Friday’s Racing Insights: Bevy of Pricey, Well-Bred Runners Squeeze in ’21 Starts

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2nd-TAM, $26.5K, Msw, 3yo/up, 1m40yds, 1:08 p.m. ET
   While their other four competitors are a combined 0-for-37, late-debuting newcomers Aussie Pride (Curlin) and Mint (Bodemeister) sport huge pedigrees and in one case, a massive price tag. The former, who carries the Godolphin blue for trainer Bill Mott, was the second topper at the 2019 Keeneland September sale at a gaudy $4.1 million. He's out of New Zealand champion sprinter Bounding (Aus) (Lonhro {Aus}), who is a half to G1 Investec Derby hero Anthony Van Dyck (Ire) (Galileo {Ire}). Mint's dam Flawless (Mr. Greeley), meanwhile, was a $4.1-million FTKNOV buyback last year one day after her son Authentic (Into Mischief) completed his Horse of the Year campaign with a GI Breeders' Cup Classic score. Arnaud Delacour trains Mint for breeder Peter Blum. TJCIS PPs

7th-GP, $54K, Alw, (S), 2yo, 7f, 3:29 p.m. ET
   Repole Stable and St Elias Stable's So Determined (Into Mischief) takes on a couple of stakes-placed runners in his first try against winners. The $875,000 Keeneland September yearling is out of a full-sister to SW Summer House (Tiznow) from the family of MGSW and successful Louisiana-based sire Custom for Carlos (More Than Ready). Second in his local unveiling Oct. 2, he broke through by 4 1/2 lengths going 5 1/2 panels Nov. 14. TJCIS PPs

4th-SA, $67K, Msw, 2yo, 6 1/2f, 5:00 p.m. ET
   This first of two divisions of well-bred sprinting maidens features The Avengers' $625,000 Keeneland September buy McLaren Vale (Gun Runner). A $200,000 KEEJAN in utero seller and $325,000 Keeneland November weanling, the Bob Baffert trainee is out of a half-sister to the dam of Triple Crown winner and Horse of the Year Justify. Richard Baltas pupil Balladeer (Distorted Humor), who cost $355,000 at the Fasig-Tipton Select Yearling Showcase, is out of a Galileo (Ire) half-sister to GI Belmont S. and GI Breeders' Cup Classic winner Drosselmeyer (Distorted Humor). Several in here show solid running lines, including Doug O'Neill-trained last-out Del Mar third-place finishers Godsend (Midshipman, $80,000 OBSAPR {:20 4/5}); and B Dawk (Gormley, $425,000 FTMMAY {:10 1/5}). TJCIS PPs

6th-SA, $67K, Msw, 2yo, 6 1/2f, 6:00 p.m. ET
   West Point Thoroughbreds and Talla Racing LLC's Got Thunder (Arrogate) will look to go one better here after finishing second at 19-10 to Newgrange (Violence), whose high-profile connections, nicknamed The Avengers, will be represented this time around by Wharton (Candy Ride {Arg}) and Armagnac (Quality Road). Got Thunder was a $155,000 Keeneland September yearling turned $750,000 OBSAPR grad off a :10 flat bullet breeze. He's half to MGISW turfer Heart to Heart (English Channel) and MGSP Lady Traveler (Quality Road). Click for Steve Sherack's 'Second Chances' feature on Got Thunder after his Nov. 28 unveiling at Del Mar.

Wharton was a $475,000 September buy and is out of GISW sprinter Her Smile (Include), making him half to MGSW Pink Sands (Tapit). Armagnac, who cost $210,000 at the same auction, is out of turf stakes winner Kitty Wine (Lemon Drop Kid), who also set a track record on the Keeneland Polytrack over the Beard Course. TJCIS PPs

8th-OP, $120K, Alw, 2yo, f, 1m, 6:00 p.m. ET
   Muddy Waters Stables LLC's Hypersport (Blame) stretches out off a super-sharp and head-turning second-out score here Dec. 3 that earned an 87 Beyer Speed Figure and surely some phone calls to her connections. The $100,000 September yearling was previously runner-up at Keeneland Oct . 21. Three other fillies already own black-type: Brad Cox-trained Goldolphin homebred Matareya (Pioneerof the Nile) was second in Churchill's Fern Creek S. last time Nov. 27; Benedict Canyon (Midnight Lute) was third in Santa Anita's Anoakia S. Oct. 24 and makes the move from Bob Baffert to Steve Asmussen off a fifth-place run in the GI Starlet S.; and value buy Red Hot Mess (Shackleford), upset winner of the White Clay Creek S. at Delaware Oct. 13, comes in off a far-back finish in Belmont's Tempted S. TJCIS PPs

The post Friday’s Racing Insights: Bevy of Pricey, Well-Bred Runners Squeeze in ’21 Starts appeared first on TDN | Thoroughbred Daily News | Horse Racing News, Results and Video | Thoroughbred Breeding and Auctions.

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Into Mischief Again Scaling New Heights

As both prototype and paragon for a whole new era in commercial breeding, Into Mischief can increasingly be measured only against himself. Last year, in retaining the general sires' championship he had won for the first time in 2019, the Spendthrift phenomenon became the first North American stallion to break the $20-million barrier in progeny earnings. He ended up on $22,507,940, bulldozing Tapit's 2016 haul of $19,914,317. Now, as an overlooked consequence of Breeders' Cup success for his latest star Life Is Good, Into Mischief has surged past his own record and by Thursday was standing at $22,929,735. He has meanwhile also raised another of his highest bars, 221 individual winners in 2019, to 237–and obviously still has a few weeks to add to these tallies.

(All these stats, incidentally, are accessible on TDN's database.    Prizemoney is difficult to standardize in a global sport, but some models favor selective compression of certain overseas earnings. So long as they are applied consistently, however, Into Mischief will be breaking new ground in 2021.)

What makes this latest campaign so remarkable is the sheer spread of his cavalry. His principal earner is Mandaloun, currently on $1,560,000. While that sum may well be revised, once the agonizing GI Kentucky Derby saga is concluded, as things stand Mandaloun has banked just 6.8% of his sire's total for the year.

Compare that with Ghostzapper, who leads the pack gasping in pursuit: Mystic Guide has contributed 48.7% of his $15,201,047. This, of course, is just the latest measure of vulnerability in a sires' championship historically determined by prizemoney, following the advent of megaprizes such as the one Mystic Guide won in Dubai in March. In 2017, Arrogate secured Unbridled's Song posthumous laurels by banking 71.2% of his total, largely through his wins in the GI Pegasus World Cup Invitational and then in Dubai. Otherwise his sire would have finished 44th. The Gulfstream race's loss in value since has somewhat reduced the potential for distortion, but someday a horse is going to win both the G1 Saudi Cup and G1 Dubai World Cup and it won't matter if he's by a sire long since exported to Peru: they'll be able to call the championship more or less on the spot.

In the meantime, then, let's be grateful for a stallion performing such a valuable service for the integrity of the annals. Last time round, admittedly, Horse of the Year Authentic did pour over $7 million into his sire's coffers, representing 31.9% of his total, but Into Mischief was so dominant that he would still have been champion even without that contribution.      His advantage over runner-up Medaglia d'Oro was just shy of $10 million, by worldwide earnings. Measured by domestic income only, taking the Darley stallion's Hong Kong goldmine Golden Sixty out of the equation, Into Mischief earned more than runner-up Uncle Mo and third-placed Curlin combined.

In winning his maiden championship the previous year, moreover, Into Mischief owed just 5.5% of a haul exceeding

$19 million to chief earner Covfefe. He had also become the first North American stallion to produce more than 200 individual winners in a calendar year. He can only be so prolific, naturally, because of his farm's familiar business model. Aided by helpful levels of fertility and libido, he has maintained enormous books even as his fee has soared. True, his elevation to $225,000 last spring reduced his book to “just” 214, down from an eye-watering 250 at $175,000 in 2019. But let's not forget how efficiently he has vindicated the hope that superior mares would stretch his trademark speed into a second turn. Yes, there had already been auspicious straws in the wind, Owendale and Audible both emerging from cheap early books to finish strongly for placings in Triple Crown races. Should Mandaloun be duly promoted, however, his sire will have conceived consecutive Derby winners at fees still no higher than $45,000, in the case of Authentic, and $75,000, for Mandaloun–along with Life Is Good, whose performance in the GI Dirt Mile at Del Mar consolidated his claims as the most flamboyant talent of the year, if not quite yet the most accomplished. (How Eclipse voters would love to know the outcome of his projected Pegasus showdown with Knicks Go (Paynter)…)

Into Mischief's next crop of sophomores will be his first conceived at a six-figure fee, so we can be confident that he is going to keep setting standards. Quite where the story will finish, who can say? He's obviously now working on his profile as a sire of sires, a promising start having emboldened commercial breeders into the same kind of numbers game that Into Mischief has played so well himself. Indeed, the three biggest books assembled in North America last spring were all corralled by sons of Into Mischief: Goldencents, his trailblazer, and Authentic covered 230 and 229 mares respectively from the same barn; while Practical Joke welcomed 223 to Ashford. Other busy young sons include Instagrand, who entertained 190 at TaylorMade; and Audible, who received just one fewer at WinStar. Back at Spendthrift, meanwhile, Maximus Mischief added another 171 mares to the 196 he covered in his debut season. There's no shortage of more affordable alternatives, then, for those priced out by Into Mischief's latest hike to $250,000.

No stallion permits complacency. Into Mischief is now rising 17, and the final reckoning plainly depends on how long he remains favored by such robust health. As it is, this year he passed another landmark as the third-quickest American stallion to $100 million in progeny earnings. The two who preceded him have just exchanged the baton, Tapit overtaking the late Giant's Causeway at the top of the all-time table. Tapit is four years older than Into Mischief, and Gainesway have promised to deploy him with due restraint for the rest of his career. So while Tapit for now remains well clear ($177,178,898 plays $107,240,883), he will already be looking anxiously over his shoulder given the exponential swell, in both quality and quantity, behind Into Mischief since he won his early battle against the odds.

That story has been told too often to need reprising here; likewise, how the extraordinary Tricky Creek mare Leslie's Lady kindled a breed-shaper from an Ohio-bred son of Harlan (himself author of one stakes win and 99 named foals). But it is certainly apt that Into Mischief should this year have found new ways to honor the man who supervised his rise, alongside the audacious revival of Spendthrift. The loss of B. Wayne Hughes in August refreshed us all in his own rags-to-riches tale, one that will forever echo in our esteem for this extraordinary stallion.

Nonetheless we know that Into Mischief's percentages, between the ordinary caliber of his early mates and the sheer volume of his output since, will never be quite as impressive as the rest of his resumé. Comparing their ratios of elite performers, indeed, Curlin deserves saluting for the better year of the pair: each has had 12 graded stakes winners, but Curlin from just 251 starters as against 430 for Into Mischief. (The Hill 'n' Dale sire, moreover, claims five of those at Grade I level–one more than Into Mischief.)

That's useful perspective, for sure, and contains important challenges for the industry. We have to be careful about acclaiming a year of unprecedented achievement for a stallion, when in some respects he cannot even match one of his contemporary rivals. That said, few will argue with maintaining black-type performers, through these last five breakthrough years, at around 13, 13, 14, 15 and 15% of quite so many starters. In the long story of the breed, few stallions have earned and then taken their chances quite like Into Mischief.

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Voting Underway for Vox Populi Award

Online voting is officially open for the 12th annual Secretariat 'Vox Populi' Award. Won by Horse of the Year Authentic (Into Mischief) last year, the Vox Populi was created by Secretariat's late owner Penny Chenery and recognizes the racehorse whose popularity and racing excellence best resounded with the public and gained recognition for the sport during the previous year.

Fans can vote on one of six nominees selected by the award's committee or choose a write-in option. This year's nominees, along with their most recent winning race, are: GI NetJets Breeders' Cup Juvenile Fillies winner Echo Zulu (Gun Runner); GI Travers S. champ Essential Quality (Tapit); GI Pennsylvania Derby winner Hot Rod Charlie (Oxbow); GI Breeders' Cup Classic winner Knicks Go (Paynter); GI Spinster S. victress Letruska (Super Saver); and GI Big Ass Fans Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile scorer Life Is Good (Into Mischief).

“Our nominees this year represent some of the brightest moments for the sport in 2021,” said Chenery's daughter, Kate Chenery Tweedy. “We look forward to the fans celebrating their favorites by voting for the horses who thrilled them, who inspired them, and who provided them the most joy during another challenging year.”

In addition to 2020's Authentic, previous Vox Populi winners have included inaugural 2010 winner Zenyatta (Street Cry {Ire}), Ben's Cat (Parker's Storm Cat), and two-time honoree California Chrome (Lucky Pulpit).

For more information about the Vox Populi Award, visit Secretariat.com. Voting will be open through Nov. 30 and the winner will be announced in December.

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Weanling Justify Colt Sells For $625,000 To Headline Day Two Of Keeneland November Sale

Coolmore's M.V. Magnier spent $625,000 for Just Before Dawn, a weanling colt by undefeated Triple Crown winner Justify who is a half-brother to multiple Grade 1 winner Moonshine Memories, to lead Thursday's second session of the Keeneland November Breeding Stock Sale. Steady trade during the day generated healthy increases over 2020 results.

Keeneland sold 226 horses today for $37,866,000, for an average of $167,549 and a median of $130,000. During the second session of the 2020 November Sale, 197 horses sold for $27,690,000, for an average of $140,558 and a median of $100,000.

Through two sessions, 344 horses have grossed $88,500,000, for an average of $257,267 and a median of $185,000. The cumulative gross after two days of the 2020 November Sale was $77,465,000 for 325 horses, for an average of $238,354 and a median of $135,000.

“Incredible; it was a vibrant market again with a lot of the energy we saw in September,” Keeneland Vice President of Sales Tony Lacy said. “A lot of frustrated pinhookers (were outbid.) A lot of end-users participated in the market today for foals. Young mares, well-bred on an early cover to a popular stallion were highly prized. People were frustrated with buying, but we had a lot of happy sellers.

“It is a really encouraging market as we move forward,” Lacy said. “The buy-back rate (22 percent) was really healthy. Median and average were well up. A lot of the matrix we look at are beating the last four years, and 2018 and 2019 were really strong. That bodes well for the rest of the sale.”

“The September market was so strong that it really validated commercial breeders, validated their purpose and gave them equity to reinvest,” Keeneland Director of Sales Operations Cormac Breathnach said. “Sometimes there were large amounts of money spent on yearlings out of older mares and mares that maybe hadn't been that 'A list' type, and we saw that strength carry through the last days of the September Sale. People can reinvest some of that money and buy with confidence that this is going to continue for a while.”

Consigned by Lane's End, agent, Just Before Dawn is out of the winning Unbridled's Song mare Unenchantedevening and also is a half-brother to stakes winner Indian Evening. He is from the family of Horse of the Year Favorite Trick and Grade 1 winner Tiz the Law. Coolmore stands Justify and Tiz the Law.

“He's a really nice horse,” Magnier said about the weanling, adding, “Jane Lyon and everyone at Summer Wind Farm are very good breeders. This horse is very well-bred, and we have had a lot of luck with the family before. We have 11 or 12 Justifys going to Ballydoyle (training center in Ireland) next year.”

Magnier said the weanling “is by one of the best horses we have seen in America for a long time.”

“(The Justify offspring) look like they are a very special group of horses,” Magnier said. “Everybody seems to be very high on them. They are a very exciting bunch of horses. The pedigrees, the physiques and everything about them and the way Justify was such a good racehorse, we have a huge amount of faith in them. Justify is making super strong horses. All seem to be good movers and everything. The lads at home say (the Justify yearlings) are simple to deal with.”

With sales of $6,302,000 for 27 horses, Lane's End, agent, was the session's leading consignor.

Lane's End, agent, also sold March X Press, a 6-year-old stakes-winning daughter of Shanghai Bobby in foal to Quality Road, for $560,000. Parks Investment Group bought March X Press, a half-sister to stakes winner Harlan's Honor out of the stakes-placed Indian Charlie mare Indian Rush.

Bloodstock agent David Ingordo signed the ticket for March X Press.

“I was underbidder on her yearling, and I thought her yearling was one of the best yearlings I did not get,” Ingordo said. “When I saw the mare in foal to Quality Road, I figured that would work for me.”

Mares carrying the first foals by 2020 Kentucky Derby Presented by Woodford Reserve winner and Horse of the Year Authentic recorded three of the session's highest prices.

Aaron and Marie Jones LLC paid $620,000 for the 6-year-old stakes-winning, Grade 2-placed mare Streak of Luck, a daughter of Old Fashioned carrying her first foal by Authentic.

“She checked all the boxes for us,” buyer Frank Taylor of Taylor Made Sales Agency, who signed the ticket, said. “She is a great physical. She looks like (paternal grandsire) Unbridled's Song (who stood at Taylor Made Farm), and we love Unbridled's Song. We raised Old Fashioned on the farm, so that was a plus for me. She was a good race mare. She is in foal to a Kentucky Derby winner for a January foal. She is what we were looking for.”

Consigned by James B. Keogh, agent, Streak of Luck is out of the winning Elusive Quality mare Valeria and from the family of Grade 3 winner Lindsay Jean.

Keogh was extremely pleased with the sale.

“I campaigned her as a racehorse – she won a stakes for me – so she is pretty special to me,” Keogh said. “Carrie Brogden and I owned her together (in partnership with breeder Roncelli Family Trust). Carrie found her in California, and in two seconds I made the decision to take half of her.”

Gary Broad/Walmac Farm purchased Jennifer's Dream, a 5-year-old winning, stakes-placed daughter of Medaglia d'Oro in foal to Authentic, for $525,000. Consigned by Taylor Made Sales Agency, agent, Jennifer's Dream is out of Grade 1 winner Joyful Victory, by Tapit.

Silesia Farm paid $500,000 for Impeccable Style, a winning, Grade 3-placed 4-year-old daughter of Uncle Mo also carrying her first foal by Authentic. Four Star Sales, agent, consigned Impeccable Style, whose dam is the Candy Ride (ARG) mare Deb's Candy Girl. She is from the family of stakes winners Bisbee's Prospect, Affordable Price, Stopshoppingdebbie, Shampoo, Blueberry Smoothie, Finallygotabentley and Starship Nterprise.

The session's leading buyer was Woodford Thoroughbreds, which spent $1,245,000 to acquire five in-foal broodmares.

The November Sale resumes Friday with the second session of the two-day Book 2. The auction continues through Friday, Nov. 19 with all sessions beginning at 10 a.m. ET.

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