Bob Baffert

Just like riding a bicycle.

Starting his first horses since serving a 90-day suspension issued by the Kentucky Horse Racing Commission, trainer Bob Baffert won the two races in which he had entered horses on the Saturday card at Los Alamitos. Baffert's victories included a win by High Connection (Connect) in the Los Alamitos Derby. It was Baffert's sixth straight win in the race that used to be known as the Swaps S. and his 12th overall in the mile-and-an-eighth contest.

Baffert had last started horses on Apr. 2. Afterward, he began serving a suspension, the result of Medina Spirit (Protonico) testing positive for the medication betamethasone in the 2021 GI Kentucky Derby.

Baffert began his afternoon with a win by Rhetoric (Quality Road) in the day's fifth race, a maiden special weight event for 3-year-olds. The Baffert-trained first-time-starter Western Cape (Curlin) finished third behind his stablemate.

“There's nothing like being back and here I am at Los Alamitos,” Baffert said in an interview with TVG following the maiden win. “Everybody has been welcoming  me. There have been a lot of well-wishers, people glad to see me back. I'm glad to be back because I really missed it. While I was gone, Sean McCarthy, Jimmy Barnes, the whole team, they did a fantastic job. They kept it together. Here I am and I'm looking forward. I'm getting ready for Del Mar. This is where it all started for me, training quarter horses, so it's always been a special place for me. I'm just glad to be back.”

Despite Baffert's record in the Los Alamitos Derby, the betting public made Slow Down Andy (Nyquist) the favorite for trainer Doug O'Neill. But High Connection, ridden by Juan Hernandez, got past his rival in mid-stretch to prevail. He paid $5.40. Baffert also sent out Doppelganger (Into Mischief) in the race. He finished fourth.

Baffert will have one starter Sunday at Los Alamitos, Spooky Lady (Ghostzapper) in a maiden special weight race for fillies and mares.

Baffert remains ineligible for now to race at Churchill Downs, Churchill Downs-owned tracks and at the NYRA tracks. NYRA and Churchill suspended the trainer, a penalty separate from the Kentucky Racing Commission suspension.

Baffert returned to work on July 3, showing up at his barn at Santa Anita.

“It feels like the first day of school,” Baffert told the Los Angeles Times after his first day back.

Baffert said Barnes, his longtime assistant, was the first to greet him.

“He came over and gave me a big ole hug,” Baffert told the Times. “He said, 'Thank goodness, you're back.' I haven't talked to Jimmy since I left. Our whole barn is like a family, I've known them all for so long.”

Baffert told the Times that most of his owners stood by him during his suspension. He did lose at least one important horse as 2021 2-year-old champ 'TDN Rising Star' Corniche (Quality Road) was transferred to the Todd Pletcher barn.

“I lost some horses. Some owners are still waiting [to see what happens],” he told the Times. “I lost Corniche. That hurt. All in all, I've got great group of owners. They hung there in there with me, they know the truth and the facts.”

Baffert has fought all the charges and allegations thrown his way, but did admit to the Times that he made at least one mistake along the way.

“If I had to do anything different, I wouldn't have had a press conference,” Baffert told the paper. “But it was out there and [the media] was waiting….I was trying to get ahead of it. I was convinced after talking to my veterinarians, that [the positive] was impossible. Then it dawned on them 48 hours later, be careful with the [ointment] Otomax.”

During his absence, most of his horses were trained by his former assistant Tim Yakteen and McCarthy. Racing for Yakteen, Taiba (Gun Runner) won the GI Runhappy Santa Anita Derby before finishing 12th in the GI Kentucky Derby. Taiba, along with stablemate Pinehurst (Twirling Candy), have been nominated to the GI TVG.com Haskell S. on July 23 at Monmouth Park. Baffert has won the Haskell nine times.

Baffert can also begin to focus on the upcoming Del Mar meet, where he normally unveils what is always a well-stocked arsenal of 2-year-old talent. Baffert had 20 winners at last year's summer meet at Del Mar, finishing second in the standings behind Peter Miller, who had 26 wins.

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