Saturday Insights: Another Tatts Purchase For Klaravich, Brown

Sponsored by Alex Nichols Agency
8th-BEL, $90K, Msw, 3/up, f/m, 1 1/16mT, post time: 4:38 p.m.
Seth Klarman's Klaravich Stables has successfully shopped the Tattersalls October sale over the past several years, using the services of Mike Ryan to acquire MGISWs Domestic Spending (GB) (Kingman {GB}) and Newspaperofrecord (Ire) (Lope de Vega {Ire}) and GISW Digital Age (GB) (Invincible Spirit {Ire}). INFINITE POTENTIAL (IRE) (Invincible Spirit {Ire}) was purchased by Ryan for 300,000gns at the 2018 October sale, a handful of months after her half-sister Ejtyah (GB) (Frankel {GB}) finished third in the G3 Tattersalls Musidora S. at York. Infinite Potential's granddam, 1999 G1 Prix de Diane heroine Daryaba (Ire) (Night Shift), produced five winners from 10 to race, including G1 Hong Kong Vase winner Daryakana (Fr) (Selkirk), in turn the dam of French highweight and G1SW Dariyan (Fr) (Shamardal) and Devamani (Fr) (Dubawi {Ire}), winner of the GII Knickerbocker S. for Brown last October. TJCIS PPs

Half-Million Dollar Son of Champion Hillaby Debuts…
4th-GP, $47K, Msw, 3yo, 7 1/2fT, post time: 1:49 p.m. ET
Stonestreet Stable & Harrell Ventures' DUTCH TEDDY (Medaglia d'Oro) is the second foal out of Hillaby (Distorted Humor), a two-time winner from four stars for Eugene Melnyk before selling to Stonestreet for $500K as part of the owner's dispersal at the 2014 Fasig-Tipton Horses of Racing Age Sale. The daughter of Melnyk's Canadian Horse of the Year/Ch. 3yo Filly/Ch. Grass Mare Sealy Hill (Point Given) added a pair of victories in the Stonestreet colors, securing a Sovereign Award with a tally in the 2014 GII Bessarabian S. Dutch Teddy is bred on the exact same cross as MGISWs Elate and New Money Honey as well as current Hong Kong standout and MG1SW Golden Sixty (Aus). TJCIS PPs

Well-Pedigreed Firster Can Make a 'Splash'…
7th-GP, $47K, Msw, 3yo/up, 6f, post time: 3:27 p.m. ET
SPLASHTOWN (Speightstown) is likely worth a great deal more than the $300,000 agent Frankie Brothers paid for the colt on behalf of Starlight Racing at the 2019 Fasig-Tipton October Yearling Sale. The bay colt's year-older half-sister was still about five months away from having her first career start at that point, but it's been nothing but blue skies since for 'TDN Rising Star' Gamine (Into Mischief), the reigning champion female sprinter who made last weekend's Derby City Distaff S. the fourth Grade I success of her career. Stonestreet has since bought back into Splashtown, who will have to work out a trip from the widest gate in a field of 11. He enters off a bullet five-furlong move at Palm Beach Downs in 1:01 1/5 May 1. TJCIS PPs

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Weekend Lineup: Five Graded Stakes At Belmont Saturday

TVG will be broadcasting racing throughout the weekend from Santa Anita and Gulfstream Park, and more. Fans can tune in on TVG, TVG2 and the Watch TVG app, which is available on Amazon Fire, Roku and connected Apple TV devices.

“America's Day at the Races” will be live on Saturday, May 8 on FS2 from 2-6:30 p.m. featuring the live programming at Belmont Park, which gets into full swing with five graded stakes. The Grade 3 Peter Pan Stakes, the local a prep for the Grade 1 Belmont Stakes on June 5, and the Grade 1 Man o' War on turf, will be the highlights of the day. On Sunday, May 9, “America's Day at the Races” will air on FS2 from 12:30-6 p.m. ET.

Saturday, May 8

2:31 p.m. ―$150,000 Grade 3 Runhappy Stakes at Belmont Park on FS2

Mr. Amore Stable's 6-year-old Florida homebred Firenze Fire, a winner of 12 races and more than $2.2 million, is the 4-5 morning line favorite against four rivals in the Grade 3 $150,000 Runhappy Stakes for 4-year-olds and up at 6 furlongs. Trained by Kelly Breen, Firenze Fire, ridden by the three-time Eclipse Award-winner, Irad Ortiz Jr., is making his 2021 debut. Last year, Firenze Fire won two Grade 2 stakes races at Belmont, capturing the True North in June and the Vosburgh in September. Following the Vosburgh, Firenze Fire finished a fast-closing third in the Grade 1 Breeders' Cup Sprint at Keeneland. Michael Dubb's Chateau earned his first graded- stakes score in March when the Rob Atras-trained 6-year-old gelding captured the Grade 3 Tom Fool Handicap at Aqueduct. Chateau will try to rebound from a well-beaten fourth-place finish in the Grade 1 Carter Handicap on April 3.

Entries: https://www.equibase.com/static/entry/BEL050821USA4-EQB.html

3:34 p.m. ―$150,000 Grade 3 Beaugay Stakes at Belmont Park on FS2

Three fillies and mares out of last year's Grade 1 Maker's Mark Filly & Mare Turf ― Harvey's Lil Goil (third), Civil Union (fifth) and Nay Lady Nay (IRE) (eighth) ― will be making their 2021 debuts on Saturday in Belmont's $150,000 Grade 3 Beaugay Stakes at 1 1/16 miles on turf. Trained by Bill Mott, and breaking from the rail under Junior Alvarado, Harvey's Lil Goil won the Grade 3 Regret at Churchill Downs and the Grade 1 Queen Elizabeth II Challenge Cup at Keeneland last year. Allen Stable's 6-year-old mare Civil Union, a winner five times in nine starts for trainer Shug McGaughey, captured the Grade 2 Glens Falls Stakes at Saratoga and the Grade 1 Flower Bowl at Belmont in 2020. Last year, the Chad Brown-trained Nay Lady Nay won the Grade 3 WinStar Matchmaker Stakes at Monmouth Park and was third in the Flower Bowl.

Entries: https://www.equibase.com/static/entry/BEL050821USA6-EQB.html

4:06 p.m. ―$150,000 Grade 3 Vagrancy Handicap at Belmont Park on FS2

Holly Hill Stables' 6-year-old Pacific Gale leads seven fillies and mares in a wide open renewal of the Grade 3 Vagrancy Stakes at 6 ½ furlongs. Trained by John Kimmel and ridden from post six by John Velazquez, Pacific Gale, third in last year's Vagrancy, has won both her starts this year, taking the Grade 2 Inside Information and the Grade 3 Hurricane Bertie at Gulfstream Park this winter. Stepping into graded-stakes company for the first time, the Brad Cox-trained French Empire is also unbeaten this year, coming from off the pace to win her last two starts at Oaklawn Park. Tommy Town Thoroughbreds' 5-year-old Victim of Love, trained by Todd Beattie, is the defending champion, winning last year's Vagrancy by 1 ¾ lengths at 27-1. Victim of Love, who was third, beaten 2 ½ lengths, in last year's Grade 1 Ballerina at Saratoga, finished second in an allowance optional claiming race at Laurel Park on Feb. 26 in her lone start this year.

Entries: https://www.equibase.com/static/entry/BEL050821USA7-EQB.html

5:12 p.m. ―$200,000 Grade 3 Peter Pan Stakes at Belmont Park on FS2

Klaravich Stables' Risk Taking is the 7-5 morning line favorite against five fellow 3-year-olds for Saturday's $200,000 Grade 3 Peter Pan Stakes, the local prep for the Grade 1 Belmont Stakes on June 5. After rocketing down the Aqueduct stretch to win the Grade 3 Withers Stakes by 3 ¾ lengths, Risk Taking will try to rebound off his seventh-place finish in the Grade 2 Wood Memorial on April 3 as the 5-2 favorite. Irad Ortiz Jr., the nation's leading money-earning rider, has the mount from post six. Michael Shanley's Nova Rags, a chestnut son of 2012 Belmont Stakes winner Union Rags, won the Pasco Stakes at Tampa Bay Downs in February and then was second in Grade 3 Sam F. Davis Stakes , and fourth in the Grade 1 Curlin Florida Derby for trainer Bill Mott. Recent Hall of Fame inductee Todd Pletcher sends out Overtook, second in the Withers, and Promise Keeper, a 5 ½-length allowance optional claiming winner at Keeneland on April 8.

Entries: https://www.equibase.com/static/entry/BEL050821USA9-EQB.html

5:44 p.m. ―$700,000 Grade 1 Man o' War at Belmont Park on FS2

New York's first Grade 1 turf event of 2021 brings international intrigue to Belmont Park on Saturday as Michael Tabor, Mrs. John Magnier and Derrick Smith's 5-year-old Sovereign (IRE), winner of the 2019 Group 1 Irish Derby, makes his U.S. debut under new trainer Chad Brown, headlining an eight-horse field for the 1 3/8-mile Man o' War Stakes. Formerly trained by Aidan O'Brien, Sovereign was second by 5 ½ lengths to Enable (GB) in last year's Group 1 King George VI and Queen Elizabeth Stakes at Ascot. He has not started since finishing third in the Bahrain International Trophy at Sakhir on Nov. 20. Irad Ortiz Jr. has the mount breaking from post one. Otter Bend Stables' 4-year-old Gufo has a Grade 1 victory among his five wins in eight starts, taking the Belmont Invitational Derby last October for trainer Christophe Clement. He was also a fast-closing third in the Grade 1 Hollywood Derby last out on Nov. 28. The Bill Mott-trained Moon Over Miami was third in the Grade 3 MacDiarmida and second in the Grade 2 Pan American at Gulfstream Park in his last two starts. Three Diamonds Farm's Field Pass chased Raging Bull into the stretch of the Grade 1 Maker's Mark Mile at Keenland on April 9, before winding up fourth.

Entries: https://www.equibase.com/static/entry/BEL050821USA10-EQB.html

7:19 p.m. ―$100,000 Grade 3 Santa Barbara Stakes at Santa Anita Park on TVG

LNJ Foxwood's 5-year-old Tapwater is the 9-5 morning line favorite against seven fillies and mares in Saturday 1 ½-mile Grade 3 Santa Barbara Stakes at Santa Anita Park. Seeking her first graded stakes win, Tapwater, a gray/roan daughter of Tapit, is trained by Richard Mandella and will be ridden from post three by Flavien Prat. Tapwater finished fourth, beaten four lengths, in her previous start, the Grade 2 Royal Heroine at Santa Anita on April 3. Canadian-bred Rideforthecause, trained by Michael McCarthy, seventh in the Royal Heroine, won last year's Grade 2 Canadian Stakes at Woodbine for trainer Gail Cox. Madaket Stables, Laura De Seroux, Marsha Naify and Mathilde Powell's Neige Blanche (FR) has raced four times in the U.S. since coming over from France last year, with her best finish being a third in last September's Grade 1 Belmont Oaks Invitational.

Entries: https://www.equibase.com/static/entry/SA050821USA7-EQB.html

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Equibase Analysis: Comebacking Gufo Well-Spotted In Man O’ War

Saturday's Grade 1, $700,000 Man o' War Stakes at Belmont Park drew a field of eight top level marathon turf runners with seven having proven competitive at this level in races around North America. Then there's Sovereign, making his North American debut and returning to the races after last racing in November. Sovereign has earned $1.14 million in his career, top in this field, the bulk of that when winning the Group 1 Irish Derby in the summer of 2019.

Next in terms of earnings is Channel Cat, who won the Grade 2 Bowling Green Stakes in the summer of 2019 as well and who finished second in the Grade 2 Elkhorn Stakes in his most recent race. Another horse which earned a big win in 2019 but not since is Ziyad, who was victorious in the Group 1 Grand Prix de Deauville in August of that year. He makes his third start in the U.S. since importing last fall and has two third place efforts since then. Gufo won the Grade 1 Belmont Derby over this course last fall and just missed in the Grade 1 Hollywood Derby before taking time off, returning for his 2021 debut in this race.

Moon Over Miami won the Dueling Grounds Derby last summer, a race which doesn't yet carry a graded designation but with a seven-hundred thousand dollar purse similar to that of the Man o' War. Field Pass won the Grade 3 Ontario Derby and the Grade 3 Transylvania Stakes last year and makes his second start of 2021 following a fourth place effort in the Grade 1 Maker's Mark Mile. Shamrocket has two wins in 13 career races, none in a stakes race although he was third in the Dueling Grounds Derby last summer. So High rounds out the field and is running in a stakes race for the first time while still eligible for allowance races.

Gufo returns to racing following five months off but that is of no concern when coming back in a marathon on turf like the Man o' War Stakes. Gufo won the second through fifth starts of his career starting in December, 2019, through July of last year when taking the Kent Stakes, then just missed by a head in the $500,000 Saratoga Derby Invitational in August. Next, in his first and only start on the Belmont turf, Gufo won the Belmont Derby in October with a 104 ™ Equibase® Speed Figure which was very strong for a 3-year-old.

In his final race of the year, Gufo was exceptionally game when rallying from last of 11 to be in a three horse photo on the wire, losing by a head and a neck with a 107 figure. The horses which beat him that day, Domestic Spending and Smooth Like Strait, are near the top of the turf division in North America having just finished first (in a dead heat) and third last weekend in the Old Forester Bourbon Turf Classic Stakes. Now a more physically mature 4-year-old, Gufo should run even better than he did last year and that makes him the one to beat in this year's Man o' War Stakes.

Field Pass is also a 4-year-old and has a similar pattern to Gufo which suggests he could run a big race in this situation. Last summer, Field Pass proved his stakes quality when winning the Audubon Stakes and Transylvania Stakes in succession. In October, Field Pass earned a career-best figures of 109 when third in the Twilight Derby, won by Smooth Like Strait (who finished third in the Turf Classic last weekend). After winning the Ontario Derby on all-weather in November with a new career-best 110 figure, Field Pass finished fourth in the Mathis Brothers Mile Stakes (won by Smooth like Strait) before resting to begin his 2021 campaign.

In his comeback race last month, Field Pass was not disgraced when finishing fourth of nine in the Maker's Mark Mile and appears very well spotted to improve considerably in his second start of the year to be a factor in this race. Although he's never run this far, as a son of Lemon Drop Kid he should have no problem successfully running the distance because a STATS Race Lens query reveals the sire has produced four top graded stakes winners at similar distances.

Sovereign has been working steadily in Florida and New York for his U. S. debut. He is now in the barn of top trainer Chad Brown, who has a very strong knack with having his horses coming back from layoffs and making their U.S. debuts in top shape. A STATS Race Lens query reveals over the last five years, Brown has won with six of 22 (27%) similar starters in graded stakes. Sovereign earned the biggest win of his career when winning the Irish Derby in 2019 easily by six lengths. Since then, Sovereign has finished second or third in five races. One of those was when second to the incomparable mare Enable in the King George VI and Queen Elizabeth Stakes last summer at Ascot, an effort which earned a 117 figure good enough to win the Man o' War if repeated.

Honorable mention has to go to Ziyad, who earned a 111 figure last October in his U.S. debut when third and beaten just two lengths in the Sycamore Stakes. Similarly, Channel Cat earned a 115 figure last month when second in the mile and one-half Elkhorn Stakes. As such I wouldn't argue with anyone who considered them contenders to win this race.

Also, Moon over Miami earned a decent 109 figure when second in the Pan American Stakes at a mile and one-half at the end of March and may fit as a contender as well. I don't feel the same way about Shamrocket, who although earning a 109 figure at the end of March did so at a mile and one-eighth and in a non-graded stakes so appears a bit overmatched. So High is definitely overmatched in this field as his best effort earned an 89 figure and he is still eligible for the first allowance condition as well as was running in a claiming level race as recently as December.

Win Contenders:
Gufo
Field Pass
Sovereign (IRE)

Man o' War Stakes – Grade 1
Race 10 at Belmont
Saturday, May 8 – Post Time 5:44 PM E.T.
One Mile and Three Eighths on Turf
Four Year Olds and Upward
Purse: $700,000

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Versatile Harvey’s Lil Goil Tops Field Of Six In Beaugay

Multiple Grade 1 Breeders' Cup Filly and Mare Turf participants will make their first respective starts of 2021, with Harvey's Lil Goil, Civil Union and Nay Lady Nay comprising a six-horse field in Saturday's Grade 3, $150,000 Beaugay at Belmont Park.

The 44th running of the Beaugay, a 1 1/16-mile inner turf test for older fillies and mares, will see Harvey's Lil Goil, the third-place finisher of the Breeders' Cup contest going 1 3/16 miles on the Keeneland turf in November, make her 4-year-old debut for Hall of Fame trainer Bill Mott.

Owned by the Estate of Harvey A. Clarke and Paul Braverman, the daughter of 2015 Triple Crown-winning Hall of Famer American Pharoah won a pair of graded stakes in her sophomore campaign, capturing the Grade 3 Regret in June at Churchill Downs going 1 1/8 miles in just her second career turf start.

Next-out, Mott returned her to the main track, where she had run her three previous starts [including a win the Busanda in February 2020 at Aqueduct Racetrack], and she ran third in the Grade 1 Alabama in August at Saratoga Race Course.

The versatile Harvey's Lil Goil was then switched back to grass, where she found a comfort zone in running second in the Dueling Grounds Oaks in September at Kentucky Downs before besting next-out winner Micheline to win the Grade 1 Queen Elizabeth II Challenge Cup in October at Keeneland. That preceded her Breeders' Cup effort, where she ran just a neck and a head behind the winner Audarya and runner-up Rushing Fall in a blanket finish, registering a career-best 102 Beyer Speed Figure.

Mott said her success on both surfaces keeps options open, though a strong Beaugay effort could facilitate a start in the Grade 2, $750,000 New York going 1 1/4 miles on the turf on June 4.

“She's been doing fine. We're happy with her,” Mott said. “Interestingly enough, we think she's one that can do both. First things first, if she runs well in the Beaugay we could come back in the New York.”

Junior Alvarado, aboard for the Breeders' Cup effort, will have the return call from the inside post.

Allen Stable's Civil Union is also making her way back to the track after a successful 2020 that saw her win 4-of-6 starts, with all victories coming consecutively. Civil Union posted back-to-back graded scores, with a one-length win in the 1 3/8-mile Grade 2 Glens Falls in September at Saratoga and the 1 1/4-mile Grade 1 Flower Bowl in October at Belmont.

In nine career starts, Civil Union has never posted a Beyer Figure that was less than her previous start, commencing with a 78 for her first-out win in August 2018 and culminating with a personal-best 99 for a competitive fifth-place effort in Breeders' Cup Filly and Mare Turf.

Civil Union, who had been training at Payson Park in Florida, shipped to Belmont and recorded two works. The 6-year-old War Front mare first worked four furlongs on the main track on April 18 and then posted a half-mile breeze in 47.88 seconds on the inner turf course on Sunday.
“She's been doing real good and we're excited to get her out there,” McGaughey said. “I think she likes Belmont. The distance, going a mile and a sixteenth, might not be the perfect spot, but we just need to get her going.”

Joel Rosario will ride from post 5.

Nay Lady Nay will be making her first start at Belmont since running third in the Flower Bowl in October. After running eighth in the Breeders' Cup Filly and Mare Turf, the Irish-bred 5-year-old will look to record a fourth consecutive Beaugay victory for trainer Chad Brown, who won the 2018-20 editions with A Raving Beauty, Homerique and Rushing Fall. Brown has won this race four times in total, starting with Waterway Run in 2014.

Nay Lady Nay won the Grade 3 Matchmaker going 1 1/8 miles in July at Monmouth Park, adding to her first graded stakes score in the 2019 Grade 2 Mrs. Revere.

“She certainly seems like she's training well,” Brown said of her recent works at Belmont including a five-furlong breeze Sunday in 1:02.54 over the inner turf.

Hall of Famer Javier Castellano will be in the irons from post 3.

Peter Brant's Lemista a dual group stakes-winner in her native Ireland will be making her North American debut after winning four of seven races for previous trainer G.M. Lyons. Brown has taken over the conditioning responsibilities for the 4-year-old Raven's Pass filly, who spent the winter training at Payson Park before shipping to New York and working twice at Belmont in preparation for her first start since September.

“She wouldn't mind some cut in the ground,” Brown said. “She shows some turn-of-foot during her training in the morning. We're really just excited to get the season underway.”

Irad Ortiz, Jr. will ride from post 2.

Bass Stables' Thankful will be trying a surface change after going 3-1-1 in eight main track starts in her career. Trained by newly named Hall of Famer Todd Pletcher, Thankful started her 4-year-old campaign strong with a win in the Ladies Handicap going 1 1/8 miles over the Aqueduct main track before finishing out of the money in the Heavenly Prize and the Top Flight Invitational.

Luis Saez will have the call in Thankful's turf debut, departing from post 6.

Just In Time Racing's Platinum Paynter, second last out in the one-mile Plenty of Grace over the Aqueduct turf on April 11, will make her first start at Belmont for trainer Juan Vazquez. Luis Rodriguez Castro will ride from post 4.

The Beaugay, listed as Race 6 on the 11-race card, is one of five graded stakes on the Saturday program. The day will be highlighted by the Grade 1, $700,000 Man o' War for 4-year-olds and up going 1 3/8 miles on the turf; the Grade 3, $200,000 Peter Pan for sophomores going 1 1/8 miles in a prep race for the Grade 1, $1.5 million Belmont Stakes; the Grade 3, $150,000 Runhappy for 4-year-olds and up going six furlongs; and the Grade 3, $150,000 Vagrancy for older fillies and mares competing at 6 1/2 furlongs on the main track. First post is 1 p.m. Eastern.

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