Kempton Ladbrokes Christmas Hurdle

Kempton turf track 26th December 2025, Ladbrokes Christmas Hurdle (Grade 1) (Gbb Race) (G1) 13.55 UK Time

Sir Gino is trained by Nicky Henderson and ridden by Nico de Boinville.
This six-year-old is an exciting prospect who remains unbeaten under rules.
Most recently, he won a Grade 2 novice chase at Kempton by seven and a half lengths on good to soft ground.
Prior to that, he scored in a Grade 1 hurdle at Newcastle by eight lengths on good ground.
He has a perfect record on good to soft going, with two wins from two attempts.
He has strong form at Kempton, including that recent chase success and an earlier hurdle win here by 14 lengths.
His class is top-notch, with multiple Grade 1 victories.
Fitness might be a question after an injury layoff, but he looks the one to beat.

Golden Ace is trained by Jeremy Scott and ridden by Lorcan Williams.
This seven-year-old mare upset the odds when winning a Grade 1 hurdle at Newcastle by a length and a half most recently on good to soft ground.
Before that, she was second by 28 lengths at Wetherby on good ground.
She has performed well on good to soft going, with two wins from three attempts.
No previous runs at Kempton, but she has handled right-handed tracks like Cheltenham, where she won a Grade 1 by nine lengths.
Her class includes Champion Hurdle success, and she appears fit after recent outings.

Celtic Dino is trained by Sam Thomas and ridden by Dylan Johnston.
This six-year-old has progressive form, finishing second by two and a half lengths at Ascot most recently in a Grade 2 on good to soft ground.
He won his previous start at Chepstow by two and a quarter lengths on good ground.
He acts on good to soft going, with one place from two attempts.
He has form at Kempton, finishing third by 13 lengths in a Grade 2 here.
His experience in handicaps is solid, and fitness is good following recent runs.

Rubaud is trained by Paul Nicholls and ridden by Harry Cobden.
This seven-year-old has been in fine form, winning his last two starts at Wincanton by a neck and at Kempton by a length, both on good ground.
He has chase experience from last season, including a Grade 2 win at Kempton.
He performs well on good to soft going, with one win from two attempts.
Strong course record at Kempton, with two wins from three runs.
His class is proven at Grade 2 level, and he looks fit.

Tripoli Flyer is trained by Fergal O’Brien and ridden by Jonathan Burke.
This six-year-old has mixed recent form, finishing fourth by 19 and a half lengths at Exeter most recently on good to soft ground.
He unseated at Perth before that.
He has a win at Kempton from last season in a Grade 2 novice hurdle by seven and a half lengths on good to soft.
He excels on good to soft going, with one win from two attempts.
Course form is positive with that victory.
Fitness may improve, but class needs to step up.

Give It To Me Oj is trained by Gary and Josh Moore and ridden by Caoilin Quinn.
This six-year-old finished fifth by 18 and a half lengths at Newbury most recently in a Grade 3 handicap on soft ground.
He won his previous hurdle start at Cheltenham by a neck on good ground.
He has one win from two on soft going, untested specifically on good to soft.
No form at Kempton, but he has won on right-handed tracks like Sandown.
His experience includes handicap wins, but this is tougher.
Fitness is reasonable after recent efforts.

Simulation Results:

The percentage chances are: Sir Gino 61%, Golden Ace 21%, Rubaud 9%, Celtic Dino 6%, Tripoli Flyer 1.6%, Give It To Me Oj 1.4%.

Equivalent fractional odds from percentages: Sir Gino 8/13, Golden Ace 15/4, Rubaud 10/1, Celtic Dino 31/2, Tripoli Flyer 122/3, Give It To Me Oj 70/1.

The best bet is Sir Gino.

The two value selections are Golden Ace and Rubaud, as their live betting odds are higher than the calculated fair odds.

Steamer bets are Sir Gino and Celtic Dino.

Trends for the last 12 years.

Golden Ace meets 15 of the trends.

Rubaud meets 14 of the trends.

Sir Gino meets 11 of the trends.

Celtic Dino meets 8 of the trends.

Tripoli Flyer meets 8 of the trends.

Give It To Me Oj meets 6 of the trends.

In order of preference based on the number of trends matched: Golden Ace, Rubaud, Sir Gino, Celtic Dino, Tripoli Flyer, Give It To Me Oj.

Kauto Star Novices’ Chase Grade 1

Kempton turf track 26th December 2025, Ladbrokes Kauto Star Novices’ Chase (In Memory Of Nigel Clark) (Grade 1) (Gbb Race) (G1) 13.20 UK Time

Salver is trained by Gary and Josh Moore and ridden by Caoilin Quinn.
This six-year-old finished a close second by a head to Blueking d’Oroux at Sandown most recently on 5th December in a Grade 2 novices’ chase over three miles on soft ground.
He has shown strong form with four hurdle wins and a chase success from two miles to three miles.
He performs best on good to soft to heavy going, with multiple wins on similar conditions.
He has no previous runs at Kempton but has excelled on right-handed tracks like Sandown.
His current handicap rating reflects his progressive profile.
Fitness is excellent following his recent outing.
Experience includes high-class hurdle form, and he handles the class well.

Kitzbuhel is trained by Willie Mullins and ridden by Paul Townend.
This horse won his most recent start on 22nd November at Punchestown in a beginners’ chase over two miles three furlongs on soft to heavy ground.
He has solid hurdle form, including a third in a Grade 2 and fifth in a Grade 1.
He acts on good ground but showed improvement on heavier conditions last time.
No form at Kempton or similar UK tracks.
His handicap rating suggests room for improvement.
Fitness appears good after his November success.
Experience is limited over fences, but his class from hurdles makes him interesting.

Blueking d’Oroux is trained by Paul Nicholls and ridden by Harry Cobden.
This horse won his latest race on 5th December at Sandown in a Grade 2 novices’ chase over three miles, beating Salver by a head on soft ground.
Prior to that, he had a poor run at Fontwell but won at Wincanton in November in another Grade 2 over two and a half miles.
He thrives on soft going, with wins on similar.
He has form on right-handed tracks like Sandown, which is comparable to Kempton.
His handicap rating is high at 150.
Fitness is sharp after recent victories.
Experience at this level is proven, and he handles the class.

Wendigo is trained by Jamie Snowden and ridden by Gavin Sheehan.
This horse scored on his most recent outing on 28th November at Newbury in a Grade 2 novices’ chase over two miles four furlongs on good to soft ground.
Previously, he finished fifth in a Grade 1 novice hurdle at Cheltenham.
He performs well on good to soft going, as shown in his latest win.
He has form on right-handed tracks like Newbury, similar to Kempton.
His handicap rating is 143.
Fitness is solid following his November run.
Experience over fences is building, with class from hurdles.

Crest Of Fortune is trained by Anthony Honeyball and ridden by Sam Twiston-Davies.
This horse ran in the Grade 2 at Newbury on 28th November, finishing behind Wendigo over two miles four furlongs on good to soft ground.
He has a win from earlier in the year at Ayr in a novice hurdle.
He acts on good to soft going.
No specific form at Kempton, but he has handled left-handed tracks.
His handicap rating is lower at 125.
Fitness is reasonable after recent efforts.
Experience at graded level is limited, but he shows some potential.

Thomas Mor is trained by Philip Hobbs and Johnson White and ridden by Ben Jones.
This horse won his latest start on 21st November at Ascot in a Class 2 beginners’ chase over two miles five furlongs on good to soft ground.
Previously, he was fourth in a novice handicap chase at Doncaster in January.
He performs well on good to soft going.
He has form on right-handed tracks like Ascot, comparable to Kempton.
His handicap rating is 142.
Fitness is good after his November victory.
Experience over fences includes a win, with solid class.

Simulation Results:

The percentage chances are: Salver 36%, Blueking d’Oroux 32%, Wendigo 18%, Kitzbuhel 10%, Crest Of Fortune 2%, Thomas Mor 2%.

Equivalent fractional odds from percentages: Salver 16/9, Blueking d’Oroux 17/8, Wendigo 41/9, Kitzbuhel 9/1, Crest Of Fortune 49/1, Thomas Mor 49/1.

The best bet is Salver.

The two value selections are Salver and Blueking d’Oroux, as their live betting odds are higher than the calculated fair odds.

There are no steamer bets, as no horses meet the criteria of early prices higher than live by at least 4 points.

Trends base don last 12 years:

Salver meets 12 of the trends.

Wendigo meets 11 of the trends.

Blueking d’Oroux meets 10 of the trends.

Kitzbuhel meets 9 of the trends.

Crest Of Fortune meets 6 of the trends.

Thomas Mor meets 6 of the trends.

In order of preference based on the number of trends matched: Salver, Wendigo, Blueking d’Oroux, Kitzbuhel, Crest Of Fortune, Thomas Mor.

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