Ryanair Chase Cheltenham Festival Thursday 14th March
The Ryanair Chase, a highlight of the Cheltenham Festival, is a Grade 1 race that has become a key event for horses adept at middle distances. As we approach the festival, a look at the trends can offer valuable insights into what it takes to secure victory in this prestigious race. Here’s a summary of the most significant trends for the winners of the Ryanair Chase:
Age and Experience:
- Winners are typically in their prime, with 12 of the last 12 winners aged between 7 and 9 years old.
- A strong foundation of chase experience is evident, as 10 of the last 12 winners had at least 7 chase runs, and all winners had at least 4 chase wins.
Form and Ratings:
- The importance of recent form is clear, with 6 of the last 12 winners having won their previous run before the Ryanair Chase, and 10 out of 12 running within the last 77 days.
- A high official rating is a common trait among winners, with all 12 of the last 12 winners rated 162 or higher.
Course Familiarity:
- Cheltenham experience is crucial, as 11 out of the last 12 winners had at least 2 previous runs at the course, and 8 had at least 1 previous win at Cheltenham.
Season Performance:
- Consistent performance throughout the season is key, with 8 out of 12 winners having at least 3 runs that season, and 11 out of 12 winners having at least 1 win that season.
Future Prospects:
- The Ryanair Chase can be a springboard to further success, with 2 of the last 12 winners winning on their next run after Cheltenham, and 5 out of 12 placing on their next run.
Training:
- Irish-trained horses have shown dominance, with a significant number of winners coming from Ireland.
Graded Success:
- Previous success in graded races is a good indicator, with 11 out of 12 winners having at least 1 win in a grade 1-3 race.
