Analyze It | Horse Racing Free Tips

Saturday Insights: Mill Ridge Firster Appeals In Split Maiden

Sponsored by Alex Nichols Agency
6th-KEE, $84K, Msw, 2yo, 1 1/16mT, post time: 3:40 p.m. ET
MOMS MOON (Kitten's Joy) is a son of Sweet Assay (Consolidator), acquired as a 5-year-old by Nicoma Bloodstock for $14,000 at the 2014 Keeneland January Sale and covered by Point of Entry in her maiden trip to the breeding shed. The resulting foal became 'TDN Rising Star' Analyze It, a 6 1/4-length debut winner who became a three-time winner at the graded level and was placed in the GI Belmont Derby, GI Secretariat S. and GI Breeders' Cup Mile. The Chad Brown-trainee snapped a four-race skid dating back to last year's GIII Red Bank S. in Belmont allowance company Oct. 8. Moms Moon's Grade II-winning third dam A. P. Assay (A.P. Indy) was a half-sister to the late Came Home (Gone West). TJCIS PPs

Juddmonte Unveils Arrogate Homebred…
3rd-KEE, $84K, Msw, 2yo, 1 1/16mT, post time: 2:04 p.m. ET
VERBIER (Arrogate) is the first foal out of Bernadiva (Bernardini), a longshot third in the grassy Riskaverse S. for Jake Ballis and Bill Mott and later acquired privately with an eye on becoming a future mate for the late Arrogate. Bernadiva is a daughter of the versatile Evening Jewel (Northern Afleet), winner of a synthetic-track renewal of this track's GI Central Bank Ashland S. and that year's GI Del Mar Oaks on the turf either side of a heartbreaking defeat at the hooves of Blind Luck (Pollard's Vision) in the GI Kentucky Oaks. Among the competition is Whitham Thoroughbreds' Hatch (E Dubai), a son of turf GSW Linda (Scat Daddy), herself a daughter of GSW/GISP Beautiful Noise (Sunny's Halo). TJCIS PPs

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Admission Office Returns in Tropical Park

Amerman Racing LLC’s Admission Office (Point of Entry) will return from a six-month layoff in Saturday’s GIII Tropical Turf S. at Gulfstream Park. Trained by Brian Lynch, the 6-year-old finished in the top three on four occasions in 2019, including in the GII Fort Lauderdale S. at Gulfstream in December. Eighth in the Pegasus Turf, he rebounded to finish second in the 11-furlong GII Mac Diarmida S. at the Hallandale oval last February before coming home fourth in the 8 1/2-furlong Sunshine Forever S. in May. Most recently, he came from off the pace to score in Churchill’s Louisville S. June 13.

“We would have loved to run in the Pegasus Turf again, but he hasn’t run since June,” explained Lynch. “He needed some time off after his last race and the Pegasus Turf comes up too soon.”

He added, “He’s coming back at a distance that isn’t really ideal for him, but it’s a good starting point. The good thing about this race is there’s plenty of pace, which ideally suits

Gulfstream..He’s his own worst enemy. He gives himself too much to do. He needs the ideal trip and the heavens to open up. He needs a clean path. He’s such a big horse, when you get him stopped, it’s hard to get him started again. He can be his own worst enemy the way he takes himself out of it, but we’ve been seeing a lot of maturity in him.”

Ride a Comet (Candy Ride {Arg}) is undefeated in two starts in 2020, both over Woodbine’s Tapeta surface. A come-from-behind victor in a seven furlong optional claimer in October, the John Oxley and My Meadowview runner took the GII Kennedy Road S. at six furlongs Nov. 21. The Mark Casse trainee has won at distances ranging from six to nine furlongs throughout his career, including the 2018 GII Del Mar Derby. Tyler Gaffalione gets the call.

William Lawrence’s Analyze It (Point of Entry), favored at 2-1 on the morning line, will scratch due to a quarter crack issue per Daily Racing Form’s Mike Welsch.

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Bowies Hero Will Have To Fend Off Chad Brown Quartet To Defend His Title In Shadwell Turf Mile

Agave Racing Stable, ERJ Racing, Madaket Stables and Rockin Robin Racing Stable's Bowies Hero will attempt to become the third horse to win the Shadwell Turf Mile (G1) in consecutive years when he faces 10 rivals Saturday in the 35th running of the $750,000 race.

The Shadwell Turf Mile is one of five graded stakes on Saturday's 11-race program at Keeneland that begins at 1:05 p.m. ET. The Shadwell Turf Mile is the afternoon's third Grade 1 race and scheduled as the 10th race with a 5:57 p.m. post time.

Trained by Phil D'Amato, Bowies Hero will be trying to join Gio Ponti (2010-2011) and Dumaani (1995-1996) as the only repeat winners in the race that is a “Win and You're In” test for the $2 million Breeders' Cup FanDuel Mile (G1) Presented by PDJF to be run Nov. 7.

Bowies Hero will break from post position four and be ridden by Rafael Bejarano.

To repeat, Bowies Hero will have to get by a quartet of runners trained by Chad Brown headed by two-time Grade 1 winner Raging Bull (FR).

Owned by Peter Brant, Raging Bull returns to Keeneland where he was third beaten a neck in July in the Maker's Mark Mile (G1). Winner of the Shoemaker Mile (G1) at Santa Anita in May to open his 2020 campaign, Raging Bull will be ridden Saturday by Joel Rosario and break from post position six.

Brown's other entrants are William Lawrence's Analyze It, winner of the Transylvania (G3) here in 2018 and fourth in the Shadwell last year; Juddmonte Farms' Flavius, winner of the recent Tourist Mile at Kentucky Downs; and, John and Tanya Gunther's Without Parole (GB) who was fourth in the Maker's Mark Mile.

Tyler Gaffalione will ride Analyze It and break from post eight; Flavius will exit post seven and be ridden by Ricardo Santana Jr. while Julien Leparoux has the call on Without Parole who will break from post position three.

The field for the Shadwell Turf Mile, with riders from the inside, is: Casa Creed (Martin Garcia), Halladay (Luis Saez), Without Parole (GB) (Leparoux), Bowies Hero (Bejarano), Born Great (Corey Lanerie), Raging Bull (FR) (Rosario), Flavius (Santana Jr.), Analyze It (Gaffalione), Parlor (Umberto Rispoli), Spectacular Gem (James Graham) and Ivar (BRZ) (Joe Talamo). All starters will carry 126 pounds.

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Off For 22 Months, Analyze It Impresses In Monmouth’s Red Bank

Luis Cabrera didn't hesitate when asked whether Analyze It's impressive victory in Saturday's $150,000 Grade 3 Red Bank Stakes at Monmouth Park signaled the long-awaited return for the talented 5-year-old.

“I would say after this that he is back – 1:35 and change is impressive,” said Cabrera, who oversees trainer Chad Brown's string at the Oceanport, N.J., track.

Idle for 22 months, the multiple graded stakes winner made short work of his six rivals in scoring a sharp 1 3/4-length victory in the 47th edition of the Red Bank Stakes.

Time for the mile over a turf course listed as “firm” was 1:35.54.

Last seen finishing a close-up third in the Breeders' Cup Mile on Nov. 3, 2018, Analyze It flashed the talent that saw him finish second twice, by a head and a neck, to Catholic Boy two years ago.

“We weren't concerned about the layoff the way he has been working to come back for this,” said Cabrera. “He just had a few problems, nothing serious. He has been working very good for this so we had high expectations.”

With jockey Joe Bravo saving ground along the rail behind dueling leaders Abiding Star and Irish Strait through an opening quarter in :24.24 and then :48.55 Analyze It was eager for room entering the final turn. Bravo found a crease coming out of the turn and Analyze It blew past the front runners.

Megacity rallied for second, 2 1/2 lengths ahead of Abiding Star.

“It's so nice when you deal with the best of the best,” said Bravo. “He came over to the track with so much professionalism, so relaxed. Just by his demeanor you can tell he's a good one.

“He broke alertly and what makes him such a professional is he has been taught to turn it off and relax. Good horses make creases. He made his. He has run against the best of the best. This was a good spot for him to come back. He should get some confidence from this.”

Now sporting a 4-3-1 mark from nine career starts, the son of Point of Entry, owned by William H. Lawrence boosted his lifetime earnings to $849,400.

“Going forward now, that's Chad's decision,” Cabrera said of Analyze It's next possible start.

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