Tag: Cheltenham Festival Stats

Champion Bumper Stats Cheltenham Wednesday 13th March

The Champion Bumper at Cheltenham is a key race that provides insights into the potential future stars of National Hunt racing. Here’s a summary of the trends that have characterized the winners of this race:

Age:

All of the last 12 winners were aged 5 or 6.

Price:

3 of the last 12 winners were favourites, and 7 of the 12 winners were in the top 3 in the betting.

Last Run:

All of the last 12 winners won on their previous run before the Champion Bumper, and 7 of the 12 winners ran within the last 39 days.

Previous Course Form:

2 of the last 12 winners had at least 1 previous run at Cheltenham, and both had 1 previous win at Cheltenham.

Previous Distance Form:

All of the last 12 winners had at least 1 run over 15-17 furlongs, 11 of the 12 winners had at least 2 previous runs over this distance, and all had at least 1 previous win, with 8 having at least 2 previous wins.

Previous NH Flat Form:

All of the last 12 winners had at least 2 previous NH flat runs, all had at least 1 previous NH flat win, and 10 had at least 2 previous NH flat wins.

Rating:

All of the last 12 winners were rated 118 or higher.

Season Form:

All of the last 12 winners had at least 1 run and 1 win that season.

Future Form Trends:

7 of the last 12 winners won on their next run after Cheltenham, and 3 placed on their next run.
8 of the last 12 winners ran in the Champion Flat Race (Punchestown) next time out, with 4 of those winning and 3 placing.

Rest of The Season Runs:

7 of the last 12 winners ran in at least 1 more race that season, with 3 winning at least 1 more race, and 2 placing in at least 1 more race.

Next Cheltenham Festival Run:

3 of the last 12 winners ran in the Supreme Novice Hurdle at the next Cheltenham Festival, with 1 winning and 1 placing.
2 of the last 12 winners ran in the Ballymore Novices Hurdle at the next Cheltenham Festival, with both winning.

Queen Mother Champion Chase Cheltenham Wednesday 13th March

The Queen Mother Champion Chase at Cheltenham is one of the most prestigious two-mile steeplechases in the National Hunt calendar. It’s a race that requires speed, agility, and flawless jumping. Here’s a summary of the key trends that have characterized the winners of this race:

Age:

Most winners are aged between 7 and 9, indicating that horses in this prime age bracket have the right mix of maturity and vigor.

Betting Odds:

Favourites have a good track record, with 5 of the last 12 winners being favourites.
Moreover, 11 out of the last 12 winners were in the top 3 in the betting, suggesting that the betting market is a good predictor of success.

Recent Form:

Winning form is crucial, with 6 of the last 12 winners having won their last run before the Queen Mother Champion Chase.
Additionally, 9 out of the last 12 winners ran within the last 53 days, indicating that recent racing activity is beneficial.

Course Experience:

Previous runs at Cheltenham are advantageous, with 11 out of the last 12 winners having at least one previous run at the course, and 8 having at least one win there.

Distance Form:

Experience over the race distance is important, with all of the last 12 winners having at least 8 previous runs over 15-17 furlongs, and 10 having at least 6 wins over this distance.

Chase Form:

A strong track record in chases is key, with 11 out of the last 12 winners having at least 7 previous chase runs, and all winners having at least 5 previous chase wins.

Rating:

High ratings are indicative of a horse’s potential, with 10 out of the last 12 winners being rated 164 or higher.

Grade Wins:

Success in graded races is common among winners, with all of the last 12 winners having at least one Grade 1 win and at least one Grade 2 win.

Season Form:

Consistent performance throughout the season is important, with 11 out of the last 12 winners having at least 2 runs that season, and all winners having at least one win that season.

Trends
Age:

10 of the last 12 winners were aged between 7 and 9.

Price:

5 of the last 12 winners were favourites, and 11 of the 12 winners were in the top 3 in the betting.

Last Run:

6 of the last 12 winners won on their last run before the Queen Mother Champion Chase, and 9 of the 12 winners ran within the last 53 days.
8 of the last 12 winners ran in the Clarence House Chase (Ascot) on their last run, with 4 of those winning and 2 placing.

Previous Course Form:

11 of the last 12 winners had at least 1 previous run at Cheltenham, and 8 of the 12 winners had a previous win at Cheltenham.

Previous Distance Form:

All of the last 12 winners had at least 8 previous runs over 15-17 furlongs, and 10 of the 12 winners had at least 6 wins over this distance.

Previous Chase Form:

11 of the last 12 winners had at least 7 previous chase runs, and all 12 winners had at least 5 previous chase wins.

Rating:

10 of the last 12 winners were rated 164 or higher.

Grade 1 Wins:

All 12 winners had at least 1 Grade 1 win.

Grade 2 Wins:

All 12 winners had at least 1 Grade 2 win.

Season Form:

11 of the last 12 winners had at least 2 runs that season, and all 12 winners had at least 1 win that season.

Future Form:

The race often serves as a stepping stone to further success, with 9 of the last 12 winners winning on their next run after the Queen Mother Champion Chase.

These trends provide valuable insights into the profiles of past winners and can be a useful guide for predicting future outcomes in the Queen Mother Champion Chase at Cheltenham.

Brown Advisory Novices Chase Cheltenham Wednesday 13th March

The Brown Advisory Novices’ Chase, a prominent Grade 1 race at the Cheltenham Festival, is a key event for novice chasers. A review of historical data reveals trends that can be instrumental in predicting potential winners. Here’s a summary of the most significant trends:

Age and Experience:

The majority of winners are 7 years old, suggesting that this age provides the optimal balance of youth and experience for this race.

Betting Odds:

Favourites have a strong track record, with half of the last 12 winners being favourites.
Moreover, 9 out of the last 12 winners were in the top 3 in the betting, indicating that the betting market is a reliable indicator of a horse’s chances.

Recent Performance:

Winning form is crucial, with 7 of the last 12 winners having won their last run before the Brown Advisory Novices’ Chase.
All winners placed in their previous run, and every winner had their last run within 77 days of the race.

Course Experience:

Previous runs at Cheltenham are beneficial, with 11 out of the last 12 winners having at least one previous run at the course, and 8 having at least one win there.

Distance Form:

Experience over the race distance is important, with 9 out of the last 12 winners having at least two previous runs over 23-25 furlongs, and 10 having at least one win over this distance.

Hurdle and Chase Form:

A strong track record over hurdles is key, with all winners having at least 4 runs over hurdles, and 10 out of the last 12 winners having at least 2 wins over hurdles.
Similarly, 10 out of the last 12 winners had at least 3 previous chase runs, and 11 had at least one previous chase win, with 8 having at least 2 chase wins.

Rating:

High ratings are indicative of a horse’s potential, with all winners in the last 12 years being rated 150 or higher.

Graded Wins:

Success in graded races is common among winners, with 9 out of the last 12 winners having at least one previous win in a grade 1-3 race.

Trends
Age:

9 of the last 12 winners were aged 7.

Price:

5 of the last 12 winners were favourites, and 9 of the 12 winners were in the top 3 in the betting.

Last Run:

7 of the last 12 winners won on their last run before the Brown Advisory Novices’ Chase.
10 of the 12 winners at least placed on their previous run before Cheltenham.
All 12 winners’ last run was within 77 days.

Previous Course Form:

11 of the 12 winners had at least 1 previous run at Cheltenham.
8 of the 12 winners had at least 1 previous win at Cheltenham.

Previous Distance Form:

9 of the 12 winners had at least 2 previous runs over 23-25 furlongs.
10 of the 12 had at least 1 win over 23-25 furlongs.

Previous Hurdle Form:

11 of the 12 winners had at least 4 runs over hurdles.
10 of the 12 winners had at least 2 wins over hurdles.
Previous Chase Form:

10 of the 12 winners had at least 3 previous chase runs.
11 of the 12 winners had at least 1 previous chase win.
8 of the 12 winners had at least 2 previous chase wins.

Rating:

10 of the 12 winners were rated 150 or higher.
Graded Wins:

9 of the 12 winners had previously won a grade 1-3 race.
Season Form:

10 of the 12 winners had at least 3 runs that season.
11 of the 12 had at least 1 win that season.

Season Form:

Consistent performance throughout the season is important, with 10 out of the last 12 having at least 3 runs that season, and all winners having at least one win that season.
Future Form:

The race often serves as a stepping stone to further success, with 3 of the last 12 winners winning on their next run after the Brown Advisory Novices’ Hurdle.

 

Baring Bingham Novices’ Hurdle Cheltenham Stat

The Baring Bingham Novices’ Hurdle, a Grade 1 race at the Cheltenham Festival, is a significant event in the National Hunt racing calendar. Over the years, certain trends have emerged that can help identify potential winners. Here’s a summary of the most influential trends:

Age Factor:

A majority of winners are aged 5 or 6, indicating that horses in this age bracket have the right mix of youth and maturity for this race.

Betting Odds:

Favourites have a strong track record, with 6 of the last 12 winners being favourites.
Additionally, 10 out of the last 12 winners were in the top 3 in the betting, suggesting that the betting market is a good indicator of a horse’s chances.

Recent Performance:

The form is crucial, with 10 of the last 12 winners having won their last run before the Baring Bingham Novices’ Hurdle.
All winners placed in their previous run, and 9 out of the last 12 winners ran within the last 66 days.

Course Experience:

Previous runs at Cheltenham are beneficial, with 3 out of the last 12 winners having at least one previous run at the course, and the same number having a previous win at Cheltenham.

Distance Form:

Experience over the race distance is important, with 11 out of the last 12 winners having at least one previous run over 19-21 furlongs, and 7 having at least two previous runs over this distance.

Hurdle Form:

A strong track record over hurdles is key, with all winners having at least 2 runs over hurdles, and 11 out of the last 12 winners having at least 2 previous wins over hurdles.

Rating:

High ratings are indicative of a horse’s potential, with all winners in the last 12 years being rated 146 or higher.

Graded Wins:

Success in graded races is common among winners, with 9 out of the last 12 winners having at least one previous win in a grade 1-3 race.

Season Form:

Consistent performance throughout the season is important, with 9 out of the last 12 having at least 3 runs that season, and all winners having at least one win that season.

Future Form:

The race is often a stepping stone to further success, with 8 of the last 12 winners winning on their next run after the Baring Bingham Novices’ Hurdle.